None of us can predict the future. From what I saw here on the forum a lot of us thought this game was a coin flip yet the same people were on Atlanta! Some of us keep making the same mistakes over and over again and we don't even realize it. Last night while I was looking at the first game on the board (Pitt vs Minnesota) my original pick was Pitt. I thought the game was a toss up and my opinion was that Pittsburgh would win this toss up. I layed $75 to win $50 and I looked it again. I was shook. I thought, hey, I'm laying 3:2 on a game that I think is a toss up?? This doesn't seem right! So I did something I don't do with my bigger bets, I changed my pick. Money has a way of toying with the way you think. There is a very simple logic to this game: bet the side that will win more often than the odds say it should. If you can do that you will be a winner! If you put your entire bankroll on one game you may win. And congratulations to you if you do, but you're a favorite to be broke in the near future. You may lose having made the right pick. The point of this thread is not to lecture; most of you all know these things already. But very few of us have the balls to apply them when we see a situation that fits the criteria. A winner loses a lot of bets and losers win a lot too. We didn't necessarily do something right to win and we didn't necessarily do something wrong to lose.