[mrexcel5]

1. Richard Sherman and Earl Thomas are banged up, matchup problems because they'll have trouble herding gronk down the middle.

2. Seattle has two main weaknesses on defense. One is they have trouble stopping the power run because their middle linebackers are small. Two is that they have trouble stopping the short quick passing game because they are aggressive with the blitz. Blount is a bruiser and Brady is best at the short pass game (refer to the Ravens game) with edelman and amendola.

3. Seattle has no depth nor talent at WR. Revis can take away even more of that depth by shutting down kearse or Baldwin, depending on who's hot.

4. The only way for Seattle to win is to ride Lynch. The patriots have the best run defender in the league with jaba the hut aka wilfork. Not saying Lynch won't get at least 70 yards, but Vince will slow him down tremendously.

5. The trump card. Seattle is coming off an improbable come from behind win versus Green Bay. Russell Wilson, and Baldwin was crying after the game; these guys had their bags packed for the.season in the 4th quarter. Expecting them to come out flat.

Got them for 4 bitcoins online pats pk -104. That's about 900-1000 USD fellas, my biggest play of the season.

[SXRD71]

Pats it is!

[ZINISTER]

Sounds like an echo. I posted almost the same points earlier in a thread. Seen a list of the
QB's Seattle has beat in its last 7 games, other then Rogers last week, the list is very weak. Hope we are on the right track! GL

[slacker00]

Sounds like an echo. I posted almost the same points earlier in a thread. Seen a list of the
QB's Seattle has beat in its last 7 games, other then Rogers last week, the list is very weak. Hope we are on the right track! GL

They held Rodgers in check and now you think Brady can beat them?

All I can say is that RW isn't gonna gift the Pats 4 picks like he did against GB.

[casinolyrics]

You're confused on #5. That is the reason to bet Seattle.

[mrexcel5]

You're confused on #5. That is the reason to bet Seattle.

Ha no junior. You are the one confused.

Teams coming off emotional wins generally come out.flat. any amateur handicapper would know that.

[slacker00]

Ha no junior. You are the one confused.

Teams coming off emotional wins generally come out.flat. any amateur handicapper would know that.

The data doesn't support your claim.

[casinolyrics]

Keep telling yourself that. Patriots really came out flat after squeaking by the Ravens, Packers really came out flat after squeaking by the Cowboys. Those are last 2 teams to play after an emotional win, both outperformed expectations. Cowboys did the same after their comeback over the Lions. That's every close game in these playoffs. This isn't the regular season anymore, wake up already.

[Ratzz]

that's odd.. i heard this in SUPERBOWL 42.... and again in SUPERBOWL 46..

[ringemup]

7-7 (6-7 ATS) +133 Units

This is one of the more anticipated Super Bowls I have looked at in a while in what amounts to a matchup of one of the most successful dynasties of this era, the NE Patriots vs. a current dynasty-in-the-making, the Seattle Seahawks. Both teams have gotten to this point by way of home-field advantage although the conference championship game result were on opposite ends. Currently looks about 72/28 betting geared toward NE at a pk line.

NE Offense vs. SEA Defense

With NE coming off a shredding of the Colts defense by Blount, you would expect the Pats to stay with the same gameplan, correct? In my opinion, that won't be the case as it is well-known just how tough it is to run consistently at the Seahawks D and the Pats do not want to become predictable as the game goes along. GB actually succeeded in staying with that strategy but it can just be the fact Seattle was not on their game that day.

Im expecting Pats to run a lot of 5 WR sets to try to counteract the pass rush. They likely will try to run multiple rub routes to open throwing lanes for Brady to get the ball out quick. Look for the Pats to attack the SEA nickelbacks Maxwell and Lane by opening up the field by running deep routes down the field to occupy Sherman, Thomas, and Chancellor. They will do this in an effort to also get Gronk in one-one-one situations. They also may run Blount occassionally in order to keep the pass rushers honest.

In 2012 the Pats used a similar strategy and moved the ball effectively all game as Brady racked up over 300 yds receiving outside of the fact Sherman wasnt playing then. Last yr the Broncos failed to have success spreading the field but most of it was because they were destroyed by the pass rush up front by Mebane, Avril, Bennett and company. The key for the Pats here becomes their pass protection and how it will hold up during the course of 4 quarters.

SEA Offense vs. NE Defense

Russell Wilson back in his 2nd consecutive SB is ironically coming off his worst performance this yr. having been stifled and confused by the GB defense for 3.5 quarters only to lead a miraculous comeback. A couple things to take note of, is that there are a couple of ingredients missing from their offense from a yr ago, Harvin, Tate, and Zach Miller are gone as well as having lost speedster Richardson couple weeks ago. The bread and butter of their offense, Marshawn Lynch looks to put his Beast Mode display to work in this game.

Theres really nothing tricky about the Hawks offense. They go as Lynch goes and a lot of their success is dependent on their zone-blocking principles to find cutback lanes for Lynch to run through or use Wilson as a read-option threat on the backside. The rest is improvisation from Wilson who can either pick up 1st downs with his legs or throw on the run. Their top target outside is Baldwin and Kearse is their downfield threat.

From the Pats perspective, look for them to stay disciplined instead of trying to sell out to stop Lynch. Why? Because this is exactly the formula the Hawks use to try to create misdirection plays with Wilson's legs or Lynch's cutback vision to create big plays. For the most part I think the Pats trust their front seven can be effective as they were terrific vs the run in the 2nd half of the year. Against Wilson the Pats are likely to use their ends to set the edge and keep Russell inside the pocket where he is not a very effective passer, only 23rd in QBR in-the-pocket in 2014. Look for multiple LBs Ninkovich, Collins, and Hightower to shadow Wilson if he should decide to take off for the open field.

In the secondary Revis gets the assignment on Baldwin and it will be up to Luke Wilson, Kearse, and Lockette to find open spaces in the defense but it wont be easy as the Pats secondary is capable of covering for extended play when Wilson scrambles out of the pocket.

As difficult it is to pick a winner here I am going to side with the Patriots because of a key advantage. I believe that Belicheck will have an easier time figuring out how to contain the Hawks offense because they are not complex on offense and for a defensive genius like Belicheck he is also more than likely to throw a few disguises at Wilson and test the young QB in a game of chess.

At the same time as much respect as I give the Hawks defense I feel though GB exposed a few weaknesses with their defense and if a strategy is employed effectively by spreading the field and negating much of the pass rush Brady has the arm and accuracy to make the quick throws into the open spaces. I feel that the Hawks are also not as consistent on pass rushing this yr because of the Mebane injury and having lost Clemons and few others. Also it remains to be seen how Sherman and Thomas will hold up not only against the pass but in run support and it may affect their bump-n-run strategy and how well itll work with one healthy arm.

Throw in the the deflate-gate scandal and the bulletin board material that provides Pats players more fuel for motivation I believe that will have them even more focused. The Pats have a shutdown secondary capable of dominating for long stretches which was the Broncos' Achiles Heel last yr.. I also feel like the right side of SEA's O-line is vulnerable and Belicheck will send some pressure that way no doubt. In the end I expect a great game with possible lead changes and ties but like New England to claim another Super Bowl victory and deny a repeat to the Seahawks. GL to all.

The Play is New England PK 100 Unit Play

[Snowball]

This game won't be about:
a) Seattle offense.
b) Seattle defense.
c) New England defense.

It will be about the New England offense which I feel far too many are still underestimating.
Stand by over 14 pt victory for Pats, possibly 21+
watched this offense play all year
how anyone could fade it is beyond me.

[BeanTownClown88]

12 of last 13 opponents for seattle has been crappy with bad qbs for the most part..rodgers away from gb isnt great..pats went through the gauntlet and fed off it

[casinolyrics]

Denvers offense last year looked better than Patriots this year. You're right this Bowl won't be close, but you've chose the wrong side. The Patriots Offense isn't even half as dynamic as the Packers, they will struggle to move the ball. Patriots run defense is beyond pathetic... open your eyes.

[aston]

This game won't be about:
a) Seattle offense.
b) Seattle defense.
c) New England defense.

It will be about the New England offense which I feel far too many are still underestimating.
Stand by over 14 pt victory for Pats, possibly 21+
watched this offense play all year
how anyone could fade it is beyond me.

snowball mate if you take Pats-6.5 the payment is 3 to 1 big money $$$$$$$$$$$ if you fancy

[casinolyrics]

May as well be 300:1. Patriots will be lucky to score 7 points, maybe they get a garbage time TD.

[new era]

"because they are aggressive with the blitz."

Proves you don't know shit. Seahawks haven't blitz alot with Pete Carroll as HC.

[aston]

May as well be 300:1. Patriots will be lucky to score 7 points, maybe they get a garbage time TD.

PISS OFF NEWBIE

300 to 1 what a wanker you are!!!

[TDKJET1717]

1. I
2. want
3. them
4. to
5. win

[swag1982]

Ha no junior. You are the one confused.

Teams coming off emotional wins generally come out.flat. any amateur handicapper would know that.

I don't think the emotional angle plays either way the hawks arent some nobody cbb team that just beat a top ten team THIS THE NFL THIS IS THE SUPERBOWL

[swag1982]

May as well be 300:1. Patriots will be lucky to score 7 points, maybe they get a garbage time TD.

Com'on man lucky to score 7

[Barnes & Whine]

NO! NO! NO! YOOO will DIE Patriot Backers and Fans. I am the SITH LORD OF ALL LYNCH IS GHETTO AND RICHARD IS LOUD! THEY WILL REPEAT> YOU WILL DIE!

[BeanTownClown88]

Lol denvers offense is great
..until they step on the field and get hit...NE is 100x more tough than Denver last year and this year combined. GB isnt a a dynamic offense since they only play well at home..not to mention they choked an easy close out on the nfc title game..pure shrinkage from,GB
.the SB will be a great game

[casinolyrics]

How is their offense "tough" ? These Patriots homers are delusional. Rogers and his offense are way better than the Patriots. Last years Broncos, again, better. I see no way the Patriots D stops the Seattle run. Down 17, Brady becomes frustrated, starts pressing, then pick 6. Can't wait!

[BeanTownClown88]

Theyl let seattle run..all u gotta do to stop wilson is push guys in his face so he cant see...dont even need to pressure him..NE is much more tricky than GB, hence why NE is in a SB and GB isnt...and most of us know the type of post season player that manning is...no way in hell hes considered a tougher opponent than brady and the pats..unless you cant read between the lines

[ringemup]

Some of the analysis in here is borderline laughable. There are some in here comparing Broncos of last year to the Pats on the offensive side of the ball. What doomed Denver last year was an inability to protect Manning on his dropbacks, running slow-developing looping screen plays instead of quick hitters and getting dominated in the trenches in the run game. I do not expect the Patriots here to fall into the same mistakes and use formations to their advantage. The Pats O-line needs to have an excellent game so the game will turn on that facet.

[slacker00]

Theyl let seattle run..all u gotta do to stop wilson is push guys in his face so he cant see...dont even need to pressure him..NE is much more tricky than GB, hence why NE is in a SB and GB isnt...and most of us know the type of post season player that manning is...no way in hell hes considered a tougher opponent than brady and the pats..unless you cant read between the lines

GB and NE already played, GB won that one. You can't draw much water saying NE is better than GB.

[LEOLEO]

YOU NE BACKERS ARE 'SQUARES'

of the 22 who start both sides of the ball,
20 are starting,
the same 20 , got blown out to ALEX SMITH 41-14 in primetime
the same 20 , who squeaked by a hapless geno smith 17-16
the same 21, who allowed 31 pts almost losing to joe fucko at home and trailed 14 -0
the same 20 , for a half at least , who lossed to buffalo last game


this is a sea bet or pass,
for any sharp....

[boomer62]

Lol denvers offense is great
..until they step on the field and get hit...NE is 100x more tough than Denver last year and this year combined. GB isnt a a dynamic offense since they only play well at home..not to mention they choked an easy close out on the nfc title game..pure shrinkage from,GB
.the SB will be a great game

Hey Pat clowns, NE struggles against physical teams. Like the Jets and Ravens. You and snowball are FUKING delusional. And Pussy Brady doesn't like getting hit and his balls will not be deflated this time. CHEATERS HAVE BAD KARMA