1. 12-22-10 05:09 PM #1
    surffreak
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    Vegas is winning BIG this weekend!

    Vegas hasnt won in a while, and this week the majority of the games have shady spreads and the public are pounding one side.

    Im fading the public this week.

    FADE THE PUBLIC THIS WEEK!

    there 8 games where the public is pounding on one side.

    Percentage of money on Pittsburgh: 77%
    Percentage of money on Dallas: 90%
    Percentage of money on New England: 89%
    Percentage of money on Baltimore: 95%
    Percentage of money on Indianapolis: 86%
    Percentage of money on San Diego: 91%
    Percentage of money on Houston: 77%
    Percentage of money on Tampa Bay: 88%


    im betting against every single one of those teams except for the colts. the more money on one side, the more units i will play against the public. Im confident the majority of them will hit.

    Then my big play for this week is

    Big play WASHINGTON +7
    Jags just had a heart-breaking lose to the colts.
    Jags are 1-7 against the spread as favs. when losing to indi since 02.
    Jags only have 3 wins with winning by 7 or more.
    Jags are 3-6 ats when being favorite 7 or more.



    BOL
    Last edited by surffreak; 12-22-10 at 05:14 PM.
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  2. 12-22-10 05:17 PM #2
    rockaflocka
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    The raiders will run all over the colts
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  3. 12-22-10 05:28 PM #3
    uhuhahah
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    don't think vegas ever lose big...
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  4. 12-22-10 05:33 PM #4
    thebestthereis
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    love washington, good luck!
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  5. 12-22-10 05:41 PM #5
    Grits n' Gravy
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    Quote Originally Posted by uhuhahah View Post
    don't think vegas ever lose big...

    the books on occasion do get thumped big on games, but all the dummies betting parlay cards cushion the damage. what most people don't get about books in vegas now is they are an amenity. they are there to bring in foot traffic and not lose money. if they make a profit, great, but they don't factor into many casino operators revenue projections aside from the major events.
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  6. 12-22-10 06:02 PM #6
    GunShard
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    Washington is a good play, even though Rex Grossman played like crap during the super bowl, due to the fact it was the rain factor, he got the bears to the super bowl.

    I'll bring this topic up and see how many of those lose the ATS.
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  7. 12-22-10 06:56 PM #7
    hitman2010
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    Quote Originally Posted by surffreak View Post

    Vegas hasnt won in a while, and this week the majority of the games have shady spreads and the public are pounding one side.


    FADE THE PUBLIC THIS WEEK!

    there 8 games where the public is pounding on one side.

    Percentage of money on Pittsburgh: 77%
    Percentage of money on Dallas: 90%
    Percentage of money on New England: 89%
    Percentage of money on Baltimore: 95%
    Percentage of money on Indianapolis: 86%
    Percentage of money on San Diego: 91%
    Percentage of money on Houston: 77%
    Percentage of money on Tampa Bay: 88%


    Then my big play for this week is

    WASHINGTON +7

    Jags just had a heart-breaking lose to the colts.
    Jags are 1-7 against the spread as favs. when losing to indi since 02.
    Jags only have 3 wins with winning by 7 or more.
    Jags are 3-6 ats when being favorite 7 or more.

    Where do you got this %?


    Based on what you give, I believe 3 out of 8 will cover.
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  8. 12-23-10 11:40 AM #8
    cant call it
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    I thought the % were the # of bets, not % of $$ am I wrong??
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  9. 12-23-10 02:33 PM #9
    TiTlist
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    i certainly woudnt play all of those but washington is a winner me thinks
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  10. 12-23-10 02:45 PM #10
    OnlyMayo
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    Those %'s seem awfully high to me...GL though
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