1. #1
    Lakers714
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    Help!!! Do I Hedge???

    Ok, so I rarely do parlays but I have one that comes down to the DAL +3.5. Original parlay is $90 to win around 2,300. Do I let it ride or hedge? I was thinking a $500-$700 hedge on ATL -3, buying it down. So if ATL wins by 3, I win 2,300 and push the hedge. Or win around $500 if ATL wins by more than 3. What the fuk would u guys do?

  2. #2
    Lakers714
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    The gambler in me says let it ride but I think I should exercise some money management here. Thoughts???

  3. #3
    Frisco
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    Dallas is a tough road dog to let ride imo. I would feel better too if you got them at +5 like it currently is. I'd hedge but gl

  4. #4
    p19101
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    Has something changed very drastically since you made the parlay?

    If the answer is no, then ask yourself why you put the game in the parlay in the first place. Because you'd been better off just leaving it out, hedging is a losing proposition in the long run.

  5. #5
    jscott1586
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    Take the guaranteed monies. BOL with whatever decision make

  6. #6
    nvrlose37
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    What I normally like doing is waiting til halftime and seeing how it goes. You may be able to make a hedge then and if Dallas is doing good at that point, you could have a good chance to win both bets.

    Or at that point you could easily let it ride. I myself like your bet as it is. Good luck.

  7. #7
    Lakers714
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    Like I said, I usually don't do parlays and did it this time because I was going to be busy today. I didn't think this shiet would come down to the last game. Investing $90 and the payout being 2,300, I'm tempted to stick, but shouldn't u take guaranteed money when u can?

  8. #8
    visualrealism
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    hedge. you can get 1000 profit of $90 is good.

  9. #9
    Lakers714
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    Quote Originally Posted by nvrlose37 View Post
    What I normally like doing is waiting til halftime and seeing how it goes. You may be able to make a hedge then and if Dallas is doing good at that point, you could have a good chance to win both bets.

    Or at that point you could easily let it ride. I myself like your bet as it is. Good luck.
    I was thinking about that but I might not be able to get a number that guarantees me money.

  10. #10
    Lakers714
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    Quote Originally Posted by visualrealism View Post
    hedge. you can get 1000 profit of $90 is good.
    Lol, fuk, I know I should. My mind is telling me to take guaranteed money. The gambler in me is telling me to let it ride. Fuk me.

  11. #11
    Frisco
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lakers714 View Post
    I was thinking about that but I might not be able to get a number that guarantees me money.
    Exactly. If Dallas is getting smashed you won't be able to hedge at all. If you're using a book w/ live betting u might be able to catch a good line then.

  12. #12
    Frisco
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lakers714 View Post
    Lol, fuk, I know I should. My mind is telling me to take guaranteed money. The gambler in me is telling me to let it ride. Fuk me.
    Then hedge small so you profit either way but the gambler in you will be making more $$ if the Boys cover like you previously thought would happen. You're still gambling that way

  13. #13
    Pivotpoint
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    Lots of variables.

    Have you had a good day, weekend? Is the account flush?

    If yes, let it ride, if you still like the cowboys. Sometimes I hedge, sometimes I don't.

    I had huge momentum going into the Giants/ Steelers game. Had Steelers + 3 1/2 straight, last leg of a 7 team 6pt teaser and last leg of a 4 team 6 point teaser. $2372 in gross winnings and $500 riding.

    I hit all my bets today and deceided to let it ride. Figured worse case, I had another chance to hedge on 2nd half, but passed on the pk spread posted 2nd half.

    Consider live betting (if available) or 2nd half bet vs taking the other side.

    I like the Falcons, but not laying 4 or 4 1/2.

    I have Falcons TT OV 26 (-115) 2x

    Two team parlay

    Falcons ML -225
    FALCONS / COWBOYS OV + 47 (-119)
    2.36x = 3.91x

    No way I trust $ to Romo. But they might back door in late and lose by 3?

    gl with your choice

  14. #14
    Jerm3085
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    I'm in the same situation! I have Dallas +4 to close out a 7 team parlay. Considering a teaser of atl+2 over 40.5...I say take the guaranteed money! gL

  15. #15
    PD77
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    I have Dallas tonight but I've been beat down pretty hard today. If I were in your shoes (nice shoes by the way) I would hedge with ATL ML and risk $500. You could middle and really clean up. Good luck to both of us.

  16. #16
    Pivotpoint
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    Is it me, or does it seem everyone is on the Boys tonite?

  17. #17
    Lakers714
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    I forget, do these SNF games start exactly at 5:30?

  18. #18
    Mr. Green
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    Just curious...how many teams is your parlay?

    BOL!

  19. #19
    Lakers714
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr. Green View Post
    Just curious...how many teams is your parlay?

    BOL!
    6 team parlay. I would post a screenshot but can't do that on my phone.

  20. #20
    Pivotpoint
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lakers714 View Post
    I forget, do these SNF games start exactly at 5:30?

    My screen says 5:30 pst. Don't wait to the last second. Give yourself 5 minutes and either pull the trigger or let it ride.

    Falcon just dipped to 3 1/2 .

  21. #21
    Mr. Green
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    My book shows game start at 7:35 CST

  22. #22
    Lakers714
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    Cool, thx for all the input guys. Either way, I'm not going to hedge half, $1000. It's gonna only be $500. Deciding now if I should buy down to ATL -3 so I can go for the middle.

  23. #23
    Lakers714
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    I mean push the hedge bet and win the parlay.

  24. #24
    Lakers714
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    Late money on the Cowboys...

  25. #25
    Pivotpoint
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    Buying to the 3 is - 140. Expensive. Moneyline getting pounded. Falcons -190 now.

  26. #26
    Lakers714
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pivotpoint View Post
    Buying to the 3 is - 140. Expensive. Moneyline getting pounded. Falcons -190 now.
    No, money coming in on the Cowboys. ML keeps dropping for the Falcons unless its RLm

  27. #27
    Pivotpoint
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lakers714 View Post
    No, money coming in on the Cowboys. ML keeps dropping for the Falcons unless its RLm
    Yes, money coming in on Cowboys. Talking from Falcon perspective. I have Falcons ML +225 and dipped to 190, my reference.

  28. #28
    Lakers714
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  29. #29
    Lakers714
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    Just decided to hedge $300 on ATL -3.5. Hopefully Dallas jumps out to a lead so I can make a live bet on ATL and go for the middle. Only gonna hedge another $200, $500 total. Lets go Cowboys!!! Don't wanna see the bad Tony Romo tonight. Lets go boys!!!

  30. #30
    Lakers714
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    Hoping Dallas score a TD here so I can take ATL + points live.

  31. #31
    Deol
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    I love it when you see this in a thread "I rarely do parlays but ..." That basically means I do parlays every week and this week I actually have a chance of hitting. Anyays I hope ATL wins by 3 so we both win. GL!

  32. #32
    Lakers714
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    Quote Originally Posted by Deol View Post
    I love it when you see this in a thread "I rarely do parlays but ..." That basically means I do parlays every week and this week I actually have a chance of hitting. Anyays I hope ATL wins by 3 so we both win. GL!
    Dood, I've been around here for a long time and post plays. I RARELY play parlays. That's why I'm so excited about this one being the last leg of a 6 teamer.

  33. #33
    Deol
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lakers714 View Post
    Dood, I've been around here for a long time and post plays. I RARELY play parlays. That's why I'm so excited about this one being the last leg of a 6 teamer.
    Relax, I'm just playing. I really need ATL and NO to win by under 10.5 and this weekend will be pretty ridiculous (might actually hit a 14 game 7pt NFL teaser haha).

  34. #34
    Lakers714
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    Quote Originally Posted by Deol View Post
    Relax, I'm just playing. I really need ATL and NO to win by under 10.5 and this weekend will be pretty ridiculous (might actually hit a 14 game 7pt NFL teaser haha).
    Lol, good luck bro.

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