1. #1
    trendon
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    Navy Win Total: Over 7.5

    Sure, the defense will likely be just as terrible as it was last year but they have one of the best QB's in the nation (as far as moving the ball down the field in whatever way possible). Furthermore, Navy generally doesn't lose games it "shouldn't" lose; at least that's my anecdotal look at the school.

    Any thoughts?

    Colgate (Win)
    BYE
    East Carolina (Win)
    at Connecticut (Win)
    Air Force (Win)
    at Notre Dame (Loss)
    BYE
    Tulane (Win)
    South Florida (Win)
    at Memphis (Loss)
    SMU (Win)
    at Tulsa (Win)
    at Houston (Win)
    BYE
    Army (in Philly) (Win)

  2. #2
    dfish
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    Do FCS wins count, if not 8 out 11vs. BCS teams is a brutal prop.

  3. #3
    trendon
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    Quote Originally Posted by dfish View Post
    Do FCS wins count, if not 8 out 11vs. BCS teams is a brutal prop.
    Yes.

    Edit: And, also, when talking about the American, "BCS" is a slight stretch, although I get what you mean.

  4. #4
    dfish
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    Quote Originally Posted by trendon View Post
    Yes.

    Edit: And, also, when talking about the American, "BCS" is a slight stretch, although I get what you mean.
    Yeah, gotcha. So 7 out of 11 w SMU & South Fla @ home looks decent. GL

  5. #5
    Isaiah
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    Quote Originally Posted by trendon View Post
    Sure, the defense will likely be just as terrible as it was last year but they have one of the best QB's in the nation (as far as moving the ball down the field in whatever way possible). Furthermore, Navy generally doesn't lose games it "shouldn't" lose; at least that's my anecdotal look at the school.

    Any thoughts?

    Colgate (Win)
    BYE
    East Carolina (Win)
    at Connecticut (Win)
    Air Force (Win)
    at Notre Dame (Loss)
    BYE
    Tulane (Win)
    South Florida (Win)
    at Memphis (Loss)
    SMU (Win)
    at Tulsa (Win)
    at Houston (Win)
    BYE
    Army (in Philly) (Win)
    You are counting on them having two sets of 4 game winning streaks which is absurd for a team of their talent level. They will lose one of the first set (don't know which game but it doesn't matter). And they will lose one of the second set (probably Houston). Very possible that they will lose two games in one of the above sets. Looks like a 7 or 8 win season to me which makes it too close to call. So a pass for me as there are much better values on the board.

  6. #6
    the_orangekat
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    Colgate (Win)
    BYE
    East Carolina (Lose)
    at Connecticut (Win)
    Air Force (Loss)
    at Notre Dame (Loss)
    BYE
    Tulane (Win)
    South Florida (Win)
    at Memphis (Loss)
    SMU (Win)
    at Tulsa (Win)
    at Houston (Lose)
    BYE
    Army (in Philly) (Win)

    I got them winning 7.

  7. #7
    footballkelly31
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    Trendon, look at Louisville at 7.5. Losses to auburn, Clemson, Fsu. They have a weaker conference schedule with toughest games being at nc state and at Pittsburgh. maybe to close to make the play but 8-4 seems right.

  8. #8
    blades8088
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    Good bet

  9. #9
    Isaiah
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    Quote Originally Posted by trendon View Post
    Sure, the defense will likely be just as terrible as it was last year but they have one of the best QB's in the nation (as far as moving the ball down the field in whatever way possible). Furthermore, Navy generally doesn't lose games it "shouldn't" lose; at least that's my anecdotal look at the school.

    Any thoughts?
    Nice call trendon.

    Congratulations.
    Last edited by Isaiah; 12-08-15 at 10:29 PM.

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