Originally Posted by
Waterstpub87
I don't know why you would need a histogram. It is just a graphical representation. You would need a distribution.
At any rate, if you knew the point spread, you could convert it to money line with the calculator in the tools section on this board.
I guess you are doing something like ranking teams on an ordinal scale, and saying something like " Number 1 team should be a 3 point favorite over Number 4 team". I don't know why you couldn't do something like "Number 1 teams win 60% of the time against a Number 4 team".
It isn't clear what you are asking based on your first paragraph. I would assume that most models don't pump out ratings, they pump out expected point spreads, ml and totals between two teams. It seems kind of backwards to rate teams, then back test to get point spreads.