1. #1
    MobFade
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    MobFade Week 1 Picks

    These were picks I posted for Week 1 between Pre-season Weeks 2 and 3 here:
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-bettin...k-woop-p2.html

    ^Posts #54 - #57http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-bettin...5-3-1-11u.html

    ^Post #4

    ATL+3.5-115 @ NO | WAGER WEB | 1.5 UNITS
    HOU-3-120
    @ SD | WAGER WEB | 1.5 UNITS
    SEA-2.5-110 @ CAR | WAGER WEB | 1 UNIT
    CIN+3.5-115 @ CHI | WAGER WEB | 1 UNIT
    2 Team 6 Point -110
    NE-1.5 @ BUF / MIA @ CLE+8 | TOP BET | 1.5 UNITS


    Picks will be in BOLD

    I would still take ATL at it's current +3-100, CIN at +3-110, and the HOU line is still there as well. Seattle I think was okay at -2.5 but I'm really scared that this team is going to start out slow with all their pass-rushers out and wouldn't bet them at -3, maybe lean slightly CAR at +3.5. I could see SEA starting out 2-2 or 1-3. NE I took before Kolb went down and CLE was a juicy +2 that I thought might get better but ended up going to -PK. I still might add some on that CLE game as I think they are a better team than MIA, not the current 3 points worse that is being reflected. Now onto some write-ups.

    BAL+9-110 @ DEN
    This line seems insane to me. BAL is reloading their defense, but they draft well and have plenty of talent on both sides of the ball. I hear a lot of "first to worst" sentiment concerning BAL, but I think they are still very much an 8-9 win team. This line was in that +7.5-110 and teaser protect mode for a while, then von Miller gets suspended and it goes to 9? I'm going to sit on this a bit longer to see if we can get to a not-too-shaded 10, but anything over a TD is a play on BAL for me. DEN could be a teaser play if you can cross the 3.

    NE @ BUF
    I don't have a side here at -10.5. NE dominates this game so I guess that's the lean but 10.5 is too much for me to lay on the road in a division game against a BUF team that is not bad outside of their current QB situation. Jeff Tuel looked good in pre-season, but will be over-matched against the 1's here. If you got it at the 7 before the injuries, congrats. Otherwise, just stay away.

    TEN+7-110 @ PIT
    I see a low-scoring, run-focused affair here and like taking points in spots like this. This lean is not a strong one, but I might pull the trigger if we get to +7.5-110. The rationale on this is a little sketch. I like PIT and think they're underrated in a lot of ways. Love Jarvis Jones and Markus Wheaton and think that PIT will be a contender in another year or two. Right now they get a lot of well-deserved criticism because they are old and plodding. Their RB corps is one Shonn Greene away from being the actual definition of mediocre. TEN on the other hand is a pretty bad team, but I think they're just getting too many points here. I like what they did with their interior line and think their best hope is to just keep it on the ground and grind it out.

    ATL+3.5-115 @ NO
    Already booked this and would take it at +3 as well. IMO Sean Peyton's effect on this organization is being way over-blown. There were serious issues on the NO defense and bringing back your offensive-minded head coach, hiring fat santa as your DC, and drafting a FS doesn't make that all go away. ATL gets a lot of flak for being soft or lucky or whatever, but they are a team with great balance that can score a lot of different ways and play solid on D. Their defense was #12 last year according to Football Outsiders. Line should be -PK or ATL as a small favorite. Getting a FG or more is a gift.

    TB-3-110 @ NYJ
    TB is the lean here with the injury to Sanchez. I would have taken the NYJ if he was in there, but I'll gladly fade the rookie QB in this case. I also expect this stadium to turn on him rather quickly if things go poorly. I do like the NYJ this year ATS once they find some sort of rhythm and consistency, but I doubt that will be Week 1. Conversely I think TB is getting a pass from Joe Public after blowing it down the stretch last year and with questions at QB. Line is a bit shaded now, so I'll hold off for a bit.

    KC-3-135 @ JAX
    I'm going to wait on this but if it stays here I would buy this to the 3. As I've been telling anyone who will listen, JAX is a dumpster fire with no identity. Their draft is baffling and I think their offense will be reminiscent of the NYJ last year with Shoelace coming in periodically for who knows what reason. KC is the public's bounce-back team and with good cause. Alex Smith is a capable starter on a team that sent 6 guys to the Pro Bowl and should stop the turnovers that killed this team last year. I think they've generally improved whereas JAX is headed down a dark road with Clowney at the end of the tunnel.

  2. #2
    MobFade
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    SEA @ CAR
    I booked this at SEA-2.5 after the Harvin injury, but I'm not sure about it anymore with Cliff Avril tweaking a hamstring and either missing this game or more likely trying to play through it. SEA is already missing Clemons and Irvin and the rest of their D-Line is a relative shambles as it stands today. I think Cam is going to have a lot of time in the pocket and have a good game here. Seattle's offense could go off, but this is the dreaded early East Coast game that West Coast teams have struggled with for years, and these usually start slow. Seattle is the better team but if good-Cam shows up, Carolina is no slouch. I would stay away on the 3, but would lean SEA at -2.5 and CAR at +3.5.

    CIN+3.5-115 @ CHI
    I'm not a huge fan of CIN as I think their offense last year was predicated too much on Dalton throwing up a prayer to AJ Green. Maybe just my perception and I know their D is legit, but it's just how I feel and I burned a lot of money last year fading them down the stretch. I think they are a better team than CHI right now with a new head coach, and this line doesn't reflect that. Neither does CIN+3-110 and I would book it there as well. CHI is a wait-and-see team for me. Right now they are just a slightly above average team in my mind that rode the luckbox-ness of returning turnovers for TD's in the first half of the 2012 season.

    MIA @ CLE-PK-110
    Love CLE this year and think they're going to be a team to ride for the first half of the season. MIA made a lot of moves in FA but they felt like the last throes of a Front Office trying to save itself rather than calculated roster-building. CLE splashed some money around as well improving their front 7 and now their D looks like a playoff contender. This team is eerily reminiscent of last year's Seahawks to me and I would look for a similar break-out season.

    MIN+4.5 @ DET
    I don't particularly like either of these teams. MIN was an over-achiever last year and DET is a hit-or-miss garbage time team. I like MIN's approach to football a lot better and think they are the more consistent team. DET can hang points, but they mostly involve Stafford standing behind an O-line that might quietly be one of the worst in football, throwing the ball 50 yards downfield, and hoping Megatron can high-point it. Their run game will be improved but might not be called a run game anymore. What this comes down to for me is that Detroit's roster cop-and-blow is a net loss, and they were a legit 4-12 team. MIN might not be a .500 team either, but they're getting about 1.5 - 2 too many points here. Pretty easy call IMO.

  3. #3
    MobFade
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    min+4.5-110 | wagerweb | 1 unit
    phi+4-110 | top bet | 1 unit

  4. #4
    MobFade
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    OAK @ IND
    OAK a well-documented dumpster fire as well, but IND is an over-achiever and shouldn't be laying 10 points anywhere. Staying away from this.

    ARI @ STL
    Interesting game here. STL is the sleeper team that might be too over-hyped. Their run game shouldn't scare anyone, and that is going to make Sam Bradford one-dimensional. Tavon Austin is not going to be Percy Harvin in year 1. No 1st year WRs are really any good, so right now their WR corps is the same or worse than it was last year with the loss of Amendola. What has Jared Cook done? Is his QB situation really improving so drastically? ARI meanwhile has improved by adding Palmer, but he is still playing behind that line that was looking okay until J Cooper broke his leg. Sick beats, if you're a Cards fan. Both teams are good defensively, so again I'm thinking low-scoring game and that makes me want to take points. I don't love only getting 4.5 here with ARI so I'm staying away for now.

    GB @ SF
    No real lean in this one. I think GB has to have learned it's lesson from last year and their run game should be improved. SF did not improve in the off-season IMO with injuries and losing some guys to FA, so 4.5 seems right to me.

    NYG+3-100 @ DAL
    I like fading DAL at home as their fans don't ever get into the game. Just sit around watching it on the big screen I guess. NYG will dominate the LOS on both sides of the ball and I think they're 1 point better. Here we're getting almost 45 cents of value.

    Adding:
    NYG+3-100 | WAGER WEB | 1 UNIT


    PHI+4-110 @ WAS
    Dicey play here as we don't know exactly what we're getting with Chip Kelley's Offense but I think I'm going to like it. Big Play Bob is coming into this cold, and that's mostly what this play is based on. Already booked it in previous post.

    HOU-3-120 @ SD
    Man I'm taking a lot of road teams this week and especially road favorites which always makes me nervous, but this game seems like a slam dunk. SD is going to be one of the 5 worst teams in the NFL, HOU could push for the 5 best. I don't know how SD is going to move the ball behind the 5 guys they call a line out there. Laying only a FG, even on the road is ridiculous.

  5. #5
    MobFade
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    Booking this last one for today. It doesn't sound like Sanchez is going to go based on injury and what team leadership has allegedly said about moving on from him. Going to be a tumultuous day for the NYJ here and want to get this before it's officially announced.

    TB-3-115 | WAGERWEB | 1 UNIT

  6. #6
    MobFade
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    Looks like BAL starting to come back down to the 7. Booking this now:

    BAL+9-110 | WAGERWEB | 1.5 UNITS

  7. #7
    Eddy Munny
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    Good stuff....I agree with most of these picks. I'm really liking Tennessee +7, Tampa -3, and Carolina +3 (or 2.5, whatever the number is..I like the Panthers to win this outright)

  8. #8
    MobFade
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    Looks like everyone is on the Browns at CBS so I'm going to lock down 1 more unit on them before any more public money comes in.
    ​CLE-PK-110 | TOP BET | 1 UNIT

  9. #9
    MobFade
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eddy Munny View Post
    Good stuff....I agree with most of these picks. I'm really liking Tennessee +7, Tampa -3, and Carolina +3 (or 2.5, whatever the number is..I like the Panthers to win this outright)
    Tampa is the only one of those three that I really like.

    I think Tennessee is pretty garbage, but I also think the Steelers have some residual credit with the public for being so good for a decade. That should wear off pretty quickly and I think the Steelers will be solid ATS down the stretch when they get off to a slower-than-expected start. I think they're the worst team in the AFC North, but not a bad team by any means. I also like the low-scoring dynamic that this game figures to have when we're getting laid a full TD.

    I think the Seahawks will be the best team in football by Week 6 when they get their front 7 back and healthy. Until then, the pass rush is going to allow opposing QB's too much time in the pocket. Carolina is a team I'm high on this year, but they ha
    ve some things I don't like. I really like their front 7 and Star Lotulelei was my favorite player in the draft. He is going to make that whole defense a lot better by freeing them up to get after the passer while collapsing the pocket from the inside. Their secondary still worries me a lot, though they shouldn't have to be in coverage as long. Their entire offense worries me, other than the dual-threat Cam brings. His attitude, accuracy, WR corps, and run game are all pretty bad. That's why I'm so torn on this game and think that SEA-3 is the right line. Either side of that and my opinion swings between both teams.

  10. #10
    Eddy Munny
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    Yea, but I'm a bit surprised to hear you say that your opinion on Tampa hinged solely on the Mark Sanchez injury. I like Tampa here regardless, whether it be a dysfunctional Sanchez or an untested rookie. The Bucs are strong against the run and the Jets don't have the aerial attack to exploit the Bucs suspect pass D. Plus, that pass D gets a boost from the arrival of Revis at corner and Goldson at safety. With the Jets impotent offense unable to move the sticks, it'll just leave the defense on the field far too long to contain Doug Martin and V-Jack. I think the Bucs eventually pull away and post a double digit victory. Two teams going in opposite directions I believe.

  11. #11
    MobFade
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eddy Munny View Post
    Yea, but I'm a bit surprised to hear you say that your opinion on Tampa hinged solely on the Mark Sanchez injury. I like Tampa here regardless, whether it be a dysfunctional Sanchez or an untested rookie. The Bucs are strong against the run and the Jets don't have the aerial attack to exploit the Bucs suspect pass D. Plus, that pass D gets a boost from the arrival of Revis at corner and Goldson at safety. With the Jets impotent offense unable to move the sticks, it'll just leave the defense on the field far too long to contain Doug Martin and V-Jack. I think the Bucs eventually pull away and post a double digit victory. Two teams going in opposite directions I believe.
    I agree that this is the most likely outcome. Assuming -3 is HFA, this line if translated to TB would be -9 (-6 on neutral field). Now that doesn't take into consideration key numbers, but I usually look at the neutral field odds and ask myself if TB is 6 points better than the NYJ. To me the answer is YES if Geno plays, MEHHHH if Sanchez plays. Either way I can see the crowd turning on their QB if they perform poorly and moreso with Sanchez, but I think his years of NFL experience make him a much better option from a "win now" perspective than the Rookie QB in his first start. It's not that I think Sanchez has a higher ceiling or that he should be the starter, but there is a lot to be said for NFL experience, especially at the QB position.

  12. #12
    MobFade
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    As far as Tampa goes, I think Josh Freeman has some real pressure on him right now to perform. This is also a team that lost their last 5 games (I'm excluding Week 17 when they played Atlanta who already had HFA locked up). While they did make strides to improve their secondary, it's yet to be seen how effective Revis will be after the ACL, and if Goldson can perform at the same level outside of San Francisco.

    I really liked TB going into last year, but Freeman's completion percentage dipped below 55% and it seems like it shook both he and his coach's confidence in him. I don't follow it too closely, but my casual obser
    vation has me thinking that that's a pretty tense locker room right now, especially with Tynes and Nicks picking up Staph infections.

  13. #13
    MobFade
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    BAL @ DEN coming back down to the 7 as expected.

  14. #14
    9ersPride
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    Great job Mob..GL

  15. #15
    nmulvihill
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    I like the parlay a lot

  16. #16
    nmulvihill
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    Not sure how I feel about the Falcons. Saints are mean at home, especially opening week of what will surely be a bounce-back year.

  17. #17
    MobFade
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    5 cents of movement across the board for TEN, gonna book it now because it looks like this might close closer to 6.5. And wow Top Bet still has the +10.5 line for BUF. This is the line for when EJ wasn't going to play, and I think he adds another element to the offense. Too much value here to pass up BUF. Line should be NE-7 IMO so I'm putting 2 units on this.

    TEN+7-110 | TOP BET | 1 UNIT
    BUF+10.5 | TOP BET | 2 UNITS

  18. #18
    MobFade
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    Totally forgot about the SB Loser Hangover "trend" which after last year's first loss in a while is at like 12-1 ATS. What is the logic behind this trend? That after a year to think about it they are lazy because of their sense of entitlement after losing the biggest game of their careers? Some people's kids. Also, teams that are -4 to -7.5 point favorites in Week 1 over the last 10 years are 36-23 ATS. We'll let it sit for another couple days, but it looks like the big money is coming in SF so I might be blowing it here. In the interim, this looks like it's gaining momentum, so we'll take it now:

    KC-3-135 | TOP BET | 1 UNIT

    Someone on this forum the other day said if you make your picks public and you're buying off the hook, you're some sort of charlatan just trying to boost your record. Not because it's worth it on the 3 and 7
    , but because I want more people to read this thread. There's probably an interesting team trend at work here.

  19. #19
    MobFade
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    Since 2004, Primetime favorites between 3 and 10 points are 180-137, 56.8%

    That's been a winner for 8 of the last 10 years, and the pre
    vious 3 consecutive seasons.

  20. #20
    MobFade
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    Locking this down:

    SF-4.5-110 | BO
    v​ADA | 1 UNIT

  21. #21
    MobFade
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    It's crossing worthless numbers, but I can't believe this MIN/DET line is still getting juiced. What am I missing here? Will add another unit if it gets to 6.

  22. #22
    husky
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    Good insight on your plays and a wonderful start to your pre-season. Will be following. Is NFL your only sport?

  23. #23
    MobFade
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    Quote Originally Posted by husky View Post
    Good insight on your plays and a wonderful start to your pre-season. Will be following. Is NFL your only sport?
    Yeah for now I'm limited strictly to NLF Spread betting. It's the only sport I can watch every game of, except all the NFL draft prospect tape they put up on draftbreakdown.com. I watch that all off-season in preperation for the NFL Draft and Power Ranking adjustments in conjunction with Free Agency. Only 1 Bet Trend system this week and that was on BUF+10.5 ... the rest was just kinda weighing roster cop and blow and line value. Pre-season you must not have tailed me Week 3 because I got penetrating buried and lost half of what I won the first 2 weeks.

    Probably this month
    I'm gonna get the sportsinsights.com full-blown Bet Lab membership for all sports. $300 a month, but I think I can add NCAAFB and NCAABB by just testing and ripping systems off outta there. Those markets seem ridiculously inefficient with the sheer number of teams and the limited sample sizes.

  24. #24
    beerman2619
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    Giants Offensive Line Sucks With Injuries That Team Is A Mess. They Got Blown Out Alot Down The StRetch Last Season. Look For The Same This Season Dallas rolls

  25. #25
    JayLA
    On to the next one...
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    A shame more people aren't responding to your thread, solid insight i definitely agree with. Good luck this season, will check your threads out

  26. #26
    Bbfromgpt
    Cappin
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    Already booked this and would take it at +3 as well. IMO Sean Peyton's effect on this organization is being way over-blown. There were serious issues on the NO defense and bringing back your offensive-minded head coach, hiring fat santa as your DC, and drafting a FS doesn't make that all go away. ATL gets a lot of flak for being soft or lucky or whatever, but they are a team with great balance that can score a lot of different ways and play solid on D. Their defense was #12 last year according to Football Outsiders. Line should be -PK or ATL as a small favorite. Getting a FG or more is a gift.



    great break downs but don't listen to the first part. Sean Payton's affect on this team isn't talked about enough. Trust me on that one. 11-2 against the Falcants and 7-1 in the Superdome (missed chip shot from 8-0). They'll beat them again this Sunday and it won't be as close as the final score indicates.

  27. #27
    MobFade
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    Quote Originally Posted by beerman2619 View Post
    Giants Offensive Line Sucks With Injuries That Team Is A Mess. They Got Blown Out Alot Down The StRetch Last Season. Look For The Same This Season Dallas rolls
    I would argue that both of Dallas' lines suck especially their O-line against NYG D-Line. You might be right about NYG O-line and them starting Pugh at RT is crazy. That kid looked barely athletic enough to play OG in a ZBS coming out of college, and now you're playing him at RT? Yikes. That said, Anthony Spencer won't play in this game, so it's going to be a backup going against him. Dallas' interior line is maybe the least intimidating pair of DT's in the NFL and I expect D Wilson to go off here.

    Speaking of rookie linemen playing out of position, what the hell is Chicago doing playing Kyle Long at OG? That kid actually has the athleticism, measureables, and a year of solid tape at Oregon to play OT, and they desperately need one.

    This was also part of the reason I like SF this week. Bakhtiari is a 6'4" rookie LT for GB that I didn't think projected as an OT at the NFL level, and he'll get his first start against Aldon Smith. Rodgers gets sacked at least 4 times here and is running for his life on every other play. Too bad that kid JC Tretter, OT out of Cornell broke his leg because he actually looked like he could be a serviceable tackle.
    Last edited by MobFade; 09-05-13 at 09:13 AM.

  28. #28
    MobFade
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bbfromgpt View Post
    great break downs but don't listen to the first part. Sean Payton's affect on this team isn't talked about enough. Trust me on that one. 11-2 against the Falcants and 7-1 in the Superdome (missed chip shot from 8-0). They'll beat them again this Sunday and it won't be as close as the final score indicates.
    Outside of Drew Brees and by proxy their WR corps, TE , and ILB after switching to a 3-4 this offseason, I can't think of a position group that isn't mediocre at best. IMO bringing Sean Payton back doesn't make your defense better beyond a statistical regression to the mean after an historically bad season. Losing 3 very good O-linemen since Sean Payton last coached this team in Goodwin, Nicks, and now Bushrod doesn't help on that side of the ball either. This roster to me looks like one of the weakest in the NFL, they just have Drew Brees hanging 5,000+ yards and 43+ TD's a year. Does he throw for 6,000 and 60 TD's this year to compensate for the rest of his roster? I would think not. The NO teams that went 11-2 was a very different team, and is playing a very different ATL team. One that might be weaker on D after losing Grimes (who they played without most of last year anyway) and Abraham, but more balanced on Offense adding SJax.

  29. #29
    2daBank
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    damn bro, you straight coming out firing! gl this season..

  30. #30
    MobFade
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    damn bro, you straight coming out firing! gl this season..
    Ha, I been booking some of these for a few weeks now, some line movement on games I wasn't going to touch (BUF, MIN, PHI), and the rest just looked good the longer I stared at them. I think I'm done as we're now at like 16u on Week 1. No good historical trends I've seen except for on 10.5+ dogs and slight leans for away teams, and chalk -4 to -7.

    You see anything glaring you wouldn't ha
    ve taken?
    Last edited by MobFade; 09-05-13 at 09:30 AM.

  31. #31
    husky
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    Good luck on your Bet Labs subscription! I would love to hear about some ideas for different systems that you may have. Look forward to this season

  32. #32
    MobFade
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    I have about 15 Systems that look good and I've learned a ton just messing around with it. Interesting to see that much of the conventional wisdom is crap like home dogs actually being losers (392-416, 48.5%) over the last 10 years until you get to >+10.5. You can also see trend reversals where some NFL Betting Gospel started posting losses 5 years ago and hasn't stopped, yet people still espouse it here. This is probably due to the general betting public picking up a book or two somewhere along the way and following a lot of that wisdom.

    Ob
    viously capping rosters doesn't go away, but most of the situational contrarian thinking can be quantified on that website. Hopefully after a month I will have all the best ones internalized and can just keep track of them on my own to spot any reversals.

  33. #33
    MobFade
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    Notes from BAL/DEN game:

    Baltimore
    : Their D wasn't as bad as it looked, but I guess how could it be? 7 TD's is a lot, but they're not going to see many offenses like the one Peyton was running and BAL's Offense couldn't get a 1st Down in the 2nd half. They were getting good pressure from the outside against a good line, and I think that's a positive. Their Run D was elite as they absolutely stuffed most runs that came their way. Their corners looked meh, but the talent with Webb and Smith is there. It's easy to over-react to this but keep it within the context of a first-ballot Hall of Famer having the night of his career and throwing more TD's than have been thrown in the NFL since '69. He was in god-like form tonight, and they also never failed to convert for a TD in the RZ. This was the most points BAL has allowed. Ever. I'm not trying to justify my pick, just not get too spun up on this loss and keep it all in context. No team is going to abuse BAL like that again this year and I think this D has the talent to end the year Top 10.

    The Offense on the other hand is a train-wreck. Their WR/TE corps is an embarrassment. Their entire Offensive game plan does not play to their strengths at all trying to stretch the field like they've done in years past. Joe Flacco lacks the touch to consistently drop a deep ball and their options underneath should not be starting in the NFL. I think Torrey Smith is a good receiver, but he's not as physical as you need to be if you're going to be a downfield possession guy with a QB as erratic as Flacco is going downfield. Smith does not have the skillset to out-physical a DB if he has to come back to the ball and make a big catch to bail his QB out. He was abused tonight.

    The losses of Boldin and Pitta are manifesting themsel
    ves as Flacco has no one to throw to in the intermediate game, and nothing underneath with Rice/Pierce being used heavily in pass pro. Oher going down in the second half didn't make them any less one dimensional in this respect, and that will be something to consider for next week if he can't go and Ricky Wagner has to start. This BAL O-line SHOULD be getting a push inside with the guys they have on the interior, and the lack of a BAL run game to sustain a drive and keep their D off the field proved to be their undoing in the 2nd half. And that challenge. OHHHHH the penetrating challenge.

    DEN:

    Offense - Nothing needs to be said about their passing game. They have more than enough weapons and Peyton is ridiculous before the snap. Also looked great not throwing any of those ducks from last year, and was a surgeon when he needed to be. TE J Thomas looked like the complete TE and should be a useful weapon going forward. Their run game on the other hand looked very suspect, but I'll give them a slight pass for now because BAL has a great front 7. Unfortunately, none of their RB's looks good and I don't think any of them stood out to win that job. Montee Ball is not the future of this backfield and that's not based on what I saw tonight. He is still getting too much credit for his Heisman run 2 years ago behind a Wisconsin O-line and Russell Wilson to open things up for him. Peyton will open it up for this rush attack against lesser teams, but it's something to keep in mind once spreads start getting too high as you could see some backdoor covers because they can't run out the clock, as almost happened tonight.

    Defense - They looked great without von Miller, which I didn't expect to the degree they showed tonight. I had reservations about their secondary, but they looked like the strongest unit on that side of the ball. Once Miller comes back it's going to be pretty gross.

  34. #34
    MobFade
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    Looks like Cliff Avril is going to go against Carolina. SEA is officially the play. I already booked a couple weeks ago at -2.5, but if you can get it at -3.5, I'd buy it to the -3.

  35. #35
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by MobFade View Post
    Looks like Cliff Avril is going to go against Carolina. SEA is officially the play. I already booked a couple weeks ago at -2.5, but if you can get it at -3.5, I'd buy it to the -3.
    gotta disagree on this one. panthers defense presents all kinds of problems for sea as much as sea d does for cam. already booked the under 45 as i think that number was at least 4 points to high but will more than likely happily take the 3.5 and prob sprinkle the ml as well in a gm i think will be tight and low scoring. i think panthers have a solid chance of winning but id settle for sea pulling it out by a fg and we both can win..

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