1. 09-12-11 12:55 PM #1
    dlunc3
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    What is the correct move here?

    I have $1714 to win $1152 on the NE ml tonight as the second part of a two team parlay.

    I am debating betting $576 to win $523 on Miami +7. Here is what it will look like...

    If Miami covers this bet but still loses the game, I would be +$1675.

    If New England covers the -7, then I end up +$576.

    If Miami wins the game straight up, then I saved my self $523 and rather then being down $1714, I am down $1,191.

    Or, I can leave it as is... If NE wins, I win $1,152... if they lose, I lose $1714.

    What is the best option????
    Last edited by dlunc3; 09-12-11 at 12:59 PM.
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  2. 09-12-11 01:04 PM #2
    dlunc3
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    Pats havent lost opening day since 2003.... But do i go for the middle and possible make more? just to be safe?
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  3. 09-12-11 01:05 PM #3
    The Baron
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    Its called gambling. Let it ride!
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  4. 09-12-11 01:33 PM #4
    ijenpo
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    I like the hedge. I'd do it if I was in your position. I think NE wins, but might not cover.
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  5. 09-12-11 01:43 PM #5
    dlunc3
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    or is it best to bet $602 on the dolphins ML at +285? So if the dolphins win, I break even, and if that pats win, I still make $550? hmmmmmmm
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  6. 09-12-11 01:54 PM #6
    3GCOVERAGE
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    Pats win! Let it ride!
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  7. 09-12-11 01:54 PM #7
    klrqn
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    i like that option. i'd say either let it ride cause it's SO unlikely Pats lose tonight, but maybe put a smaller hedge on the dolphins ML? i dunno i think you're good brah
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  8. 09-12-11 02:09 PM #8
    HilltopTony
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    If you thought the Bills would kill KC or the Bengals would flatten the Browns, or the Bears would pound the Falcons, then let it ride! If you were surprised by ANY outcome then Hedge. Why wouldn't you hedge to make money. Gambling is like investing, in that your objective is to make money and have a + ROI.
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  9. 09-12-11 02:10 PM #9
    HilltopTony
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    Don't be surprised if Miami pulls the upset.
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  10. 09-12-11 02:14 PM #10
    troutsky
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    i don't hedge personally. but im a real man gambler
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  11. 09-12-11 02:21 PM #11
    iwantcougars
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    play some on miami ml
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  12. 09-12-11 02:24 PM #12
    dlunc3
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    Quote Originally Posted by HilltopTony View Post
    If you thought the Bills would kill KC or the Bengals would flatten the Browns, or the Bears would pound the Falcons, then let it ride! If you were surprised by ANY outcome then Hedge. Why wouldn't you hedge to make money. Gambling is like investing, in that your objective is to make money and have a + ROI.
    Im still trying to decide what is best... but good stuff here... its tough to make the smart play and not be greedy
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  13. 09-12-11 02:26 PM #13
    Waterstpub87
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    Quote Originally Posted by dlunc3 View Post
    or is it best to bet $602 on the dolphins ML at +285? So if the dolphins win, I break even, and if that pats win, I still make $550? hmmmmmmm
    Nothing wrong with Arbitrage.
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  14. 09-12-11 02:37 PM #14
    dlunc3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waterstpub87 View Post
    Nothing wrong with Arbitrage.
    Good call...

    the tough part is that the pats went 14-2 last year and have the evil genus and brady pulling the strings... this team has 6 guys that they cut already on other teams rosters this season... how stacked and talented does that show that they are? Can they lose this game to henne and the dolphins honestly?
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