1. #1
    jjgold
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    Kershaw Today?? Is It Worrhy Of $5000 Bet?

    Can he lose?

    Some of those young Marlin arms can blank you which scares me.

  2. #2
    Gus Fring
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    Make a vid JJ

  3. #3
    sbrhedge
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Can he lose?

    Some of those young Marlin arms can blank you which scares me.
    Of course he can lose.

    You want to lay $4800 to win $2000 at -240? Are you scared?

    If you're scared, this question is pointless. Don't bet.

    A slightly better value bet is MIA +1.5 @ +120.

    Straight MIA @ +210 is the worst bet of the 4 options. MIA needs to get Kershaw out in less than 7 innings to have a chance for the dog ML to go.

  4. #4
    BIGDAY
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    I'm smacking a -240 fav in mma next Wednesday.

    It has a much better chance at hitting than Kershaw today.

  5. #5
    Big Bear
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    JJ what happened to you trying to get a loan for football season?


    now you magically have $5,000 to bet?

  6. #6
    BIGDAY
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    I sent him a nickel. No idea where he got the rest.

  7. #7
    jjgold
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    Where did I say I am betting 5k??

    I am trying to say is it a lock by using a big dollar amount as an example

    I am betting it but RL maybe

  8. #8
    Big Bear
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    well yes JJ i like it a lot but i dont wanna jinx it with the "L " word

  9. #9
    Big Bear
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    If and this is a big if the Marlins somehow pull off a miracle upset they will have to do it like 1-0 or 2-1

    I hate totals but this game and the Pirates/ Giants look like easy unders

  10. #10
    King Mayan
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    You motherfukker.

  11. #11
    pavyracer
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    Don't you have to bet almost $15,000 to win $5,000 today?

    What book are you using JJ?

  12. #12
    Underwraps
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Can he lose?

    Some of those young Marlin arms can blank you which scares me.
    You must be a SQUARE. Quit now while your ahead

  13. #13
    BIGDAY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Underwraps View Post
    You must be a SQUARE. Quit now while your ahead

    Underwraper has a winner today. I gotta feeling this guy is a sharp fuk.

  14. #14
    Underwraps
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    Not saying they can't win, but, if those are the kind of lines and teams that entice you to bet
    you will be looking for the next shy real quickly

  15. #15
    BeatTheJerk
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    Quote Originally Posted by sbrhedge View Post
    Of course he can lose.

    You want to lay $4800 to win $2000 at -240? Are you scared?

    If you're scared, this question is pointless. Don't bet.

    A slightly better value bet is MIA +1.5 @ +120.

    Straight MIA @ +210 is the worst bet of the 4 options. MIA needs to get Kershaw out in less than 7 innings to have a chance for the dog ML to go.
    If betting the marlins +210 is the worse bet, then why wouldn't betting the Dodgers -240 be the best bet like JJ states ? I know you were configuring that from 4 options, but I don't understand your logic even so.

  16. #16
    teaserpleaser
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    Not the dodgers ace lineup...too many backups no Ramirez have to pass but will be watching in game to jump on something.

  17. #17
    jnickell100
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    Marlins are a lock today.

  18. #18
    joco
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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post
    I'm smacking a -240 fav in mma next Wednesday.

    It has a much better chance at hitting than Kershaw today.
    what mma fav we talkin?

  19. #19
    NicAtNight
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    Quote Originally Posted by teaserpleaser View Post
    Not the dodgers ace lineup...too many backups no Ramirez have to pass but will be watching in game to jump on something.
    Under looking like best bet at moment

  20. #20
    mwbrewers
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    Quote Originally Posted by joco View Post
    what mma fav we talkin?
    I'm guessing Condit Over Kampmann. If so, it's far from a "lock" but it's a good pick for sure

  21. #21
    riffraff24
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    fml

  22. #22
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by NicAtNight View Post
    Under looking like best bet at moment
    Rolled with an Ace Parlay Latos and Kershaw +115 or something like that just to have action while im looking for something to pound in game. Why cant kuroda or nova be on the bump when Yankees throw out a Ace lineup like they are today Andys been better lately and jays have no bautista but I hate backing pitchers that give up more hits than innings pitched...its a nice way to get an early day migrane.

  23. #23
    In The Money
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Can he lose?

    Some of those young Marlin arms can blank you which scares me.
    Usually he is only this big of a fav at home which scares me however Doyers are hottest team in the bigs right now

  24. #24
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by mwbrewers View Post
    I'm guessing Condit Over Kampmann. If so, it's far from a "lock" but it's a good pick for sure
    coin flip

  25. #25
    TonyTall
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    under 23.5 h+R+e best play here

  26. #26
    oldscho0led
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    SBR all over Kershaw. Pass for me.

  27. #27
    jjgold
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    I took the RL

    Layed the -1.5

    Gl

  28. #28
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by oldscho0led View Post
    SBR all over Kershaw. Pass for me.
    get out of your head dude. Dont over think it.

    SBR will not have any impact on what happens on the field today

  29. #29
    joco
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    Quote Originally Posted by teaserpleaser View Post
    coin flip
    disagree. condit coming off 2 tough losses i expect him to easily take care of kampmann.

    i thinbk i like cowboy cerrone over dos anjos the best tho. cowboy gonna fukk him up

  30. #30
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by joco View Post
    disagree. condit coming off 2 tough losses i expect him to easily take care of kampmann.

    i thinbk i like cowboy cerrone over dos anjos the best tho. cowboy gonna fukk him up
    can condit wrestle not really (dude gives up takedowns way to easy and is too comfortable on his back) kampman can wrestle im based off facts you're basing your play on him being super motivated to get back in the win column none of witch is going to help his wrestling or his tendency to chill out and play from his guard. striking isn't that uneven cardio not that uneven I was surprised to see odds this mismatched kampman is well rounded you do know he took a split dec over condit back in 2009 right? If you think condit improved soo much since then have at it these guys are very close I don't like to bet into nail biters but good luck.

  31. #31
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by teaserpleaser View Post
    can condit wrestle not really (dude gives up takedowns way to easy and is too comfortable on his back) kampman can wrestle im based off facts you're basing your play on him being super motivated to get back in the win column none of witch is going to help his wrestling or his tendency to chill out and play from his guard. striking isn't that uneven cardio not that uneven I was surprised to see odds this mismatched kampman is well rounded you do know he took a split dec over condit back in 2009 right? If you think condit improved soo much since then have at it these guys are very close I don't like to bet into nail biters but good luck.
    For you new gambler this is what you call taking somebody to school

  32. #32
    joco
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    yes i do think hes improved alot since...he had the interim belt and fought gsp for the title man...kampmann never got anywhere near a title fight. and i do see a huge advantage for condit in striking..

  33. #33
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by joco View Post
    yes i do think hes improved alot since...he had the interim belt and fought gsp for the title man...kampmann never got anywhere near a title fight. and i do see a huge advantage for condit in striking..
    I hate to break it to you bud but losing a one sided fight to Gsp or holding some interm belt means fukk all moving forward not even sure what to say about the bold but okay good luck with the pick when I tell you I couldn't care less about this fight im telling you the truth I hope he wins for you really do.

  34. #34
    joco
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    after "losing" to kampmann, condit beat ellenberger, rory mcdonald (his only loss), dan hardy, stun gun, then nick diaz before losing to gsp...thats a pretty impressive list knocking out 3/5. ...his striking and submission game is superior to kampmann imo. 26 out 28 of condits victories have ended early by ko or submission against some good competetion.

    kampmann beat him by split decision in 09? that doesnt say much cuz the judges dont know what the fuk theyre doing in the first place. ive seen them penetrate up the scoring hundreds of times

    ur not schooling anyone bro. ive watch every mma event from bellator to ufc to strikeforce since 2009

  35. #35
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by joco View Post

    ive watch every mma event from bellator to ufc to strikeforce since 2009
    2009 good for you you're a tuf newbie

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