1. 10-24-16 01:09 PM #1
    Waterstpub87
    Slan go foill
    Waterstpub87's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-09-09
    Posts: 4,044
    Betpoints: 7292

    Predicting Overtimes in College Basketball

    Trying to figure out a formula to predict the chance a college basketball game goes to overtime. Found data that says 6% of games go to overtime. It has to be more likely with even match opponents. Has anyone figured out or found a formula for overtime% based on pointspread?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 10-24-16 05:21 PM #2
    tsty
    tsty's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-27-16
    Posts: 510
    Betpoints: 4345

    why are you wasting your time with useless shit?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 10-24-16 09:55 PM #3
    evo34
    evo34's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-09-08
    Posts: 1,032
    Betpoints: 4198

    You can probably derive it using some matchup data at dolphinsim.com.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 12-01-16 07:26 PM #4
    Drew Martin
    Drew Martin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-28-16
    Posts: 38
    Betpoints: 10827

    Did you have any luck Waterstpub?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 12-04-16 04:01 PM #5
    Waterstpub87
    Slan go foill
    Waterstpub87's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-09-09
    Posts: 4,044
    Betpoints: 7292

    Quote Originally Posted by Drew Martin View Post
    Did you have any luck Waterstpub?
    I did not really pursue it much. Probably not much of a factor to spend time testing.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 12-04-16 04:06 PM #6
    jtoler
    jtoler's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-17-13
    Posts: 30,967
    Betpoints: 6337

    Why you wanna know this bro?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 12-07-16 07:36 AM #7
    nash13
    nash13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-14
    Posts: 1,122
    Betpoints: 7160

    6% of the games i covered in the DB has gone to Overtime.
    There is no value in chasing this.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 12-07-16 07:38 AM #8
    nash13
    nash13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-14
    Posts: 1,122
    Betpoints: 7160

    http://sportsdatabase.com/ncaabb/que...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 12-08-16 01:43 AM #9
    3-1LeadBlown
    3-1LeadBlown's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-30-16
    Posts: 115
    Betpoints: 0

    To be honest this is just luck and only luck
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 12-08-16 04:30 AM #10
    ans61201
    ans61201's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-11-15
    Posts: 3,661
    Betpoints: 4181

    Yeah don't waste your time.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Handicapper Think Tank | Next Thread »