[keel44]

January 23

Parlay 06-B: Hawks -3.5 with 76ers UNDER 194.5 (0.90 to win 2.25)
Parlay 09-A: Hornets +10.5 with Magic OVER 207 (0.36 to win 0.90)

Ever since I reevaluated my bet selection process, I am 10-9 on my parlays. That was since January 8. I look for trends to continue coupled with common analysis of the lines. It fits perfectly to this money management strategy.

I am currently up +14.39 units on the year. I have a "C" bet waiting and 2 more "B" bets coming.

[keel44]

January 24

Parlay 07-B: Pistons -1.5 with Bucks UNDER 195.5 (0.90 to win 2.25)

* bought the half a point on the Pistons

[fitguy67]

keeler killin 'da books softly wit' da' parlays ...

good luck to us now with this nice little stash of B's and C's...i'm following along 'zakly as you call'em

[keel44]

Have you actually played all of my plays this NBA season, Fitguy67? If so, you showed great patience as that was a long long process. I can handle it, but most people cannot.

[fitguy67]

yes, i became a believer back in MLB...irritatingly painful for weeks on end...UNTIL a 'C' finally hits and all the $-erosion suffered PLUS the 20% bankroll-boost floods into the coffers at the same time...i have earmarked a fund for this, and i'm prepared to lose it...so when it instead jumps a full 20%, it's all good

with coumpounding (by resetting the $-defintions after each successful C-hit)...you only need to hit 4 times to more than double the account...

this is a solidly +EV slot-machine of sport-plays you've constructed here...worth suffering thru the droughts when you know a downpour is never more than a few plays away

[keel44]

yes, i became a believer back in MLB...irritatingly painful for weeks on end...UNTIL a 'C' finally hits and all the $-erosion suffered PLUS the 20% bankroll-boost floods into the coffers at the same time...i have earmarked a fund for this, and i'm prepared to lose it...so when it instead jumps a full 20%, it's all good

with coumpounding (by resetting the $-defintions after each successful C-hit)...you only need to hit 4 times to more than double the account...

this is a solidly +EV slot-machine of sport-plays you've constructed here...worth suffering thru the droughts when you know a downpour is never more than a few plays away

You avatar says it all, except it is real money, not monopoly money.

I figure on 80-120 units in year. I think that is worth an occasional 2 month drought.

+58.28 units since July 23 (6 months ago)

[keel44]

January 24

Parlay 07-B: Pistons -1.5 with Bucks UNDER 195.5 (0.90 to win 2.25)

The red hot Pistons are official cool now.

[keel44]

January 25

Parlay 08-B: Cavs -3.5 with Raptors UNDER 197.5 (0.94 to win 2.44)

[keel44]

January 25

Parlay 08-B: Cavs -3.5 with Raptors UNDER 197.5 (0.94 to win 2.44)

O.K. still gotta "C" bet waiting

[keel44]

January 26

When you press 2 straight bets into each other, you essentially get a 2 team parlay. So today for my "C" bet, I will do a 2 team 4 point teaser. This pays -110. Tomorrow will be the second bet I need. It will be "pressed" into today's wager if I win.

Play 06-C: (4 point Teaser) Grizzlies -8.5 with Clippers -9.5 (3.15 to win 2.86)

[keel44]

January 26

Play 06-C: (4 point Teaser) Grizzlies -8.5 with Clippers -9.5 (3.15 to win 2.86)

man that sucks

[keel44]

Time for patience

January 27

Parlay 10-A: Wizards -9.5 with Raptors UNDER 194.5 (0.37 to win 0.96)

[keel44]

Time for patience

January 27

Parlay 10-A: Wizards -9.5 with Raptors UNDER 194.5 (0.37 to win 0.96)

[keel44]

January 28

Parlay 11-A: Pelicans -6.5 with Cavs -5.5 (0.38 to win 0.98)
Parlay 12-A: Raptors -5.5 with Rockets OVER 207 (0.39 to win 0.97)

* bought a half a point on the Raptors

[keel44]

January 28

Parlay 11-A: Pelicans -6.5 with Cavs -5.5 (0.38 to win 0.98)
Parlay 12-A: Raptors -5.5 with Rockets OVER 207 (0.39 to win 0.97)

I'm in funk

[keel44]

January 29

Parlay 13-A: Nuggets +10.5 with Bulls UNDER 195.5 (0.41 to win 1.02)

* bought a half a point on the Bulls total

[fitguy67]

let's score a fresh "B" ticket tonight, keel

[keel44]

January 29

Parlay 13-A: Nuggets +10.5 with Bulls UNDER 195.5 (0.41 to win 1.02)

ice cold right now

[keel44]

January 30

Parlay 14-A: Cavs -6.5 with 76ers UNDER 192.5 (0.42 to win 1.05)

* bought a half a point on the Cavs

[keel44]

January 30

Parlay 14-A: Cavs -6.5 with 76ers UNDER 192.5 (0.42 to win 1.05)

-3.33 units on this run

[keel44]

January 31

Parlay 15-A: Suns UNDER 225 with Bucks OVER 196.5 (0.43 to win 1.12)
Parlay 16-A: Spurs -4.5 with 76ers +16.5 (0.44 to win 1.10)

* bought a half a point on the Spurs

[nelsonrc24]

Which bookie do you use? Do you place those parlays always on the same bookie?

[keel44]

Which bookie do you use? Do you place those parlays always on the same bookie?

www.sportsbook.ag ------- why?

[nelsonrc24]

When using profitable systems, on the long run, bookies usually block these kind of bettors.

[keel44]

I use a sportsbook and I think they love bettors like me.
I love my system, but it is a long way from being a long run winner. Time will tell.

[nelsonrc24]

Why would you think its not profitable on the long run? As long as your unit isnt too big compared to your bankroll, this cant fail.

[keel44]

I think if I can do this all year for a couple years, I would say it is profitable. I did have a bad run earlier in the NBA. Half of my total bankroll was gone. I did recover for a profit. I really love my system because I have sooooo many opportunities for success.

Are you on board with me nelsonrc24?

[nelsonrc24]

Count me in mate! Its a great system! Will start tomorrow

[keel44]

You can use your own picks or follow mine or anyone else.
Use my money management outline as posted on this thread in the very first post.
You should be profitable every month.

[keel44]

January 31

Parlay 15-A: Suns UNDER 225 with Bucks OVER 196.5 (0.43 to win 1.12)
Parlay 16-A: Spurs -4.5 with 76ers +16.5 (0.44 to win 1.10)

I wish I paired them up differently...

[amitaf0]

Count me in mate! Its a great system! Will start tomorrow

sorry Nelson. i need help in english. o meu ingles é pessimo.
i am with you too Keel

[nelsonrc24]

You can use your own picks or follow mine or anyone else.
Use my money management outline as posted on this thread in the very first post.
You should be profitable every month.

Will start tomorrow. I only like Knicks today.

[nelsonrc24]

sorry Nelson. i need help in english. o meu ingles é pessimo.
i am with you too Keel

If you need anything, send me a PM.

[amitaf0]

If you need anything, send me a PM.

Thanks.

[bigtymer56]

Why would you think its not profitable on the long run? As long as your unit isnt too big compared to your bankroll, this cant fail.

While I personally do enjoy this system...like most betting systems (esp. chases) do it long enough and you'll eventually hit that really bad run that bankrupts you.

For example, before we were at the point where we were down 20 units and betting around 1 unit a parlay. Continuning to increase the bets with each additional loss, probably wouldve left us with only 20-25 more attempts until we hit the 50 unit bankroll limit.

While losing 50 or even 100 attempts in a row might seem like alot, when your trying to win 6 games in row, its actually not out of the ordinary.