1. #1
    CapDees70
    CapDees70's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-11
    Posts: 79

    College Basketball Betting System

    This thread is to track 2 different College Basketball Systems for the remaining of the regular season. Some of you may already be familiar with these systems. If these systems are new to you they are easy to follow with excellent past results. Below is both systems defined and the overall records thus far for January. I will post all the plays SU and ATS for both systems in this thread.


    System #1
    Play ON any unranked team that is favored at home over a ranked team. The lines used to determine if there are any plays will be the opening line which means you need to receive the line on or as close as you can to the opening line. Don't worry if you can't get the opening line as all of the results for January below would have covered through the closing line.


    System #2
    FADE the home teams in their next game if they did cover the point spread against the ranked team whether they are home or away. Again, we will use the opening line for record tracking purposes.


    I back tested both systems for the month of January (01/01-01/20) and the results are as follows.


    System #1
    ATS: 6-0
    SU: 6-0

    System #2
    ATS: 5-1
    SU: 6-0


    As of today there are no pending system #2 plays so we can start with any system #1 plays for Saturday, 01/22/2011 in which it appears there should be at least one play. FYI, I did play a similar system for the College Football season and the results did not provide alot of plays but it did provide a overall record of 9-1.


    Last edited by CapDees70; 01-22-11 at 03:41 AM.

  2. #2
    CapDees70
    CapDees70's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-11
    Posts: 79

    Possible plays for Saturday, 01/22/2011 if the unranked home team is the opening line favorite over the ranked team:

    #4 Pittsburgh @ Depaul
    #5 Duke @ Wake Forest
    #9 BYU @ Colorado State
    #12 Kentucky @ South Carolina
    #15 Louisville @ Providence
    #19 Minnesota @ Michigan
    #21 Saint Mary's CA @ Vanderbilt
    #25 Arizona @ Washington State

  3. #3
    nikevols
    nikevols's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-07-10
    Posts: 341

    Love the Gaels tomorrow at Vandy

  4. #4
    CapDees70
    CapDees70's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-11
    Posts: 79

    Quote Originally Posted by nikevols View Post
    Love the Gaels tomorrow at Vandy
    If Vanderbilt is the favorite on Saturday at home versus Saint Mary's CA then Vanderbilt will be a play ON team.

  5. #5
    CapDees70
    CapDees70's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-11
    Posts: 79

    01/22/201

    Below are the official plays for Saturday. I use the opening lines from Bookmaker (BM) so when they become available I will edit this post with the official pointspreads and money line odds. In the meantime if you are going to tail, place your wagers as close to the opening line as you can.

    System #1

    #19 Minnesota @ Michigan
    Play ON Michigan
    ATS: -1
    ML: -130

    #21 Saint Mary's CA @ Vanderbilt
    Play ON Vanderbilt
    ATS: -5
    ML: -215

    #25 Arizona @ Washington State
    Play ON Washington State
    ATS: -2.5
    ML: -140
    Last edited by CapDees70; 01-22-11 at 11:20 AM. Reason: ALL LINES ADDED

  6. #6
    sinhdinh
    sinhdinh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-10
    Posts: 145

    system #2 Fade if theyare as home or away???

  7. #7
    CapDees70
    CapDees70's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-11
    Posts: 79

    Quote Originally Posted by sinhdinh View Post
    system #2 Fade if theyare as home or away???
    Hey sin. System #2 is a automatic fade whether home or away. Of course we are fading only if the team covers the spread in system #1.

  8. #8
    Small Timer
    Small Timer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-12-11
    Posts: 389
    Betpoints: 504

    Interesting results so far.

  9. #9
    CapDees70
    CapDees70's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-11
    Posts: 79

    Quote Originally Posted by Small Timer View Post
    Interesting results so far.
    Very good for January thus far. As we all know any system we use will correct itself eventually meaning we know it won't remain undefeated. If anyone would like I can post all the previous plays with the point spreads for the month of January to help solidify the record I posted.

  10. #10
    sinhdinh
    sinhdinh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-10
    Posts: 145

    HI Capdees .thank you for answer my question.Can you keep this thread go on for the end of season...?

  11. #11
    CapDees70
    CapDees70's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-11
    Posts: 79

    I sure will. I am not goig anywhere.

  12. #12
    CapDees70
    CapDees70's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-11
    Posts: 79

    All plays and lines are updated for Saturday in post #5.

  13. #13
    CapDees70
    CapDees70's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-11
    Posts: 79

    Good luck today everyone.


  14. #14
    CapDees70
    CapDees70's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-11
    Posts: 79

    Quote Originally Posted by CapDees70 View Post
    01/22/201

    Below are the official plays for Saturday. I use the opening lines from Bookmaker (BM) so when they become available I will edit this post with the official pointspreads and money line odds. In the meantime if you are going to tail, place your wagers as close to the opening line as you can.

    System #1

    #19 Minnesota @ Michigan
    Play ON Michigan
    ATS: -1
    ML: -130


    #21 Saint Mary's CA @ Vanderbilt
    Play ON Vanderbilt
    ATS: -5
    ML: -215

    Saint Mary's, CA 70
    Vanderbilt 89
    FINAL


    #25 Arizona @ Washington State
    Play ON Washington State
    ATS: -2.5
    ML: -140

    SBR Record Tracking:
    System #1 ATS: 1-0, +1.0 units
    System #1 ML: 1-0, +1.0 units
    System #2 ATS: 0-0
    System #2 ML: 0-0

  15. #15
    nitsuj378
    nitsuj378's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-10
    Posts: 124
    Betpoints: 2250

    What poll are you using? AP, ESPN/USA Today?

  16. #16
    CapDees70
    CapDees70's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-11
    Posts: 79

    Quote Originally Posted by nitsuj378 View Post
    What poll are you using? AP, ESPN/USA Today?
    The AP is the only poll to use with this system. (Same as NCAAF)

  17. #17
    CapDees70
    CapDees70's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-11
    Posts: 79

    Quote Originally Posted by CapDees70 View Post
    01/22/201

    Below are the official plays for Saturday. I use the opening lines from Bookmaker (BM) so when they become available I will edit this post with the official pointspreads and money line odds. In the meantime if you are going to tail, place your wagers as close to the opening line as you can.

    System #1

    #19 Minnesota @ Michigan
    Play ON Michigan
    ATS: -1
    ML: -130

    Minnesota 69
    Michigan 64
    FINAL


    #21 Saint Mary's CA @ Vanderbilt
    Play ON Vanderbilt
    ATS: -5
    ML: -215

    Saint Mary's, CA 70
    Vanderbilt 89
    FINAL


    #25 Arizona @ Washington State
    Play ON Washington State
    ATS: -2.5
    ML: -140



    SBR Record Tracking:
    System #1 ATS: 1-1, -.10 units
    System #1 ML: 1-1, -.30 units
    System #2 ATS: 0-0
    System #2 ML: 0-0

  18. #18
    kernssca
    kernssca's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-31-10
    Posts: 330

    Thought about going with it but didn't, did like Vandy, being Big ten fan I was hesitant about Michigan. SO far looks good with keep track

  19. #19
    CapDees70
    CapDees70's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-11
    Posts: 79

    Quote Originally Posted by kernssca View Post
    Thought about going with it but didn't, did like Vandy, being Big ten fan I was hesitant about Michigan. SO far looks good with keep track
    Yeah there is absolutely no capping with these plays. It is strictly a system style of wagering/tracking. Upon back testing back a few years the ATS results for system #1 have about a 65% win rate and with system #2 maybe slightly higher. System #1 ML wagers are mostly favorites which require laying juice and system #2 ML plays are mostly underdogs which of course give us a better payout.

  20. #20
    nitsuj378
    nitsuj378's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-10
    Posts: 124
    Betpoints: 2250

    Quote Originally Posted by CapDees70 View Post
    Yeah there is absolutely no capping with these plays. It is strictly a system style of wagering/tracking. Upon back testing back a few years the ATS results for system #1 have about a 65% win rate and with system #2 maybe slightly higher. System #1 ML wagers are mostly favorites which require laying juice and system #2 ML plays are mostly underdogs which of course give us a better payout.
    So you have these results?

Top