Hey Guys,
This match up is currently +2.0 for PITS (-110) on the road against Cleveland. (Bet365)
Ben has only lost 1 game in his career on the road in Cleveland (not to mention him being undefeated at home against the Browns). Career record is 18-1.
That one loss came in 2009 and coming into the game the Steelers had lost 4 straight games and were playing really poorly. Ben was sacked 8 times that game and Cleveland won 13-6. I feel like this team is not anything close to being in the same situation.
In his 8 wins in Cleveland they average a win margin of 17.5 but it's to be noted that 3 of the 8 wins were by exactly 4 points. The other 5 wins came by margins of 14 to 41.
Cleveland has been in 4 extremely close games. Losing to Pitts in week 1 by 3 and losing to Baltimore by 2 in Week 3. They beat NO by 2 and the Titans by 1 today. Obviously they will be extremely excited with their record breaking comeback in Week 5 but this team is very Jekyll and Hyde and is playing very inconsistent.
With Cleveland sporting the 28th best pass D and 29th best run D I think they will be in tough against the Steelers who are ranked 8th in passing yards and 7th in the run.
The flip side of this is Cleveland has the 4th most run yards per game right now but is ranked only 15th in passing. The Steelers D looks a lot more impressive though and is ranked 12th in passing D and 11th in Run D.
Public money seems to be currently favoring Cleveland against the spread here about 60/40 and I want to hear what you guys are thinking about this game?
I feel like this game will be a Steelers win and I am thinking about betting PIT ML or maybe even Pit - 2.5 (currently at +135).
Thank you for your input!