View New Posts
123
  • Thread Tools
  1. #1
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    This System Picks Favorites!!!

    I've revamped and changed my spreadsheets. This morning, with the new data and processing it spit out these favorites. I am playing these on the moneyline today, but if the spread is profitable then in the future I will begin to play these to cover the spread. Winners baby!

    Rhode Island (-500) 5 to win 1
    Hofstra (-130) 1.3 to win 1
    Wyoming (-155) 1.55 to win 1
    Michigan (-265) 2.65 to win 1
    Western Kentucky (-135) 1.35 to win 1
    Georgia (-150) 1.5 to win 1
    Houston (-175) 1.75 to win 1
    Utah St. (-1650) 16.5 to win 1
    Pacific (-795) 7.95 to win 1
    Gonzaga (-600) 6 to win 1
    Furman (-185) 1.85 to win 1

    Very small unit sizes here. Played these at 5dimes a minute ago. Best of luck to you all, and if you want to know how I am selecting these teams, send a pm. The reason for flat betting is because I am not quite sure how I want to weigh the bets. I know which ones I am more confident in, but I figured I'd let the moneylines do decide that today.

  2. #2
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    Rhode Island, Hofstra, Wyoming, Western Kentucky, and Georgia all hit. Michigan has a 3 pt lead with under 30 seconds left. First 6 games of this system will be winners!!!

  3. #3
    LockPickMaster
    LockPickMaster's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-09
    Posts: 1,943

    which games left will cover the spread

  4. #4
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    Im not at my computer so i dont have the confidence output at hand. Id only bet these as moneyline bets because of that.

  5. #5
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    The spread system is in its early stages. Pacific looks to be the strongest play tonight. I am only laying betpoints on it. Best of luck to you all, and here's to an already great day of degeneracy

  6. #6
    cant call it
    BAMA UP!!!
    cant call it's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-29-10
    Posts: 8,678
    Betpoints: 1358

    Did you bet these at 5dimes or did you just bet betpoints on it?

  7. #7
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    I played the ml plays in the first post at 5dimes. I just played a gonzaga/pacific parlay for fun in the sbrsportsbook

  8. #8
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168


    Rhode Island (-500) 5 to win 1
    Hofstra (-130) 1.3 to win 1
    Wyoming (-155) 1.55 to win 1
    Michigan (-265) 2.65 to win 1
    Western Kentucky (-135) 1.35 to win 1
    Georgia (-150) 1.5 to win 1
    Houston (-175) 1.75 to win 1
    Utah St. (-1650) 16.5 to win 1
    Pacific (-795) 7.95 to win 1
    Gonzaga (-600) 6 to win 1
    Furman (-185) 1.85 to win 1

    Up 11 units after day 1!
    11-0!!!
    I will have picks today if anybody's watching!!!



  9. #9
    CharlestonCock
    Achilles tendon rupture SUCKS!!!
    CharlestonCock's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-05-10
    Posts: 485
    Betpoints: 426

    Will certainly be watching your system.

  10. #10
    slickeddie
    slickeddie's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-03-09
    Posts: 361
    Betpoints: 246

    Good Luck. Track how your ML teams do against the spread too. You may find that useful.

  11. #11
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    Quote Originally Posted by slickeddie View Post
    Good Luck. Track how your ML teams do against the spread too. You may find that useful.
    According to 5dimes closing lines, my picks yesterday went 7-3-1 (7 wins, 3 losses, 1 push). I will keep my eye on it

  12. #12
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    2 play Sunday:

    Illinois (-150) 1.5 to win 1
    Loyola Maryland (-155) 1.55 to win 1

    What do you guys think? Can Illinois stop Purdue's Johnson? Home court advantage?

    Edit: Played at 5dimes

  13. #13
    AbeFroman
    AbeFroman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-21-10
    Posts: 384
    Betpoints: 692

    That Illinois game should be a god one.. My system (which picks dogs) is on Purdue, so we shall see!

    I think our systems may be pretty similar, as it seems like a lot of our plays are opposites of each other.

    Check out my system (it's a few posts done here in the NCAAB forum) and see if you agree.

    BOL!

  14. #14
    balls2wall
    balls2wall's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-20-09
    Posts: 2,612
    Betpoints: 2883

    Quote Originally Posted by Romanov View Post

    Rhode Island (-500) 5 to win 1
    Hofstra (-130) 1.3 to win 1
    Wyoming (-155) 1.55 to win 1
    Michigan (-265) 2.65 to win 1
    Western Kentucky (-135) 1.35 to win 1
    Georgia (-150) 1.5 to win 1
    Houston (-175) 1.75 to win 1
    Utah St. (-1650) 16.5 to win 1
    Pacific (-795) 7.95 to win 1
    Gonzaga (-600) 6 to win 1
    Furman (-185) 1.85 to win 1

    Up 11 units after day 1!
    11-0!!!
    I will have picks today if anybody's watching!!!






    nice job big guy


    keep it up

  15. #15
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    Thx for all stoppin by. Abe, i will check ur thread fyi

    Word of caution: i am more confident in the loyola maryland play than the illinois play

  16. #16
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    Well Loyola Maryland hit. Illinois is playing like dogshit and it looks to be this system's first loss. That's okay. I might run the spreadsheet and update it again and get a play on the Arizona game. It is not a play as of now though

  17. #17
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    Updated the spreadsheet anyway

    1 play added so far:

    Minnesota (-115) 1.15 to win 1

  18. #18
    khaden
    khaden's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-19-09
    Posts: 1,707
    Betpoints: 108

    Minny looking good- anything on zona?

  19. #19
    joeytunes
    joeytunes's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-29-10
    Posts: 449
    Betpoints: 3071

    nice..keep em up

  20. #20
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    Arizona is about as far away from being a play as anything I have seen since starting this analysis. I would run to the hills!

    That said, Arizona could very well win by 8. Who the hell knows? This system is saying it is not a play but that does not mean there isn't one in this game. I am NOT playing this, but if you can get Arizona st at +5, it might not be a bad idea to buy it up to +8. This is not a play but just an idea.

  21. #21
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    Illinois (-150) 1.5 to win 1
    Loyola Maryland (-155) 1.55 to win 1
    Minnesota (-115) 1.15 to win 1


    +.5 units on the day
    +11.5 overall
    (As an aside because I did not play these against the spread, these picks would've went 2-1 today ATS. Overall the ATS hypothetical record would be 9-4-1. The moneyline bets are still more profitable by being up 11.5 units)

    ***I am staying far away from the Zona game

  22. #22
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    I am pretty sure Hawaii will be a play, but I am waiting for some more moneylines to be released, so if you are antsy you can book it. I haven't played it yet.

  23. #23
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    mistake

  24. #24
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    fack it. i locked it in. this could end up being horrible value:

    Hawaii (-165) 1.65 to win 1
    5dimes

  25. #25
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    I really like how the Hawaii line looks today. Pinnacle is up to -180 and if you locked it in at -165, you are getting an extra 8.3 cents on every dollar you bet. That's nice.

    On the KU Kstate game, I think the pinny -3.5 was a shotfake, as bob knight would say, and I wouldn't be afraid to take KU -5. I am not doing that but it is the only apparent play to me in that game. The under might be one, but lets see if the over bettors can push that number a little higher. The over under has fallen since opening, but I think it will go back up around gametime

  26. #26
    erikjem
    erikjem's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-24-11
    Posts: 105
    Betpoints: 678

    Nevada is going to take it easy , and Kansas wins with double digit.

  27. #27
    Madball
    Madball's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-26-08
    Posts: 122
    Betpoints: 384

    Great run there fella!!::

  28. #28
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    Quote Originally Posted by erikjem View Post
    Nevada is going to take it easy , and Kansas wins with double digit.
    Why? Save me

  29. #29
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    Well I went to bed and I woke up to look at the play by play of the Hawaii game- JESUS CHRIST! That was a lucky ass win. Either way that's another unit to the bankroll. +1 on the day, +12.5 units overall

    I will have plays later. I want to check pinnacle's moneylines before I lock them in over at 5dimes. Did anybody bet KState last night? Honestly? What a bet- if really you did. That takes some balls or some serious knowledge. I probably won't have any ballsy bets like that today but I more likely than not will have a winner or two

  30. #30
    jnsbanman
    jnsbanman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-11
    Posts: 522

    Had Kstate + the points ATS didnt play the ML

  31. #31
    bulichme
    bulichme's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-14-10
    Posts: 216

    Looks like your computer is treating you good.

  32. #32
    Romanov
    Diapason Knells
    Romanov's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-10
    Posts: 4,093
    Betpoints: 4168

    2/15/11 Picks played at 5dimes:

    Northeastern (-230) 2.3 to win 1
    Virginia Tech (-180) 1.8 to win 1
    Eastern Illinois (-245) 2.45 to win 1

    Depending on some moneyline value that may be gained through the day, I might have one more play by tonight. What are your thoughts? Anybody know something valuable about these games or any others on the board tonight?

  33. #33
    spargament
    socceroo..NO CAN DO
    spargament's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-22-09
    Posts: 1,557

    Quote Originally Posted by Romanov View Post
    fack it. i locked it in. this could end up being horrible value:

    Hawaii (-165) 1.65 to win 1
    5dimes
    AMAZING value actually considering my a$$ got handed to me on the spread with that Hawaii freethrow debacle ending that game. Had -3.5 in a 69-67 game involving way too many missed freethrows, especially late.

  34. #34
    Godsmack
    Godsmack's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-04-08
    Posts: 1,137
    Betpoints: 5088

    its your system bro, not sure why you are asking for anyones thoughts. gl tonight
    Points Awarded:

    DHK gave Godsmack 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  35. #35
    Ca$hfloW
    Ca$hfloW's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-16-09
    Posts: 1,186
    Betpoints: 324

    I'm on northeastern ats, BOL

1234 ... Last
Top