here is the thread i ran last year: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-bettin...-modified.html
here is the copy of the final post on last year's thread:
FINAL POST
system record: 6-2
(A: 5-3, B: 1-2, C: 0-2)
mod system record: 7-1 (some players may have had a 8-0 record if they got the best line (+7, bought to +7.5) on the Arizona 'A' that ended up as a series loss)
(A: 5-3, B: 1-2, C: 1-1)
2 other stats I tracked just to have some sort of record for future testing, "D" Bets which is the game after a C bet loss and "AA" bets which is when a potential team has lost 2 SU/2 ATS (or 1 SU/1 ATS for (MOD)), before they become official plays.
Unofficial "D" Bet Record ATS: 3-0
Arizona week 11, Philadelphia week 13, Oakland week 15
Unofficial "AA" Bet Record ATS: 31-18-3
3-1 (week 3, post #52)), 5-0-1 (week 4, post #72), 0-0 (week 5, post #84), 2-3 (week 6, post #106), 2-2-2 (week 7, post #121), 1-1 (week 8, post #140), 1-3 (week 9, post #176), 4-1 (week 10, post #209), 2-4 (week 11, post #223), 6-1 (week 12, post #236), 2-1 (week 13, post #267), 3-1 (week 14, post #282)
last note, there were 18 "AA" losses, and only 16 JM/(MOD) plays. the 2 team difference is due to JM/(MOD) overlapping with bye weeks.
This is a 3 game chase, in which you TAIL the team who has lost 3 games SU and ATS in a row, in hopes that they will cover 1 in 6 games. Games are A, B, C format and a win at any level of A, B, or C counts as a series win.
The Modified +.500 system is 3-game chasing teams who are at or above .500 after they lose 2 games SU and ATS.
I will be posting the plays and keeping track of the records.
Cheers to a good season everyone!