1. #1
    Aaron McCrevice
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    i$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ 66.9% WINNER $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

    Boston/Indiana UNDER 184.5

    ( 66.9% / 52.4% ) - 1 = 27.6% edge



    Danny G. is having puss drained and will be out for Indy


    KELLY BETTORS KEEP YOUR CHIN UP

  2. #2
    Shipcity
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    danny granger being out isn't a good thing for the under....

  3. #3
    Aaron McCrevice
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shipcity View Post
    danny granger being out isn't a good thing for the under....

    his absence tonite validates seaon numbers to date (minus a few games) that indicate this number is way too high..

    Danny G is still a warmbody scorer, puss & all....no???

  4. #4
    jds07v
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    He is a warm body scorer but is also a pretty good on the ball/perimeter defender

  5. #5
    Shipcity
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    At this point in time, no, not in my opinion. I think Orlando Johnson has been a much better option off the bench for them, especially from beyond the arc. I still like the under tho, not saying i don't, i was just jokingly saying i would rather granger play, given how bad he has shot the ball since his return.

  6. #6
    Shipcity
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    Quote Originally Posted by jds07v View Post
    He is a warm body scorer but is also a pretty good on the ball/perimeter defender
    I think he was a good defender before he was asked to be the primary scorer. His defense isnt what it was his first few years in the league.

  7. #7
    stevenash
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    Can you shove any more dollar signs in your thread title?

    BTP
    Week 3
    3-2-0 132 pts

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 10/23/2014

    110pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY9th Place 10/29/2014


  8. #8
    Aaron McCrevice
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    what you say makes good sense from a qualitative standpoint, but it doesn't resolve to a number

    my reply would be either:

    a) Indy's a top defensive team with or without Danny G

    b) they're playing Boston, and there ain't much to defend unless headband Pierce gets lucky

    c) the seasoned numbers already reflect Danny G's absence all year, so it's easy to come up with a number on this game


    I choose (c) because it's the only one that resolves to a cold hard number.

  9. #9
    Aaron McCrevice
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Can you shove any more dollar signs in your thread title?

    yes, why yes I can

  10. #10
    Aaron McCrevice
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    wish I had a bonus play in case this one collapses

  11. #11
    Shipcity
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aaron McCrevice View Post
    wish I had a bonus play in case this one collapses
    Lakers, basically a must win for them

  12. #12
    nammertl
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    San Antonio, Indiana, Atlanta

    I don't see these 3 teams losing. I think SA covers 1st half and Indy/Atlanta wins their games.

    3 units on SA 1H and parlay Indy/Atl spreads together for a unit.

  13. #13
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aaron McCrevice View Post

    ( 66.9% / 52.4% ) - 1 = 27.6% edge



    Explain this to me?

    BTP
    Week 3
    3-2-0 132 pts

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 10/23/2014

    110pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY9th Place 10/29/2014


  14. #14
    nammertl
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    oops...meant to create my own thread. oh well.

  15. #15
    Aaron McCrevice
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Explain this to me?

    I predict the total points goes under 184.5 approx. 66.9% of the time. At -110 odds that's a 27.6% edge.

  16. #16
    Aaron McCrevice
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    Name:  049.jpg
Views: 165
Size:  33.1 KB




    my ticket lacks the impressive girth/length that NittanyLionsFan displayed in the NHL forum


    GL GENTS

  17. #17
    Aaron McCrevice
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shipcity View Post
    Lakers, basically a must win for them

    got Lakers capped at -1 in New Orleans

    and that's before adjusting to how much worse they actually are ATS

  18. #18
    bjb7223
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    Granger is done in indy they'll get rid of him in the summer

  19. #19
    heathbledger
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    I like this play as well. GL.

  20. #20
    bjb7223
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    started fast Aaron, watch out

  21. #21
    Aaron McCrevice
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  22. #22
    Aaron McCrevice
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  23. #23
    Aaron McCrevice
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  24. #24
    Aaron McCrevice
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  25. #25
    Aaron McCrevice
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  26. #26
    Aaron McCrevice
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  27. #27
    Aaron McCrevice
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  28. #28
    Aaron McCrevice
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  29. #29
    Aaron McCrevice
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