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  1. #36
    thewhiteguy
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  2. #37
    infamousbacardi
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    Quote Originally Posted by infamousbacardi View Post
    3-4 yesterday for a profit of $50.

    Thread totals are now:

    Record: 8-13
    Bankroll: -$55

    April 21st Plays:

    MLB:

    Red Sox - 1.5 *BOTH GAMES OF DOUBLEHEADER* (2.40 & 2.50) $100 to win $140 GM1 and $100 to win $150 GM2
    Brewers -1.5 (2.60) $100 to win $160
    Giants -1.5 (2.55) $100 to win $155


    NHL:

    Blues -1.5 (2.95) $100 to win $195
    Lightning -1.5 (2.85) $100 to win $185
    Wild -1.5 (2.40) $100 to win $140
    Bad day all around pretty much here. NHL was just bad, no excuses there. Though even with this bad run still only 1 decent day away from being back up in the black. On to today:

    Updated total:

    Record: 10-18
    Bankroll: -$240

    April 22nd Plays:

    MLB:

    Reds -1.5 (2.30) $100 to win $130
    Twins -1.5 (2.45) $100 to win $145
    Rangers/Angels OVER 8.5 (1.95) $105 to win $100


    NBA:

    Clippers/Grizzlies OVER 181.5 (1.91) $110 to win $100


    NHL:

    Jets -1.5 (3.45) $100 to win $245
    Red Wings -1.5 (3.05) $100 to win $205
    Ducks/Oilers UNDER 5.5 (1.75) $133.33 to win $100

  3. #38
    matthew919
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    Quote Originally Posted by infamousbacardi View Post
    Rangers/Angels OVER 8.5 (1.95) $105 to win $100
    Where are you betting? I'm on the other side of this one, but if you haven't already bet it, you can get a much better price.

  4. #39
    infamousbacardi
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    Quote Originally Posted by matthew919 View Post
    Where are you betting? I'm on the other side of this one, but if you haven't already bet it, you can get a much better price.
    Thanks Matthew...I'm usually at Bookmaker. What price do you see??

  5. #40
    matthew919
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    Quote Originally Posted by infamousbacardi View Post
    Thanks Matthew...I'm usually at Bookmaker. What price do you see??
    5Dimes has it at +105 right now...

  6. #41
    infamousbacardi
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    Quote Originally Posted by matthew919 View Post
    5Dimes has it at +105 right now...
    Makes sense. 5 Dimes usually has slightly better lines. I just really like the mobile interface at Bookmaker compared to 5 Dimes so I usually stick with them. I already bet it at Bookmaker.

    I'd like to wish you luck on your UNDER play in that game, but I hope it goes OVER. :-) I see good value there for some runs.

  7. #42
    TheMoneyShot
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    IB... have you been drinking your own stash?
    110pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY9th Place 9/10/2014

    800pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 8/16/2014

    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 8/28/2014

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 9/15/2014


  8. #43
    infamousbacardi
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheMoneyShot View Post
    IB... have you been drinking your own stash?
    TMS, it was supposed to be for a rainy day, but I've given in and gone rogue.

  9. #44
    easyliving
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    so your risking 35% of your BR each night trying to bet +money lines. 1 bad week and your Bankroll will be drained. I suggest lowering your unit size down from 100 or having a higher bankroll.

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  10. #45
    infamousbacardi
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    Quote Originally Posted by easyliving View Post
    so your risking 35% of your BR each night trying to bet +money lines. 1 bad week and your Bankroll will be drained. I suggest lowering your unit size down from 100 or having a higher bankroll.
    Thanks for the post EL. You are certainly right under normal circumstances that it is too high a risk per bet. However, this is an experiment I've toyed with in the past (though I've never played it out in full) and I'm curious if I actually play it out what happens. If I get down $1,000 doing this I'll stop, otherwise I'll play it out over the 2 months.

  11. #46
    uvarunthetable
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    Out of curiosity why do you seem to mainly bet run lines and puck lines? With as much as you are betting a night, seems like you are just adding even more variance into the mix

  12. #47
    infamousbacardi
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    Quote Originally Posted by uvarunthetable View Post
    Out of curiosity why do you seem to mainly bet run lines and puck lines? With as much as you are betting a night, seems like you are just adding even more variance into the mix
    You are spot on uvarun. In the past when I've tried to bet RLs and PLs I mix in some standard basketball spread or MLB/NHL total picks. It just hasn't shaken out that way over the last couple days since I started the thread.

    I'm making a solid effort to incorporate my 2-3 picks a day now that include a standard spread to do exactly that and bring in a little less variance.

    I think in the end if you keep taking RLs and PLs you will end up giving any potential profit away by teams that win by 1 only. Already that has happened quite a bit in the picks I've made in this thread.

  13. #48
    infamousbacardi
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    Quote Originally Posted by infamousbacardi View Post
    Bad day all around pretty much here. NHL was just bad, no excuses there. Though even with this bad run still only 1 decent day away from being back up in the black. On to today:

    Updated total:

    Record: 10-18
    Bankroll: -$240

    April 22nd Plays:

    MLB:

    Reds -1.5 (2.30) $100 to win $130
    Twins -1.5 (2.45) $100 to win $145
    Rangers/Angels OVER 8.5 (1.95) $105 to win $100


    NBA:

    Clippers/Grizzlies OVER 181.5 (1.91) $110 to win $100


    NHL:

    Jets -1.5 (3.45) $100 to win $245
    Red Wings -1.5 (3.05) $100 to win $205
    Ducks/Oilers UNDER 5.5 (1.75) $133.33 to win $100
    Twins game has been PPD. Replacing that game with:

    MLB:

    Mariners -1.5 (2.00) $100 to win $100

  14. #49
    thewhiteguy
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  15. #50
    infamousbacardi
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    Quote Originally Posted by infamousbacardi View Post
    Bad day all around pretty much here. NHL was just bad, no excuses there. Though even with this bad run still only 1 decent day away from being back up in the black. On to today:

    Updated total:

    Record: 10-18
    Bankroll: -$240

    April 22nd Plays:

    MLB:

    Reds -1.5 (2.30) $100 to win $130
    Mariners -1.5 (2.00) $100 to win $100
    Rangers/Angels OVER 8.5 (1.95) $105 to win $100


    NBA:

    Clippers/Grizzlies OVER 181.5 (1.91) $110 to win $100


    NHL:

    Jets -1.5 (3.45) $100 to win $245
    Red Wings -1.5 (3.05) $100 to win $205
    Ducks/Oilers UNDER 5.5 (1.75) $133.33 to win $100
    Looks like adding some spread picks did the trick to right the ship. 5-2 night for a pretty big profit. Even the 2 that lost still won on the ML, and Jets outshout Buffalo something like 37-20 and only won by the 1 goal. Enroth stood on his head last night.

    Either way, on to today:

    Updated totals...

    Record: 15-20
    Bankroll: +$165

    April 23rd Picks:

    MLB:

    Pirates/Phillies OVER 7 (1.91) $110 to win $100
    Mariners -1.5 (2.25) $100 to win $125
    Brewers -1.5 (2.45) $100 to win $145
    Twins GM 1 -1.5 (2.25) $100 to win $125
    Yankees/Rays OVER 7 (1.91) $110 to win $100

    NHL:

    Blues -1.5 (2.20) $100 to win $120
    Rangers -1.5 (2.25) $100 to win $125

  16. #51
    fitguy67
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    -1.5 handicap is hi-variance play...

    -1 is a lower variance way to achieve similar yield...

    there's even an extra 2%+ if u are willing to "roll your own" -1 RLs (as a combination of the -1.5 RL and the ML) versus taking the "off the shelf" versions that some books (including dimey) offer

    the "heartbreak factor" is also improved (settling for a push, when ur team wins by 1 run is a hell of a lot less frustrating than having to eat a loss)

    chek this out, esp post #8 http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...1rl-wager.html

  17. #52
    chilidog
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    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: thewhiteguy

  18. #53
    senseionline
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    Quote Originally Posted by chilidog View Post

    ouch

  19. #54
    infamousbacardi
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    Quote Originally Posted by fitguy67 View Post
    -1.5 handicap is hi-variance play...

    -1 is a lower variance way to achieve similar yield...

    there's even an extra 2%+ if u are willing to "roll your own" -1 RLs (as a combination of the -1.5 RL and the ML) versus taking the "off the shelf" versions that some books (including dimey) offer

    the "heartbreak factor" is also improved (settling for a push, when ur team wins by 1 run is a hell of a lot less frustrating than having to eat a loss)

    chek this out, esp post #8 http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...1rl-wager.html
    Good post fitguy. This is also a concept I've toyed with a little in the past when I've gone after 1.5 lines. Taking ML AND the 1.5 line.

    Just got bit by the ML bug again w/ the Twins today!

    Maybe I'll look into that in the future more after this thread is done. Good post.

  20. #55
    infamousbacardi
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    Quote Originally Posted by infamousbacardi View Post

    Record: 15-20
    Bankroll: +$165

    April 23rd Picks:

    MLB:

    Pirates/Phillies OVER 7 (1.91) $110 to win $100
    Mariners -1.5 (2.25) $100 to win $125

    Brewers -1.5 (2.45) $100 to win $145
    Twins GM 1 -1.5 (2.25) $100 to win $125
    Yankees/Rays OVER 7 (1.91) $110 to win $100

    NHL:

    Blues -1.5 (2.20) $100 to win $120
    Rangers -1.5 (2.25) $100 to win $125
    Lost $145 yesterday. Kind of a weird day that started w/ getting the Twins ML heartbreaker. Moving on to today:

    Record: 17-24-1
    Bankroll: +$20

    April 24th Picks:

    MLB:

    Reds -1.5 (2.35) $100 to win $135
    Nationals -1.5 (2.50) $100 to win $150
    Red Sox - 1.5 (2.30) $100 to win $130
    Mets/Dodgers OVER 6.5 (1.85) $118 to win $100
    Brewers/Paders OVER 7.5 (2.00) $100 to win $100

    NBA:

    Rockets/Thunder OVER 213 (1.95) $105 to win $100
    Lakers/Spurs OVER 187 (1.91) $110 to win $100

  21. #56
    infamousbacardi
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    Quote Originally Posted by infamousbacardi View Post
    Lost $145 yesterday. Kind of a weird day that started w/ getting the Twins ML heartbreaker. Moving on to today:

    Record: 17-24-1
    Bankroll: +$20

    April 24th Picks:

    MLB:

    Reds -1.5 (2.35) $100 to win $135
    Nationals -1.5 (2.50) $100 to win $150
    Red Sox - 1.5 (2.30) $100 to win $130

    Mets/Dodgers OVER 6.5 (1.85) $118 to win $100
    Brewers/Paders OVER 7.5 (2.00) $100 to win $100

    NBA:

    Rockets/Thunder OVER 213 (1.95) $105 to win $100
    Lakers/Spurs OVER 187 (1.91) $110 to win $100
    The ML jinx strikes again. $-305 yesterday. No question a future RL/PL strategy would need to include some sort of hedge system.

    That being said, I feel good about these plays tonight, so I'm not including any NBA totals/sides or MLB totals.

    Totals:

    Record: 19-29-1
    Bankroll: -$285

    MLB:
    Angels -1.5 (2.30) $100 to win $130
    Red Sox -1.5 (1.75) $135 to win $100
    Yankees -1.5 (2.45) $100 to win $145

    NHL:
    Capitals -1.5 (3.50) $100 to win $250
    Rangers -1.5 (2.85) $100 to win $185
    Penguins -1.5 (3.35) $100 to win $235
    Bruins -1.5 (2.35) $100 to win $135

  22. #57
    thewhiteguy
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