1. 10-17-09 11:24 AM #1
    rumble
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    betting on heavy favorites

    In which sport do heavy favorites have the greatest probability of winning and the least likelihood of being upset? Baseball, football, basketball? And is there a difference between the college and pro leagues?
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  2. 10-17-09 12:09 PM #2
    maxdalury
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    the chances of winning are directly linked to the line for that game, no matter the sport
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  3. 10-17-09 01:10 PM #3
    Ruifgalmeida
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    I would say football, but dont bet on heavy favourites, normaly is where bookies put all the juice, making it not very profitable, my favourites bets is beting on dogs in mlb and nhl
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  4. 10-17-09 09:31 PM #4
    juuso
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    Either basketball or football.
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  5. 10-17-09 09:35 PM #5
    PAPSMEAR
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    In general - Best Basketball. Worst Baseball.
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  6. 10-17-09 09:38 PM #6
    Reload
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    Basketball would get my vote. One turnover in a football game or one swing of the bat in baseball can change a whole game. But it takes a lot of back and forth action in basketball for a good team to be beat.
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  7. 10-17-09 09:41 PM #7
    IrishTim
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    Bad NBA teams rarely beat the elite ones when the better team is at home.
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  8. 10-17-09 10:37 PM #8
    man3645
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    Betting on heavy Favs is an easiest way to loose money,
    but Irish is right...
    Last edited by man3645; 10-17-09 at 10:49 PM.
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  9. 10-18-09 09:19 AM #9
    IrishTim
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    Quote Originally Posted by man3645 View Post
    Betting on heavy Favs is an easiest way to loose money,
    ...especially when parlaying them. But if you insist on playing large favorites, then look hit the top tier NBA teams at home.
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  10. 10-18-09 10:24 AM #10
    Domestic
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    Worst: NHL and Baseball
    Best: Basketball
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  11. 10-18-09 12:24 PM #11
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by IrishTim View Post
    ...especially when parlaying them. But if you insist on playing large favorites, then look hit the top tier NBA teams at home.
    ohio state
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  12. 10-18-09 01:15 PM #12
    roasthawg
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    Quote Originally Posted by maxdalury View Post
    the chances of winning are directly linked to the line for that game, no matter the sport
    This is the correct answer.
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  13. 10-18-09 02:49 PM #13
    IrishTim
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    Quote Originally Posted by teaserpleaser View Post
    ohio state
    Is Ohio St an elite NBA team?
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  14. 10-18-09 03:35 PM #14
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by IrishTim View Post
    Is Ohio St an elite NBA team?
    If you say so, thread title says heavy favorites (ohio state -590 yesterday) Pryor would probably make one hell of a Shooting Guard
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  15. 10-21-09 10:24 PM #15
    grilldoggy
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    I think baseball would be worst for this. Football best, carefully done.
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  16. 10-21-09 10:58 PM #16
    Ace_of_Spades
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    Soccer
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  17. 10-21-09 11:21 PM #17
    IrishTim
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    Quote Originally Posted by teaserpleaser View Post
    ... Pryor would probably make one hell of a Shooting Guard
    Probably should've stuck with basketball considering how this QB thing is turning out for him.
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  18. 10-21-09 11:21 PM #18
    IrishTim
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ace_of_Spades View Post
    Soccer
    All the draws make soccer a nightmare to wager on. Nothing but bad experiences with that sport.
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  19. 10-21-09 11:26 PM #19
    Ace_of_Spades
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    Quote Originally Posted by IrishTim View Post
    All the draws make soccer a nightmare to wager on. Nothing but bad experiences with that sport.
    Doesn't happen often with teams like Barcelona/Real/Chelsea/Arsenal and United.
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  20. 10-22-09 01:18 AM #20
    Nickelicious
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ace_of_Spades View Post
    Doesn't happen often with teams like Barcelona/Real/Chelsea/Arsenal and United.
    Two words for Barcelona: Rubin Kazan!
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  21. 10-22-09 01:32 AM #21
    Ace_of_Spades
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nickelicious View Post
    Two words for Barcelona: Rubin Kazan!
    How often does that happen? Will that cost them a chance in the Knockout Stage? No it won't.
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  22. 10-22-09 05:20 AM #22
    PASS IT ON
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    the more points scored in a game the better chance the best team wins, soccer baseball hockey = any team can score 1-0 and win the game, basketball tends to let more scoring oppurtunities with the best team (hopefully) scoring more.
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  23. 10-22-09 05:21 AM #23
    PASS IT ON
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    with soccer i like the DRAW NO BET FEATURE, so even if ur team takes a draw u get ur money back, (mayb only an aussie thing)
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  24. 10-22-09 06:10 AM #24
    andywend
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    Moneylines are not always based on the spread even within the same sport.

    For example, compare the moneyline of a 16 point dog in NBA basketball early in the season as compared to late in the season.

    The 16 point dog might be +1500 early in the season and can be +3000 or higher late in the season once eliminated from playoff contention.

    However, with few (if any) exceptions, the larger the favorite, the better chance of them winning.
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  25. 10-22-09 06:52 AM #25
    Ace_of_Spades
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    I tell you this, Soccer is the most profitable sport to bet on.
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  26. 10-22-09 07:51 AM #26
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by PASS IT ON View Post
    with soccer i like the DRAW NO BET FEATURE, so even if ur team takes a draw u get ur money back, (mayb only an aussie thing)
    Not strictly Aussie or Euro, I have seen that option at North American books. I prefer 3-ways myself, but sometimes the 2-way does have value.
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  27. 10-22-09 08:10 AM #27
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by rumble View Post
    In which sport do heavy favorites have the greatest probability of winning and the least likelihood of being upset? Baseball, football, basketball? And is there a difference between the college and pro leagues?
    Soccer. Heavy favorites rarely lose unless there is a fix.
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  28. 10-22-09 08:32 AM #28
    hillardoh
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    Quote Originally Posted by maxdalury View Post
    the chances of winning are directly linked to the line for that game, no matter the sport
    this really depends if you play the moneyline on heavy favorites you can win against low ranked teams
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  29. 10-22-09 10:04 AM #29
    dwaechte
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    Jesus christ lol. Someone chimes in with the only correct answer possible with the very first response and we still get 10 ridiculous answers afterwards...
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  30. 10-22-09 04:29 PM #30
    Alvisar
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    Quote Originally Posted by IrishTim View Post
    All the draws make soccer a nightmare to wager on. Nothing but bad experiences with that sport.
    I agree, soccer is a nightmare especially when you are not familiar with it. I play light bets on soccer during the week sometimes, but only after studying and research and usually only making one play at a time.
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  31. 10-22-09 06:55 PM #31
    aggieshawn
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    my computer sucks cant read the forum today
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  32. 10-22-09 08:58 PM #32
    cinpls081
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    are you guys really this stupid? The odds are the odds. a -300 fav in any sport has the same % chance of winning or losing. This is the dumbest question of all time
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  33. 10-22-09 11:48 PM #33
    blix177
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    Coin Flip has the least chance of being upset. Since there are no favs
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  34. 10-26-09 03:52 AM #34
    shantystar
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    Quote Originally Posted by rumble View Post
    In which sport do heavy favorites have the greatest probability of winning and the least likelihood of being upset? Baseball, football, basketball? And is there a difference between the college and pro leagues?
    NFL
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