1. 11-12-12 10:55 AM #1
    Machine Choice
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    If the weather was perfect and Steelers were motivated, they'd win by 20...but

    It will be raining at kickoff and the Steelers are in a major letdown spot after beating the Superbowl Champs on the road. Don't forget...last year the Steelers were favored by 11 against KC and failed to cover. Then, on MNF they also failed to cover vs SFO. The bottom line is that KC actually has a very good running back on the field tonight, and I don't know if it will matter but KC has now implemented the "Romeo Rule."
    http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nfl-sh...0363--nfl.html

    I may be getting too cute here for common sense, but in the bad weather and Pittsburgh facing a 1-7 team....I'll bet that Pittsburgh will be flat out of the gate. They probably did not prepare hard in practice this week after knocking off the Giants and seeing KC next on deck. The Steelers are also in a look-ahead spot to next week vs Baltimore.

    I imagine this will be a ground affair to see who can make the fewest mistakes. Steelers will rely on their defense and play a vanilla offensive strategy and just grind down KC. Matt Cassel is better than Brady Quinn and if he can stay upright he might throw some unexpected bomb passes in unusual circumstances. KC has nothing to lose and can open up the playbook for anything.

    Pitts was 2-4 ATS last year as a double-digit favorite.

    Predicted Score:
    Steelers 20
    KC 9

    KANSAS CITY +12.5
    Last edited by Machine Choice; 11-12-12 at 10:59 AM.
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  2. 11-12-12 11:48 AM #2
    Machine Choice
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    And obviously the X-factor is PITT being without their second leading receiver tonight. Pitt is 2-6 in last 8 against AFC (ATS)
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  3. 11-12-12 11:52 AM #3
    Frisco
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    I'd rather take a stab at Charles over 59 rushing yards than Chiefs +anything
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  4. 11-12-12 12:48 PM #4
    jwater
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    I like the under personally
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  5. 11-12-12 03:29 PM #5
    lonegambler
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    Weather forecast light rain at 9
    pm.70% at 10pm.30% and sane thru 12am
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  6. 11-12-12 03:43 PM #6
    msec512
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    I live near Pittsburgh, it's very windy & rainy right now. BTW "local" line is Pittsburgh-14.5 / total 41.
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  7. 11-12-12 03:43 PM #7
    Big Bear
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    Its monday night football and todd haley has
    something extra special in mind for kansas city
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  8. 11-12-12 05:48 PM #8
    Machine Choice
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    Imagine this. Steelers up 24-6 with 2 mins left in the game. KC gets the ball and scores a garbage time TD despite having less than 200 yards total offense in the game. KC covers.
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  9. 11-12-12 07:00 PM #9
    Big Bear
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    Chiefs and Jaguars get a ton of love from SBR for some reason
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  10. 11-12-12 07:18 PM #10
    Machine Choice
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    Chiefs and Jaguars get a ton of love from SBR for some reason
    I held my nose when I took the Chiefs today. I had to force my finger to submit the bet. I had no choice given the circumstances. My numbers said to take the Steelers, but the human factors and weather screamed Chiefs.
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  11. 11-12-12 08:12 PM #11
    hougigo
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    Good luck to us. I took the spread and bought up to 14.5
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  12. 11-12-12 08:20 PM #12
    Machine Choice
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    Quote Originally Posted by hougigo View Post
    Good luck to us. I took the spread and bought up to 14.5
    Well, now you have +24.5 with only three quarters left. We should be able to pull this off, but with the Chiefs you never know.
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