1. #71
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-12
    Posts: 271
    Betpoints: 2140

    For those that remember, it was brought up from Stifler that if a team has a lead in each of the first 3 qrtrs of a game (each quarter in of itself), that they will score less than their opponent in the fourth. That system is 14-6-1 including tonights with the exception of Nets/Kings which has that system going (Kings led all 3 qrtrs). Currently with 3 minutes to go, Nets are leading the 4th qrtr which would bring it up to 15-6-1. If you add any games that had ties in the 2nd or 3rd qrtr, that's another 5 wins to 1 loss for a grand total of 19-7-1.
    Nets came up short and it was a push..14-6-2 (19-7-2). Interestingly, both pushes were tonight.

  2. #72
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    11/14/13 14W-10L +13.55u

    Results
    6B S3 Sacramento 2.31 to win 2.1
    11B S3 LA Clippers 2.31 to win 2.1
    14A S1 Portland 1.1 to win 1.0u
    15A S4 Toronto fade Memphis 1.1 to win 1.0u

    16A S4 Houston fade Philly 1.1 to win 1.0u
    17A S4 Okla fade LA Clippers 1.1 to win 1.ou
    Today's Games!
    18A S4 Houston fade NYKnicks 1.1 to win 1.00u

    Note - The RPI for these two teams are very close, should be a good game. Like this game.

    Tomorrows known games

    14B S1 Portland
    15B S4 Tor fade Chi
    19A S1 Brook fade Phx
    21A S3 LALakers
    22A S4 Philly fade Atl
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-14-13 at 08:08 AM.
    Points Awarded:

    BuckeyeKaptn gave Grinder12000 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  3. #73
    takethepnts
    takethepnts's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-18-13
    Posts: 268
    Betpoints: 3455

    Doing great so far ... thanks for the posting Grinder , have a great night !

  4. #74
    matt#1
    matt#1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-21-12
    Posts: 136
    Betpoints: 519

    Very interesting system. Awesome start so far

  5. #75
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    11/15/13 14W-11L +12.45u

    Results
    18A S4 Houston fade NYKnicks 1.1 to win 1.00u Close, but no cigar!
    Today
    14B S1 Portland 2.31 to win 2.10u
    15B S4 Tor fade Chicago 2.31 to win 2.10u
    19A S1 Brook fade Phx 1.10 to win 1.00
    21A S3 LALakers 1.10 to win 1.00
    22A S4 Philly fade Atl 1.10 to win 1.00

    Note RPI numbers

    Portland .581 4th in league Boston .408 28th in league
    LALakers .521 11th in League Memphis .493 15th in league

    Lakers have played a very hard schedule so far this year. Their opponents winning % is .597 and their opponents opponents winning % is .504.

    Tomorrows known Games

    18B S1 Houston fade Denver 2.31 to win 2.10u
    19B S1 Brooklyn fade LA Clippers 2.31 to win 2.10u
    22A S4 Brooklyn fade LA Clippers 1.10 to win 1.00u
    20A S1 N.O. fade Philly 1.10 to win 1.00u

    --------

    NOTE - if there is a close game ATS and the line used is in question I will ask you guys what you got and try to make a fair decision.
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-15-13 at 10:49 PM.

  6. #76
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    New system WAS too good to be true! Carry on - all is well
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-15-13 at 04:32 PM.

  7. #77
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    Wish I had THAT 4 hours back!
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-15-13 at 04:32 PM.

  8. #78
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    11/16/13 18W-13L +17.55u

    Results
    14B S1 Portland 2.31 to win 2.10u
    15B S4 Tor fade Chicago 2.31 to win 2.10u

    19A S1 Brook fade Phx 1.10 to win 1.00
    21A S3 LALakers 1.10 to win 1.00 *** changed from loss to a win at +3.5
    22A S4 Philly fade Atl 1.10 to win 1.00


    Today

    18B S4 Houston fade Denver 2.31 to win 2.10u
    19B S1 Brook fade LA Clippers 2.31 to win 2.10u
    20A S1 N.O. Fade Philadelphia 1.10 to win 1.00u
    22A s4 Brook fade LA Clippers 1.10 to win 1.00u

    A Clippers victory would solve a lot of upcoming stress

    Tomorrows known Games

    21B S3 LA Lakers 2.31 to win 2.10u ??? depends if 21A was a win/push/loss

    And I'm working on a totals system
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-16-13 at 10:53 PM.
    Points Awarded:

    BuckeyeKaptn gave Grinder12000 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  9. #79
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-12
    Posts: 271
    Betpoints: 2140

    I put an alarm on my phone to check the Web for plays and make them. I can give points too!

  10. #80
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    BuckeyeKaptn - that is so sad LOL I'm -6 GMT! what are you.

  11. #81
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-12
    Posts: 271
    Betpoints: 2140

    Eastern time United States...-5? GMT...it's 10 pm this post. The alarm was to remind me to check it while I'm at work

  12. #82
    Afterimage
    Afterimage's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-07-13
    Posts: 44
    Betpoints: 1467

    I won the Lakers bet at +3.5. Did you not get that number?

  13. #83
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    Actually I did have +3.5 but I was thinking most had +3.

    what did other have on the Lakers. ?????

    My database has it at +3.5 should I go with that?? Opinions?
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-16-13 at 10:54 PM.

  14. #84
    miczz14
    Update your status
    miczz14's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-13
    Posts: 146
    Betpoints: 2564

    the closing line is still +3 so lal is still a play?

  15. #85
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    NO = Lakers are NOT a play

    Reason is if you pushed then there are only 3 games left in the home stand.

    Does that make sense??? Gotta have 4 games.
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-17-13 at 08:59 AM.

  16. #86
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    11/17/13 18W-17L +10.73u

    Results
    18B S4 Houston fade Denver 2.31 to win 2.10u
    19B S1 Brook fade LA Clippers 2.31 to win 2.10u
    20A S1 N.O. Fade Philadelphia 1.10 to win 1.00u
    22A s4 Brook fade LA Clippers 1.10 to win 1.00u
    Whole lotta red up there!

    NO GAMES today. Some of you had LALakers at +3 and some at +3.5. My database downloaded to +3.5 and that is what I had so I'm counting the game as a win. IF you had +3 the series is canceled as it needs a 4 game home series to complete.



    Tomorrows known games
    19C S3 Brooklyn fade Portland 4.30 to win 3.91u ** TOTAL 6.11 to win 5.55u on this game
    22B S4 Brooklyn fade Portland 1.81 to win 1.64u
    28A S4 Portland fade Brooklyn 0.00 to win 0.00
    26A S1 Utah 1.10 to win 1.00u
    27A S3 Oklahoma 1.10 to win 1.00u
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-17-13 at 03:04 PM.

  17. #87
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    11/18/13 18W-17L +10.73u


    Today's games
    19C S1 Brooklyn fade Portland 4.30 to win 3.91u ** TOTAL 6.11 to win 5.55u on this game
    22B S4 Brooklyn fade Portland 1.81 to win 1.64u
    28A S4 Portland fade Brooklyn 0.00 to win 0.00
    26A S1 Utah 1.10 to win 1.00u
    27A S3 Oklahoma 1.10 to win 1.00u

    Brooklyn is ranked 29th in RPI while Portland is 6th

    I took 1.1 unit away from 26A and put it against 19c and 22B so we are not paying extra juice.

    Tomorrows Known games


    18C S4 Houston fade Boston 4.85 to win 4.41u
    23A S4 Phoenix fade Sacramento 1.10 to win 1.00u
    24A S4 Washington fade Minnesota 1.10 to win 1.00
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-18-13 at 04:25 PM.

  18. #88
    KC Needs Hockey
    KC Needs Hockey's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-10
    Posts: 387
    Betpoints: 214

    I'm jumping in to the system here's to a + season . Think I am just going to start with the A bets tonight and not worry about the Brooklyn fade.

  19. #89
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    Seems like a good strategy KC. 28A for you would be 1.10u to win 1.00u Just remember that going forward. Any questions just PM me.

    Kind of quiet around here!

    And for entertainment - if any of you are into Symphonic Goth Metal with a female vocalist that will blow your mind. This is on of my bucket list concerts and my hard rock obsession. I discovered these guys a few years ago from Pandora - never even knew there was this genre' How I'm addicted. Turn up the sound and close the doors!! it's my thread right? LOL

    Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-18-13 at 03:01 PM.

  20. #90
    imotiv8
    imotiv8's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-28-09
    Posts: 874
    Betpoints: 5634

    isnt the C bet tonight S1

  21. #91
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    Correct S1

  22. #92
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    11/19/13 20W-20L +14.08u

    Sorry KC Needs Hockey :-) rough start for you.

    Results

    19C S1 Brooklyn fade Portland 4.30 to win 3.91u
    22B S4 Brooklyn fade Portland 1.81 to win 1.64u

    28A S4 Portland fade Brooklyn 0.00 to win 0.00
    26A S1 Utah 1.10 to win 1.00u ** I had Utah as a push but I bet most had +8.5?? Will continue as a B bet
    27A S3 Oklahoma 1.10 to win 1.00u
    Today (Tomorrow - Tuesday) - check back this is Monday night - getting things done early

    18C S4 Houston fade Boston 4.85 to win 4.41u
    23A S4 Phoenix fade Sacramento 1.10 to win 1.00u
    24A S4 Washington fade Minnesota 1.10 to win 1.00

    I'm hoping Houston is looking past Boston at Dallas the next night

    Wednesday Games
    26B S1 Utah 0.00 to win 0.00 sigh
    20B S1 N.O. fade Utah 0.00 to win 0.00 sigh what are the freaking chances
    23B ?????
    18D ?????
    24B ?????
    25A S4 Cleve fade Wash 1.10 to win 1.00u
    30B S4 Port fade Milwaukee 2.31 to win 2.10u
    29A S4 Tor fade Pilly 1.10 to win 1.00u

    i'll format the above better when I get to a REAL computer.

    i notice I have two "26" series I'm making Port fade into a "30"
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-19-13 at 09:13 AM.
    Points Awarded:

    samcro1 gave Grinder12000 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    KC Needs Hockey gave Grinder12000 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  23. #93
    Afterimage
    Afterimage's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-07-13
    Posts: 44
    Betpoints: 1467

    Thank you Portland! Thank you Grinder!

  24. #94
    KC Needs Hockey
    KC Needs Hockey's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-10
    Posts: 387
    Betpoints: 214

    "Sorry KC Needs Hockey :-) rough start for you."

    It happens you will find out I am not one of those guys who will be jumping off a building after a couple of A losses now if all three of these bets lose on D might take a dive lol.

  25. #95
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    Careful with those S1 bets. Those are the ones underperforming so far.
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-19-13 at 05:59 PM.

  26. #96
    miczz14
    Update your status
    miczz14's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-13
    Posts: 146
    Betpoints: 2564

    D bet and S1 Uta.. hope both will end the series tomorrow.. *fingers crossed*

    @grinder
    can you post the score of A, B, C, D bets score of each system? Much appreciated
    Last edited by miczz14; 11-20-13 at 04:59 AM.

  27. #97
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    11/20/13 22W-21L +9.57u


    Results

    18C S4 Houston fade Boston 4.85 to win 4.41u
    23A S4 Phoenix fade Sacramento 1.10 to win 1.00u
    24A S4 Washington fade Minnesota 1.10 to win 1.00

    Today
    18D S4 Houston fade Dallas 10.19 to win 9.26
    20B S1 N.O. fade Utah 2.31 to win 2.1
    26B S1 Utah 2.31 to win 2.1
    25A S4 Cleve fade Wash 0.00 to win 0.00
    29A S4 Tor fade Philly 1.10 to win 1.00u
    30B S4 Port fade Milwaukee 1.21 to win 1.10u
    31A S1 Portland 0.00 to win 0.00u

    24B S4 Washington fade Cleveland 1.21 to win 1.10u

    Tomorrows known games

    27B S3 Oklahoma 2.31 to win 2.10u
    -------------------------
    I made a comment yesterday about being careful with S1 plays. Being a dude of stats and averages I'm not real pleases with the winning % of the systems so far this year. The CURRENT win rate is not conducive to winning $$. But it IS early in the season so so far it's all good.

    S4
    A 9-7
    B 3-3
    C 0-3
    D 2-0

    S1
    A 2-7
    B 3-2
    C 2-1
    D 0-0

    S3
    A 3-2
    B 2-0
    C 0-0
    D 0-0

    With tonight's S4 "D "game the system in the last 7 years is 17-5 in "D" games.

    S1 "A" games have been atrocious at 2-7, I do not have stats from back-testing the individual games, only the series as a whole. I do know that in the last 10 years the teams selected were outstanding in S1 plays but of course with any system where you pick the best it does not always mean they will continue to be the best so it's a 10 year rolling average. Will it work? That is what I would like to know also - no guarantees!

    Buyer beware.
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-20-13 at 10:41 AM.
    Points Awarded:

    samcro1 gave Grinder12000 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  28. #98
    mcrisp
    mcrisp's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-28-12
    Posts: 33
    Betpoints: 272

    Sir Grinder, what line did you get for MIN@WAS 11-19-13? i think was won in the odds

  29. #99
    KC Needs Hockey
    KC Needs Hockey's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-10
    Posts: 387
    Betpoints: 214

    Unless I am losing it I am pretty sure that Minnesota lost yesterday and were favorites by -3 or at least thats what I had them at. Did a bet the game wrong? Thanks for the time!

  30. #100
    Afterimage
    Afterimage's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-07-13
    Posts: 44
    Betpoints: 1467

    We could just forget Utah and put everything on Indiana. Pacers will destroy NY. Good luck to all tonight!

  31. #101
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    Correct - my bad - Not sure I was thinking of Washington - I'll change things a bit.

    NOTE CHANGES

    25A S4 Cleve fade Wash 0.00 to win 0.00
    24B S4 Washington fade Cleveland 1.21 to win 1.10u

    Sorry guys!! I guess I need to play both sides tonight - IF you already have a wager in on Wash just do the 2.31 to win 2.1 as normal - lose a little juice. Your bookie will thank you.

    Man my spread sheet is messy today LOL
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-20-13 at 10:48 AM.
    Points Awarded:

    KC Needs Hockey gave Grinder12000 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  32. #102
    KC Needs Hockey
    KC Needs Hockey's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-10
    Posts: 387
    Betpoints: 214

    Quote Originally Posted by Grinder12000 View Post
    Correct - my bad - Not sure I was thinking of Washington - I'll change things a bit.

    NOTE CHANGES

    25A S4 Cleve fade Wash 0.00 to win 0.00
    24B S4 Washington fade Cleveland 1.21 to win 1.10u

    Sorry guys!! I guess I need to play both sides tonight - IF you already have a wager in on Wash just do the 2.31 to win 2.1 as normal - lose a little juice. Your bookie will thank you.

    Man my spread sheet is messy today LOL
    Thanks for the update, I figured it was me there are so many times in the mourning when I look at things and say man thats wrong. Then look at them in the afternoon and think to myself what the hell was i thinking.

  33. #103
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-12
    Posts: 271
    Betpoints: 2140

    I accidently put 15 units on milwaukee. I had to do it through my phone cause a damn squirrel killed the transformer on the electric pole outside while I was home on lunch ......which meant no wifi.

    I need a 3 pointer!!! 29 seconds left.

    Even after that loss of 16.5 units, I'm still up on the day.
    Last edited by BuckeyeKaptn; 11-20-13 at 09:48 PM.

  34. #104
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-12
    Posts: 271
    Betpoints: 2140

    Grinder, would you be able, just once, put all the plays that have happened, from number #1 to now, along with the system plays? I have seemed to got lost on who is who and just wanna confirm my sheet with yours. Or by PM, if you don't wanna clog the thread.

  35. #105
    Grinder12000
    Grinder12000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-21-11
    Posts: 1,809

    Ever notice when you penetrate up you always lose? I feel your pain.

    would a snap shot of my spread sheet help? Ill get on that tomorrow. Not looking good for Dallas.

First 123456 ... Last
Top