1. 03-30-15 10:43 PM #1
    Mongo927
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    NCAA Bracket Hedge Strategy

    Hey guys - haven't posted on here in a while, but I need some help and thought this would be the best place to come.

    I'm currently in a NCAA March Madness bracket pool and have a chance to win $2,500 on a $20 entry. In order to win, I would need the following:

    Duke over Michigan State
    Wisconsin over Kentucky
    Wisconsin over Duke

    If any other outcome occurs, I walk away with nothing, so I'm looking for a way to hedge. Ideally, I would like to guarantee myself around $1,000 if I get to final with both Duke and Wisconsin in it, which I would be able to do with a simple hedge bet on Duke (assuming they would be an underdog if Wisconsin knocks off Kentucky).

    However, I would like to guarantee some profit regardless of the Final Four outcomes, but I'm having some trouble thinking of what to do that would make the most sense. My biggest dilemma is obviously the Wisconsin-Kentucky game. My hedge is on Kentucky, but they're such a large favorite that I would have to risk a large amount on them.

    I'm open to any suggestions and appreciate any help. Thanks!
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  2. 03-31-15 08:45 AM #2
    Mongo927
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    Anyone have any ideas?
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  3. 03-31-15 09:17 AM #3
    DOM_Toretto
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    Odds of exact championship matchup:

    UK - Duke -110
    UK - MSU +300
    Wiscy - MSU +700
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  4. 03-31-15 09:18 AM #4
    DOM_Toretto
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    Or maybe bet MSU ML against Duke, and also bet the UK-Duke matchup at -110.
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  5. 03-31-15 03:48 PM #5
    Mongo927
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    Quote Originally Posted by DOM_Toretto View Post
    Or maybe bet MSU ML against Duke, and also bet the UK-Duke matchup at -110.
    This definitely isn't a bad idea. How much would you think I need to bet on each?
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  6. 03-31-15 04:36 PM #6
    Hu$tle
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    If I were you I would let the Duke ride. If that loses I believe your bet deserves to lose.

    Hedge: UK - Duke -110

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  7. 03-31-15 04:37 PM #7
    Luv2Play2
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    the bitch of it is as like many other hedges your stuck on ml dog.. sure the fav pays less to win, but the buy out to the dog + points is far cheaper.. fuc the dogs.. gl hope you win,,L2P2
    Last edited by Luv2Play2; 03-31-15 at 04:49 PM. Reason: spell check
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