[Snowball]

The way I see it, the 3 teams with a legitimate chance of
winning the AFC are NE, Pitt, and Denver.
I don't think Indy is strong enough and I don't think the others
are either.
Therefore, Steelers are a bargain at +1100.
- Denver appears to have weaknesses.
- Steeler O and D both stepping up.
- Steelers at +1100 is a high enough odd to hedge against, twice at least.
I won't lose $ because, say for example $20 to win $220 gives lots of
leeway for hedging.

Merry Christmas.

[arrgy]

BOL

[Snowball]

I'll probably also bet Pats -125 to win.
then hedge against both
Steelers and Pats are the two strongest in the AFC
my opinion - all others don't have the same balls and toughness.

[Snowball]

just "hedged" the Pitt +1100 with a Pats to win Superbowl +315
(which was over +400 just a week ago)
- here's the logic -
why hedge Pitt with Pats -125 to win AFC when if they win AFC
they are going to Superbowl so @ +315 then they can easily be
hedged against once more.

[terpkeg]

What would Steelers be moneyline at Denver and at Pats? This is likely road if they win Sunday.

This doesn't seem like a moneymaker to me. No room to hedge. And, if hedging in mind in advance, you are basically making a play on Steelers to to win two playoff games which you are likely getting at about +225 depending on matchups. I think that is a conservative number.

This is a loser. Just paying more juice. Play Steelers each week is likely better alternative.

[scottgodson1985]

steelers +1100 to win afc or// parlay steelers in 1st playoff game chances of winning 50-55%// there gonna be a 7pt dog vs new engl. or denver.// afc champ game there gonna be a 7pt dog again. so u got a 50-55% in 1st game, chance 25-30% (divisonal game) 2nd game ,chance 25-30% (afc champ game). the parlay is +100,+235,+230 whwich would pay (20/1). I got the 20/1 number from the parlay calculator.

[Snowball]

What would Steelers be moneyline at Denver and at Pats? This is likely road if they win Sunday.

This doesn't seem like a moneymaker to me. No room to hedge. And, if hedging in mind in advance, you are basically making a play on Steelers to to win two playoff games which you are likely getting at about +225 depending on matchups. I think that is a conservative number.

This is a loser. Just paying more juice. Play Steelers each week is likely better alternative.

no, because +1110 is very high odds and costs so little. If Steelers win Sunday night, they host
the wild card game. They will be favored. After that they will decrease significantly in odds.
Plus the linesmakers won't be selling them short after 2 wins. One may also pick up the Patriots
and Denver to win SB as hedges of sort... for example Pats at 315 or Broncos at 640..
if either of those beats Pitt then you are covered going into the SB.

[SharkAA]

Please be realistic here... This team had a soft schedule all season long + their secondary is absolute garbage (Ike Taylor= lol and Polamalu is not at his best). It's only their offense that works for them, so if they go against Denver on the road or Pats on the road, they are probably losing. I'm pretty sure that PIT -3,5 on SNF is a better alternative.

[GunShard]

Steelers lose for giving away Sanders to the Broncos.
Just like the Patriots lose the AFC to the Broncos last season for giving away Welker to the Broncos.

[RavensFan2k3]

Steelers lose for giving away Sanders to the Broncos.
Just like the Patriots lose the AFC to the Broncos last season for giving away Welker to the Broncos.

Hmm

[Snowball]

I'm pretty sure that PIT -3,5 on SNF is a better alternative.

There is no connection. They are in. If they win Sunday night, these odds of 11/1 will go down
because they will have home field in wc game.

[ilovelady]

i dont know how you can hedge when denver or the pats will be more than a td favorite

[Shark]

i dont know how you can hedge when denver or the pats will be more than a td favorite

i dont think denver or ne would be -7 or more fav if pitt played them in the afc title game. prob like -4.5

[44 Mag]

PITT is winning shit.