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sar
R6 #6 brass company (10-1)
R7 #3 heavenly sun* (20-1) #5 river of magic*(5-1)
R8 #10 giantinthemoonshine (6-1)
R9 #7 saturdays charm (4-1)
R10 #2 private hedge (6-1)
mth
R8 #2 fabulous kid (6-1)
R12 haskell #1 upstart (6-1)
if AP has to challenge CE in the backstretch to prevent him running on an easy lead think that could set it up nice .Horse has done little wrong outside of the Derby including running very big beyers ...chance to get him at a decent mutuel here
ian smith worth a back here at saratoga race 6 has had good workouts and should win this
saratoga a 3 play limit for me from here on out and I'm not forcing the issue..got chewed up there last year and not gonna let this get outta hand again
dmr R9 #12 go first**** (5-1) #9 secure dividend* (6-1)
guessing 7-2 on #12 go first
sar
R4 #1 euros to dollars (4-1
R5 #4 darnley bay (5-1)
R10 #6 quiet confidence (20-1)
trainer james lawrence shipped here last week with a very similar horse that almost wired the field at a big price..
one start on dirt from 12 post..
same class,distance and surface as today..
same jock..
steady fair hill works
wouldn't have to be much in here
Last edited by JBEX; 08-03-15 at 10:18 AM.
prx R7 #8 eyes on the target (6-1)
have a hunch anthony dutrow might have this 400k 2yo purchase ready to rumble off a no effort in his debut last year..steady fair hill works leading up to this and AD excellent off long layoffs..top jock Vargas gets the call and he has only had one other mount for AD overall so consider it an extra positive he climbs aboard..guessing 5/2
wo R9 #2 east side (20-1)
2nd post today
Last edited by JBEX; 08-03-15 at 02:32 PM.
prx R1 #4 double check (3-1)
prx R9 #2 goldland*** (5-1)
realize big drop but with cheap pedigree (so not afraid he's up for 10k)and what he's shown 3-4 levels above believe this a good spot for a win...guessing 3-1
R1 #5 all together (2-1)
probably last foal of the great sire danzig still running
R3 #3 river knight*** (7-2)
R5 #1 dendrite*(20-1)
R10 #10 pin and win (5-1)
going to allow myself extra play cause of the hurdle race
dmr
R2 #1 magna warrior (10-1) #5 memphis*(3-1)hedge
R4 #2 betterlethergo*(8-1)
last 3 don't like
be playing today..have stuff up around noon
have decided to go back to playing as many as I want at saratoga.. reason being lot of the time I'm not capping the whole card in one shot so that method not practical..try to be a little more discriminating and borderline plays ,even at low odds will be passed or *(rated half unit)
sar R1 #4 diplomat* (12-1)
passing 2nd race but 3rd looking like a 26 play
sar
R4 #4 chelsea road (6-1) #5 magsamelia* (7-2)
R5 #4 majestic guy*(8-1) #7 what's up big guy*(10-1)
lots of 26 plays about to post
2nd post today
R9 #4 zandar* (12-1)Originally Posted by JBEX
GP R4 #1 annabella hall (10-1)
4th post today
horses are easier than baseball? Jbex what do think?My first love is horses
but have many weakness's
Enjoy your tenacity and professionalism dont ever give up. BOL JBEX
Last edited by BOA12; 08-06-15 at 05:33 PM.
Thanks boa12..not that I have done it but I think sports is beatable long haul.. there are people who win long haul and all you need to do is follow and apply simple money management principles..Have a few guys I like to track but don't participate as it's not doable for me..Not gonna get into who but in general there are some pretty smart folks out there working on it ..Math models,databases and people who just have a good feel for things and use the line itself as a handicapping toolhorses are easier than baseball? Jbex what do think?
Only for a select few imo. Most who beat this game are on the booking side. I think the following quote sums it up best. "Play long enough the house takes you. Unless, when then perfect hand comes, you bet big. Then you take the House."
Agree with you easy-rider have worked both sides of the line and you have to do your research in sports just like capping horse. What I love about horses is you can go 0/8 and hit #9 and be up on the day. Will be checking in playing 2-3 times a week at Saratoga bol to both of you as horse players are a dieing breed.
sar
R2 #7 dusty miles (20-1)
trainer had a $135 horse stretching out, blinkers off and on the turf...like the even sprints as foundation races..kind of race you get bombs every once in a while
R4 triple 156/13567
gotta try to beat the 3 and 7 to make it worthwhile ..36 combos
R5 #9 zvarkhova (3-1)
like that he won first out 9f as a 2yo in France by 8 lengths..then ran well in a listed stakes over there off a 5 month layoff..they say the races are better over there so like his chances here..other good ones in the field so probably won't go off too short
more later
more bookies win then bettors..of course
here's the bottom line to me though and I've gotten my ass handed to me over the past 4 decades..I believe there are people who win and they're posted regularly in the service plays forum..how many guys do I trust out of the 100's they post..right now 3 (not getting into who)..money management with low volume cappers..easy..do I need a lot of action betting sports..no..do I chase when I have a bad week..no..does my game or games have to be on TV..no..there will always be oodles more people who do it the wrong way so the books will always be around making nice profits off them and overall
mth
R3 #5 bat cave
R4 #6 i will (3-1)
R5 #5 quiet ray (4-1)
3rd post today
sar
R6 #4 she's all ready*(8-1)
R7 #6 whoopie pie (15-1)
R10 #7 daisy cutter (3-1)
Good post. But I will say this. The best approach to sports betting is to wager for entertainment purposes and have some fun. Use disposable income. For the majority of players winning long term on a regular basis is a Pipe Dream. Gl today on your picks.
nothing wrong having a little fun with it within your means but I believe it's beatable with minimal effort (others picks)..To me its much more exciting being down on 1-3 good spots that are well thought out by a saavy professional and having the goal of staying disciplined and maybe turning a profit for the year..ok back to the horses lol...post dmr by 6pm
mth
R10 ...7,9,10 xbox
dmr
R2 #2 sweetest secret (20-1)
R3 #5 dothrak (12-1) #2 desert gem* (7-2)
R4 #8 grace to glory*(20-1) #9 edwin e* (8-1)
R5 #2 huntsville*(9-2) #10 friend k mill* (6-1)
R6 #4 alexita (6-1)
R8 #1 show and tell***(5-2)
OK I get your drift. You believe that a so called professional handicapper can lead you to success. I have to disagree as I personally never pay for picks on sporting events except in rare occasions the ponies. With the horses I try to get as many opinions possible, analyze the form, and then make my own decision. With sports like football and basketball I really do not see how a guy sitting in an office in Las Vegas has an edge over my own knowledge. The lines are set tight and unless a tout has inside info I believe you are wasting your cash. Now maybe with computer programs, models etc you can find an edge, but overall who really knows how an athlete will perform on the field. In addition, following a tout's picks does not account for the various factors working against the bettor and in favor of the book. IMO Do not believe the hype JBEX. I know I did when I was in my younger years, but know I gamble for recreational purposes only. It's one hell of a tough game to beat.
I love the action more than the amount wagered-for me a hobby not something I depend on to pay bills. To be a professional in anything you need to read the books for knowledge and put it into practical application to see if you will succeed. Certainly anyone who studies sports or horses everyday may have more knowledge than the casual player and might be worth looking at their picks as a guide but I still prefer to make my own picks so maybe one day I can call myself a professional gambler-always been my dream. Thanks for your professional comments men. bol JBEX and EASYRIDER
sar
R1 #6 mail (2-1) less but think well meant and much better
R2 # 4 acoustic*(15-1) #7 rafting* (4-1)
R3 #5 star hill (8-1)
more later
sar
R4 #5 manchurian high (15-1)
really feel he's had some excuses since coming off the 3 month layoff back in may..ridiculous bad trip,2 mile race and sitting behind a 54 1:20 pace up front last out..could see him waking up at a price with regular pilot back aboard
R5 #7 zennor (6-1)
flashed some talent as a 2yo and had to deal with extreme posts in 2nd and 3rd starts..big pedigree and kiaran fantastic off long layoffs and having big meet to boot..training very nicely coming up to this
with manchurian high those were his last 3 races where those things happened
mth
R7 #3 foileen*(12-1) #7 sonofachub* (5-1)
split a $32 p6 sar...singled #2 first leg..post rest after race
quick exit p6
this was my ticket...
2/5/23/37/5 10/27
try a trotter..dabble in them a little
Meadowlands
R11 hambletonian oaks
#3 bright baby blues (8-1)
mth
R10 #9 dreamsgonewild
R11#5 CH CH cherry bomb (4-1)
big pedigree for nj bred..even effort first out fine and servis solid 2nd out..jock/trainer 19/64 together
dmr
R4 #4 sayitright kat (9-2)
R6 #5 seve's road (6-1)
R7 #4 ultimate holiday (4-1)
R10 #2 barb's angel (2-1) ..4-5 or higher to play
dmr R8 #5 personal diary* (15-1)
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