Originally Posted by
mikemca
Should be an fun meet.Not sure if Frankie Dettori is here to stay but will be interesting to see how he does.Looks like he is riding for W Ward.Once a first call pilot for the world class/globetrotting Godolphin operation now trying the US.Hopefully Pletcher doesn't win 90% of the baby races,C Brown wins every turf route, and L Rice every turf sprint.
Saratoga
Race 1
5-Grandpa Len 8-1 - Goes 2nd from layoff turf to dirt returning to the track and distance of his only win.Which was also turf to dirt.Beside last race he has faced much better horses consistently.
4-King Of Broadway 4-1 - Can see he and the 5 running 1-2 around the track in a race without much other pace.Going to assume speed is good until proven otherwise.
6-Eastside Storm 15-1 - Makes first route try after wanting more distance in his first start for D Stewart.Could see a big improvement as a result.
Race 2
3-By The Moon 8-1 - Going strictly by the workout reports for this race .Official time on last work may be wrong and was much faster.
6-Vinolicious 5-2 - Don't need a wo report to know Ward is phenomenal with firsters and this one looks good in AM also.
4-Lady Of Victory 6-1 - Mott like 0 fer a billion with 1sters in msw at spa but he is 0 for 0 this meet.
Race 3
Single Fashion Alert , it's next to impossible to make a case for anyone else at their likely odds.
Race 4
3-Mumtaazah 5-2 - Should be a handful if right.Finished 2nd to Onlyforyou in only start and that one is undefeated 4-4 with two grade 2 wins(G2 Forward Gal and G2 Davona Dale).
7-Premura 5-1 - Looks like she has grown up quite a bit since last fall.Has been turning heads in morning workouts.
6-M B And Tee 8-1 - An unknown firster may be the best chance/odds to upset the top 2.
Race 5
8-Duke Of Perth 8-1 - Why not? Not many options if trying to beat Can'thelpbelieving and this one has no questions about distance.
Race 6
2-Saluda 5-1 - The 3 outside drawn first time starters are probably going to take all the money while the two inside 2nd time starters have a big edge with a race under their belt.This one is the speediest and will play to take them wire to wire.
1-Zo Zo 6-1 - Other 2nd timer ran horrible first start but I'm guessing something didn't go right.Was hammered at the windows and didn't run a step.I'm thinking they fixed the problem to run back so quickly.
8-Graeme Crackers 5-1 - Violette good with babies and is the best price of the 3 .The 6 and 7 getting good marks for their training but just hoping they need a race.
Race 7
2-Monument Hill 4-1 - Of the top 3 like this one best.Cozy draw should make for a nice trip and speed figs are right there with 9-5 fave.
7-Days Ride 15-1 - Third from layoff but 1st off claim for Terranova who doesn't claim much.May just be a better 2 turn horse.
5-Nubin Ridge 10-1 - Tries a mile for the first time after coming out of the same race as Days Ride.
8-Joes Blazing Aaron 9-5 - Want to leave him out as he sometimes gets gassed late in the race but still on the fence.Have no doubt 9-5 is an underlay though.Of the 3 faves would try and beat Tiz Sardonic Joe 1st then this one 2nd.
Race 8
4-Kiss Me Lola 5-1 - Think it's between her and Ballerina Belle.That one got the better of her last 2 starts but now 3rd off bench and cutting back a furlong could hang on at a better price.
10-Ballerina Belle 3-1 - Is nose and nose with the 4 and price being only difference.
8-Shanagarry 6-1 - Will be her and Zamquick arguing the pace and in that situation Castellano vs Leparoux I'll take Javi every time.
Race 9
Don't know if it's wise to try and beat 1-Storming Inti 9-5 , 5-Tourist 8-5 , and maybe even 2-Cabo Cat 4-1.I guess the one I could make a case for is 7-Ring Weekend 10-1 who is somewhat of an unknown on turf other than running a very respectible 2nd to Divine Oath in only turf start and even though that fig was kind of slow I don't think any figur at 7 1/2 furlongs is reliable.6-J To The Croft 8-1 is the other one if just picking one of the top 3 and key boxing to the 2 prices.Still it will be a tough task to beat the top 2.
Race 10
10-Maura's Pass 6-1 - C Clement/turf after a 1 dirt start
9-Jet Majesty 3-1 - Lays over this field on figs but comes off 237 day break.At the ml though it's an overlay if right.
4-Shades Of Indygo 20-1 - Tries turf for first time after running a style on dirt that translates well to turf.If top 2 get hammered could just take a flyer w/p bet on this bomb.
7-Read It And Weep 20-1 - Only ran 1 race so far which was a 6f turf sprint.A large majority of the time the biggest jump in a horses figures comes in start #2.