Yes, I have been feverishly developing an algorithm that calculates the true spread that should exist between two teams for a given match up.
Let
S (A,B) = overall skill of team A and B respectively
Let
C (A,B) = overall coaching consistency and ability of team A and B respectively
Let
D* represent a constant parameter that estimates the degree of homefield advantage the home team has in terms of points
Then we fit the function:
H(A,B) = [[S (A,B)+C (A,B)]x
D*] ./ [standard deviation of
C (A,B)^2 - x+
D*]
From this I take the value of H and drink that many beers. Following this procedure, I just pick which team I dislike the least to cover the spread and watch it on TV, drinking H amount of beers during the game, typically passing out by halftime.
Use this treasure wisely my friend.