1. #1
    seaborneq
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    Any early NBA regular season win total props and division odds out there yet?

    Please post. You can never start capping futures too early.

  2. #2
    DoYouNotGetIT
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    All I know if the Bulls are 57.5 or under pound the over. I have a feeling the Nets will have a huge over and under number like 59.5 pound the under. Lakers anything over 50 is too much and pound the under. Detroit Pistons if the over is 36 or less pound the over. The key to NBA over/under is betting the over on great teams. Betting the under on low win totals (bad teams) is usually a recipe for disaster, if you bet the over on bad teams (win totals less than 30) you deserve to ride a short bus to work.

    Book makers are going to take into account Detroit Pistons free agency so I don't see the over under being less than 37. Lakers I can see a huge number just because it being the Lakers. Bulls hopefully they don't put them at the dreaded 59.5 number because 60 wins no matter what is hard. Nets I hope that number will be inflated to some ridiculous win total like 57.5 to 59.5. Hopefully they don't follow the usual 2 high numbers in one conference and 1 high number in another. Miami and OKC will have a number around 60. Just hoping they either leave both Chicago and Nets low or just put the Nets at a high number.


    Last year's easy play that everyone knew about was the Spurs over at 53.5 and Clippers over at 48.5.

    Teams around the 40 win mark (37-42 win total which translates to Vegas has no clue): Mavericks, Timberwolves, Boston, Atlanta, and Pistons
    Last edited by DoYouNotGetIT; 09-26-13 at 02:32 PM.

  3. #3
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by DoYouNotGetIT View Post
    All I know if the Bulls are 57.5 or under pound the over. I have a feeling the Nets will have a huge over and under number like 59.5 pound the under. Lakers anything over 50 is too much and pound the under. Detroit Pistons if the over is 36 or less pound the over. The key to NBA over/under is betting the over on great teams. Betting the under on low win totals (bad teams) is usually a recipe for disaster, if you bet the over on bad teams (win totals less than 30) you deserve to ride a short bus to work.

    Book makers are going to take into account Detroit Pistons free agency so I don't see the over under being less than 37. Lakers I can see a huge number just because it being the Lakers. Bulls hopefully they don't put them at the dreaded 59.5 number because 60 wins no matter what is hard. Nets I hope that number will be inflated to some ridiculous win total like 57.5 to 59.5. Hopefully they don't follow the usual 2 high numbers in one conference and 1 high number in another. Miami and OKC will have a number around 60. Just hoping they either leave both Chicago and Nets low or just put the Nets at a high number.


    Last year's easy play that everyone knew about was the Spurs over at 53.5 and Clippers over at 48.5.

    Teams around the 40 win mark (37-43 win total which translates to Vegas has no clue): Mavericks, Timberwolves, Atlanta, 76ers, and Pistons
    good information. Nets probably won't be over/under 55, 57-59 is way to high for those chokers plus Kidd, Lakers shouold be low 40's or 41.5, I won't touch the bulls with a 10 foot pole, too dependent on DRose who hasn't played in 20+ months.

  4. #4
    DoYouNotGetIT
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    More overs than unders is always the key to winning. Betting on teams in the 0-33 win total to improve is fools gold. Denver, Memphis, New York Knicks, Indiana Pacers, and Golden State are teams you should not go near. Denver changed coaches, Memphis is a old school team, Indiana not a regular season NBA roster, New York Knicks, and Golden State wasn't impressive in the regular season last year. LA Clippers will come out with a 54-56 win total that is why I didn't say to bet the over, because it is not going to be 52 or lower. Top four seeds in each conference at least 5 of those teams will almost always (more than 5 of the top 4 seeds) have a win total at 53 or above. Usually there is some value there.


    Lakers will not be in the low 40s. Vegas always inflates that line because Lakers have the most fans so they bet the over. Line will be at least 44 my guess is 48. The under is still a good bet at 48.
    Last edited by DoYouNotGetIT; 09-26-13 at 03:34 PM.

  5. #5
    easyliving
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    Pelicans over will be the best bet on the board regardless of the total

  6. #6
    DoYouNotGetIT
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    Quote Originally Posted by easyliving View Post
    Pelicans over will be the best bet on the board regardless of the total
    Bookies or Sportsbooks love when you bet the over/unders. Don't worry they will put the number around 32 and you can bet it. Just like Cleveland Cavaliers, Washington, Toronto, and Sacramento fans they will do the same for. Exact reason why book makers make money. ONE TEAM made the jump last year (Houstons win total went up when Harden trade happened) Golden State Warriors who went from a 34.5 betting line and won 47 games.

    NBA over/under win totals is the easiest bet out of any sport. Guaranteed to go 3/5 most years if you bet it smart.
    Last edited by DoYouNotGetIT; 09-26-13 at 03:13 PM.

  7. #7
    seaborneq
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    Lakers are 36.5.

  8. #8
    seaborneq
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    Atlanta Hawks - regular season winsFri 11/1*26001*ATL regular season wins over 39½*-120******1:00PM*26002*ATL regular season wins under 39½**+100******
    Boston Celtics - regular season winsFri 11/1*26011*BOS regular season wins over 28½*-110******1:00PM*26012*BOS regular season wins under 28½**-110******
    Brooklyn Nets - regular season winsFri 11/1*26021*BKN regular season wins over 52½*+100******1:00PM*26022*BKN regular season wins under 52½**-120******
    Charlotte Bobcats - regular season winsFri 11/1*26031*CHA regular season wins over 26½*-120******1:00PM*26032*CHA regular season wins under 26½**+100******
    Chicago Bulls - regular season winsFri 11/1*26041*CHI regular season wins over 56½*-105******1:00PM*26042*CHI regular season wins under 56½**-115******
    Cleveland Cavaliers - regular season winsFri 11/1*26051*CLE regular season wins over 40½*-105******1:00PM*26052*CLE regular season wins under 40½**-115******
    Dallas Mavericks - regular season winsFri 11/1*26061*DAL regular season wins over 43½*-110******1:00PM*26062*DAL regular season wins under 43½**-110******
    Denver Nuggets - regular season winsFri 11/1*26071*DEN regular season wins over 46½*+100******1:00PM*26072*DEN regular season wins under 46½**-120******
    Detroit Pistons - regular season winsFri 11/1*26081*DET regular season wins over 40½*+115******1:00PM*26082*DET regular season wins under 40½**-135******
    Golden State Warriors - regular season winsFri 11/1*26091*GSW regular season wins over 50½*-120******1:00PM*26092*GSW regular season wins under 50½**+100******
    Houston Rockets - regular season winsFri 11/1*26101*HOU regular season wins over 54½*+100******1:00PM*26102*HOU regular season wins under 54½**-120******
    Indiana Pacers - regular season winsFri 11/1*26111*IND regular season wins over 54½*-115******1:00PM*26112*IND regular season wins under 54½**-105******
    Los Angeles Clippers - regular season winsFri 11/1*26121*LAC regular season wins over 56½*-115******1:00PM*26122*LAC regular season wins under 56½**-105******
    Los Angeles Lakers - regular season winsFri 11/1*26131*LAL regular season wins over 36½*+100******1:00PM*26132*LAL regular season wins under 36½**-120******
    Memphis Grizzlies - regular season winsFri 11/1*26141*MEM regular season wins over 50½*-140******1:00PM*26142*MEM regular season wins under 50½**+120******
    Miami Heat - regular season winsFri 11/1*26151*MIA regular season wins over 61½*-110******1:00PM*26152*MIA regular season wins under 61½**-110******
    Milwaukee Bucks - regular season winsFri 11/1*26161*MIL regular season wins over 28½*+100******1:00PM*26162*MIL regular season wins under 28½**-120******
    Minnesota Timberwolves - regular season winsFri 11/1*26171*MIN regular season wins over 40½*-125******1:00PM*26172*MIN regular season wins under 40½**+105******
    New Orleans Pelicans - regular season winsFri 11/1*26181*NOR regular season wins over 39½*-105******1:00PM*26182*NOR regular season wins under 39½**-115******
    New York Knicks - regular season winsFri 11/1*26191*NYK regular season wins over 50½*-105******1:00PM*26192*NYK regular season wins under 50½**-115******
    Oklahoma City Thunder - regular season winsFri 11/1*26201*OKC regular season wins over 52½*-110******1:00PM*26202*OKC regular season wins under 52½**-110******
    Orlando Magic - regular season winsFri 11/1*26211*ORL regular season wins over 23½*+110******1:00PM*26212*ORL regular season wins under 23½**-130******
    Philadelphia 76ers - regular season winsFri 11/1*26221*PHI regular season wins over 16½*-130******1:00PM*26222*PHI regular season wins under 16½**+110******
    Phoenix Suns - regular season winsFri 11/1*26231*PHO regular season wins over 20½*-115******1:00PM*26232*PHO regular season wins under 20½**-105******
    Portland Trail Blazers - r(egular season winsFri 11/1*26241*POR regular season wins over 38½*-110******1:00PM*26242*POR regular season wins under 38½**-110******
    Sacramento Kings - regular season winsFri 11/1*26251*SAC regular season wins over 31½*+100******1:00PM*26252*SAC regular season wins under 31½**-120******
    San Antonio Spurs - regular season winsFri 11/1*26261*SAS regular season wins over 55½*-105******1:00PM*26262*SAS regular season wins under 55½**-115******
    Toronto Raptors - regular season winsFri 11/1*26271*TOR regular season wins over 35½*-105******1:00PM*26272*TOR regular season wins under 35½**-115******
    Utah Jazz - regular season winsFri 11/1*26281*UTAH regular season wins over 25½*-120******1:00PM*26282*UTAH regular season wins under 25½**+100******
    Washington Wizards - regular season winsFri 11/1*26291*WAS regular season wins over 39½*-105******1:00PM*26292*WAS regular season wins under 39½
    Last edited by seaborneq; 10-08-13 at 01:06 PM.

  9. #9
    seaborneq
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    Early leans under pistons, Minnesota, Indiana. Overs on Portland and spurs.

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