[Snowball]

(5-4-1) + $136.98

The Tour Championship - Round 2
Daniel Berger, Moneyline: -135

Sean OHair vs Daniel Berger, Thu Sep 23 12:05 pm
$41/30.37

[Snowball]

(5-5-1) + $95.98

OHL Classic at Mayakoba
Round 1
Jim Furyk vs. Keenan Bradley
Jim Furyk (-120)
$50/41.67

[Snowball]

(5-6-1) +$45.98

SBS Tournament of Champions
The Plantation Course at Kapalua, Maui
Round 2 Matchups

Jordan Speith vs. Mackenzie Hughes
Spieth (-255) $102/40

Cody Gribble vs. Rod Pampling
Pampling (100) $40/40

Branden Grace vs. Billy Hurley III
Grace (-150) $40/26.67

[Snowball]

you guys should bet more golf.
no refs.

[KVB]

Good Luck on the matchups Snowball, I see the opportunity there but just haven't seen the entry point for me yet. I'm watching closely.

I like Finau (-135) over Gomez (+115) for a few reasons, but haven't pulled the trigger.

[Snowball]

cheers KVB.

Speith hit, Pampling hit (was a fade
on Gribble), Grace lost by a stroke.

(7-7-1) +$85.98

[KVB]

Short Description

Golf - 7313 J. Spieth -215 for Game Golf - 7323 D. Berger -156 for Game Golf - 7328 H. Matsuyama -160 for Game

Spieth vs. Hoffman

Berger vs. J Herman

Matsuyama vs Dufner.

I think Berger could be a weak link here. A win pays about 2.9 to 1.

Good Luck.

[KVB]

Sitting on Justin Thomas to win it all at +110.

Matsuyama could be the spoiler. I don't see anyone else coming through for the win.

Good Luck.

[KVB]

It's not going to be an easy year for Mackenzie Hughes. When he does make the cut, he's going to be worn out come Sundays. The (-130) price isn't exactly a great value, but I think the winning bet is meant to be a bit unpalatable.

I picked up Jhonattan Vegas (-130) over Mackenzie Hughes for round 4.

Good Luck.

[BrickJames]

Just wanted to say,

Love the title of this thread!

Carry on.

[KVB]

...Jhonattan Vegas (-130) over Mackenzie Hughes for round 4....

Well this play was a disaster.



At least a profit was earned for this tournament.

And the same can be said for Snowball.

Good Work.

[canepole]

Looking at the Sony Open, not sure what I'm missing here, but I am going to take
J Walker +140 vs P Casey Tournament Matchup

[Snowball]

Looking at the Sony Open, not sure what I'm missing here, but I am going to take
J Walker +140 vs P Casey Tournament Matchup

why?

[canepole]

why?

JW has a history of playing well here: 2011- 4th, 2014 -1st, 2015- 1st, 2016- 16th. He played well last week and tied for 9th at the SBS. It's widely known he has an affinity for the West Coast swing. Paul Casey has played only twice at this tournament in the last 12 years: A ** in 2005 and a 30th in 2015.

[Snowball]

JW has a history of playing well here: 2011- 4th, 2014 -1st, 2015- 1st, 2016- 16th. He played well last week and tied for 9th at the SBS. It's widely known he has an affinity for the West Coast swing. Paul Casey has played only twice at this tournament in the last 12 years: A ** in 2005 and a 30th in 2015.

Here are a couple sites I will get ideas from. Steve Bamford also likes Jimmy Walker.
I see a match option we can choose to take him vs Casey or Snedeker. Casey
is lined up as a slightly bigger favorite against him than Snedeker is.
Walker's recent course comments in this link.(steve bamford's also)
This guy Mike is also worth checking out, he's got a soundcloud feed this season (audio), although
it looks like he's focused on Euro golf this week.

Not saying we go with their picks but when ideas gel, then you know it could be a good bet.

Sony Open
Jimmy Walker vs. Brandt Snedeker
Walker (115) Full Tournament
$50/57.50

[canepole]

Thanks Snowball, that's a wonderful link. Good luck! As bad as I hate to go against Maysuyama (made good $$ with him lately, but his course history here is terrible) I am also going with Spieth-120 vs Matsuyama Tournament Matchup.

[Snowball]

Thanks Snowball, that's a wonderful link. Good luck! As bad as I hate to go against Maysuyama (made good $$ with him lately, but his course history here is terrible) I am also going with Spieth-120 vs Matsuyama Tournament Matchup.

feel free to track your bets and record here.
this is everyone's golf thread. no competition, just ideas.

[KVB]

I'm trying to put myself in a position to win come Sunday afternoon.

I'll start with Spieth +550 and the FIELD bet at Heritage. I have a couple of angles working, notably some opening lines and their recent history. There's been a similar situation earlier this golf season (end of last year) whereby the 16-1 (favorite) openers were involved. This resulted in Mackenzie Hughes winning as a long shot, not the favorite of 16-1.

I believe, this time, the 5-1 favorite will be the result, providing balance in the marketplace. Should this play not be patient enough, the slightly shortened odds on the FIELD bet represents insurance. In fact, it's the slightly shortened odds, combined with the short Spieth odds, that help direct the play.

This may make little sense to some, but if I can continue to post on the PGA, I will offer more explanation and we can see where the market takes us, including how to construct a line.

Perhaps a few learning experiences for all of us will come.

Short Description

Golf Futures - 2017 Golf Events - PGA - Sony Open in Hawaii - Odds to win the Sony Open In Hawaii 2017 - Spieth, Jordan +550

Golf Futures - 2017 Golf Events - PGA - Sony Open in Hawaii - Odds to win the Sony Open In Hawaii 2017 - Field (any other player) +450

Good Luck.

[Ra77er]

WTF happened to yydouble?! Lets have a good 2017 snowball, I hope all these sony bets are winning

[Snowball]

maybe he will be around in the real golf season, razzer. or you could look around other places maybe he uses the same handle.

anyway, Jimmy Walker is sick, according to the Golf Channel, which
is why his first round blew chunks.

[rgrant2214]

Anyone have anything for round 2?

[KVB]

Sorry I'm so late here, these were late plays just put in.

I picked up Spieth over Thomas for -155 and the -1/2 stroke as well, all for round 2.

I put him in open parlays also...the second in a 5 pick and the opener of a 4 pick...

To Win	Short Description
Open	Football - 151 Clemson/Alabama over 51 -110 for Game Golf - 7223 J. Spieth -155 for Game
Open	Golf - 7223 J. Spieth -155 for Game
	Golf - 7223 J. Spieth -½ -125 for Game

Good Luck.

[rgrant2214]

Good luck

[Snowball]

(8-7-1) +$143.48

Walker (138), and Snedeker (139)
both failed to make the cut, Walker wins matchup
by a stroke. No more bets this tournament.

[canepole]

(8-7-1) +$143.48

Walker (138), and Snedeker (139)
both failed to make the cut, Walker wins matchup
by a stroke. No more bets this tournament.

Good job. Walker eked out 2 stroke win vs Casey in my bet. Taking a play in 3rd round D Berger -115 vs B Haas

[KVB]

Sorry I'm so late here, these were late plays just put in.

I picked up Spieth over Thomas for -155 and the -1/2 stroke as well, all for round 2.

I put him in open parlays also...the second in a 5 pick and the opener of a 4 pick...

To Win	Short Description
Open	Football - 151 Clemson/Alabama over 51 -110 for Game Golf - 7223 J. Spieth -155 for Game
Open	Golf - 7223 J. Spieth -155 for Game
	Golf - 7223 J. Spieth -½ -125 for Game

...

Wasn't late, had the wrong start time. Spieth failed miserably.

[canepole]

CareerBuilder Challenge

J Lovemark +135 vs P Casey Tournament Matchup
B Haas -120 vs P Reed Tournament Matchup
D Lingmerth +105 vs H Swafford Tournament Matchup

[KVB]

...There's been a similar situation earlier this golf season (end of last year) whereby the 16-1 (favorite) openers were involved. This resulted in Mackenzie Hughes winning as a long shot, not the favorite of 16-1...

I may not have been patient enough last time. The lines have lined up for me to take another shot at that favorite.

I picked up Patrick Reed +1850...

Short Description

Golf Futures - 2017 Golf Events - PGA - CareerBuilder Challenge - Odds to Win CareerBuilder Challenge 2017 - Patrick Reed +1850

Good Luck.

[CWD]

rahm 28-1
phil 22-1

[chico2663]

list 40-1
lovemark 26-1

[Snowball]

CareerBuilder Challenge
Round 1
Simpson (-130) vs. Kaufman
$65/50

[cwnotorious]

Bol in here,
We have three courses in use this week – La Quinta CC, PGA West, and the Stadium Course at TPC West. Players will play each course once over the first three days, then there will be a 54-hole cut, and the remaining players get another crack at the Stadium course on Sunday. These courses ranked in the top-10 easiest courses on last year's PGA Tour, with PGA West the easiest. Scoring averages were 69.1, 68.9, and 70.9, respectively last year. Since this rotation was only used last season, there's really just one year of "ideal" course history to draw upon; however, La Quinta has been a host course for a long time. These are all par-72 courses, so we get a few more scoring opportunities on the additional par-5s. Also, we're faced with bermuda greens, the surfaces that often have the highest splits amongst Tour players.

[cwnotorious]

Here is what i am on today, all matchups from 5dimes
421511802-1 1/19/17 7:49am Pending 1/19/17 12:10pm PGA Golf 7101 Kevin Kisner (1st Rnd) -½ +104* vs William McGirt (1st Rnd)
421511802-2 1/19/17 7:49am Pending 1/19/17 12:10pm PGA Golf 7108 Ryan palmer (1st Rnd) -½ -116* vs Stewart Cink (1st Rnd)
421511802-3 1/19/17 7:49am Pending 1/19/17 12:30pm PGA Golf 7111 Hudson Swafford (1st Rnd) -½ +100* vs Daniel Summerhays (1st Rnd)
421511802-4 1/19/17 7:49am Pending 1/19/17 12:30pm PGA Golf 7113 Luke List (1st Rnd) -½ -112* vs Anirban Lahiri (1st Rnd)
421511802-5 1/19/17 7:49am Pending 1/19/17 12:40pm PGA Golf 7117 Brendan Steele (1st Rnd) -½ -112* vs Charley Hoffman (1st Rnd)

[KVB]

rahm 28-1
phil 22-1

I think Lefty was good shot pre tournament, good pick.

Lefty trying to get in position here. From a market perspective it seems the biggest threat to Lefty is Haas doing well. I think it will be tough for both to rank high in this tournament. I actually have Haas and Lefty each to win the first round. I bought it late but no time to explain so I didn't post it.

Good Luck here. I am watching Haas and Lefty close as gauges and will make mid round plays accordingly.

I hope you hit with Lefty.

[KVB]

Bol in here,
We have three courses in use this week – La Quinta CC, PGA West, and the Stadium Course at TPC West. Players will play each course once over the first three days, then there will be a 54-hole cut, and the remaining players get another crack at the Stadium course on Sunday. These courses ranked in the top-10 easiest courses on last year's PGA Tour, with PGA West the easiest. Scoring averages were 69.1, 68.9, and 70.9, respectively last year. Since this rotation was only used last season, there's really just one year of "ideal" course history to draw upon; however, La Quinta has been a host course for a long time. These are all par-72 courses, so we get a few more scoring opportunities on the additional par-5s. Also, we're faced with bermuda greens, the surfaces that often have the highest splits amongst Tour players.

Good post info here.



Edit...these courses offer the chance for anyone to go real low. Moving day and Sunday could bring some big surprises, or at least not so surprising but big place moves nonetheless.