1. #1
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL)

    I'm a semi-professional sports bettor who has been doing this for 15+ years.

    I've had winning and losing seasons in the past, however over the last 2-3 years I have started to produce consistent profits placing positive EV wagers on sports I am knowledgeable in.

    My main areas of expertise are NBA, Tennis, AFL, NRL.

    I also occasionally wager on Rugby Union, Boxing and Netball.

    For now this thread will be 90% NBA & Tennis picks and of course I will keep records so you can see how I am doing as we move forward.

    Unit size will be 1-5 units.

    I never place any wager without researching the selection first.

    Pick analysis will be provided when time allows...

    Note - I have just recently come off a very successful AFL season, an average NRL season (break even), an excellent ITM cup season (Rugby Union) and have been hot in tennis over the last month. Now seemed liked the perfect time to start sharing my picks.

    Let's get that money...

  2. #2
    daimoshokage
    daimoshokage's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-07-11
    Posts: 8,947

    is this a fukking joke.. sando the euro trash GTFO!!!

  3. #3
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    Paris Masters 1000
    Big Indoor tournament
    Round 1 starts in a few hours

    Marcos Baghdatis m/l @ +135 (v. Simon) 2 Units
    Marcos Baghdatis +2.5 games @ -110 2 Units

    Odds are clearly wrong. Simon only favourite because tournament is in France and he has a higher rank.
    Baghdatis coming off a nice indoor tournament in Stockholm where he was playing really well before an injury in the semi's against Tsonga. Simon has not played well in this tournament in the past despite being a Frenchy playing at home.

  4. #4
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    Paris Masters 1000

    Alejandro Falla m/l +138 (v. Mayer) 2 Units

    Mayer has lost last 2 matches on indoor hard as a strong favourite. He has been playing with a rib injury and it is showing in his results. Falla is playing well at the moment, with recent wins over Dolgopolov and Bellucci. Falla has come through qualifying with 2 wins over solid opponents and so already has a feel for the courts. Definite value at these odds.
    Last edited by sando; 10-29-12 at 07:27 AM.

  5. #5
    hawley
    hawley's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-10-10
    Posts: 14,280
    Betpoints: 54

    GL pal.

    Will check in and see how you doing

  6. #6
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    Quote Originally Posted by hawley View Post
    GL pal.

    Will check in and see how you doing
    Thanks mate, much appreciated. I hope not to get on the wrong side of the fraud squad haha.

  7. #7
    JNic
    JNic's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-03-10
    Posts: 4,272
    Betpoints: 84

    the Falla pick is real good, it just looks like Mayer has lost a lot of form and might not have the motivation to finish this season strong while Falla continues to be consistent as hell

    BTP
    Week 3
    5-0-0 441 pts

    BTP
    Week 5
    4-1-0 317 pts


  8. #8
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    Quote Originally Posted by JNic View Post
    the Falla pick is real good, it just looks like Mayer has lost a lot of form and might not have the motivation to finish this season strong while Falla continues to be consistent as hell
    Thank you sir, lets hope we cash this...

  9. #9
    Texas956
    Texas956's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-16-12
    Posts: 95

    Falla win$

  10. #10
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    Baghdatis no good. Falla cashes in straight sets.

    YTD 1-1 (-1.24 Units)

    Should be putting out 1 to 3 picks daily over the next week or so of the Paris Masters 1000, however it is unlikely I will have any NBA picks during the first week of the season, as usually I like to see 1-2 games to get a feel of a team before I even start thinking about wagering. If anything really stands out I might play it for 1-2 units. I am lucky as I can watch games on league pass at work, however their is still so much work to do at the beginning of an NBA season with 30 teams to study...

  11. #11
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    Got a nice play I've had my eyes on for last couple of days boys.

    Paris Masters 1000 (Indoor Hard)
    Oct 30 2012 14:30 GMT
    Sam Querry (v. Verdasco) -2 games (-110 Pinnacle) 3 Units

    Querry v Verdasco, two similar players with big serves and heavy forehands, however Querry at 6'6" has a bigger serve and these days a more reliable forehand. Go back to 2009 and Verdasco had one of the best forehands in the game, but these days his playboy attitude (ala Mark Phillipousos) make him a nice fade on a regular basis. Just as importantly Querry is Mr. consistent these days, and IMO he is the #1 American player, (although giant Johnny Isner may be higher in the rankings).

    -Querry's records against left handers is exceptional.
    -Verdasco's mentally not in the right state of mind after his poor efforts in front of his adoring home friends, family and fans in Valencia.
    -Faster surface favoring the better server, Querrey.
    - H2H Querry leads 2-1
    -October 1st 2012 in Beijing Querry defeats Verdasco 5-7 6-3 6-4 (Hard Court)
    Last edited by sando; 10-30-12 at 01:25 AM. Reason: Analysis added

  12. #12
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    WTA Tournament Of Champions (Bulgaria)
    Carpet (yes carpet haha)

    Round 1
    Oct 30 2012 13:50 GMT

    R.Vinci (v. Hantuchova) m/l (-175 @ Sportingbet) 2 Units

    Vinci won a hard court tournament in August and has generally been playing solid tennis, apart from a recent hiccup as a shock first round loser in Beijing. The same cannot be said for Hantuchova's last 3 months.

    *Notice Hantuchova has dropped down to International level (to regain confidence) last two tourney's and has still struggled...
    Oct 15 2012 Luxembourg WTA Int'l (LUX) Match Stats, Indoor Hard, Rank 38, Rating 2.76
    Semi Final Lost to Monica Niculescu(70,3.88) (ROU) 6-1 6-3 Recap Match Stats $1.781
    Quarter Final Def. Lourdes Dominguez Lino(54,2.25) (ESP) 7-5 6-0 Recap Match Stats $1.483
    Round of 16 Def. (WC)Kirsten Flipkens(58,2.60) (BEL) 6-4 4-6 6-2 Recap Match Stats $2.614
    Round of 32 Def. Arantxa Rus(69,0.43) (NED) 3-6 6-4 6-1 Recap Match Stats $1.327
    Oct 8 2012 Linz WTA Int'l (AUT) Match Stats, Indoor Hard, Rank 38, Rating 2.25
    Round of 32 Lost to (5)Julia Goerges(19,2.70) (GER) 6-4 7-6(5) Recap Match Stats $2.827
    Sep 29 2012 Beijing WTA Premier (CHN) Match Stats, Hard Court, Rank 33, Rating 2.23
    Round of 60 Lost to (4)Petra Kvitova(5,4.68) (CZE) 6-2 6-3 Recap Match Stats $4.786
    Sep 23 2012 Tokyo WTA Premier (JPN) Match Stats, Hard Court, Rank 34, Rating 2.58
    Round of 32 Lost to (10)Caroline Wozniacki(11,4.47) (DEN) 7-6(3) 6-1 Recap Match Stats $4.431
    Round of 56 Def. Ekaterina Makarova(28,3.86) (RUS) 6-4 4-6 6-3 Recap Match Stats $2.868
    Aug 27 2012 US Open WTA Slam (USA) Match Stats, Hard Court, Rank 41, Rating 1.82
    Round of 128 Lost to (17)Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova(20,3.27) (RUS) 6-4 7-6(1) Recap Match Stats $2.929
    Aug 20 2012 New Haven WTA Premier (USA) Match Stats, Hard Court, Rank 40, Rating 2.48
    Round of 32 Lost to Mona Barthel(37,3.35) (GER) 6-3 7-5 Recap Match Stats $2.523
    Aug 13 2012 Cincinnati WTA Premier (USA) Match Stats, Hard Court, Rank 35, Rating 3.10
    Round of 32 Lost to (7)Sara Errani(10,2.91) (ITA) 6-4 6-4 Recap Match Stats $2.248
    Round of 56 Def. Jie Zheng(29,2.73) (CHN) 2-6 7-6(1) 6-3 Recap Match Stats $1.763
    Aug 6 2012 Montreal WTA Premier (CAN) Match Stats, Hard Court, Rank 35, Rating 2.64
    Round of 48 Lost to (WC)Aleksandra Wozniak(55,2.92) (CAN) 7-5 7-6(5) Recap Match Stats $1.846
    Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-06-14 at 01:29 PM. Reason: Analysis added

  13. #13
    daimoshokage
    daimoshokage's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-07-11
    Posts: 8,947

    Baghdatis

    Another loser thread from the sando the eurotrash..

  14. #14
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    Paris Masters 1000

    Paul-Henri Mathieu -3 games @ -123 (Pinnacle) 3 Units v. Roberto Bautista-Agut

    PHM was particularly good in his last Indoor tournament (Basel), he played a great all court game against the GOAT (Federer) and he always plays well at home in France. No obvious weakness in PHM's game. More talent and higher motivation (Masters event, last of the year, loves playing at home).

  15. #15
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    WTA Tournament of Champions (Carpet)

    Oct 30 2012 18:00 GMT

    Carolin Wozniacki v. SU-Wei Hseih
    Over 19.5 -103 (Pinnacle) - 1 Unit

  16. #16
    Bostongambler
    Bostongambler's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-01-08
    Posts: 9,845
    Betpoints: 284

    gl Sal Bando

  17. #17
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    gl Sal Bando

  18. #18
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    ATP Eckental Challenger
    Round 1

    MATCH STARTS IN 30 MINUTES
    (Sorry for the late pick, I've been tossing this up for a while and finally decided to run with it)

    Ernests Gulbis 2-0 sets @ -166 (Sportingbet) - 2 Units v. Alexey Vatutin



    Quick analysis - Gulbis is one of the most talented young tennis players going around. Un-fortunately he has a playboy attitude and hates to train. His opponent is a nobody ranked around 500 with 3 recorded matches to his pro career. Ernest's has shown some interest in this tournament by dispatching his first round opponent in easy straight sets. A fully motivated and fired up Gulbis wins this something like 6-2 6-1 (and that's being generous to his opponent)
    Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-06-14 at 01:29 PM.

  19. #19
    brettels
    brettels's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-04-10
    Posts: 3,378

    Gulbis looking good for first set, good luck!

  20. #20
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    Quote Originally Posted by brettels View Post
    Gulbis looking good for first set, good luck!
    Thanks mate.

    Great start to the night/day boys!

    PHM -3 cashes (3 units)
    Gulbis 2-0 cashes easily (2 Units)


    Lets get that money!

  21. #21
    Cappinpicks
    Cappinpicks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-11-10
    Posts: 14,439
    Betpoints: 18

    against you on Sam Queer

  22. #22
    nosaij
    nosaij's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-16-12
    Posts: 974
    Betpoints: 4629

    nice work mate! cheers from Melbourne!

  23. #23
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    Quote Originally Posted by nosaij View Post
    nice work mate! cheers from Melbourne!
    No shit! I'm from Adelaide. Who do you follow in AFL?

  24. #24
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    against you on Sam Queer
    Good luck mate. Just curious what do you like about Verdasco ATM? And are you taking the +2 or m/l?

  25. #25
    Cappinpicks
    Cappinpicks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-11-10
    Posts: 14,439
    Betpoints: 18

    Quote Originally Posted by sando View Post
    Good luck mate. Just curious what do you like about Verdasco ATM? And are you taking the +2 or m/l?
    ML... too many people like Sam USA stinks

  26. #26
    MeatWad
    MeatWad's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-12
    Posts: 1,520
    Betpoints: 32

    Nice call on fading Hantuchova, hopefully the second set goes as smoothly as the first. Hantuchova has steadily declined the past couple of years, and seems to be sinking to a new low with each passing month.

    Vinci is playing the best tennis of her life, going in the exact opposite direction this year. Huge mismatch based on current and recent form. The odds were tighter than they should have been perhaps because of the 2-2 h2h record and Hantuchova's past ranking/reputation.

  27. #27
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    Quote Originally Posted by MeatWad View Post
    Nice call on fading Hantuchova, hopefully the second set goes as smoothly as the first. Hantuchova has steadily declined the past couple of years, and seems to be sinking to a new low with each passing month.

    Vinci is playing the best tennis of her life, going in the exact opposite direction this year. Huge mismatch based on current and recent form. The odds were tighter than they should have been perhaps because of the 2-2 h2h record and Hantuchova's past ranking/reputation.
    Thanks mate, superb analysis of the current situation, I couldn't believe the odds they were offering on Vinci to be honest.

  28. #28
    Cappinpicks
    Cappinpicks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-11-10
    Posts: 14,439
    Betpoints: 18

    easy winner on Sam the man dasco should retire

  29. #29
    nosaij
    nosaij's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-16-12
    Posts: 974
    Betpoints: 4629

    follow pies

  30. #30
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    easy winner on Sam the man dasco should retire
    Haha from your point of view I'd be wanting him to retire as well mate...

  31. #31
    sando
    sando's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 3,160
    Betpoints: 26

    Quote Originally Posted by nosaij View Post
    follow pies
    Oh the big boys of the competition haha. I'm swannies (lifelong) so pretty happy at the moment.

  32. #32
    Cappinpicks
    Cappinpicks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-11-10
    Posts: 14,439
    Betpoints: 18

    oh well maybe the pussy wakes up after getting bageled, just glad I don't have the spread!

  33. #33
    Mikeyanks23
    Welcome to Darkhat Nation
    Mikeyanks23's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-30-10
    Posts: 4,416
    Betpoints: 337

    best of luck Sando


  34. #34
    nosaij
    nosaij's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-16-12
    Posts: 974
    Betpoints: 4629

    sando sharp tennis picks !!! $$$ 34degrees tomr. ice cold fat yak on your tennis picks

  35. #35
    Cappinpicks
    Cappinpicks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-11-10
    Posts: 14,439
    Betpoints: 18

    nice to know its fixed for the ML... the retard didnt know to retire down 5-0 what a bullshit scam

1234 ... Last
Top