Originally Posted by
Jeff Grant
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons
-Won 15 straight November games until Sunday’s loss to the 49ers (momentum killer - other teams lost ahead of them in WC race)
-Lost three right tackles in the last four games (Zach Strief could be back, practiced some last week)
-The Saints are 0-2 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 2010
-The Saints are 1-2 ATS when playing on Thursday, 2010 and 2011 season openers, Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day
-Falcons are 11-0 when facing a first time head coach under Mike Smith
-Seven wins by seven or fewer points
-Gone 30-1 when Matt Ryan’s QB rating is over the century mark
-The Falcons are 2-0 ATS when playing on Thursday since 2010 (6-1 ATS since 1992)
-Outscored Jacksonville and Baltimore by a 37-0 combined margin in the first half in those games
-Very inviting schedule this year in terms of alternating back and forth
-The Saints are 11-2 SU against the Falcons since 2006, Snapped their perfect record earlier this year
-Mike Smith is 2-7 against the Saints (49-15 against the rest of the league)
-Teams that win the rushing battle in midweek games are 14-0 SU and 11-3 ATS
-Winning teams are 11-3 ATS in the first half in midweek games (195-45 advantage in those 11 wins)
-Saints won the rushing battle (148-46 in first meeting), won the rushing battle in four of seven meetings since 2009 (Ryan’s second year)