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Travers
I really feel going into the Derby UPSTART had as impressive a running line as not only any horse in the field but most horses coming into it in any year.Of course Derby was a bomb but feel Haskell was a decent effort off the 3 month layoff.. If he can return to his pre-Derby self think he could give the big guy a tussle.
Kings Bishop..R8
deep talented field which is no surprise in this type of race.. love the 9-7f cutback of the 3 along with what he did in his first 4 races however probably little value there.. factoring in the figure earned and the way he won gonna go 4-WATERSHED.. with the big pedigree and McLaughlin throwing him right in against the big boys in his 2nd career start have to believe he's something special
Forego.. R9
10-SALUTOS AMIGOS... maybe this is a little convoluted theory but thinking the big slop win returning from Dubai happened cause he's such a freak on a wet track which minimized the effect of returning from there. the sub-par effort in the Vanderbilt might be a race he needed to get back to his best dirt form which is elite level when he's right
Ballerina.. R7
#4 room for me (8-1..12 mtp)
SWORD DANCER.. R10
#3 fixador (30-1)
at minimum a good horse to throw underneath.. went 8.5 to 12 two starts back and lost by a half length at 47-1..doing that exact stretch again today..4 time G1 winner in Brazil at distances from a mile to 12f
balston spa.. R12
#2 danza cavallo (10-1)
sat off a very slow pace (even for 12f) last race but think back in 3 weeks a very good sign.. think she'll get a nice benefit fitness wise from last.. Got 8.5f at Kee this spring and could see her sitting a nice trip in here
sar R13 #5 ziggy the great (30-1)
basically a value play for me.. with jara aboard and the unknown trainer (although I do remember a Carlos Figueroa from years ago) think he'll go off higher than he should.. he's simply not that far off from this bunch
mth
R3 #3 hay hay sadie rae (9-2)
R5 #1a upset city (10-1)
home bred with a speedy kentucky sire.. judging by works seems like she may be over what ever was ailing her as a 2yo
dmr
R5 #7 poythress (5-1)
R8 #9 feynman (8-1) #4 bellamy concerto* (9-2)
sar R2 #6 saratoga wildcat (6-1)
sar R5 #6 bottle dance (15-1)Originally Posted by JBEX
amongst all the big pedigreed expensive horses this filly got a couple of useful races under her belt.. like the even sprint in debut and then a very wide trip going two turns in 2nd start.. will certainly be a value play in here
sar R10 #8 blast away (10-1)
sar
R5 #6 street lass*(12-1)
dam was a SW and 7 time turf winner.. however her foals a combined 1/38 on the surface.. little intrigued though with excellent turf and debut sire street boss being the dad... quick works leading up to this
R6 #4 cajun spirit (20-1)
showed excellent ability in his first 3 starts at FG followed by a couple of extreme posts next two starts.. think last an excellent primer off 2 month layoff.. back in 23 days and feel gelding is a good fit with these
hopefully bridgmohan pops one today!!
#7 let's wrap it up* (20-1) how I feel about saratoga but in all seriousness don't think this horse that far off in this field.. pilot helps the odds but probably not the trip.. like other better
sar R10 #4 dynamic decision**** (5-2)
dmr
R2 #2 reckless charm***(4-1)
R4 #1 paschalitsa*** (5-1)
sar
R5 #4 lil renegade (10-1)
think this where she belongs.. 19 days between last two races and 20 to today's.. with rider and trainer probably offer value
R6 #2 light the night (6-1)
live oak home bred with big name sire..dam won 253k turf.. gradually improving fair hill works prior to shipping to lrl for her final move 8/19..like the fact they brought him up here rather than wait for bel..with stout breeding think they wouldn't be in such a hurry to run him in a turf sprint
R7 #7police camp* (20-1) #11 inventor's gate* (15-1)
R8 #4 clearly now*** (6-5)
ran very similar line as last race in the met mile and followed up with a career high Beyer in the belmont sprint (G3) .returns in about the same time
R9 #6 royal jest (15-1)
2nd post today.. gonna look at 10th
sar R10 #6 quiet confidence* (30-1)
the two favorites (1,10) are much the best here on paper so want to find something that may offer a little value..my choice probably needed last to get some conditioning off the three plus month layoff ..trainer 3/8 at the meet and has hit with some nice prices 2nd off 45-180 day layoff..probably better horse to use underneath the favorites in exotics
3rd post today
KD
R1 #12 mr song
gonna look at rest of card
KD
R4 #9 hoosier zip (15-1)
R5 #3 kiteta (6-1)
KD
R6 #6 whoopie pie (8-1)
R7 #12 lilly's dream (6-1)
R8 #10 one legend (7-2)
R9 #6 departing (6-1)
R10 #10 bondurant (10-1)
3rd post today
whats up jbex
how is summer what do you think
Tetradrachm 12th toga
summer OK except for my picks.. only had kentucky downs yesterday so didn't look at saratoga.. if I'd just stick to conditioned and maiden claiming races my results would be much better and there are plenty of those nowadays.. they are my strengths and may go that route down the road.. you've had some nice ones including those two harness horses same post a couple of weeks back
dmr
R1 #10 everlovin woman (6-1)
R4 #10 summer veil (9-2)
R5 #10 stardom found (12-1)
R6 #4 lucky folie (8-1)
R8 #7 yahoo tahoe (12-1)
R9 #5 blingismything (15-1)
R10 #2 saint dermot (8-1)
sar
R1 #8 quimet (12-1)
R2 #8 night madam (10-1)
R3 #10 augies coming (12-1)
R5 #6 unstoppable u (10-1)
R6 #5 winged fury (9-2)
R7 #2 rectify (6-1)
looking at rest
R8 #8 fila primera (5-1)
R10 #6 railis (4-1)
R11 #4 rock me again (6-1)
prx
R1#13 fit for a ball
R2 #7 dr wesley
R3 #8 shopaholic
R4 #11 troublante
R5 #4 rebecca's surprise
R6 #1 girl from glan
R7 #1 rosa carina
R8 #8 souper scoop
R9 #10 destrehan
PID...5:25 post
R2 #3 lagrats (8-5)
R3 #1 war alert (7-2)
R4 #2 metro (7-2)
R6 pick 3
27/6/2
guessing $30 for $1 if it happens
KD
R1 #3 spoonfullofsugar (6-1)
R2 #2 purely boy (6-5)
minus show pool with him in there
R3 #4 maizette (12-1)
think 7f turf at this level good fit.. able to break maiden debut so 6 week layoff shouldn't be a problem
R4 #8 lemon grove (4-1)
home bred, nice pedigree and good connections.. decent works and nothing blows me away in this field
R5 #6 galileo's moon (15-1)
4yo was a 560k yearling and making her 10th start here.. seemed to get her act together earlier this year with the addition of blinkers.. Had to deal with the 12 post and being spotted over her head 3 and 4 starts back.. being by elite euro sire galileo this type of course at this distance may be to her liking.. useful prep under her last race at ELP.. my other would be mott's #2 perfect flute
gonna look at rest of card
R6 #8 family tree (8-1) less
R7 #3 asia (5-1)
R8 #9 aguafria (9-2)
R9 #1 industrial policy (5-1)
R10 #2 place des vogues (6-1)
lrc
R1 #4 redistribute (3-1)
R2 #10 midnight lien (7-2)
R3 #6 val de meti (8-1)
lrc
R6 #5 hijiki (5-1)
R7 #7 znelle (10-1)
R8 #6 of course it is (4-1)
bel R4 #2 giant run (10-1)
love debut run as a prep for the stretch.. 200k yearling by elite sire giant's causeway..may get lost in the shuffle with mcgaughey, mott and asmussen also in here.. albertrani has another separate entrant here who ran decent first outing that will take some money
bel R7 #8 eloweasel (15-1)
firster by above average debut and turf sire city zip.. interestingly enough the 9 and 10 are also firsters by same sire.. they'll be no value in them with chad brown and violette being the trainers... ours is working very quick and with lower profile connections may be an overlay
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