1. #1
    DennisT
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    Fresno St. v New Mexico

    Just checked the Vegas lines and the spread is Fresno St. -3 to -4

    I have a local line that places the line at -5 1/2 Thoughts?

  2. #2
    Eric22174
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    New Mexico will win outright.

  3. #3
    Killer_Demo
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eric22174 View Post
    New Mexico will win outright.


  4. #4
    JJJ
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    great write up
    Quote Originally Posted by Eric22174 View Post
    New Mexico will win outright.

  5. #5
    recon1
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    Quote Originally Posted by JJJ View Post
    great write up
    If you wanna a write up, go to Bleacher report.

  6. #6
    DennisT
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    Mock the man if you must but the public takes a line that low and I still get +5 1/2 seems good to me.

  7. #7
    Bbfromgpt
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eric22174 View Post
    New Mexico will win outright.

    Very good chance

  8. #8
    Bbfromgpt
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    Was at 5.5 last night and 4.5 this morning. Keeps dropping yet pub is on FS

  9. #9
    JJJ
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    fresno wins

  10. #10
    DennisT
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    And that is what worries me just a little,but just a little.

  11. #11
    DennisT
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    Not much information backing public at this point. Still leaning dog.

  12. #12
    Bbfromgpt
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    Everything about this game screams toss up. Maybe the over is the play

  13. #13
    DennisT
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    That is something I gave no thought to. Will consider. Thanks!

  14. #14
    Eric22174
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    The starting QB is returning for New Mexico tonight. Fresno's offense is known for running a fast pace offense and in this case I think it works against the Fresno defense in a bad way. I typically take yards per point into consideration and i'm coming up with more of a spread like +1.5 and not 4.5.

  15. #15
    DennisT
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    Now I get Info to consider. Thanks Erik!

  16. #16
    Eric22174
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    If you take the formula....

    Simply take a teams offensive yards gained and divide by points scored.
    On defense, take the yards given up and divide by points given up.

    So now you have two numbers for each team. An offensive number and a defensive number. The lower the offensive number, the better the offense. The higher the defensive number, the better the defense.

    Example:

    We subtract the offensive number from the defensive number for each team.

    So, you see what the difference between the two are. We add 2 points for home field and have a Yards Per Point line on this game.

    Look for significant difference between the YPP line and the sportsbooks line.
    Points Awarded:

    DennisT gave Eric22174 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  17. #17
    DennisT
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    More Information. Thanks!

  18. #18
    Eric22174
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    I'm reading it's supposed to or is already raining.

  19. #19
    DennisT
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    Been My experience says weather favors home team .

  20. #20
    Bbfromgpt
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    Rain would certainly help New Mexico, can anyone confirm? This may be a game to bet live or at half but I still lean NM

  21. #21
    graycat40
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    public line wager

    The public is on Fresno the line is dropping, why? I'll take the dog on this one

  22. #22
    DennisT
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    No way to confirm.

  23. #23
    Bbfromgpt
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    It was about 69% on them yesterday I haven't checked much today. Who knows. GL guys

  24. #24
    raydog
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    Quote Originally Posted by graycat40 View Post
    The public is on Fresno the line is dropping, why? I'll take the dog on this one
    the line isnt dropping

  25. #25
    Eric22174
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    I called the local Taco Bell near the stadium it's supposed to rain. Overcast already.

  26. #26
    B_Millz
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    line is now at -6.. any info on why?

  27. #27
    JJJ
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    lolllll that is funny unreal if you really called them
    Quote Originally Posted by Eric22174 View Post
    I called the local Taco Bell near the stadium it's supposed to rain. Overcast already.

  28. #28
    Bbfromgpt
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    Quote Originally Posted by raydog View Post
    the line isnt dropping
    Umm yes it did constantly from WED till this evening and now is rising again. Watch the lines

  29. #29
    Bbfromgpt
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    Big money prob dropped on FS

  30. #30
    DennisT
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    At one site line is -6.

  31. #31
    Bbfromgpt
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    Is 6 on mine too. Was at 5.5 Wed night, 4.5 last night, 3.5 today and now all the way back to 6

  32. #32
    nosibalasinoypi
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    across the street i heard that the Lobo's QB is out. i dont know which QB. havent verified though

    money coming in for FS

  33. #33
    ashulga
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    Qb out for nm. Dont know which one, assume starter

  34. #34
    DennisT
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    Well folks its Post time. If the weather gets bad over 68 will be too much.So will take New Mexico + 5 1/2. lol !

  35. #35
    Eric22174
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    Just saying the back up QB is legit if he shall play. We will see tonight. GL to all.

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