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Thank you sir. Unfortunately the results have been sub-par to date, but we are certainly not getting buried and I am confident still the hot streak will come. The season is still early and discipline is paying off right now.Originally Posted by Jayvegas420
I will take a look at your play tomorrow. As you may notice, I don't play many overs.. I just haven't had success in identifying what the underlying signals of overs are. I'll put some time in tomorrow.
Today'a RESULTS:
1-1-2, -0.5 units.
Arizona is the worst team in the NHL. Better off taking San Jose to score 3 goals by themselves tbh. Arizona can easily score 0 or 1, especially after one of their best playmakers just got injured
Oilers 107 risk 2
Sabres 145 risk 1
Coyotes 151 risk 1
Predators 106 risk 1
Lightning/Flyers u5.5 -125 to win 1
Oilers/Stars u5.5 -105 to win 1.5
I was off on the Rangers game.
Could go 0-2.
But I still like the SJ over!
Boom. Finally we won in overtime.
Daily Results : 4-2 , +3.8units
Season tally coming tomorrow. Cheers!
Good picks today. Best of luck Sunday...
Red Wings -150 1u
Hurricanes/Jets u5.5 -130 2u
Good that you laid off the Sens.
Wish I had.
JayRow good luck with your plays madam
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And just like that I am into the black on this thread.
Yesterday: 1-1; +0.5 units.
Season to Date: 19-22; +0.5 units.
Now let's climb the ladder of profit together. I've never run a thread and love to engage with all of you on whatever level we can.. please be cognizant ; i am happy to share NHL tips, but my methodology is math-intensive and its not always black and white why I pick a game.
The main point needs to be discipline. I follow an extremely discipline methodology and the results speak for themselves. Bet the game for the amounts posted and follow the growth method. The odds are certainly in our favor we will profit over the course of a season; who can say that?!? Hockey is not NFL and NBA or any of the other sexy betting sports but thats what gives us our advantage.
Do you ever bet props? I've had great success betting the props this year. And periods...
No CrackJack I don't bet props. Although I do believe that solid volume is a good weapon in the flat-bettor's arsenal, I am also a believer of core competencies.
Data is more widely available for whole games and separating by period is out of my current interests to dig into. Not to mention there are lower limits on periods which don't include it in the long-term plans.
Ready to go for today and excited to keep the winning streak rolling. Picks for 11/21/16 are below. As always, favorites to win, underdogs risk.
PREDATORS -134 1 UNIT - WIN
RANGERS 141 1 UNIT - WIN
AVALANCHE/BLUE JACKETS UNDER 5.5 -125 1 UNIT- WIN
STARS/WILD UNDER 5.5 -130 1 UNIT - WIN
ADDED PLAYS:
PENGUINS / RANGERS OVER 5.5 +105 1 UNIT - WIN
DEVILS / SHARKS OVER 5 +115 1 UNIT - LOSS
Today's conversation can be about expectations. What do you guys want to see by the end of the year, in terms of units won? I think it would be nice to understand expectations.
I'll start by saying my goal is 75 units in NHL!
Note on the added plays. I spent much time in the past two weeks with brainstorming and proof of concept on a few OVER systems. OVERS are attractive to me in hockey because of the + odds widely available, however, it has been challenging for me to find the right angle. I think i have done so.
I believe this will help us moving forward especially if the goalies get their new equipment. Cheers!
Last edited by JayRow; 11-22-16 at 07:40 AM.
I find really good value in betting first to score and score in first 10 minutes and the totals in period betting. Especially when you get second tier goalies going at it. Maybe I've just been lucky, but been following the trends on certain teams and it's been paying off. To each his own though. Too many times the team I've handicapped to win is juiced too high to bet...
I added some plays. See above!
Going for the throat tonight ladies and gentlemen...
Yesterday: 5-1; +4.46 units.
Season to Date: 24-23; +4.96 units.
Yeehaw! Now those are the days I am more accustomed to. Let's keep it rolling. If I were like most of the other guys here and played everything "2x" we'd be +10 units through the first month of the season but i don't do that marketing BS!
Today's Plays:
Maple Leafs -130 1 unit - LOSS
Hurricanes/Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 -120 1 unit - WIN
Flyers/Panthers UNDER 5.5 -120 1 unit - WIN
Last edited by JayRow; 11-22-16 at 09:10 PM.
Leafs could be trouble this year.
Like the Philli under.
Nice winning day. Tailing on Toronto.
Good luck with Leafs under. Their last 5 home games have been high scoring
Welcome to the thread Newmarket. no matter your bet size, I encourage you to jump on board. I'd love to you have you as an active participant and part of the crew I'm forming.
Thanks.. heating up... I guarantee I will be hitting my stride as usual. Over the course of the season the sample size gets too large to hold me down for long.
Shucks I hope the maple leafs pull it off.. 1-1 or 2-1 in our favor going into the third would have been great.. to bad the leafs had to give up a short handed goal at the end of the 2nd.
You know I appreciate your support and contributio to the thread since the beginning, but I'd seriously urge you to jump on board for all picks and not cherry pick. I've been doing this for a long time and know that selecting a handicappers picks can lead to unsatisfying results, and exponentially upsetting because you should be up.
Please take this with all due respect!
Today: 2-1; +0.7 units
Season To Date: 26-24; +5.66 units
Don't doubt the world's famous picks! Another winning day by Jay...
Yes sir! If not for the shorthanded goal.. we might have had another big night.
For all those reading, 3 units is a BIG night. I recommend 2-3% of bankroll to be a unit given the volume and relatively flat betting I do.
Off first glance i believe we will have a lot of action tomorrow. Goodnight.
Been following for a week. Some bold moves with your picks Jay. Congrats.
Tailing along with you.
Liking the plays so far Jay. Let's see what this world famous stuff is all about!
Yesterday: 2-1; +0.7 units
Season To Date: 26-24; +5.66 units
Okay guys. We finally have some good momentum and putting together a string of winning days. Let's keep it going. We do in fact have a lot of plays today and I am thankful for that. Without further adieu..
Today's Plays:
Red Wings -109 1 unit - WIN
Penguins +103 2 units - WIN
Oilers -119 1 unit - WIN
Sharks -163 1 unit - WIN
Devils -133 1 unit - WIN
Red Wings/ Sabres UNDER 5 -115 1 unit - WIN
Blues/ Capitals UNDER5 -105 1 unit - LOSS
Last edited by JayRow; 11-23-16 at 11:43 PM.
just curious because you post plays early. do u take line moves into account at all? lots of late ones in hockey and i think line movement is bigger factor in hockey than most other sports.
No sir I do not. I care what the line is, but not how it moves. Yes, of course I prefer to beat the closing line and I think that's a good sign we have good value in our play. However, I don't make plays based on line movement and frankly think it's a suckers strategy.
I smell blood... let's root home the night caps!
Is a topic of discussion, that's for sure!
GL
Today's Results: 6-1 ; +6.01 units
YTD : 32-25 ; +11.67 units
I regret making the title of the thread HOCKEY picks because im sure many are not hockey fans and they won't enjoy the profits
wow
I must say either you no your shit in hockey or you got really lucky
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