1. #1
    BigDeem5
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    Wednesday Picks

    Pirates ML +129
    Pirates -1.5 +195
    Pirates/Texas O 8.5 -105
    Rockies ML +135
    Yanks ML +118
    LAA/TOR O8.5 -105

    ADD: Indians FF U 4 -105 1/2 unit
    Last edited by BigDeem5; 09-11-13 at 09:53 AM.

  2. #2
    Ratpack
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    gl deemer

  3. #3
    billysink
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    D I do see a lot of value in that Pirate play but you are spread out pretty thin. If your logic, to which I see value, holds on that alternate RL why would you need that over bet @ -105. That unit would be better applied to your most probable bonus money play.

    Trust yourself.

  4. #4
    billysink
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    Glad to see your card lacks exotics. Parlays and teasers better left for the well heeled or just left alone.

  5. #5
    BigDeem5
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    Sinker, Pirates win 7-3.

    I'll hit them all.

    Which is why I bet it.

    I think 5-1 is very possible.

  6. #6
    billysink
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    7 runs is a big stretch against a team in a pennant race with 15 dudes in the bullpen waiting to put out any potential fire. Overs are of little value in that scenario at this time of year.

    In your case the percieved value and great price on the reverse is far more significant than that low juice total.

    Honest and simple question Big D. If you do hit them all ain't you gonna wish you had that unit @ 195 rather than -105. Even a dummy like me can see the logic.

    Good luck today.

  7. #7
    BigDeem5
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    Quote Originally Posted by billysink View Post
    7 runs is a big stretch against a team in a pennant race with 15 dudes in the bullpen waiting to put out any potential fire. Overs are of little value in that scenario at this time of year.

    In your case the percieved value and great price on the reverse is far more significant than that low juice total.

    Honest and simple question Big D. If you do hit them all ain't you gonna wish you had them unit @ 195 rather than -105. Even a dummy like me can see the logic.

    Good luck today.
    Yes, but same case if they win 6-5.

    RRL loses but the unit on over saves it.

  8. #8
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Like the card. Going to be betting Yanks nearly everyday this week.

  9. #9
    BigDeem5
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    They could win 4-2 and cover RRL and not over, I mean we can sit here all day pussy footing over scenarios.

  10. #10
    Louisvillekid1
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    GL,

    I'm watching this line. Don't like the over play at all.

    I actually think the FF under is the play here, but of course I see the value on Pitt

    I got this 3-2 final so gotta take the +$, but will prob his under 2x

    I see a quick moving day game

  11. #11
    BigDeem5
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    Garza is tailing off, he's a choke artist.

    He will give up 4-5 over 5

  12. #12
    billysink
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    Deemer trust yourself. If you believe in your methodology you do not need to save anything. You need to maximize on your work. Trying to buy a position you are not staked to is contradictory.

    And costly in the big picture. It should only be used if you uncover something between now and first pitch that erodes your original stance on the event.

    Anyway enough of my horse shit.


    Good luck

  13. #13
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDeem5 View Post
    Garza is tailing off, he's a choke artist.

    He will give up 4-5 over 5
    He will not be given that chance in all reality this being a day game and an off day tomorrow. That bullpen will be ready at any moment. All hands on deck today.

  14. #14
    Louisvillekid1
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    I couldn't pass on Corbin +120 either...

  15. #15
    BennyBigNuts
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    Love the Rockies today.

    Also like Houston F5, then Dodgers n Royals.
    No one game sticks out for me though. .
    Gonna bet Royals small straight for breakfast then hammer accordingly based on the outcome.

  16. #16
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDeem5 View Post
    They could win 4-2 and cover RRL and not over, I mean we can sit here all day pussy footing over scenarios.
    If you win all 3 you cost yourself. If the result is as described above you bet on a position you did not assume. I am hoping you see the risk to which you have exposed yourself.

    Just a little advice Deem.

  17. #17
    iceman9870
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    good luck

  18. #18
    Ratpack
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    louisville corbin has been HORRIBLE as of late and the dbacks cant hit

  19. #19
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by billysink View Post
    Deemer trust yourself. If you believe in your methodology you do not need to save anything. You need to maximize on your work. Trying to buy a position you are not staked to is contradictory.

    And costly in the big picture. It should only be used if you uncover something between now and first pitch that erodes your original stance on the event.

    Anyway enough of my horse shit.


    Good luck
    2 days ago you said the kid doesn't listen. So I'll assume you're talking to us. And we appreciate your insight so thx...good read. Deemer can post read this in a few years.

    Good luck big D

  20. #20
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDeem5 View Post
    Sinker, Pirates win 7-3.

    I'll hit them all.

    Which is why I bet it.

    I think 5-1 is very possible.
    you should parlay them all for $20 in case you go 6-0

  21. #21
    Louisvillekid1
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    Lets see these bullpens shut it down...

  22. #22
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    GL,

    I'm watching this line. Don't like the over play at all.

    I actually think the FF under is the play here, but of course I see the value on Pitt

    I got this 3-2 final so gotta take the +$, but will prob his under 2x

    I see a quick moving day game
    Hit FF under for 2x but then went and through another 1.2 on the Game.

    Should of just stuck w/ my instinct.

    Also, Billy nice posting in this thread...

    You can lead a horse to water, but....

  23. #23
    bubblebuttluv
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    Quote Originally Posted by BennyBigNuts View Post
    Love the Rockies today.

    Also like Houston F5, then Dodgers n Royals.
    No one game sticks out for me though. .
    Gonna bet Royals small straight for breakfast then hammer accordingly based on the outcome.
    bump for the tracking thread.

    Benny is known to change picks, the thread that keeps the only true Benny record, needs his authentic plays.

  24. #24
    billysink
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    Bubbs with all due respect I think we have all moved on from this. There is nothing more to accomplish and there was little to begin with.

    I would think that this is personal and if so can you keep it to one thread? Most here are mature enough to resolve and restart at some point but it seems that this is important to you. Keep in mind it is no longer of any significance to most. The less we are exposed to it the more we will appreciate how much it means to you.

    Best of luck and may your quest cleanse your soul.

  25. #25
    allabout the $$$
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    Quote Originally Posted by bubblebuttluv View Post
    bump for the tracking thread.

    Benny is known to change picks, the thread that keeps the only true Benny record, needs his authentic plays.
    this is a good thread with some really good knowledge being put out there keep your business with benny to your thread

  26. #26
    BigDeem5
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDeem5 View Post
    Pirates ML +129
    Pirates -1.5 +195
    Pirates/Texas O 8.5 -105
    Rockies ML +135
    Yanks ML +118
    LAA/TOR O8.5 -105

    ADD: Indians FF U 4 -105 1/2 unit
    That's how you drill a game, priks

  27. #27
    BennyBigNuts
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    Nice slap on the pee-rats game deemer.

  28. #28
    Brutus84
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    Congrats on winning $130. I think that is the amount you stiffed someone out of.

  29. #29
    jjgold
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    seems like no tracking anymore

  30. #30
    bubblebuttluv
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    seems like no tracking anymore
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...d-here-p5.html

  31. #31
    BigDeem5
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDeem5 View Post
    Pirates ML +129
    Pirates -1.5 +195
    Pirates/Texas O 8.5 -105
    Rockies ML +135
    Yanks ML +118
    LAA/TOR O8.5 -105

    ADD: Indians FF U 4 -105 1/2 unit
    5-2

    Fellas big night

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