1. #281
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post
    i have the same high expectations for toledo this year as i did last year.. Toledo is one those teams where you will see me fade or follow week in and week out. im not too worried about toledo's offense cause they will score but TOLEDO'S DEFENSE is what im big on. i dont see arkansas states running game REALLY thriving against toledo's defensive line.. awesome D-line. and if the red wolves decide to air out, toledo's secondary is JUST AS talented if not better.. & the addition of Brian george (defensive coordinator) coming over from kent state is a mastermind coordinator. last season he coordinated a defense that was ranked top 3 of SCORING defenses so its only fitting that he will bring that same flare to toledo.. this will be a low scoring battle in the trenches but i have a good feeling im on the right side of the 3.

    week 5 addition:

    Toledo +4.5 -120

    *recycled write up from my week 1 pick on toledo. love it when they are dogs of +3 or higher.
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  2. #282
    JayDr3am
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    week 5 addition:

    Louisville ML -120
    *Lamar jackson

    Tennessee -3 -120
    *Nick chubb, georgia RB just went down with ankle injury
    *Georgia has been barely slipping by with wins. W/L record is a little deceiving.
    * Tennessee = resilience! came back from 21 pt deficit against florida last week
    * Dobbs has awaken

    Wake Forest +10.5 -110
    *National leaders in red zone defense & pass defense
    * ranked atleast top 10 in passing yards allowed
    *what does NC state do? PASS THE BALL.
    *
    DC mike elko doesnt get enough credit. defensive AND secondary coach
    *
    elko huge defensive guru
    *defense wins game. expect the deacons to stick around till the end of the game
    Last edited by JayDr3am; 09-26-16 at 05:59 PM.

  3. #283
    Capybara
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    Thanks for continuing to back up your plays with the writeups, Jay. Better luck this week! You deserve it!
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  4. #284
    reigle9
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    Also like Louisville (got the +3' -120) AND Tennessee.
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  5. #285
    kj8210
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    Gonna wait till Clemson +3...Villes back to back road games and first road game against a solid defense. Think Lamar Jackson's highlight reel ends here. Good luck.

  6. #286
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by kj8210 View Post
    Gonna wait till Clemson +3...Villes back to back road games and first road game against a solid defense. Think Lamar Jackson's highlight reel ends here. Good luck.
    thats what everyone said about FSU's defense... we'll see. & one thing you should never try and do is guess when a hot team loses... it'll be a good one though for sure. BOL

  7. #287
    Aye J Mac
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    Damn LV moved to -2 . Damn I should've just grab that +2.5 LV on Sunday night

  8. #288
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aye J Mac View Post
    Damn LV moved to -2 . Damn I should've just grab that +2.5 LV on Sunday night
    yep. the opening line has been important the last 3 weeks in these important games. Louisville still has value even at -3 on the road IMO

  9. #289
    JayDr3am
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    may have one additional ticket for saturdays card posted by tonight

  10. #290
    Capybara
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    So you're on Washington and Toledo tonight, right? Hmm...

  11. #291
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    So you're on Washington and Toledo tonight, right? Hmm...
    for tonight, yes. i almost made toledo a fire play but im going to tread lightly. the worst i see me going is 1-1 tonight. i hope washingtons defense can contain Mcaffrey. i dont like the public movement on the washington line to be honest with you, i thought stanford would get a fair share of money too but, we'll see.

  12. #292
    fecgp40
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post
    for tonight, yes. i almost made toledo a fire play but im going to tread lightly. the worst i see me going is 1-1 tonight. i hope washingtons defense can contain Mcaffrey. i dont like the public movement on the washington line to be honest with you, i thought stanford would get a fair share of money too but, we'll see.
    Jay... don't have much of an opinion on this game, but curious whether you think Toledo ML is worth a shot. 5dimes has the Rockets at + 3.5 now.

  13. #293
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by fecgp40 View Post
    Jay... don't have much of an opinion on this game, but curious whether you think Toledo ML is worth a shot. 5dimes has the Rockets at + 3.5 now.
    its definitely worth a sprinkle but nothing too outrageous. a light sprinkle. i would not be surprised at all if toledo sneaks away with this one outright.

  14. #294
    mkracier
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    Jay- public is all over Stanford and sharps on Washington- 61% of bets on Stanford , yet the line moved up to 3.5 and is currently -3.5 -111 at pinnacle , the sharpest book. They are begging for Cardinal money

  15. #295
    Capybara
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post
    for tonight, yes. i almost made toledo a fire play but im going to tread lightly. the worst i see me going is 1-1 tonight. i hope washingtons defense can contain Mcaffrey. i dont like the public movement on the washington line to be honest with you, i thought stanford would get a fair share of money too but, we'll see.
    Nah, you're good, public betting Stanford but number getting higher on Washington. Good sign.

  16. #296
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    Quote Originally Posted by mkracier View Post
    Jay- public is all over Stanford and sharps on Washington- 61% of bets on Stanford , yet the line moved up to 3.5 and is currently -3.5 -111 at pinnacle , the sharpest book. They are begging for Cardinal money
    this was one of the toughest games to cap on my card, & yeah im watching how pinnacle is moving its a little strange. no doubt they are the sharpest. they've got some masterminds over there

  17. #297
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    Nah, you're good, public betting Stanford but number getting higher on Washington. Good sign.
    tonight should be interesting to say the least, BOL on your selections capy!!

  18. #298
    Capybara
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post


    Washington -2.5 -120 x1.2u
    *Stanford is very ONE dimensional with mccaffrey
    *Teams are starting to catch on how to slow him down
    *you cant stop mccaffrey, but you can contain him which is washingtons goal here
    * i have UCLA to thank for kind of exploiting how to stop stanford & mcaffrey
    *Stanfords QB worries me, can he make big, down the field plays?
    * Washingtons offense especially WR core is super talented
    *Big arm Washington QB, expect a +7pt win by washington.


    JayDawg knockin' em down.
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  19. #299
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post


    JayDawg knockin' em down.
    lets see what toledo is going to do here in the 2H..

  20. #300
    Kingsy
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    Clemson ML +110 is the play.

    FSU was without 2 5* defenders that game.. Josh Sweat, one of the best edge setters and run stoppers in the nation, and Derwin James, probably the best safety in the nation. One was hurt the week before, and the other was injured on the last snap of practice before traveling to Louisville. Also, FSU could not have played any worse on offense, defense, or special teams. Clemson has been solid, and Lamar Jackson isn't accurate if kept in the pocket. Going against the home dog in an 8pm game isn't too profitable overall.

  21. #301
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kingsy View Post
    Clemson ML +110 is the play.

    FSU was without 2 5* defenders that game.. Josh Sweat, one of the best edge setters and run stoppers in the nation, and Derwin James, probably the best safety in the nation. One was hurt the week before, and the other was injured on the last snap of practice before traveling to Louisville. Also, FSU could not have played any worse on offense, defense, or special teams. Clemson has been solid, and Lamar Jackson isn't accurate if kept in the pocket. Going against the home dog in an 8pm game isn't too profitable overall.
    Goodluck kingsy! will be interesting thats for sure!

  22. #302
    Aye J Mac
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    Good job jay. Will be playing okstate ML next. What do u think about okstate??

  23. #303
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aye J Mac View Post
    Good job jay. Will be playing okstate ML next. What do u think about okstate??
    well if you already played it, what i think doesnt matter lol.. but what i think about OKSU isnt pleasant! i was on OKSU last week getting damn near double digit dogs and they fail to cover the number against a baylor team, who themselves struggled to put away a trash ass rice team so its fukk OKSU & baylor right now lol the cowboys have all the components to be good but the QB still makes little league mistakes, & OKSU cant defend the run worth shit & not forgetting their mediocre secondary. if texas gets their running game going, and the longhorns "QB by committee" approach even slighty works OKSU could easily get another loss here

  24. #304
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aye J Mac View Post
    Good job jay. Will be playing okstate ML next. What do u think about okstate??
    but hey, what do i know lol BOL on your action j mac

  25. #305
    rgrant2214
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    Thanks for the W's last night!

  26. #306
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by rgrant2214 View Post
    Thanks for the W's last night!
    lets see if i can do it again today. BOL on your action grant

  27. #307
    mkracier
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post
    this was one of the toughest games to cap on my card, & yeah im watching how pinnacle is moving its a little strange. no doubt they are the sharpest. they've got some masterminds over there
    great work Jay! Played it big myself and was never worried for one second

  28. #308
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by mkracier View Post
    great work Jay! Played it big myself and was never worried for one second

  29. #309
    Aye J Mac
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post
    well if you already played it, what i think doesnt matter lol.. but what i think about OKSU isnt pleasant! i was on OKSU last week getting damn near double digit dogs and they fail to cover the number against a baylor team, who themselves struggled to put away a trash ass rice team so its fukk OKSU & baylor right now lol the cowboys have all the components to be good but the QB still makes little league mistakes, & OKSU cant defend the run worth shit & not forgetting their mediocre secondary. if texas gets their running game going, and the longhorns "QB by committee" approach even slighty works OKSU could easily get another loss here
    Thanks for your input jay! Wish me luck on OKstate!!

  30. #310
    Aye J Mac
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post
    but hey, what do i know lol BOL on your action j mac
    Hopefully okstate can hold this lead now

  31. #311
    reigle9
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aye J Mac View Post
    Hopefully okstate can hold this lead now
    GL. Have them in some futures. Looking good so far, but Big 12.

  32. #312
    Aye J Mac
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    Quote Originally Posted by reigle9 View Post
    GL. Have them in some futures. Looking good so far, but Big 12.
    LOUISVILLE might just be my last play today. Win big or go broke

  33. #313
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by Aye J Mac View Post
    Hopefully okstate can hold this lead now
    looks like you're good to go! nice call! but you see what i mean about baylor? they are currently struggling to put away Iowa state right now lol baylor is doubling them in passing yards and its tied.. baylor should be blowing these assholes out

  34. #314
    JayDr3am
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    week 5 addition:

    TCU +4 -117
    *OU is in shambles
    *Not a big mayfield fan. Hes part of the problem why OU sucks
    *Bad decision after bad decision has cost him games
    *TCU front 7 should force him into making those bad decisions
    *expect an outright win from TCU but take the points for good measure

    Memphis +15.5 -110
    *ole miss is good but they are going to have trouble here
    *Memphis offense is very underrated
    *lockdown defense
    *Memphis running game is very solid
    *Expect Memphis to hang around with ole miss

  35. #315
    JayDr3am
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    week 5 addition:

    Utah/Cal u65 -117
    *strangely low for a cal home game
    *the usual line has always been 80 or higher
    * this tells me to Expect utah's defense to keep the bears tamed
    *Utah is one of the slower starting offenses
    *41-21 at worst

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