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Big Race Day PPs and picks
Gentlemen:
Let's use this thread moving ahead for past performances on the big race days. You all know the ones that have been posted. Any picks are also welcome, as well as training insights in the days leading up to the major stakes that we all look forward to.
Best of luck to all.
Remember, the winners are all there, right in front of us!
Let's get that
I'll bring it back and deliver for the Belmont. Laz has been doing great so far, too.
Thanks, StackOriginally Posted by StackinGreen
I'll bring it back and deliver for the Belmont. Laz has been doing great so far, too.
Here are the PPs
Any picks for Saturday's card are also welcome, I think I saw joeyp's on his own thread
Best of luck guys
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Thx green, will try to post my picks tomorrow
Anxious to see Laz's picks. I'm still looking over the sheets.
Here's my stab at tomorrow's races, though my main focus is the late pick 4 which combines numerous takes and inserts random bombs for some prices. Here we go:
Race 3 - Woody Stephens
3 - Competitive Edge
6 - Classy Class
4 - Two Weeks Off
1 - Ready for Rye, 2 - March
It's all about Competitive Edge's price here. He looked great at Churchill but hasn't raced on the BEL surface. The following are pretty close to the same, and given the prices, it'll be interesting to see if one of those below CE moves up unexpectedly, like March with the hot jocky Ortiz Jr aboard.
Race 4 - Jaipur
1 - Power Alert
4 - Ageless
13 - Mosler, with 3 - Brickyard Kitten and 8 - Helwan as the long prices who could do some damage (first start for Helwan this year). Power Alert was a big winner for me on Oaks Day, and Ageless in the VeryOne preceding the Preakness which set me up for the pick 4 win that day. Leparoux decided to stay on the #4 which is interesting, he had previously ridden the #1. Slight nod to Power Alert who breaks great and should be moving. Something Extra is very fast but seems to like the softer turf. Still, he should be close, but I'm giving the nod to Mosler with a win on BEL turf already.
Race 5 - Ogden Phipps
4-1-2
Probably not a great betting race so few comments. Untapable is the #4 and should be the winner at short odds. Rosalind looks like the next likely shot at an upset.
Race 6 - Brooklyn
10 - Sky Kingdom
5 - Effinex
9 - Neck 'n Neck
What a race. I think Baffert/Espinoza get it done here, but Effinex will be right there and likes the track. Neck 'n Neck may stalk them down at the wire and nail'em at a price.
Race 7 - Acorn
9 - Promise Me Silver
8 - Shook Up
6 - Curalina
4 - Calamity Kate (longshot)
I won't go against form handicapping, especially like the #9 who has never lost. New track, but I'm not jumping the streak until it ends. Shook up is a great one 2nd in the Oaks who will have a real shot. Curalina and Calamity Kate fill below with possibly huge prices. These along with Miss Ella (#11) may be really improving, but I'll move to the longer odds.
Race 8 - Just A Game
4 - Coffee Clique
8 - Ball Dancing
1 - Lady Lara
9 - Tepin
Coffee Clique won this race last year and was very close to Tepin last out. Tepin could wire them again, but Discreet Marq will definitely keep her honest. Don't sleep on the #3 Discreet Marq who might walk the dog and last. I'm focusing on 4+8 the most with some 3 and just a sprinkle of the 1 and 9 in this pick 4 - 1st leg. This one is cleary wide open ... even Photo Call (#10) would be a bomb to include on at least one P4 ticket.
Race 9 - Metropolitan
4 - Tonalist
1 - Private Zone
9 - Honor Code
7 - Bayern
What a race. Again, great stuff to keep us biting our nails hoping we can stay alive in those multi-race wagers. I think Tonalist is a worthy single, but since that's the case and there are so many quality horses, keep a few guys on the side just in case. Private Zone and Honor Code (great on 1 turn miles) will be close, methinks. Let's see if Bayern can run back to his BC Classic form after his disappointing 6th last out at Churchill.
Race 10 - Manhattan
5 - Big Blue Kitten
3 - Finnegans Wake
2 - Twilight Eclipse
1 - Hyper
11 - Jack Milton
Totally wide open. Sided towards the consistent, Chad Brown trained Big Blue Kitten and loved Finnegans Wake's performance last out. Now we add a little distance though ... watch out for the loose leaders #2 (Twilight Eclipse) and #4 War Dancer to try to steal it. #9 Magic Artist cannot be discounted and I'll have him on some P4 tickets, but don't know a ton about him, invading from Europe.
Race 11 - Belmont Stakes
I think it's a 50/50 chance at this point with American Pharoah. If the field were 10+, I'd like his chances even less but he sounds like he's doing well. While I think it'll be a stretch duel with Materiality and AP going at it, they might hold on, but I like Frosted to nip them. He's rested and will be running late - I just hope they place him a bit more forwardly for the first mile or so. Madefromlucky fills it out. Mubtaahij will try to get on that pace I think too, let's see if if he can cruise and last.
6 - Frosted
5 - American Pharoah
8 - Materiality
3 - Madefromlucky
1 - Mubtaahij
What i have so far will finish tomorrow
Belmont Saturday
Race 1
#1 Stanford
#3 Japan
#4 Nonna's Boy
Race 2
#1 Gold Shield
#4 Tiz Shea D
#5 Gridley Here
Race 3
Ton of speed in this race taking the C. Brown horse to close on the pletcher horses
#2 March
#3 Competitive Edge
#4 two Weeks Off
Race 4
Very tough race, if the #1 had a better pp i would probably have him on top, the horse from france could also be the best here but who knows. For a long shot i would look at the #12 Shrinking Violet, if she gets up to 20-1 i would play her across
#4 Ageless
#6 Something Extra
#1 Power Alert
#8 Helwan
Race 5
Depends on the odds of untapable but will probably try to beat her with the #1 Rosalind, she ran close to her a few times and did very well in the BC juv two years ago where she probably should of won the race. They sent her over to GB and and after not finishing the race did nothing the rest of the year. Got new trainer C brown and is coming off a decent win in a G2 on the turf now shes going back to dirt
#1 Rosalind
#4 Untapable
#5 Princess Violet
Race 6
Long race not very good at handicapping these will go with the horses with the most experience at the distance
#10 Sky Kingdom
#7 Ever Rider
#11 Tacticus
Race 7
Going to take a shot with the #1 Oceanwave here at 12-1 ML, She's had terrible trips in all her races but one and still was able to hit the board in all but her last race, she was dead last all the way around the track until the stretch where she passed half the field. They put blinkers on her and drop her back to a mile. If she gets a decent trip she should have a great finishing kick and a good chance here
#1 Oceanwave
#9 Promise Me Silver
#10 Light the City
Race 8
Im not sure if the #4 Coffee Clique is the "best" horse in here but i think she might be in the best position to win this race. Third race off layoff, gets valasquez for second time in a row, 1 for 1 on belmont turf, 8 for 8 at mile on the turf, couple nice workouts. Would not be shocked with anyone winning this race but im happy with the #4
#4 Coffee Clique
#8 Ball Dancing
#6 Filimbi
Race 9
I think #4 Tonalist runs all these speedsters down, only wildcard is the #5 Tamarkuz. In his last race he had a bad start rushed him up fast, sat mid pack and got stuck behind a bunch of horse but waited for his chance and ran down the leader down the stretch and held off another closer, was a very impressive race.
Will play both #4 and #5 on top with the speed horses behind
#4/#5
#1,#6,#7,#8
Race 10
Going to take a stab with #10 General a Rod here, never been on turf and doesnt have much of a pedigree but Pletcher knows what hes doing he must think he has a shot here. They take the blinkers off for the first time since his debut race and hes has a few nice workouts on the belmont turf
#10 General a Rod
#1 Hyper
#6 Legendary
Race 11
Taking Materiality to out last AP, Keen ice to make it up for third
#8
#5
#7
Kool. Anyone playing the pick 6 or pick 4?
Belmont Pick 6 Carryover, gotta play it.....
Small investment and pray for good luck for big pay day... Lol
6). 5, 8, 10
7). 11
8). 6, 9
9). 5
10). 5, 10
11). 5
GL everyone
Can't even get pass the first leg....
Going Materiality;
-bad trip in the Derby
-skipped the Preakness
-solid works
-highest career Beyer in the field
-Great hometown connections
Resurrecting this so someone might bust out the racing forms for Saturday, once available. As I wrote elsewhere, if there is a carryover, I might even play the P6 ...
Anyone have the Travers drf card? Thx
Anyone have both Breeders Cup days (DRF PPs)?
Thanks.
Somebody please hook it up, we've been generous on the thread before.
Thanks.
Xpressbet has been emailing since Sunday to grab the DRF pps but they are not avlbl til the day before BC races... so you cannot get Sat pps til Friday!!!! . How bad is that?
Here are the Brisnet PP's
Friday - http://bit.ly/1N97t9T
Saturday - http://bit.ly/1KGnUnU
Also for those that are interested here is our HBD sheets for the same two days
Friday -bit.ly/HBD_BC15_Fri
Saturday - bit.ly/HBD_BC15_Sat
Thanx booth always look forward to your thoughts
I posted some individual threads for each race it tends to get to crowded otherwise, I posted all of Friday and I am working onthe blog post for Saturday, I will share them here when they are ready. I think we may see some prices out there too.
Nice thats what I like to see, so far were pretty close in predictions, hope thats a good thing
Would love to see your thoughts if you get a chance...
The more you know!
Know anyone who has them though?
Thanks.
Another free card from me
I've provided at least 3 big race day drf programs this year ... can someone link Saturday's card. Here's another, on me:
I only use Brisnet and my own figures, so I am no help, but someone out there has to have them.
Here is compressed pdf file for DRF PPs Saturday...hope it works okay, looked good on my end
Thanks, biscuit!
Okay Stack - go get'em! Love the BrCup!!!
How'd you do? I was live on 3 tix in the first pick 4 Saturday and 5 on the late (went against Pharoah) ... painful I didn't cash.
Anyone got Oaks and/or Derby full DRF cards?
Thanks.
Anyone else want to add to the ongoing list? DRF PPs would be appreciated
Best of luck guys
Got this from someone else, just passing it along.
Fridays PPs http://docdro.id/OQ63GNq
Saturdays PPs http://docdro.id/jzhncDN
Good Luck .
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My Picks for the breeders races on friday, dont know exactly how im going to play them but i narrowed it down.
Friday
Race 6
Top Tier
#6 Big Score
#11 Good Samaritan
#13 Oscar Performance
Second Tier
#9 Wellabled
#8 Intelligence Cross
Race 7
Top Tier
#3 Dormund
#7 Runhappy
#9 Gun Runner
Race 8
Top Tier
#14 La Coronel
#13 Roly Poly
#1 Hydrangea
#4 Spain Burg
Second Tier
#3 New Money Honey
#5 Victory to Victory
#11 Rymska
Race 9
Top Tier
#8 Beholder
#5 Stellar Wind
Second Tier
#1 Songbird
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