1. #1
    Kojack84
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    Down to last 2 in survivor pool

    Payout is $1200, $600 if we split, $25 buy-in to start this.

    Here are my teams to pick from: Buf, Chi, Cin, Cle, Den, Hou, Ind, Jax, Kan, Mia, Min, Phi, Stl, Tam , Was

    I am pretty much dead set on taking the Dogkilers this week to win the whole thing. The other guy already picked Phi so I don't have to worry about that.


    My question is, do I make a hedge bet on Wash? Line is +9 or more in some places. I'm thinking a 2-300 hedge bet on Wash +9 can't be a bad thing. And with that spread, I can possibly win the pool AND the hedge.

  2. #2
    flocko76
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    if you hedge take washington money line. than you win either way. it's at +320ish now so won't cost as much to hedge.

  3. #3
    stevenash
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    ^
    good advice

  4. #4
    4TH AND STUPID
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    i would take san fran.

    SF needs the win for a first round bye and STL needs the loss to suck for luck.

    aside from those factors, SF is 100 x better than STL and in the first matchup STL couldnt get a first down if their life depended on it.







    phillys defense is still garbage and washington is the type of air it out team that has killed philly all year. i think theres a good chance philly squanders this game and castillo gets fired. philly also is terrible at home for some reason.


    take SF, watch PHI lose, and laugh your way to the bank.


    good luck.

  5. #5
    p19101
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    Quote Originally Posted by 4TH AND STUPID View Post
    i would take san fran.

    SF needs the win for a first round bye and STL needs the loss to suck for luck.

    aside from those factors, SF is 100 x better than STL and in the first matchup STL couldnt get a first down if their life depended on it.







    phillys defense is still garbage and washington is the type of air it out team that has killed philly all year. i think theres a good chance philly squanders this game and castillo gets fired. philly also is terrible at home for some reason.


    take SF, watch PHI lose, and laugh your way to the bank.


    good luck.
    SF isn't in his list of teams available...

  6. #6
    p19101
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    Quote Originally Posted by flocko76 View Post
    if you hedge take washington money line. than you win either way. it's at +320ish now so won't cost as much to hedge.
    ^ This if you hedge.

  7. #7
    broller
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    Quote Originally Posted by 4TH AND STUPID View Post
    i would take san fran.

    SF needs the win for a first round bye and STL needs the loss to suck for luck.

    aside from those factors, SF is 100 x better than STL and in the first matchup STL couldnt get a first down if their life depended on it.







    phillys defense is still garbage and washington is the type of air it out team that has killed philly all year. i think theres a good chance philly squanders this game and castillo gets fired. philly also is terrible at home for some reason.


    take SF, watch PHI lose, and laugh your way to the bank.


    good luck.
    San Fran is not an option, from his list of available teams. Or do you mean he should take SF in a single game bet?

  8. #8
    chargers4222
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    4th and stupid is the most worthless, least knowledgable, and best fade on this board....what a loser

  9. #9
    4TH AND STUPID
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    Quote Originally Posted by chargers4222 View Post
    4th and stupid is the most worthless, least knowledgable, and best fade on this board....what a loser


    chargers4222 had his rooster jerked by his stepdad when he was 12 and since then he hasnt picked a winner...

    that would also explain why this douchebag thinks the dallas cowboys will will be in the superbowl

  10. #10
    Big Bear
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    Take Denver

  11. #11
    Big Bear
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    must win game for Denver and they are playing at home.

  12. #12
    p19101
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    must win game for Denver and they are playing at home.
    Philly a much better pick

  13. #13
    Soxsfan9
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    I would take INDY, they win this weekend!

  14. #14
    Guinser
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    without question take the highest favorite on the board (philly) and hedge 100-200 on washington ml

  15. #15
    Kojack84
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    Thanks! Got the advice I was looking for.

    Placing a bet on Wash ML to win $450.

    Possible outcomes are:

    I win, he loses: +$1070
    We both win: +$470
    He wins, I lose: +$450
    We both lose: +$1050

    Not bad!

  16. #16
    flocko76
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    who did the other guy pick?

  17. #17
    Kojack84
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    He took Tennessee! ******* Kubiak going for 2.....

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