Kansas ML

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  • Bengals28
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-11
    • 2164

    #1
    Kansas ML
    First and foremost I will say that laying juice like this on the road in conference play is a quick way to go broke. Kansas is 3-3 on the road in their last 6. That being said I'm going against my own precautions. I just think KU has a matchup advantage at virtually every position. They are undoubtedly the more supremely talented team. Obviously the most talented and better team doesn't always win though or else we would all be rich. I just feel like Self will have his boys ready to play even in the tough environment in a rivalry game. It might be close for awhile and potentially into the second half but in the end I think Kansas will prevail.

    Look for a bounce back game from Selden after a couple of clunkers in the last 2 scoring 5 and 4. Ridiculously talented Kelly Oubre was held scoreless last game look for him to contribute as well. Ellis has been steady all year and I see him posting a solid 15 and 10. K State's hope for victory relies on the shoulders of enigmatic guard Marcus Foster. Like I said I'm just having a hard time deciphering where K State has a match-up advantage. In the end I think Kansas is just going to be too much for them.
  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65457

    #2
    I read your post twice. (nice job)
    Sounds to me like you like KU to win the game, but you are afraid to lay the 5 or 5.5?
    Or am I reading into this wrong?

    If you are afraid of the juice (by juice do you mean -220 or -240 on the money line, or do you mean spotting KSU 5 or 5.5 points)

    If you think KU wins, and are afraid they don't cover, take the home dog plus the points.
    Or, consider a money line parlay KU with one or two other favorites.

    Looks to me like you like KU but you are a little apprehensive.

    Best of luck
    Comment
    • Bengals28
      SBR MVP
      • 04-20-11
      • 2164

      #3
      Originally posted by stevenash
      I read your post twice. (nice job)
      Sounds to me like you like KU to win the game, but you are afraid to lay the 5 or 5.5?
      Or am I reading into this wrong?

      If you are afraid of the juice (by juice do you mean -220 or -240 on the money line, or do you mean spotting KSU 5 or 5.5 points)

      If you think KU wins, and are afraid they don't cover, take the home dog plus the points.
      Or, consider a money line parlay KU with one or two other favorites.

      Looks to me like you like KU but you are a little apprehensive.

      Best of luck
      I would agree with this. I really think Kansas wins but I've lost and admittedly won bets on buckets at the very end of games that have nothing to do with the outcome of who wins and who loses. Usually if the spread is only a few points I will just lay the moneyline on the favorite. 5 is obviously a little more than a few, but I just feel safer this way if that makes sense?
      Comment
      • sunnyCA
        SBR Rookie
        • 05-25-14
        • 14

        #4
        I feel similar about this game bc its a rivalry game. some underdogs get way up for games like this but I am not sure K st. will. Kansas ML is not a bad play if u feel good about it. take what u can from the game and move on, just dont bet too big. the end score may be decided by 5 or 6 pts but i too feel like KU will handle their biz and be in control most of the time
        Comment
        • R.P. McMurphy
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 06-15-12
          • 9654

          #5
          Whole rivalry aspect overplayed a bit here and always been 1 sided. Not talking Duke/Unc or Tucky/Ville here folks. Not gonna over think this one taking KU /Spurs ml par tonight just to be safe. I realize going with 2 road teams never a good idea. But neither of these squads has ANY reason or excuse they lose tonight! Bol
          Comment
          • RavensFan2k3
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-18-12
            • 17378

            #6
            Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy
            Whole rivalry aspect overplayed a bit here and always been 1 sided. Not talking Duke/Unc or Tucky/Ville here folks. Not gonna over think this one taking KU /Spurs ml par tonight just to be safe. I realize going with 2 road teams never a good idea. But neither of these squads has ANY reason or excuse they lose tonight! Bol
            Be careful with Spurs
            Comment
            • R.P. McMurphy
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-15-12
              • 9654

              #7
              Yeah Spurs been shady this year a bit I agree. Team been cheating father time for awhile now successfully but no team beats it and maybe this is the year. 3rd gm on rodeo tour tho and trying to avoid 0-3 start vs a bad Jizz team I will take my chances. If it were a b2b or bad spot I would stay away. But like I said neither team should lose tonight I'm quite confident. If it happens oh well that's gambling and had shitty beats before!
              Comment
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