1. #36
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    @KVB you are definitely right about it being the information age. i think we will live to see interesting time for money making activities like this. i wrote a post on here a while back stating that i think its possible at some point, with the way computing power and data analysis is constantly improving, we reach a height in technology where the computing power needed to make extremely accurate predictions in events like sports matches will be easily available to both bettors and bookmakers. at this point the only thing that will keep the bookmakers in business is the inability to predict human intent. this could lead to athletes throwing games on a regular basis along with other scenarios but most would be detrimental to the integrity of sports. I didn't expect it to do this good in preseason and i know it wont run like this for the whole season. Im using this season to help me find things that will be beneficial in making picks at a later time and to become more in tune with the nfl marketplace.
    Thats a good point about not only just going with the gut, but trying to figure out why i feel that way, and then write down what i came up with at the time. Im gonna work on that.

  2. #37
    jjgold
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    whatever you do over time w-l will be around 50%-52%

    Its just stats 101

    Matty I am betting against you here but maybe your system will prove me wrong

  3. #38
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    time will tell JJ. whether in the end it ends up producing profits or not, i have no idea. im interested to find out tho. if i had to guess hit % rate at this point, i would say a safe guess is somewhere between 50%-60%

  4. #39
    jjgold
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    Matty we will follow this closely and I hope y'all win a lot

  5. #40
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    ***
    Ticket#:2582427
    Aug 18 08:00 PM
    Aug 18 07:54 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [431] CLEVELAND +2-110
    11.00 / 10.00

  6. #41
    2daBank
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    i glanced at it a minute ago and it looked like the money was super close..like the over myself, gl

  7. #42
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    ya it looks like a lot of big bets came in late for CLE according to the consensus.

  8. #43
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    that was a good ending.

    overall: 12-3
    *** plays: 3-0
    amount wagered: 162.50
    amount won: 88.00

  9. #44
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    good call on the over 2dabank.

  10. #45
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by ItsMeMrMattE View Post
    good call on the over 2dabank.
    lucky as hell for both of us but who cares ill take it..

  11. #46
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    lucky as hell for both of us but who cares ill take it..
    I think you'll find that the harder you work on your plays, the luckier you'll get.

  12. #47
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    I think you'll find that the harder you work on your plays, the luckier you'll get.
    i dunno, been at this a long time, work pretty hard and ive found that if you make enough plays you gonna see your share of great luck and horrible beats alike, just the name of the game..

  13. #48
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    i dunno, been at this a long time, work pretty hard and ive found that if you make enough plays you gonna see your share of great luck and horrible beats alike, just the name of the game..
    I see what you're saying. I feel patience a discipline will trump the ups and downs of lady luck. But boy I too have seen my share of great luck and horrible beats alike.

    I was making a bit of a joke but referring to the fact that winning isn't easy and correctly putting in extra time should give you more winners (or less losers) than the more casual, lazy bettor.

  14. #49
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    I see what you're saying. I feel patience a discipline will trump the ups and downs of lady luck. But boy I too have seen my share of great luck and horrible beats alike.

    I was making a bit of a joke but referring to the fact that winning isn't easy and correctly putting in extra time should give you more winners (or less losers) than the more casual, lazy bettor.
    for sure,, i certainly put the work in (pretty much skipped majority of the baseball season simply cause didnt have the time this year for the several hours a day i need to have any success with bases), unfortunately patients is not a virtue that i was blessed with a whole lot of and while i take great pride in being disciplined when it comes to many things in my life when it comes to gambling it a ongoing internal struggle

  15. #50
    nikossf
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    MattE!!... Any thoughts on tonights game?

  16. #51
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    this would have been a no play or if i really had to PHI -3.5 game for me. consensus says...

    Ticket#:2584553
    Aug 21 07:30 PM
    Aug 21 07:20 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [251] PITTSBURGH +4-110
    11.00 / 10.00

  17. #52
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    overall: 12-4
    *** plays: 3-0
    amount wagered: 173.50
    amount won: 77.00

  18. #53
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    Ticket#:2585442
    Aug 22 07:30 PM
    Aug 22 07:21 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [254] DETROIT -3-125
    12.50 / 10.00
    Ticket#:2585443
    Aug 22 07:30 PM
    Aug 22 07:21 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [255] CAROLINA +6-110
    11.00 / 10.00
    Ticket#:2585444
    Aug 22 07:30 PM
    Aug 22 07:21 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [258] N.Y. JETS -3EV
    10.00 / 10.00

  19. #54
    pavyracer
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    SBR consensus is like polling 100 escorts asking who has STD's. The poll is going to be inaccurate because most of them will lie.

  20. #55
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    lol. i can work with that analogy. don't rely just on what it says. wrap it up and know what your getting into. so far its sucked my dick pretty good tho.

  21. #56
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    Oakland +6.5 (-110)

  22. #57
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    Ticket#:2585545
    Aug 22 10:00 PM
    Aug 22 09:43 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [262] SEATTLE -7-105
    10.50 / 10.00

  23. #58
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    Ticket#:2586302
    Aug 23 04:30 PM
    Aug 23 04:17 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [263] TAMPA BAY +3-115
    11.50 / 10.00

  24. #59
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    Ticket#:2586469
    Aug 23 07:00 PM
    Aug 23 06:47 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [265] DALLAS +5-110
    11.00 / 10.00
    Ticket#:2586470
    Aug 23 07:00 PM
    Aug 23 06:47 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [268] ATLANTA -4½-110
    11.00 / 10.00

  25. #60
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    Ticket#:2586526
    Aug 23 07:30 PM
    Aug 23 07:21 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [270] BALTIMORE -2½-115
    11.50 / 10.00

  26. #61
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    Ticket#:2586560
    Aug 23 08:00 PM
    Aug 23 07:50 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [272] INDIANAPOLIS PK-110
    11.00 / 10.00
    Ticket#:2586561
    Aug 23 08:00 PM
    Aug 23 07:50 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [273] MINNESOTA +2-110
    11.00 / 10.00
    Ticket#:2586562
    Aug 23 08:00 PM
    Aug 23 07:50 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [275] ST. LOUIS +3-110
    11.00 / 10.00

  27. #62
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    Ticket#:2586619
    Aug 23 09:00 PM
    Aug 23 08:49 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [278] DENVER -7-115
    11.50 / 10.00

  28. #63
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    Ticket#:2587339
    Aug 24 04:00 PM
    Aug 24 03:31 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [279] SAN DIEGO +5½-110
    11.00 / 10.00

  29. #64
    Bluehorseshoe
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    Quote Originally Posted by nikossf View Post
    Love the concept.. Vegas is in business for a reason!!! will be watching...
    Because they charge vig.

  30. #65
    chilidog
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bluehorseshoe View Post
    Because they charge vig.
    They always take a position. It's quite rare to get 50/50 on each side.

  31. #66
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    Ticket#:2587538
    Aug 24 08:00 PM
    Aug 24 07:48 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [281] CINCINNATI +2½-105
    10.50 / 10.00

  32. #67
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    overall: 18-12
    *** plays: 3-0
    amount wagered: 328.50
    amount won: 48.00

    in extra 5 units for the nfl season for minimal work, not to bad.

  33. #68
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    ***
    Ticket#:2590654
    Aug 28 06:00 PM
    Aug 28 05:50 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [101] ATLANTA +4½-110
    11.00 / 10.00

  34. #69
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    Ticket#:2590732
    Aug 28 07:00 PM
    Aug 28 06:53 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [104] BUFFALO -3-130
    13.00 / 10.00
    Ticket#:2590733
    Aug 28 07:00 PM
    Aug 28 06:53 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [106] CINCINNATI -2½-110
    11.00 / 10.00
    Ticket#:2590734
    Aug 28 07:00 PM
    Aug 28 06:53 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [108] MIAMI -3EV
    10.00 / 10.00
    Ticket#:2590735
    Aug 28 07:00 PM
    Aug 28 06:53 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [109] N.Y. JETS +3-105
    10.50 / 10.00
    Ticket#:2590736
    Aug 28 07:00 PM
    Aug 28 06:53 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [111] KANSAS CITY +4-105
    10.50 / 10.00

  35. #70
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    Ticket#:2590782
    Aug 28 07:30 PM
    Aug 28 07:23 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [114] N.Y. GIANTS -3EV
    10.00 / 10.00

    Ticket#:2590784
    Aug 28 07:30 PM
    Aug 28 07:23 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [118] PITTSBURGH -4-105
    10.50 / 10.00

    ***
    Ticket#:2590783
    Aug 28 07:30 PM
    Aug 28 07:23 PM NFL STRAIGHT BET
    [116] TAMPA BAY -3EV
    10.00 / 10.00

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