For starters, my analysis begins:
I think the Green Bay line is WAY off. Two weeks ago I said it should be Green Bay -6 and now I really believe this game should be Green Bay -4. I'm going big on the Money Line, gotta take advantage.
I'm flabbergasted as to how much propers (why so much respect?) KC is getting. A lot of ESPN idiots are picking the Chiefs, thank you very much. Do they not realize the quality, let alone the experience, of a team like Baltimore? If KC had an unreal passing game then MAYBE, since BAL is much more susceptible this year to that kind of thing. But their strength is stopping the run. Baltimore is a TD better and I think it should be Baltimore -4.
I hate the Jets but the Colts are [B]not the same team[B] they have been, not even close. You can get Manning off the field relatively easily in comparison to times past, and that D can get some pressure, but overall they are NOT VERY GOOD. The Jets should be favored as well. Another bad line.
For completeness, the Seattle line is way too big but I still think their D is horrible. I like what Whitehurst does and maybe this is an energetic group coming out at home ... still NO is much better but this line is not worth a backdoor cover, which is written all over this game. There is no advantage on this line, and if there is, it's on Seattle. I'm not touching it though.
I like the games in that order:
GREEN BAY +2.5 and/or +125, I don't see them losing
Baltimore -2.5/-3 (not trying to scam a half, do your best, either is fine)
NY Jets + 2.5 and/or +120
Wow, I love it, the parlay of these MLs is +750, take that to bank and thank me later. I honestly don't even think you need teasers but these lines also allow you to cross some pretty nice "break" points.
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