1. #1
    acw
    acw's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-29-05
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    The infamous Manchester United project (team bias)

    From time to time you will hear people say:"You should always bet against bla bla bla, because the whole public always bets on them, so their prices are biased, etc. etc. etc."

    Some 10 years ago I met this guy that always bets on Manchester United week in week out and was pretty successful in doing so. Then in early 2004 when I had quite some football matches+their Asian handicaps in my database, I discovered that of all teams in my database betting on just one single team Manchester United would be the most profitable. I started a thread on it at the RX:
    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=139414

    Now 7.5 years later MU still turns out to be the best team to bet on even at crappy (Macauslot) odds. Here an overview of all their matches during the past 10 years:


    Date HT AT HTG ATG COMP NG MHTS MHCS MATS TRES
    26/08/2001 Aston Villa Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 1.800 -0.75 2.050 -1.0000
    15/09/2001 Newcastle United Manchester United 4 3 ENG0 1.775 -0.50 2.075 -2.0000
    19/09/2001 Manchester United Lille 1 0 CL 1.825 1.25 2.025 -2.5000
    22/09/2001 Manchester United Ipswich Town 4 0 ENG0 1.750 1.50 2.100 -1.7500
    26/09/2001 Deportivo La Coruna Manchester United 2 1 CL 1.900 0.00 1.950 -2.7500
    29/09/2001 Tottenham Hotspur Manchester United 3 5 ENG0 1.800 -0.50 2.050 -1.7000
    11/10/2001 Olympiakos Manchester United 0 2 CL 1.800 -0.50 2.050 -0.6500
    13/10/2001 Sunderland Manchester United 1 3 ENG0 2.000 -0.50 1.850 0.2000
    18/10/2001 Manchester United Deportivo La Coruna 2 3 CL 2.050 1.00 1.800 -0.8000
    20/10/2001 Manchester United Bolton Wanderers 1 2 ENG0 1.975 1.75 1.875 -1.8000
    24/10/2001 Manchester United Olympiakos 3 0 CL 2.025 1.75 1.825 -0.7750
    27/10/2001 Manchester United Leeds United 1 1 ENG0 1.825 0.50 2.025 -1.7750
    01/11/2001 Lille Manchester United 1 1 CL 2.050 0.50 1.800 -0.9750
    04/11/2001 Liverpool Manchester United 3 1 ENG0 1.775 0.00 2.075 -1.9750
    17/11/2001 Manchester United Leicester City 2 0 ENG0 1.775 1.75 2.075 -1.5875
    21/11/2001 Bayern Munchen Manchester United 1 1 CL 1.775 0.25 2.075 -1.0500
    25/11/2001 Arsenal Manchester United 3 1 ENG0 2.100 0.00 1.750 -2.0500
    01/12/2001 Manchester United Chelsea 0 3 ENG0 1.875 0.75 1.975 -3.0500
    06/12/2001 Manchester United Boavista 3 0 CL 1.800 1.25 2.050 -2.2500
    08/12/2001 Manchester United West Ham United 0 1 ENG0 1.750 1.50 2.100 -3.2500
    13/12/2001 Manchester United Derby County 5 0 ENG0 1.875 2.00 1.975 -2.3750
    15/12/2001 Middlesbrough Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 1.950 -1.00 1.900 -2.3750
    22/12/2001 Manchester United Southampton 6 1 ENG0 2.025 1.75 1.825 -1.3500
    26/12/2001 Everton Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 1.850 -1.00 2.000 -0.3500
    30/12/2001 Fulham Manchester United 2 3 ENG0 1.825 -0.75 2.025 0.1625
    03/01/2002 Manchester United Newcastle United 3 1 ENG0 1.950 1.00 1.900 1.1125
    07/01/2002 Aston Villa Manchester United 2 3 FA 1.825 -0.50 2.025 2.1375
    13/01/2002 Southampton Manchester United 1 3 ENG0 1.925 -1.00 1.925 3.0625
    19/01/2002 Manchester United Blackburn Rovers 2 1 ENG0 1.975 1.50 1.875 2.0625
    23/01/2002 Manchester United Liverpool 0 1 ENG0 2.025 0.75 1.825 1.0625
    26/01/2002 Middlesbrough Manchester United 2 0 FA 1.900 -1.00 1.950 0.0625
    30/01/2002 Bolton Wanderers Manchester United 0 4 ENG0 1.875 -1.00 1.975 1.0375
    02/02/2002 Manchester United Sunderland 4 1 ENG0 2.000 1.75 1.850 2.0375
    10/02/2002 Charlton Athletic Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 1.900 -1.25 1.950 2.9875
    21/02/2002 Nantes Manchester United 1 1 CL 2.025 -0.75 1.825 1.9875
    23/02/2002 Manchester United Aston Villa 1 0 ENG0 1.825 1.00 2.025 1.9875
    27/02/2002 Manchester United Nantes 5 1 CL 1.800 1.50 2.050 2.7875
    03/03/2002 Derby County Manchester United 2 2 ENG0 1.900 -1.25 1.950 1.7875
    07/03/2002 Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 4 0 ENG0 1.950 1.75 1.900 2.7375
    14/03/2002 Manchester United Bayern Munchen 0 0 CL 1.850 0.50 2.000 1.7375
    16/03/2002 West Ham United Manchester United 3 5 ENG0 1.800 -1.00 2.050 2.7875
    20/03/2002 Boavista Manchester United 0 3 CL 2.025 -0.25 1.825 3.6125
    23/03/2002 Manchester United Middlesbrough 0 1 ENG0 2.000 1.75 1.850 2.6125
    30/03/2002 Leeds United Manchester United 3 4 ENG0 1.800 -0.50 2.050 3.6625
    03/04/2002 Deportivo La Coruna Manchester United 0 2 CL 2.050 -0.25 1.800 4.4625
    06/04/2002 Leicester City Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 1.825 -1.75 2.025 3.4625
    11/04/2002 Manchester United Deportivo La Coruna 3 2 CL 2.050 0.50 1.800 4.5125
    20/04/2002 Chelsea Manchester United 0 3 ENG0 1.950 0.00 1.900 5.4125
    25/04/2002 Manchester United Leverkusen 2 2 CL 1.950 1.00 1.900 4.4125
    28/04/2002 Ipswich Town Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 1.850 -1.00 2.000 4.4125
    01/05/2002 Leverkusen Manchester United 1 1 CL 2.050 0.00 1.800 4.4125
    09/05/2002 Manchester United Arsenal 0 1 ENG0 2.050 0.50 1.800 3.4125
    11/05/2002 Manchester United Charlton Athletic 0 0 ENG0 1.800 1.50 2.050 2.4125
    03/08/2002 Ajax Manchester United 2 1 OTH 1.825 0.00 2.025 1.4125
    15/08/2002 Manchester United Zalaegerszegi 0 1 CL Y 1.850 1.25 2.000 0.4125
    17/08/2002 Manchester United West Bromwich 1 0 ENG0 1.950 1.75 1.900 -0.5875
    24/08/2002 Chelsea Manchester United 2 2 ENG0 1.825 -0.25 2.025 -1.0875
    28/08/2002 Manchester United Zalaegerszegi 5 0 CL 1.800 2.25 2.050 -0.2875
    31/08/2002 Sunderland Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 1.925 -1.00 1.925 -1.2875
    04/09/2002 Manchester United Middlesbrough 1 0 ENG0 1.925 1.50 1.925 -2.2875
    12/09/2002 Manchester United Bolton Wanderers 0 1 ENG0 1.850 1.75 2.000 -3.2875
    14/09/2002 Leeds United Manchester United 1 0 ENG0 1.850 -0.25 2.000 -4.2875
    19/09/2002 Manchester United Maccabi Haifa 5 2 CL 2.025 2.00 1.825 -3.2625
    21/09/2002 Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 1 0 ENG0 2.025 1.25 1.825 -3.7625
    25/09/2002 Leverkusen Manchester United 1 2 CL 2.025 -0.25 1.825 -2.9375
    28/09/2002 Charlton Athletic Manchester United 1 3 ENG0 1.850 -1.00 2.000 -1.9375
    02/10/2002 Manchester United Olympiakos 4 0 CL 1.825 1.50 2.025 -1.1125
    08/10/2002 Manchester United Everton 3 0 ENG0 2.025 1.75 1.825 -0.0875
    19/10/2002 Fulham Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 1.850 -0.75 2.000 -1.0875
    24/10/2002 Olympiakos Manchester United 2 3 CL 1.875 -0.25 1.975 -0.1125
    26/10/2002 Manchester United Aston Villa 1 1 ENG0 1.800 1.50 2.050 -1.1125
    30/10/2002 Manchester United Maccabi Haifa 0 3 CL Y 2.025 0.00 1.825 -2.1125
    02/11/2002 Manchester United Southampton 2 1 ENG0 1.975 1.50 1.875 -3.1125
    06/11/2002 Manchester United Leicester City 2 0 WORT 1.875 0.75 1.975 -2.2375
    09/11/2002 Manchester City Manchester United 3 1 ENG0 1.850 -0.75 2.000 -3.2375
    14/11/2002 Manchester United Leverkusen 2 0 CL 1.975 1.00 1.875 -2.2625
    18/11/2002 West Ham United Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 1.825 -0.75 2.025 -3.2625
    23/11/2002 Manchester United Newcastle United 5 3 ENG0 2.025 0.75 1.825 -2.2375
    27/11/2002 Basel Manchester United 1 3 CL 2.050 -0.25 1.800 -1.4375
    01/12/2002 Liverpool Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 2.050 0.25 1.800 -0.6375
    04/12/2002 Burnley Manchester United 0 2 WORT 1.950 -0.50 1.900 0.2625
    07/12/2002 Manchester United Arsenal 2 0 ENG0 1.800 0.00 2.050 1.0625
    12/12/2002 Manchester United Deportivo La Coruna 2 0 CL 2.050 0.75 1.800 2.1125
    14/12/2002 Manchester United West Ham United 3 0 ENG0 1.800 1.50 2.050 2.9125
    18/12/2002 Manchester United Chelsea 1 0 WORT 1.850 0.25 2.000 3.7625
    22/12/2002 Blackburn Rovers Manchester United 1 0 ENG0 1.875 -0.75 1.975 2.7625
    26/12/2002 Middlesbrough Manchester United 3 1 ENG0 1.875 -0.75 1.975 1.7625
    28/12/2002 Manchester United Birmingham City 2 0 ENG0 1.875 1.75 1.975 2.2000
    01/01/2003 Manchester United Sunderland 2 1 ENG0 1.800 1.75 2.050 1.2000
    04/01/2003 Manchester United Portsmouth 4 1 FA 1.850 1.50 2.000 2.0500
    08/01/2003 Manchester United Blackburn Rovers 1 1 WORT 1.975 1.00 1.875 1.0500
    11/01/2003 West Bromwich Manchester United 1 3 ENG0 1.900 -1.00 1.950 2.0000
    18/01/2003 Manchester United Chelsea 2 1 ENG0 1.800 0.50 2.050 2.8000
    23/01/2003 Blackburn Rovers Manchester United 1 3 WORT 1.800 -0.50 2.050 3.8500
    26/01/2003 Manchester United West Ham United 6 0 FA 2.050 1.75 1.800 4.9000
    01/02/2003 Southampton Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 1.925 -0.75 1.925 5.8250
    05/02/2003 Birmingham City Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 1.850 -1.25 2.000 5.3250
    09/02/2003 Manchester United Manchester City 1 1 ENG0 2.025 1.50 1.825 4.3250
    15/02/2003 Manchester United Arsenal 0 2 FA 2.000 0.25 1.850 3.3250
    20/02/2003 Manchester United Juventus 2 1 CL 1.825 0.50 2.025 4.1500
    22/02/2003 Bolton Wanderers Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 1.850 -1.00 2.000 3.1500
    26/02/2003 Juventus Manchester United 0 3 CL 1.850 0.50 2.000 4.1500
    02/03/2003 Manchester United Liverpool 0 2 WORT Y 1.950 0.50 1.900 3.1500
    06/03/2003 Manchester United Leeds United 2 1 ENG0 1.900 1.25 1.950 2.6500
    13/03/2003 Manchester United Basel 1 1 CL 1.950 0.75 1.900 1.6500
    15/03/2003 Aston Villa Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 1.900 -0.75 1.950 2.1250
    19/03/2003 Deportivo La Coruna Manchester United 2 0 CL 2.025 0.75 1.825 1.1250
    22/03/2003 Manchester United Fulham 3 0 ENG0 1.950 1.50 1.900 2.0750
    05/04/2003 Manchester United Liverpool 4 0 ENG0 2.050 0.75 1.800 3.1250
    09/04/2003 Real Madrid Manchester United 3 1 CL 1.850 0.50 2.000 2.1250
    12/04/2003 Newcastle United Manchester United 2 6 ENG0 1.850 -0.25 2.000 3.1250
    17/04/2003 Arsenal Manchester United 2 2 ENG0 2.000 0.25 1.850 3.5500
    19/04/2003 Manchester United Blackburn Rovers 3 1 ENG0 1.950 1.25 1.900 4.5000
    24/04/2003 Manchester United Real Madrid 4 3 CL 2.050 0.50 1.800 5.5500
    27/04/2003 Tottenham Hotspur Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 1.800 -1.25 2.050 6.6000
    03/05/2003 Manchester United Charlton Athletic 4 1 ENG0 2.050 2.00 1.800 7.6500
    11/05/2003 Everton Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 1.875 -0.50 1.975 8.6250
    23/07/2003 Manchester United Celtic 4 0 OTH Y 2.025 0.50 1.825 9.6500
    28/07/2003 Manchester United Club America 3 1 OTH Y 1.850 1.50 2.000 10.5000
    01/08/2003 Manchester United Juventus 4 1 OTH Y 2.000 0.25 1.850 11.5000
    04/08/2003 Manchester United Barcelona 3 1 OTH Y 1.925 0.25 1.925 12.4250
    07/08/2003 Sporting Lisbon Manchester United 3 1 OTH 1.975 -0.75 1.875 11.4250
    10/08/2003 Manchester United Arsenal 1 1 OTH Y 1.800 0.00 2.050 11.4250
    16/08/2003 Manchester United Bolton Wanderers 4 0 ENG0 2.050 1.75 1.800 12.4750
    23/08/2003 Newcastle United Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 1.875 -0.50 1.975 13.4500
    28/08/2003 Manchester United Wolverhampton 1 0 ENG0 2.050 2.50 1.800 12.4500
    31/08/2003 Southampton Manchester United 1 0 ENG0 1.800 -1.00 2.050 11.4500
    13/09/2003 Charlton Athletic Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 1.800 -1.00 2.050 12.5000
    17/09/2003 Manchester United Panathinaikos 5 0 CL 1.800 1.50 2.050 13.3000
    21/09/2003 Manchester United Arsenal 0 0 ENG0 2.050 0.50 1.800 12.3000
    27/09/2003 Leicester City Manchester United 1 4 ENG0 1.850 -1.25 2.000 13.3000
    02/10/2003 Stuttgart Manchester United 2 1 CL 1.800 -0.50 2.050 12.3000
    04/10/2003 Manchester United Birmingham City 3 0 ENG0 2.025 1.50 1.825 13.3250
    18/10/2003 Leeds United Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 1.900 -1.00 1.950 13.3250
    23/10/2003 Glasgow Rangers Manchester United 0 1 CL 2.050 -0.50 1.800 14.1250
    25/10/2003 Manchester United Fulham 1 3 ENG0 1.875 1.50 1.975 13.1250
    29/10/2003 Leeds United Manchester United 1 1 WORT 1.975 -0.25 1.875 12.6250
    01/11/2003 Manchester United Portsmouth 3 0 ENG0 2.050 1.75 1.800 13.6750
    05/11/2003 Manchester United Glasgow Rangers 3 0 CL 1.800 1.25 2.050 14.4750
    09/11/2003 Liverpool Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 1.900 -0.25 1.950 15.4250
    22/11/2003 Manchester United Blackburn Rovers 2 1 ENG0 1.875 1.50 1.975 14.4250
    27/11/2003 Panathinaikos Manchester United 0 1 CL 1.875 -0.75 1.975 14.9125
    01/12/2003 Chelsea Manchester United 1 0 ENG0 1.800 0.00 2.050 13.9125
    04/12/2003 West Bromwich Manchester United 2 0 WORT 1.950 -0.25 1.900 12.9125
    06/12/2003 Manchester United Aston Villa 4 0 ENG0 2.025 1.50 1.825 13.9375
    10/12/2003 Manchester United Stuttgart 2 0 CL 1.800 0.75 2.050 14.7375
    13/12/2003 Manchester United Manchester City 3 1 ENG0 1.950 1.25 1.900 15.6875
    22/12/2003 Tottenham Hotspur Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 1.850 -1.00 2.000 15.6875
    26/12/2003 Manchester United Everton 3 2 ENG0 2.050 1.50 1.800 14.6875
    29/12/2003 Middlesbrough Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 2.025 -0.75 1.825 15.1000
    04/01/2004 Aston Villa Manchester United 1 2 FA 1.950 -0.50 1.900 16.0000
    08/01/2004 Bolton Wanderers Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 2.050 -0.75 1.800 16.4000
    12/01/2004 Manchester United Newcastle United 0 0 ENG0 1.800 1.00 2.050 15.4000
    17/01/2004 Wolverhampton Manchester United 1 0 ENG0 1.825 -1.50 2.025 14.4000
    26/01/2004 Northampton Town Manchester United 0 3 FA 1.925 -2.00 1.925 15.3250
    31/01/2004 Manchester United Southampton 3 2 ENG0 1.800 1.50 2.050 14.3250
    07/02/2004 Everton Manchester United 3 4 ENG0 1.800 -1.00 2.050 14.3250
    12/02/2004 Manchester United Middlesbrough 2 3 ENG0 1.950 1.50 1.900 13.3250
    14/02/2004 Manchester United Manchester City 4 2 FA 1.875 1.25 1.975 14.2000
    21/02/2004 Manchester United Leeds United 1 1 ENG0 1.925 1.75 1.975 13.2000
    26/02/2004 Porto Manchester United 2 1 CL 2.050 0.00 1.800 12.2000
    28/02/2004 Fulham Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 1.950 -0.75 1.950 11.2000
    06/03/2004 Manchester United Fulham 2 1 FA 1.975 1.25 1.875 10.7000
    10/03/2004 Manchester United Porto 1 1 CL 1.750 0.75 2.100 9.7000
    14/03/2004 Manchester City Manchester United 4 1 ENG0 2.000 -0.50 1.900 8.7000
    20/03/2004 Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 3 0 ENG0 1.900 1.25 2.000 9.6000
    28/03/2004 Arsenal Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 1.900 0.25 2.000 10.1000
    03/04/2004 Arsenal Manchester United 0 1 FA Y 1.775 0.00 2.075 11.1750
    10/04/2004 Birmingham City Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 1.925 -0.75 1.975 11.6625
    14/04/2004 Manchester United Leicester City 1 0 ENG0 2.100 1.75 1.800 10.6625
    17/04/2004 Portsmouth Manchester United 1 0 ENG0 1.875 -0.75 2.025 9.6625
    21/04/2004 Manchester United Charlton Athletic 2 0 ENG0 1.925 1.25 1.975 10.5875
    24/04/2004 Manchester United Liverpool 0 1 ENG0 1.950 0.50 1.950 9.5875
    01/05/2004 Blackburn Rovers Manchester United 1 0 ENG0 1.900 -0.50 2.000 8.5875
    08/05/2004 Manchester United Chelsea 1 1 ENG0 1.800 0.25 2.100 8.0875
    15/05/2004 Aston Villa Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 2.100 0.25 1.800 8.8875
    22/05/2004 Manchester United Millwall 3 0 FA Y 2.000 1.75 1.850 9.8875
    26/07/2004 Manchester United Bayern Munchen 0 0 OTH Y 1.950 -0.25 1.900 10.3625
    29/07/2004 Manchester United Celtic 1 2 OTH Y 1.925 0.50 1.925 9.3625
    01/08/2004 Manchester United AC Milan 1 1 OTH 1.950 -0.25 1.900 9.8375
    04/08/2004 Manchester United PSV Eindhoven 1 0 OTH 1.875 1.00 1.975 9.8375
    08/08/2004 Arsenal Manchester United 3 1 OTH Y 2.000 0.25 1.900 8.8375
    12/08/2004 Dinamo Bucharest Manchester United 1 2 CL 1.950 -0.50 1.925 9.7625
    15/08/2004 Chelsea Manchester United 1 0 ENG0 1.900 0.50 2.000 8.7625
    22/08/2004 Manchester United Norwich City 2 1 ENG0 2.000 1.50 1.900 7.7625
    26/08/2004 Manchester United Dinamo Bucharest 3 0 CL 1.925 1.50 1.950 8.6875
    28/08/2004 Blackburn Rovers Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 1.975 -0.50 1.925 7.6875
    30/08/2004 Manchester United Everton 0 0 ENG0 2.050 1.50 1.850 6.6875
    11/09/2004 Bolton Wanderers Manchester United 2 2 ENG0 1.850 -0.50 2.050 5.6875
    16/09/2004 Lyonnais Manchester United 2 2 CL 1.875 0.00 2.025 5.6875
    21/09/2004 Manchester United Liverpool 2 1 ENG0 1.800 0.25 2.100 6.4875
    25/09/2004 Tottenham Hotspur Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 1.875 -0.50 2.025 7.5125
    29/09/2004 Manchester United Fenerbahce 6 2 CL 2.000 1.50 1.875 8.5125
    03/10/2004 Manchester United Middlesbrough 1 1 ENG0 1.800 1.50 2.100 7.5125
    16/10/2004 Birmingham City Manchester United 0 0 ENG0 2.100 -0.75 1.800 6.5125
    20/10/2004 Sparta Prague Manchester United 0 0 CL 1.800 -0.75 2.075 5.5125
    24/10/2004 Manchester United Arsenal 2 0 ENG0 1.910 0.00 1.990 6.4225
    27/10/2004 Crewe Alexandra Manchester United 0 3 WORT 2.050 -1.25 1.800 7.2225
    30/10/2004 Portsmouth Manchester United 2 0 ENG0 2.040 -0.75 1.860 6.2225
    04/11/2004 Manchester United Sparta Prague 4 1 CL 1.940 1.50 1.940 7.1625
    08/11/2004 Manchester United Manchester City 0 0 ENG0 1.990 1.25 1.910 6.1625
    11/11/2004 Manchester United Crystal Palace 2 0 WORT 1.950 1.50 1.900 7.1125
    15/11/2004 Newcastle United Manchester United 1 3 ENG0 2.090 -0.25 1.810 7.9225
    20/11/2004 Manchester United Charlton Athletic 2 0 ENG0 2.020 1.50 1.880 8.9425
    24/11/2004 Manchester United Lyonnais 2 1 CL 1.890 1.00 1.990 8.9425
    27/11/2004 West Bromwich Manchester United 0 3 ENG0 2.100 -1.00 1.800 9.7425
    02/12/2004 Manchester United Arsenal 1 0 WORT 1.875 0.50 1.975 10.6175
    04/12/2004 Manchester United Southampton 3 0 ENG0 2.030 1.75 1.870 11.6475
    09/12/2004 Fenerbahce Manchester United 3 0 CL 1.750 0.00 2.000 10.6475
    14/12/2004 Fulham Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 1.950 -1.00 1.950 9.6475
    19/12/2004 Manchester United Crystal Palace 5 2 ENG0 1.910 1.75 1.990 10.5575
    26/12/2004 Manchester United Bolton Wanderers 2 0 ENG0 2.100 1.50 1.800 11.6575
    29/12/2004 Aston Villa Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 1.890 -0.75 2.010 12.1625
    02/01/2005 Middlesbrough Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 1.800 -0.50 2.100 13.2625
    05/01/2005 Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 0 0 ENG0 2.100 1.25 1.800 12.2625
    13/01/2005 Chelsea Manchester United 0 0 WORT 2.050 0.75 1.800 13.0625
    15/01/2005 Liverpool Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 1.760 0.00 2.140 14.2025
    22/01/2005 Manchester United Aston Villa 3 1 ENG0 2.080 1.50 1.820 15.2825
    27/01/2005 Manchester United Chelsea 1 2 WORT 1.800 0.00 2.050 14.2825
    30/01/2005 Manchester United Middlesbrough 3 0 FA 2.100 1.25 1.750 15.3825
    02/02/2005 Arsenal Manchester United 2 4 ENG0 2.060 0.25 1.840 16.2225
    05/02/2005 Manchester United Birmingham City 2 0 ENG0 1.890 1.50 2.010 17.1125
    13/02/2005 Manchester City Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 1.800 -0.75 2.100 18.2125
    20/02/2005 Everton Manchester United 0 2 FA 1.925 -0.75 1.925 19.1375
    24/02/2005 Manchester United AC Milan 0 1 CL 2.020 0.50 1.880 18.1375
    27/02/2005 Manchester United Portsmouth 2 1 ENG0 2.010 1.75 1.890 17.1375
    05/03/2005 Crystal Palace Manchester United 0 0 ENG0 2.090 -1.00 1.810 16.1375
    09/03/2005 AC Milan Manchester United 1 0 CL 1.960 0.25 1.940 15.1375
    13/03/2005 Southampton Manchester United 0 4 FA 2.075 -1.00 1.775 15.9125
    19/03/2005 Manchester United Fulham 1 0 ENG0 1.800 1.50 2.100 14.9125
    02/04/2005 Manchester United Blackburn Rovers 0 0 ENG0 1.990 1.50 1.910 13.9125
    10/04/2005 Norwich City Manchester United 2 0 ENG0 2.000 -1.50 1.900 12.9125
    17/04/2005 Manchester United Newcastle United 4 1 FA Y 1.850 1.00 2.000 13.7625
    21/04/2005 Everton Manchester United 1 0 ENG0 1.880 -0.75 1.970 12.7625
    24/04/2005 Manchester United Newcastle United 2 1 ENG0 1.800 1.25 2.050 12.2625
    01/05/2005 Charlton Athletic Manchester United 0 4 ENG0 1.830 -1.00 2.020 13.2825
    08/05/2005 Manchester United West Bromwich 1 1 ENG0 1.880 1.50 1.970 12.2825
    11/05/2005 Manchester United Chelsea 1 3 ENG0 1.800 0.25 2.050 11.2825
    15/05/2005 Southampton Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 2.100 0.00 1.750 12.0325
    21/05/2005 Arsenal Manchester United 0 0 FA Y 1.900 0.00 1.950 12.0325
    23/07/2005 Hong Kong Manchester United 0 2 OTH 2.000 -2.75 1.750 11.0325
    26/07/2005 Beijing Guoan Manchester United 0 3 OTH 1.900 -1.75 1.850 11.8825
    10/08/2005 Manchester United Debreceni VSC 3 0 CL 2.000 2.50 1.800 12.8825
    13/08/2005 Everton Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 2.100 -0.75 1.750 13.6325
    20/08/2005 Manchester United Aston Villa 1 0 ENG0 2.020 1.75 1.830 12.6325
    25/08/2005 Debreceni VSC Manchester United 0 3 CL 1.875 -1.00 1.925 13.5575
    28/08/2005 Newcastle United Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 2.060 -0.75 1.790 14.3475
    10/09/2005 Manchester United Manchester City 1 1 ENG0 2.050 1.25 1.800 13.3475
    15/09/2005 Villarreal Manchester United 0 0 CL 2.050 0.00 1.800 13.3475
    18/09/2005 Liverpool Manchester United 0 0 ENG0 2.050 0.00 1.800 13.3475
    24/09/2005 Manchester United Blackburn Rovers 1 2 ENG0 1.860 1.25 1.990 12.3475
    28/09/2005 Manchester United Benfica 2 1 CL 1.880 1.00 1.970 12.3475
    01/10/2005 Fulham Manchester United 2 3 ENG0 2.020 -0.75 1.830 12.7625
    15/10/2005 Sunderland Manchester United 1 3 ENG0 1.950 -1.00 1.900 13.6625
    19/10/2005 Manchester United Lille 0 0 CL 2.010 1.25 1.840 12.6625
    22/10/2005 Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 1 1 ENG0 1.860 0.75 1.990 11.6625
    27/10/2005 Manchester United Barnet 4 1 WORT 1.875 1.75 1.975 12.5375
    30/10/2005 Middlesbrough Manchester United 4 1 ENG0 1.800 -0.75 2.050 11.5375
    03/11/2005 Lille Manchester United 1 0 CL Y 1.910 -0.25 1.940 10.5375
    06/11/2005 Manchester United Chelsea 1 0 ENG0 1.880 -0.25 1.970 11.4175
    19/11/2005 Charlton Athletic Manchester United 1 3 ENG0 1.920 -0.50 1.930 12.3475
    23/11/2005 Manchester United Villarreal 0 0 CL 1.940 1.00 1.910 11.3475
    27/11/2005 West Ham United Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 1.910 -0.75 1.940 11.8175
    01/12/2005 Manchester United West Bromwich 3 1 WORT 1.850 1.25 2.000 12.6675
    04/12/2005 Manchester United Portsmouth 3 0 ENG0 2.030 1.75 1.820 13.6975
    08/12/2005 Benfica Manchester United 2 1 CL 1.820 -0.75 2.030 12.6975
    11/12/2005 Manchester United Everton 1 1 ENG0 2.040 1.50 1.810 11.6975
    15/12/2005 Manchester United Wigan Athletic 4 0 ENG0 1.800 1.25 2.050 12.4975
    17/12/2005 Aston Villa Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 1.990 -0.75 1.860 13.3575
    21/12/2005 Birmingham City Manchester United 1 3 WORT 1.900 -0.75 1.950 14.3075
    26/12/2005 Manchester United West Bromwich 3 0 ENG0 1.800 1.75 2.050 15.1075
    29/12/2005 Birmingham City Manchester United 2 2 ENG0 1.800 -1.25 2.050 14.1075
    31/12/2005 Manchester United Bolton Wanderers 4 1 ENG0 1.770 1.00 2.080 14.8775
    04/01/2006 Arsenal Manchester United 0 0 ENG0 1.910 0.00 1.970 14.8775
    08/01/2006 Burton Manchester United 0 0 FA 1.900 -2.00 1.900 13.8775
    12/01/2006 Blackburn Rovers Manchester United 1 1 WORT 2.050 -0.25 1.800 13.3775
    14/01/2006 Manchester City Manchester United 3 1 ENG0 1.850 -0.75 2.000 12.3775
    19/01/2006 Manchester United Burton 5 0 FA 1.975 2.75 1.825 13.3525
    22/01/2006 Manchester United Liverpool 1 0 ENG0 2.050 0.25 1.800 14.4025
    26/01/2006 Manchester United Blackburn Rovers 2 1 WORT 1.975 1.00 1.825 14.4025
    29/01/2006 Wolverhampton Manchester United 0 3 FA 1.925 -1.00 1.875 15.2775
    02/02/2006 Blackburn Rovers Manchester United 4 3 ENG0 2.010 -0.50 1.840 14.2775
    05/02/2006 Manchester United Fulham 4 2 ENG0 2.010 1.50 1.840 15.2875
    12/02/2006 Portsmouth Manchester United 1 3 ENG0 1.880 -1.00 1.970 16.2575
    18/02/2006 Liverpool Manchester United 1 0 FA 1.875 0.00 1.975 15.2575
    26/02/2006 Manchester United Wigan Athletic 4 0 WORT Y 2.050 1.00 1.800 16.3075
    07/03/2006 Wigan Athletic Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 1.800 -1.00 2.050 16.3075
    12/03/2006 Manchester United Newcastle United 2 0 ENG0 1.820 1.00 2.030 17.1275
    18/03/2006 West Bromwich Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 1.860 -1.00 1.990 17.1275
    26/03/2006 Manchester United Birmingham City 3 0 ENG0 2.010 2.00 1.840 18.1375
    30/03/2006 Manchester United West Ham United 1 0 ENG0 1.870 1.50 1.980 17.1375
    01/04/2006 Bolton Wanderers Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 1.910 -0.50 2.040 18.1775
    09/04/2006 Manchester United Arsenal 2 0 ENG0 1.800 0.25 2.150 18.9775
    15/04/2006 Manchester United Sunderland 0 0 ENG0 1.980 2.25 1.870 17.9775
    17/04/2006 Tottenham Hotspur Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 2.080 -0.25 1.870 18.8475
    29/04/2006 Chelsea Manchester United 3 0 ENG0 1.820 0.25 2.080 17.8475
    02/05/2006 Manchester United Middlesbrough 0 0 ENG0 1.950 1.75 1.900 16.8475
    07/05/2006 Manchester United Charlton Athletic 4 0 ENG0 1.860 1.25 1.990 17.7075
    29/07/2006 Preston North End Manchester United 2 1 CF 1.800 -1.00 2.000 16.7075
    05/08/2006 Manchester United Porto 3 1 CF Y 1.900 0.50 1.900 17.6075
    12/08/2006 Manchester United Sevilla 3 0 CF 1.800 0.75 2.000 18.4075
    20/08/2006 Manchester United Fulham 5 1 ENG0 2.030 1.75 1.820 19.4375
    24/08/2006 Charlton Athletic Manchester United 0 3 ENG0 1.840 -1.00 2.010 20.4475
    26/08/2006 Watford Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 1.910 -1.25 1.940 19.9475
    10/09/2006 Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 1 0 ENG0 1.890 1.00 1.960 19.9475
    17/09/2006 Manchester United Arsenal 0 1 ENG0 2.090 0.50 1.760 18.9475
    24/09/2006 Reading Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 1.720 -1.00 2.130 17.9475
    27/09/2006 Benfica Manchester United 0 1 CL 1.990 -0.25 1.860 18.8075
    01/10/2006 Manchester United Newcastle United 2 0 ENG0 2.050 1.50 1.800 19.8575
    14/10/2006 Wigan Athletic Manchester United 1 3 ENG0 2.080 -0.75 1.770 20.6275
    22/10/2006 Manchester United Liverpool 2 0 ENG0 2.040 0.50 1.810 21.6675
    28/10/2006 Bolton Wanderers Manchester United 0 4 ENG0 2.010 -0.50 1.840 22.5075
    04/11/2006 Manchester United Portsmouth 3 0 ENG0 1.920 1.50 1.930 23.4275
    12/11/2006 Blackburn Rovers Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 2.060 -0.75 1.790 23.8225
    18/11/2006 Sheffield United Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 1.820 -1.50 2.030 22.8225
    22/11/2006 Celtic Manchester United 1 0 CL 1.770 -0.50 2.080 21.8225
    26/11/2006 Manchester United Chelsea 1 1 ENG0 1.780 0.00 2.100 21.8225
    30/11/2006 Manchester United Everton 3 0 ENG0 2.020 1.50 1.830 22.8425
    03/12/2006 Middlesbrough Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 2.090 -0.75 1.760 23.2225
    09/12/2006 Manchester United Manchester City 3 1 ENG0 1.950 1.25 1.900 24.1725
    17/12/2006 West Ham United Manchester United 1 0 ENG0 1.780 -1.25 2.070 23.1725
    23/12/2006 Aston Villa Manchester United 0 3 ENG0 2.050 -1.00 1.800 23.9725
    26/12/2006 Manchester United Wigan Athletic 3 1 ENG0 1.800 1.50 2.050 24.7725
    30/12/2006 Manchester United Reading 3 2 ENG0 2.050 1.75 1.800 23.7725
    02/01/2007 Newcastle United Manchester United 2 2 ENG0 1.890 -1.00 1.960 22.7725
    07/01/2007 Manchester United Aston Villa 2 1 FA 1.800 1.50 2.000 21.7725
    13/01/2007 Manchester United Aston Villa 3 1 ENG0 1.700 1.50 2.150 22.4725
    21/01/2007 Arsenal Manchester United 2 1 ENG0 1.830 0.00 2.050 21.4725
    28/01/2007 Manchester United Portsmouth 2 1 FA 1.975 1.50 1.825 20.4725
    01/02/2007 Manchester United Watford 4 0 ENG0 1.950 2.00 1.900 21.4225
    04/02/2007 Tottenham Hotspur Manchester United 0 4 ENG0 2.050 -0.50 1.800 22.2225
    10/02/2007 Manchester United Charlton Athletic 2 0 ENG0 1.670 2.00 2.180 22.2225
    18/02/2007 Manchester United Reading 1 1 FA 1.950 1.25 1.900 21.2225
    21/02/2007 Lille Manchester United 0 1 CL Y 1.870 -0.50 1.980 22.2025
    24/02/2007 Fulham Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 2.140 -1.00 1.710 22.2025
    28/02/2007 Reading Manchester United 2 3 FA 1.750 -0.75 2.100 22.7525
    03/03/2007 Liverpool Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 1.850 0.00 2.000 23.7525
    08/03/2007 Manchester United Lille 1 0 CL 2.090 1.25 1.760 23.2525
    11/03/2007 Middlesbrough Manchester United 2 2 FA 2.050 -0.50 1.800 22.2525
    17/03/2007 Manchester United Bolton Wanderers 4 1 ENG0 2.140 1.25 1.710 23.3925
    20/03/2007 Manchester United Middlesbrough 1 0 FA 1.875 1.25 1.975 22.8925
    31/03/2007 Manchester United Blackburn Rovers 4 1 ENG0 2.020 1.50 1.830 23.9125
    05/04/2007 Roma Manchester United 2 1 CL 1.830 0.00 2.020 22.9125
    08/04/2007 Portsmouth Manchester United 2 1 ENG0 1.830 -1.00 2.020 21.9125
    11/04/2007 Manchester United Roma 7 1 CL 2.020 0.75 1.830 22.9325
    15/04/2007 Watford Manchester United 1 4 FA Y 2.100 -1.50 1.750 23.6825
    18/04/2007 Manchester United Sheffield United 2 0 ENG0 2.100 2.00 1.750 23.6825
    22/04/2007 Manchester United Middlesbrough 1 1 ENG0 1.930 1.75 1.920 22.6825
    25/04/2007 Manchester United AC Milan 3 2 CL 1.810 0.25 2.070 23.4925
    28/04/2007 Everton Manchester United 2 4 ENG0 1.870 -0.75 1.980 24.4725
    03/05/2007 AC Milan Manchester United 3 0 CL 2.030 0.25 1.820 23.4725
    05/05/2007 Manchester City Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 1.990 -1.00 1.860 23.4725
    10/05/2007 Chelsea Manchester United 0 0 ENG0 1.750 0.50 2.100 24.5725
    13/05/2007 Manchester United West Ham United 0 1 ENG0 1.960 0.50 1.890 23.5725
    19/05/2007 Chelsea Manchester United 0 0 FA Y 2.025 0.00 1.825 23.5725
    12/08/2007 Manchester United Reading 0 0 ENG0 1.930 1.75 1.920 22.5725
    16/08/2007 Portsmouth Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 2.080 -0.75 1.770 21.5725
    19/08/2007 Manchester City Manchester United 1 0 ENG0 2.010 -0.50 1.840 20.5725
    26/08/2007 Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 1 0 ENG0 2.030 1.25 1.820 20.0725
    02/09/2007 Manchester United Sunderland 1 0 ENG0 2.080 2.00 1.770 19.0725
    15/09/2007 Everton Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 1.820 -0.75 2.030 19.5875
    20/09/2007 Sporting Lisbon Manchester United 0 1 CL 1.930 -0.25 1.920 20.5075
    23/09/2007 Manchester United Chelsea 2 0 ENG0 1.930 0.50 1.920 21.4375
    27/09/2007 Manchester United Coventry City 0 2 WORT 1.750 1.50 2.050 20.4375
    30/09/2007 Birmingham City Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 2.070 -1.00 1.780 20.4375
    03/10/2007 Manchester United Roma 1 0 CL 1.870 0.75 1.980 20.8725
    06/10/2007 Manchester United Wigan Athletic 4 0 ENG0 1.700 1.50 2.150 21.5725
    21/10/2007 Aston Villa Manchester United 1 4 ENG0 2.010 -0.50 1.840 22.4125
    24/10/2007 Dynamo Kyiv Manchester United 2 4 CL 2.030 -0.75 1.820 23.2325
    27/10/2007 Manchester United Middlesbrough 4 1 ENG0 2.020 2.00 1.830 24.2525
    03/11/2007 Arsenal Manchester United 2 2 ENG0 2.130 0.25 1.750 24.6275
    08/11/2007 Manchester United Dynamo Kyiv 4 0 CL 2.050 2.25 1.800 25.6775
    11/11/2007 Manchester United Blackburn Rovers 2 0 ENG0 1.990 1.25 1.860 26.6675
    24/11/2007 Bolton Wanderers Manchester United 1 0 ENG0 1.870 -1.00 1.980 25.6675
    28/11/2007 Manchester United Sporting Lisbon 2 1 CL 1.800 0.75 2.050 26.0675
    04/12/2007 Manchester United Fulham 2 0 ENG0 1.860 2.00 1.990 26.0675
    08/12/2007 Manchester United Derby County 4 1 ENG0 2.010 2.75 1.840 26.5725
    13/12/2007 Roma Manchester United 1 1 CL 2.050 0.75 1.800 27.3725
    16/12/2007 Liverpool Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 2.220 0.25 1.650 28.0225
    23/12/2007 Manchester United Everton 2 1 ENG0 1.990 1.25 1.860 27.5225
    26/12/2007 Sunderland Manchester United 0 4 ENG0 1.770 -1.50 2.080 28.6025
    29/12/2007 West Ham United Manchester United 2 1 ENG0 2.050 -1.00 1.800 27.6025
    01/01/2008 Manchester United Birmingham City 1 0 ENG0 1.620 1.75 2.230 26.6025
    06/01/2008 Aston Villa Manchester United 0 2 FA 1.950 -0.50 1.850 27.4525
    13/01/2008 Manchester United Newcastle United 6 0 ENG0 1.810 1.75 2.040 28.2625
    19/01/2008 Reading Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 1.860 -1.50 1.990 29.2525
    27/01/2008 Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 3 1 FA 1.940 1.25 1.880 30.1925
    31/01/2008 Manchester United Portsmouth 2 0 ENG0 1.900 1.75 1.960 30.6425
    02/02/2008 Tottenham Hotspur Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 2.110 -0.50 1.830 29.6425
    10/02/2008 Manchester United Manchester City 1 2 ENG0 1.890 1.50 1.970 28.6425
    17/02/2008 Manchester United Arsenal 4 0 FA 1.880 0.25 1.940 29.5225
    21/02/2008 Lyonnais Manchester United 1 1 CL 1.740 -0.50 2.140 28.5225
    24/02/2008 Newcastle United Manchester United 1 5 ENG0 1.650 -1.50 2.290 29.8125
    01/03/2008 Fulham Manchester United 0 3 ENG0 2.000 -1.25 1.860 30.6725
    05/03/2008 Manchester United Lyonnais 1 0 CL 2.100 1.50 1.750 29.6725
    08/03/2008 Manchester United Portsmouth 0 1 FA 2.100 1.75 1.720 28.6725
    15/03/2008 Derby County Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 1.810 -2.25 2.050 27.6725
    20/03/2008 Manchester United Bolton Wanderers 2 0 ENG0 2.110 2.00 1.750 27.6725
    23/03/2008 Manchester United Liverpool 3 0 ENG0 2.170 0.50 1.770 28.8425
    30/03/2008 Manchester United Aston Villa 4 0 ENG0 2.100 1.50 1.760 29.9425
    02/04/2008 Roma Manchester United 0 2 CL 2.370 0.00 1.510 30.4525
    06/04/2008 Middlesbrough Manchester United 2 2 ENG0 1.500 -1.50 2.440 29.4525
    10/04/2008 Manchester United Roma 1 0 CL 2.010 0.75 1.810 29.9575
    13/04/2008 Manchester United Arsenal 2 1 ENG0 2.050 0.75 1.890 30.4825
    20/04/2008 Blackburn Rovers Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 1.800 -1.00 2.140 29.4825
    26/04/2008 Chelsea Manchester United 2 1 ENG0 1.490 0.00 2.450 28.4825
    30/04/2008 Manchester United Barcelona 1 0 CL 1.810 0.25 2.040 29.2925
    03/05/2008 Manchester United West Ham United 4 1 ENG0 2.230 2.25 1.710 30.5225
    11/05/2008 Wigan Athletic Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 1.620 -2.00 2.320 30.5225
    22/05/2008 Manchester United Chelsea 1 1 CL Y 1.840 0.00 2.100 30.5225
    12/07/2008 Aberdeen Manchester United 0 2 CF 1.700 -1.25 2.120 31.6425
    19/07/2008 Kaizer Chiefs Manchester United 1 1 CF Y 1.750 -1.50 2.010 30.6425
    23/07/2008 Orlando Pirates Manchester United 0 1 CF Y 2.070 -1.25 1.690 30.1425
    26/07/2008 Kaizer Chiefs Manchester United 0 4 CF Y 2.120 -1.25 1.640 30.7825
    28/07/2008 Manchester United Portsmouth 2 1 CF Y 1.960 0.75 1.800 31.2625
    02/08/2008 Manchester United Espanyol 1 0 CF 1.790 1.25 1.970 30.7625
    07/08/2008 Manchester United Juventus 0 0 CF 1.980 0.50 1.780 29.7625
    10/08/2008 Manchester United Portsmouth 0 0 OTH Y 2.060 0.75 1.800 28.7625
    17/08/2008 Manchester United Newcastle United 1 1 ENG0 1.890 1.50 1.970 27.7625
    26/08/2008 Portsmouth Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 2.100 -0.50 1.760 28.5225
    30/08/2008 Manchester United Zenit St. Petersburg 1 2 OTH Y 2.050 1.00 1.800 27.5225
    13/09/2008 Liverpool Manchester United 2 1 ENG0 1.990 0.00 1.870 26.5225
    18/09/2008 Manchester United Villarreal 0 0 CL 2.130 1.00 1.730 25.5225
    21/09/2008 Chelsea Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 2.060 0.50 1.800 26.3225
    24/09/2008 Manchester United Middlesbrough 3 1 WORT 1.900 1.00 1.920 27.2225
    27/09/2008 Manchester United Bolton Wanderers 2 0 ENG0 1.870 1.75 1.990 27.6575
    01/10/2008 Aalborg Manchester United 0 3 CL 1.980 -1.75 1.880 28.5375
    05/10/2008 Blackburn Rovers Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 2.020 -1.00 1.840 29.3775
    19/10/2008 Manchester United West Bromwich 4 0 ENG0 1.890 2.00 1.970 30.2675
    22/10/2008 Manchester United Celtic 3 0 CL 1.800 1.75 2.060 31.0675
    25/10/2008 Everton Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 2.010 -1.00 1.850 30.0675
    30/10/2008 Manchester United West Ham United 2 0 ENG0 2.110 2.25 1.750 29.5675
    01/11/2008 Manchester United Hull City 4 3 ENG0 1.980 2.25 1.880 28.5675
    06/11/2008 Celtic Manchester United 1 1 CL 1.850 -0.75 2.010 27.5675
    08/11/2008 Arsenal Manchester United 2 1 ENG0 1.940 -0.25 1.920 26.5675
    12/11/2008 Manchester United Queens Park Rangers 1 0 WORT 1.950 1.50 1.870 25.5675
    15/11/2008 Manchester United Stoke City 5 0 ENG0 2.060 2.25 1.800 26.6275
    23/11/2008 Aston Villa Manchester United 0 0 ENG0 1.970 -0.75 1.890 25.6275
    26/11/2008 Villarreal Manchester United 0 0 CL 2.080 0.00 1.780 25.6275
    30/11/2008 Manchester City Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 1.850 -0.75 2.010 26.1325
    04/12/2008 Manchester United Blackburn Rovers 5 3 WORT 1.990 1.00 1.830 27.1225
    07/12/2008 Manchester United Sunderland 1 0 ENG0 1.930 2.25 1.930 26.1225
    11/12/2008 Manchester United Aalborg 2 2 CL 1.930 1.75 1.930 25.1225
    14/12/2008 Tottenham Hotspur Manchester United 0 0 ENG0 2.050 -0.50 1.810 24.1225
    18/12/2008 Gamba Osaka Manchester United 3 5 OTH Y 1.820 -1.50 2.000 25.1225
    21/12/2008 Liga Dep. Universitaria Manchester United 0 1 OTH Y 1.850 -1.50 1.970 24.1225
    26/12/2008 Stoke City Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 2.010 -1.50 1.850 23.1225
    30/12/2008 Manchester United Middlesbrough 1 0 ENG0 2.000 2.00 1.860 22.1225
    04/01/2009 Southampton Manchester United 0 3 FA 1.900 -1.50 1.920 23.0425
    08/01/2009 Derby County Manchester United 1 0 WORT 1.900 -1.25 1.920 22.0425
    11/01/2009 Manchester United Chelsea 3 0 ENG0 2.050 0.25 1.810 23.0925
    15/01/2009 Manchester United Wigan Athletic 1 0 ENG0 2.050 1.50 1.810 22.0925
    17/01/2009 Bolton Wanderers Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 1.850 -1.25 2.010 21.5925
    21/01/2009 Manchester United Derby County 4 2 WORT 2.070 1.75 1.750 22.1275
    25/01/2009 Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 2 1 FA 1.900 1.50 1.920 21.1275
    28/01/2009 West Bromwich Manchester United 0 5 ENG0 2.020 -1.25 1.840 21.9675
    01/02/2009 Manchester United Everton 1 0 ENG0 1.990 1.25 1.870 21.4675
    08/02/2009 West Ham United Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 2.120 -0.75 1.740 21.8375
    16/02/2009 Derby County Manchester United 1 4 FA 2.020 -1.00 1.800 22.6375
    19/02/2009 Manchester United Fulham 3 0 ENG0 1.900 1.75 1.960 23.5375
    22/02/2009 Manchester United Blackburn Rovers 2 1 ENG0 2.060 1.75 1.800 22.5375
    25/02/2009 Inter Milan Manchester United 0 0 CL 2.030 0.25 1.830 22.9525
    01/03/2009 Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 0 0 WORT Y 1.980 0.75 1.880 21.9525
    05/03/2009 Newcastle United Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 1.940 -1.25 1.920 21.4525
    08/03/2009 Fulham Manchester United 0 4 FA 2.070 -0.50 1.750 22.2025
    12/03/2009 Manchester United Inter Milan 2 0 CL 1.910 0.75 1.950 23.1125
    14/03/2009 Manchester United Liverpool 1 4 ENG0 2.110 0.50 1.750 22.1125
    21/03/2009 Fulham Manchester United 2 0 ENG0 2.130 -1.00 1.730 21.1125
    08/04/2009 Manchester United Porto 2 2 CL 2.140 1.25 1.720 20.1125
    11/04/2009 Sunderland Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 1.920 -1.00 2.020 20.1125
    16/04/2009 Porto Manchester United 0 1 CL 2.050 -0.25 1.820 20.9325
    19/04/2009 Manchester United Everton 0 0 FA Y 2.000 0.25 1.940 20.4325
    23/04/2009 Manchester United Portsmouth 2 0 ENG0 1.950 1.75 1.910 20.9075
    26/04/2009 Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 5 2 ENG0 2.160 1.25 1.700 22.0675
    30/04/2009 Manchester United Arsenal 1 0 CL 1.970 0.75 1.900 22.5525
    02/05/2009 Middlesbrough Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 2.100 -0.75 1.840 23.3925
    06/05/2009 Arsenal Manchester United 1 3 CL 1.990 0.00 1.870 24.2625
    10/05/2009 Manchester United Manchester City 2 0 ENG0 2.060 1.50 1.880 25.3225
    14/05/2009 Wigan Athletic Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 1.800 -1.50 2.060 24.3225
    16/05/2009 Manchester United Arsenal 0 0 ENG0 1.990 1.00 1.950 23.3225
    24/05/2009 Hull City Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 2.200 0.25 1.740 24.0625
    28/05/2009 Barcelona Manchester United 2 0 CL Y 1.940 0.00 1.920 23.0625
    18/07/2009 Malaysian All Stars Manchester United 2 3 CF 1.380 -4.00 2.380 22.0625
    20/07/2009 Malaysian All Stars Manchester United 0 2 CF 1.760 -3.25 2.000 21.0625
    24/07/2009 FC Seoul Manchester United 2 3 CF 1.660 -1.50 2.100 20.0625
    26/07/2009 HangZhou Green Town Manchester United 2 8 CF 2.020 -2.50 1.740 20.8025
    30/07/2009 Boca Juniors Manchester United 1 2 CF Y 1.780 -0.50 1.980 21.7825
    31/07/2009 Bayern Munchen Manchester United 0 0 CF 1.760 0.00 2.000 21.7825
    06/08/2009 Manchester United Valencia 2 0 CF 2.040 1.00 1.720 22.8225
    09/08/2009 Manchester United Chelsea 2 2 OTH Y 2.260 0.00 1.600 22.8225
    16/08/2009 Manchester United Birmingham City 1 0 ENG0 2.220 2.00 1.620 21.8225
    20/08/2009 Burnley Manchester United 1 0 ENG0 2.330 -1.00 1.510 20.8225
    22/08/2009 Wigan Athletic Manchester United 0 5 ENG0 2.110 -0.75 1.730 21.5525
    30/08/2009 Manchester United Arsenal 2 1 ENG0 2.220 0.50 1.640 22.7725
    13/09/2009 Tottenham Hotspur Manchester United 1 3 ENG0 2.280 0.00 1.580 23.3525
    16/09/2009 Besiktas JK Manchester United 0 1 CL 1.860 -1.00 2.000 23.3525
    20/09/2009 Manchester United Manchester City 4 3 ENG0 2.160 1.25 1.700 22.8525
    24/09/2009 Manchester United Wolverhampton 1 0 WORT 2.020 1.75 1.800 21.8525
    26/09/2009 Stoke City Manchester United 0 2 ENG0 2.190 -1.00 1.670 22.5225
    01/10/2009 Manchester United Wolfsburg 2 1 CL 2.180 1.75 1.680 21.5225
    04/10/2009 Manchester United Sunderland 2 2 ENG0 2.280 2.00 1.580 20.5225
    17/10/2009 Manchester United Bolton Wanderers 2 1 ENG0 2.190 1.75 1.670 19.5225
    22/10/2009 CSKA Moscow Manchester United 0 1 CL 2.250 0.00 1.610 20.1325
    25/10/2009 Liverpool Manchester United 2 0 ENG0 2.120 0.00 1.740 19.1325
    28/10/2009 Barnsley Manchester United 0 2 WORT 2.050 -1.00 1.770 19.9025
    01/11/2009 Manchester United Blackburn Rovers 2 0 ENG0 2.130 2.00 1.730 19.9025
    04/11/2009 Manchester United CSKA Moscow 3 3 CL 2.220 1.50 1.640 18.9025
    08/11/2009 Chelsea Manchester United 1 0 ENG0 2.090 0.75 1.770 18.4025
    22/11/2009 Manchester United Everton 3 0 ENG0 2.080 1.50 1.780 19.4825
    26/11/2009 Manchester United Besiktas JK 0 1 CL 2.280 1.50 1.580 18.4825
    28/11/2009 Portsmouth Manchester United 1 4 ENG0 2.150 -1.00 1.710 19.1925
    02/12/2009 Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 2 0 WORT 1.970 0.50 1.870 20.1625
    05/12/2009 West Ham United Manchester United 0 4 ENG0 2.050 -1.00 1.810 20.9725
    09/12/2009 Wolfsburg Manchester United 1 3 CL 2.000 0.50 1.860 21.8325
    13/12/2009 Manchester United Aston Villa 0 1 ENG0 2.190 1.50 1.670 20.8325
    16/12/2009 Manchester United Wolverhampton 3 0 ENG0 2.080 2.25 1.780 21.9125
    19/12/2009 Fulham Manchester United 3 0 ENG0 2.060 -0.50 1.800 20.9125
    27/12/2009 Hull City Manchester United 1 3 ENG0 2.150 -1.25 1.710 21.6225
    31/12/2009 Manchester United Wigan Athletic 5 0 ENG0 2.040 2.00 1.820 22.6625
    03/01/2010 Manchester United Leeds United 0 1 FA 1.900 1.75 1.920 21.6625
    10/01/2010 Birmingham City Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 2.120 -0.75 1.740 20.6625
    16/01/2010 Manchester United Burnley 3 0 ENG0 2.160 2.50 1.700 21.8225
    20/01/2010 Manchester City Manchester United 2 1 WORT 2.340 0.00 1.500 20.8225
    23/01/2010 Manchester United Hull City 4 0 ENG0 2.130 2.25 1.730 21.9525
    28/01/2010 Manchester United Manchester City 3 1 WORT 2.140 1.25 1.700 23.0925
    31/01/2010 Arsenal Manchester United 1 3 ENG0 2.260 0.50 1.600 23.6925
    06/02/2010 Manchester United Portsmouth 5 0 ENG0 2.010 2.25 1.850 24.7025
    11/02/2010 Aston Villa Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 2.340 -0.25 1.520 24.2025
    17/02/2010 AC Milan Manchester United 2 3 CL 2.310 0.25 1.550 24.7525
    20/02/2010 Everton Manchester United 3 1 ENG0 2.060 -0.50 1.800 23.7525
    24/02/2010 Manchester United West Ham United 3 0 ENG0 2.210 2.00 1.650 24.9625
    28/02/2010 Manchester United Aston Villa 2 1 WORT Y 2.180 0.75 1.680 25.5525
    07/03/2010 Wolverhampton Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 2.200 -1.00 1.660 25.5525
    11/03/2010 Manchester United AC Milan 4 0 CL 2.260 1.00 1.600 26.8125
    14/03/2010 Manchester United Fulham 3 0 ENG0 2.120 2.00 1.740 27.9325
    21/03/2010 Manchester United Liverpool 2 1 ENG0 2.290 1.00 1.570 27.9325
    28/03/2010 Bolton Wanderers Manchester United 0 4 ENG0 2.140 -1.00 1.720 28.6525
    31/03/2010 Bayern Munchen Manchester United 2 1 CL 2.200 0.00 1.660 27.6525
    03/04/2010 Manchester United Chelsea 1 2 ENG0 2.470 0.50 1.390 26.6525
    08/04/2010 Manchester United Bayern Munchen 3 2 CL 2.260 1.00 1.600 26.6525
    11/04/2010 Blackburn Rovers Manchester United 0 0 ENG0 2.380 -0.75 1.480 25.6525
    17/04/2010 Manchester City Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 2.220 0.00 1.640 26.2925
    24/04/2010 Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 3 1 ENG0 2.230 1.25 1.630 27.5225
    02/05/2010 Sunderland Manchester United 0 1 ENG0 2.310 -1.00 1.550 27.5225
    09/05/2010 Manchester United Stoke City 4 0 ENG0 2.210 2.50 1.650 28.7325
    17/07/2010 Manchester United Celtic 3 1 CF Y 1.960 1.00 1.800 29.6925
    22/07/2010 Philadelphia Union Manchester United 0 1 CF 1.850 -1.50 1.910 28.6925
    26/07/2010 Sporting Kansas City Manchester United 2 1 CF 2.040 -1.25 1.720 27.6925
    29/07/2010 MLS All-Stars Manchester United 2 5 CF 2.020 -0.50 1.740 28.4325
    31/07/2010 Guadalajara Manchester United 3 2 CF 2.070 -0.75 1.690 27.4325
    05/08/2010 League of Ireland XI Manchester United 1 7 CF 2.100 -1.75 1.660 28.0925
    08/08/2010 Chelsea Manchester United 1 3 OTH Y 2.100 0.25 1.760 28.8525
    17/08/2010 Manchester United Newcastle United 3 0 ENG0 2.210 2.25 1.650 30.0625
    22/08/2010 Fulham Manchester United 2 2 ENG0 2.100 -0.75 1.760 29.0625
    29/08/2010 Manchester United West Ham United 3 0 ENG0 2.090 2.50 1.770 30.1525
    11/09/2010 Everton Manchester United 3 3 ENG0 2.180 -0.25 1.680 29.6525
    15/09/2010 Manchester United Glasgow Rangers 0 0 CL 2.260 2.25 1.580 28.6525
    19/09/2010 Manchester United Liverpool 3 2 ENG0 2.240 1.00 1.620 28.6525
    23/09/2010 Scunthorpe United Manchester United 2 5 WORT 2.200 -1.25 1.600 29.2525
    26/09/2010 Bolton Wanderers Manchester United 2 2 ENG0 2.300 -1.00 1.560 28.2525
    30/09/2010 Valencia Manchester United 0 1 CL 2.180 0.25 1.660 28.9125
    02/10/2010 Sunderland Manchester United 0 0 ENG0 2.100 -0.50 1.760 27.9125
    16/10/2010 Manchester United West Bromwich 2 2 ENG0 2.210 2.00 1.650 26.9125
    21/10/2010 Manchester United Bursaspor 1 0 CL 2.090 1.75 1.750 25.9125
    24/10/2010 Stoke City Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 2.340 -0.50 1.520 26.4325
    27/10/2010 Manchester United Wolverhampton 3 2 WORT 2.020 1.25 1.780 25.9325
    31/10/2010 Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 2 0 ENG0 2.160 1.25 1.700 27.0925
    03/11/2010 Bursaspor Manchester United 0 3 CL 2.160 -0.50 1.680 27.7725
    06/11/2010 Manchester United Wolverhampton 2 1 ENG0 2.260 2.00 1.600 26.7725
    11/11/2010 Manchester City Manchester United 0 0 ENG0 2.260 0.25 1.600 27.0725
    13/11/2010 Aston Villa Manchester United 2 2 ENG0 2.250 -0.50 1.610 26.0725
    20/11/2010 Manchester United Wigan Athletic 2 0 ENG0 2.260 2.00 1.600 26.0725
    25/11/2010 Glasgow Rangers Manchester United 0 1 CL 2.280 -0.75 1.560 26.3525
    27/11/2010 Manchester United Blackburn Rovers 7 1 ENG0 2.200 1.75 1.660 27.5525
    01/12/2010 West Ham United Manchester United 4 0 WORT 2.180 -0.50 1.640 26.5525
    08/12/2010 Manchester United Valencia 1 1 CL 2.050 1.25 1.790 25.5525
    14/12/2010 Manchester United Arsenal 1 0 ENG0 2.030 0.75 1.830 26.0675
    26/12/2010 Manchester United Sunderland 2 0 ENG0 2.060 1.75 1.800 26.5975
    29/12/2010 Birmingham City Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 2.120 -1.00 1.740 25.5975
    01/01/2011 West Bromwich Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 2.200 -0.50 1.660 26.2575
    05/01/2011 Manchester United Stoke City 2 1 ENG0 2.200 1.50 1.660 25.2575
    09/01/2011 Manchester United Liverpool 1 0 FA 2.220 1.00 1.580 25.2575
    17/01/2011 Tottenham Hotspur Manchester United 0 0 ENG0 2.220 0.00 1.640 25.2575
    22/01/2011 Manchester United Birmingham City 5 0 ENG0 1.770 1.75 2.090 26.0275
    26/01/2011 Blackpool Manchester United 2 3 ENG0 1.980 -1.50 1.880 25.0275
    30/01/2011 Southampton Manchester United 1 2 FA 1.820 -1.00 1.980 25.0275
    02/02/2011 Manchester United Aston Villa 3 1 ENG0 2.160 1.75 1.700 25.6075
    06/02/2011 Wolverhampton Manchester United 2 1 ENG0 2.080 -1.00 1.780 24.6075
    12/02/2011 Manchester United Manchester City 2 1 ENG0 2.140 0.75 1.720 25.1775
    20/02/2011 Manchester United Crawley Town 1 0 FA 1.800 2.00 2.000 24.1775
    24/02/2011 Marseille Manchester United 0 0 CL 2.100 0.00 1.760 24.1775
    26/02/2011 Wigan Athletic Manchester United 0 4 ENG0 1.910 -1.00 1.950 25.1275
    02/03/2011 Chelsea Manchester United 2 1 ENG0 2.100 0.50 1.760 24.1275
    06/03/2011 Liverpool Manchester United 3 1 ENG0 2.060 0.00 1.800 23.1275
    13/03/2011 Manchester United Arsenal 2 0 FA 2.230 0.50 1.610 24.3575
    16/03/2011 Manchester United Marseille 2 1 CL 2.020 1.00 1.840 24.3575
    19/03/2011 Manchester United Bolton Wanderers 1 0 ENG0 2.130 1.50 1.730 23.3575
    02/04/2011 West Ham United Manchester United 2 4 ENG0 1.820 -0.50 2.040 24.3975
    07/04/2011 Chelsea Manchester United 0 1 CL 2.080 0.50 1.780 25.1775
    09/04/2011 Manchester United Fulham 2 0 ENG0 1.780 1.00 2.080 25.9575
    13/04/2011 Manchester United Chelsea 2 1 CL 2.140 0.50 1.720 27.0975
    17/04/2011 Manchester City Manchester United 1 0 FA Y 2.150 -0.25 1.690 26.0975
    20/04/2011 Newcastle United Manchester United 0 0 ENG0 2.040 -0.75 1.820 25.0975
    23/04/2011 Manchester United Everton 1 0 ENG0 2.040 1.00 1.820 25.0975
    27/04/2011 Schalke 04 Manchester United 0 2 CL 2.040 -0.25 1.840 25.9375
    01/05/2011 Arsenal Manchester United 1 0 ENG0 2.250 0.25 1.610 24.9375
    05/05/2011 Manchester United Schalke 04 4 1 CL 2.060 1.00 1.800 25.9975
    08/05/2011 Manchester United Chelsea 2 1 ENG0 1.990 0.25 1.870 26.9875
    14/05/2011 Blackburn Rovers Manchester United 1 1 ENG0 2.300 -0.50 1.560 25.9875
    22/05/2011 Manchester United Blackpool 4 2 ENG0 1.870 1.25 1.990 26.8575
    29/05/2011 Barcelona Manchester United 3 1 CL Y 1.940 0.50 1.920 25.8575
    14/07/2011 New England Revolution Manchester United 1 4 CF 2.000 -1.50 1.760 26.6175
    21/07/2011 Seattle Sounders Manchester United 0 7 CF 1.900 -1.25 1.860 27.4775
    24/07/2011 Chicago Fire Manchester United 1 3 CF 2.000 -1.50 1.760 28.2375
    28/07/2011 MLS All-Stars Manchester United 0 4 CF 2.160 -1.25 1.600 28.8375
    31/07/2011 Barcelona Manchester United 1 2 CF Y 2.060 0.25 1.700 29.5375
    07/08/2011 Manchester City Manchester United 2 3 OTH Y 2.040 -0.25 1.820 30.3575
    14/08/2011 West Bromwich Manchester United 1 2 ENG0 2.000 -0.75 1.860 30.7875
    23/08/2011 Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur 3 0 ENG0 1.940 1.00 1.920 31.7275
    28/08/2011 Manchester United Arsenal 8 2 ENG0 1.790 1.25 2.070 32.5175
    11/09/2011 Bolton Wanderers Manchester United 0 5 ENG0 2.000 -1.25 1.860 33.3775


    Is this a coincidence?
    Or may we now rightfully say that books have this wrong thought of the public overestimating them?

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  2. #2
    Justin7
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    How has this approach done in the last year?

  3. #3
    acw
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    17/08/2010 Manchester United Newcastle United 3 0 ENG0 2.210 2.25 1.650 30.0625
    22/08/2010 Fulham Manchester United 2 2 ENG0 2.100 -0.75 1.760 29.0625
    Lets say you started on 22/08/2010, then up till now you would have won 33.3775 - 30.0625 = 3.315 units.
    Please be aware that this is without any line shopping! So betting on them is in fact even more profitable than I suggest.

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  4. #4
    JustinBieber
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    It really all depends on if this has been datamined.

  5. #5
    acw
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    And yes, we have another MU winner! They beat Chelsea.

    Quote Originally Posted by JustinBieber View Post
    It really all depends on if this has been datamined.
    You mean comparing the fundamental handicap/spread with what the public ends up with?

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  6. #6
    Justin7
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    acw,

    There is a book that explores betting a certain subset of "good" teams: Simple soccer by Leandro Faria. You might take a look at it.

  7. #7
    acw
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    Quote Originally Posted by Justin7 View Post
    There is a book that explores betting a certain subset of "good" teams: Simple soccer by Leandro Faria. You might take a look at it.
    So MU was one of them?
    Which other teams does he mention? I can give you the answer straight away.

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  8. #8
    Justin7
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    Quote Originally Posted by acw View Post
    So MU was one of them?
    Which other teams does he mention? I can give you the answer straight away.
    MU wasn't one he analyzed, but it fits into a set that he analyzes: super good teams that no one wants to back, because the ML is often super high.

  9. #9
    acw
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    Quote Originally Posted by Justin7 View Post
    MU wasn't one he analyzed, but it fits into a set that he analyzes: super good teams that no one wants to back, because the ML is often super high.
    This brings us straight to the best gambler in the world:
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/235...ig-gamble.html

    Note, Findlay backed Federer odds-on. That means laying a stake greater than your expected winnings, in case you are new to this lark. Many people think this is a silly way to proceed. They think it is a great risk for a little return. But not Findlay.


    "It's the biggest myth in racing! It's the biggest myth in life!" he yells vehemently. "That is my golden rule. Do not be afraid to back odds-on. It's a myth perpetrated by bookmakers and ignorant punters. Cowards! When people say they never bet odds-on what they're really saying is they can't count or they're a coward. They're afraid of the risk factor.

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  10. #10
    JustinBieber
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    No this is not what I meant.

    I meant if you had no hypothesis this event would happen, looked at a larger number of team records then cherry picked the ones that came out ahead of the spread then this is not statistically significant.

  11. #11
    That Foreign Guy
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    That guy sounds like a degenerate.

  12. #12
    acw
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    Quote Originally Posted by JustinBieber View Post
    I meant if you had no hypothesis this event would happen, looked at a larger number of team records then cherry picked the ones that came out ahead of the spread then this is not statistically significant.
    It is significant! But why?
    Read: I heard of a possible MU bias first time in 2001. In 2004 I posted that it worked for the 3 years previous. Now 7.5 years later it still turns out to be a good thing to consistently back MU every single match. It is no longer that of the 2300 teams in my database this is the one team (as one would always expect there to be one) that comes ahead of the spread.

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  13. #13
    CHUBNUT
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    In my experience (which is vast) the majority of the public betting Man Utd do so in coupon accumulators which are certainly shaved by the leading british books.

  14. #14
    Jontheman
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    You might like to read Joseph Buchdahl's book Fixed Odds Sports Betting. It studies some subsets and analyses which wins most (or rather loses least) in long term blind betting tests. The answer matches what acw found: overwhelming favourites have odds closest to true odds, and the odds get worse compared to the true probability as they get higher (on average of course). This also holds for horse-racing, and a pretty convincing explanation of why this might be the case, and why it should hold true for other sports, is provided.

    Makes all the threads here about the mug public betting the faves pretty amusing...

  15. #15
    JustinBieber
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    If you're so confident this is +EV why do you bother:

    A) listening to anything I have to say which discredits you
    B) Post this on a public forum

  16. #16
    acw
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    Quote Originally Posted by JustinBieber View Post
    If you're so confident this is +EV why do you bother:

    A) listening to anything I have to say which discredits you
    I want you to discredit me with good arguments, as I feel kind of stupid having ignored this factor for no good reason all these years.

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  17. #17
    Naz18
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    Good stuff that's pretty interesting.

    BTP
    Week 6
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