1. 10-20-09 01:24 AM #1
    curinator
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    Racial Bias In NBA Spread Outcomes

    Stumbled upon an article recently and thought it was very interesting. Results were taken from the '91-'05 season, quite a large sample size for statistical significance. Obviously, the information is hard to analyze for predictive purposes as it's very difficult to know whether a bias such as this continues to exist, but still, quite the read.

    For all you lazy non-readers and/or people who hate anything to do with math, go down to page 18 for graphs, the most important graph being on page 18. It shows the relationship between racial composition of a team, racial composition of the refereeing crew, and the relationship of the two translated into an ATS record.

    Enjoy.

    http://bpp.wharton.upenn.edu/jwolfer...NBABetting.pdf
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  2. 10-20-09 11:40 AM #2
    Justin7
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    I thought it was interesting also.
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  3. 10-20-09 04:18 PM #3
    Peep
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    thanks for the read, enjoyed it also.
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  4. 10-20-09 04:48 PM #4
    rm18
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    I am too illiterate to read this, but I do know that white teams are covering and winning machines at home since the dawn of time.
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  5. 10-20-09 05:10 PM #5
    Dark Horse
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    Interesting, but could have been juicier with fouls and overs/unders.
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  6. 10-20-09 07:30 PM #6
    20Four7
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    I wish it would open for me sounds interesting.
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  7. 10-20-09 11:27 PM #7
    Kustac
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    very interesting
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  8. 10-21-09 11:21 AM #8
    BigCap
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    Quote Originally Posted by rm18 View Post
    I am too illiterate to read this, but I do know that white teams are covering and winning machines at home since the dawn of time.
    Agreed, that's the most conclusive finding I saw from this report.
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  9. 10-21-09 11:22 AM #9
    BigCap
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dark Horse View Post
    Interesting, but could have been juicier with fouls and overs/unders.
    Would you be interested in gathering this and also the 2006-08 results?
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  10. 10-26-09 03:55 AM #10
    shantystar
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    Quote Originally Posted by curinator View Post
    Stumbled upon an article recently and thought it was very interesting. Results were taken from the '91-'05 season, quite a large sample size for statistical significance. Obviously, the information is hard to analyze for predictive purposes as it's very difficult to know whether a bias such as this continues to exist, but still, quite the read.

    For all you lazy non-readers and/or people who hate anything to do with math, go down to page 18 for graphs, the most important graph being on page 18. It shows the relationship between racial composition of a team, racial composition of the refereeing crew, and the relationship of the two translated into an ATS record.

    Enjoy.

    http://bpp.wharton.upenn.edu/jwolfer...NBABetting.pdf
    nice link
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