[shopbar picks]

Like the plays. Not that it matters but Ole miss is 346. Best of luck

[Pivotpoint]

Thanks shopbar. Getting around time to start thinking about a pair of reading glasses.The beer doesn't help either on those late night write ups. Will correct here vs editing original post with lines. BOL today.

FInal Card Wk #10

319 Wisconsin - 13 1/2 (2x)
391 TCU - 3 1/2
346 OL MISS -1
350 MISS ST - 10 1/2 (2x)
368 K STATE - 12 1/2 (2x)
385 Arizona + 6 1/2

[Pivotpoint]

Adding-

360 Georgia -11 (2x)

I was going to pass on this game, that is historically close. Then again, this is not your usual Gator team. True Frosh Treon Harris forced into action, offense lacks confidence, struggles to score. Muschamp winless , 0-3 vs Dogs.

Hutson Mason hitting 69.2% , 10 TD's , 3 Picks. Chubb has been impressive and team has not missed a beat minus stud Gurley. Both Defenses play lights out, but the losing has to wear on that Gator D. Lots of fans should cross the border to cheer on Dogs, Gator fans might stay home or just drink away their misery. Had this game at 14 and see Dogs rolling here. gl


319 Wisconsin - 13 1/2 (2x)
391 TCU - 3 1/2
346 OL MISS -1
350 MISS ST - 10 1/2 (2x)
368 K STATE - 12 1/2 (2x)
385 Arizona + 6 1/2

360 Georgia - 11 (2x)

BeerFestGirls.jpg

[Pivotpoint]

Line just dipped on TCU to -3 , right before kick. Looking forward to this game + Gators/Dogs. Wisky just cashed easy and I'll add another unit at that price.


319 Wisconsin - 13 1/2 (2x) WIN
391 TCU - 3 1/2
391TCU -3
346 OL MISS -1
350 MISS ST - 10 1/2 (2x)
368 K STATE - 12 1/2 (2x)
385 Arizona + 6 1/2
360 Georgia - 11 (2x)

BeerFestGirls.jpg

[Pivotpoint]

Hate coming back and grading these after getting roughed up last weekend. It's like reliving that debacle.

Two weeks now in a row I've lost a big bet with under 2 minutes left to play. In both instances, an apparent game covering td fumbled at the goal line. What are the odds of that penetrating happening? Two weeks ago the Bama fumble, last week Ol Miss fumble. Feel bad for that kid Treadwell and losing a few bucks is nothing vs his long recovery, but damn.

The most brutal loss was Georgia. Game was a last minute add (straight) after feeling good with the Wisky win. I had them on one parlay and two teasers. I won every game on those cards but one. Bulldogs. Still shocked at the no-show by that team, their D and the offensive explosion of the Gator O. Usually I can hit a big parlay or two every week or so that helps pad the account. I don't even want to talk about how many dollars that Georgia loss cost me (in profits).

Time to score this shit card and move on. Hope to turn it around this weekend.


319 Wisconsin - 13 1/2 (2x) W +2
391 TCU - 3 1/2 / -3 L -2.16
346 OL MISS -1 L -1.08
350 MISS ST - 10 1/2 (2x) L -2.16
368 K STATE - 12 1/2 (2x) W +2
385 Arizona + 6 1/2 L -1.08

360 Georgia - 11 (2x) L -2.16

* Counting juice on tracking of 8% (1.08)

WK #10 2-5 - 3.64

YTD 22-23-1 - 7.59

[Pivotpoint]

WK #11

113 Memphis -7 (-125)

Buying off the hook. Temple a different team at home, but I simply don't trust that Owl Offense. Owls had only 10 first downs last week against Pirates and were out-yarded by 300 YARDS, benefiting from 5 turnovers!

Memphis protects the ball, 10 TO's all year. Tiger O balanced with Lynch and RB Brandon Hayes. Hayes has started to find a groove with over 300 yards on the ground in only the last two games. To get an idea of how poor Temple O has been, Owls have just barely accumulated over 300 yards of gross offense the last two games.

Both teams looking for a win to be bowl eligible. Memphis has huge edge on Offense , plus has the better Defense. Tigers travel well, 5-2 vs spread last 7 get revenge here.

gl with your pick

[tennesseety]

I'm on Memphis too, Pivot. Not sure if that's a good sign.

GL this weekend!

[Urbanwildlife]

We are taking this play to the pay window tonight amigos!

[Pivotpoint]

^^

Thanks guys. Hope to get off to a solid start before the weekend. Good luck as well. Just bet WVA and ND, will add.

Keep going back to Bama - 6 1/2 and Kansas St + 6. Tough to go against TCU @ home. Thoughts on Spartans vs Buckeyes? I like Spartans and Cook, but should be a tight game and # up to -4. Rare to see Ohio St plus points.

[Pivotpoint]

Adding,

151 West Virginia -3

Horns have edge on D, but my #'s show Mountaineers have massive edge on Offense. #12 vs #102. Tough spot here for WVA, but believe Trickett will bounce back. Horns improving, but young and haven't displayed any home field advantage yet this year.

191 Notre Dame + 2 1/2

I like this Sun Devil team and Coach Graham, but have to grab points with Irish. Feel Notre Dame has the edge in the trenches and could expose a somewhat soft Arizona St run D. QB Kelly is back, but is he the same? 180 vs Washington in the air 18/32 and 205 yards vs Utes. Golson over 300 yards last 3 games, including against Seminoles on the road. Was tempted to take the Moneyline here, but at only + 120, I'll take the points.


WK #11 Pending

113 Memphis -7
151 W. Virginia -3
191 Notre Dame + 2 1/2

Going back to old faithful for luck

hotchick_beer32.jpg

[Urbanwildlife]

Agree with your assessment totally!

I also want me some Guinness Beer!

[Pivotpoint]

Agree with your assessment totally!

I also want me some Guinness Beer!

That chick is so hot, it's beyond words. I'm on a Macbook right now. What causes the pics not to show at times? Always preview and pic is there. After submitting, sometimes it disappears. Am I missing something simple?

[tennesseety]

Well, it was bound to happen. I'm on the opposite side of your Notre Dame bet. This is good for you, haha!

I'm on Sparty. Urban has yet to beat a top 15 team since arriving in Columbus.

I can't pull the trigger in the Bama/LSU game either. May just pass.

GL!

[Pivotpoint]

Well, it was bound to happen. I'm on the opposite side of your Notre Dame bet. This is good for you, haha!

I'm on Sparty. Urban has yet to beat a top 15 team since arriving in Columbus.

I can't pull the trigger in the Bama/LSU game either. May just pass.

GL!

May the best team win then in Devils vs Irish.

I'm about to pull the trigger on Bama.

Did you escape Vegas unharmed? I lived there for over 10 years, crazy town. Where did you stay? Haven't been there in awhile and need to visit.

[Pivotpoint]

Adding

161 Alabama - 6 (-116)

This is pretty simple. I'm a big Bama and Saban fan. LSU got me a couple weeks back vs Ol Miss, but Bo Wallace deserves some of the blame. Even with the fans getting in Wallaces head, Rebs were in it till the end. Tigers struggled to score vs Rebs and don't see that changing vs Tide. QB Blake Sims has been sharp and Tide has no problem playing smash mouth. Huge game for Bama, Saban and their playoff hopes. Roll Tide.


WK #11 Pending

113 Memphis -7 (-125)
151 W. Virginia -3
191 Notre Dame + 2 1/2
161 Alabama - 6 (-116)

[tennesseety]

Our meetings were at the convention center, so we just stayed at the Renaissance right next to it. It was nice staying in a non-casino hotel. Haha. I escaped down double digits, which after 4 nights, I consider a major victory. Haha. I kept it to sports, a little craps and I'm a sucker for Pai Gow Poker. It was a good time, but I was ready to leave! I will be back in March. I honestly can't imagine living there. I don't know that I have the willpower!

GL. I may join you on Bama so that I can cheer them on. I'm a Tenn guy that married into a Tide family, so I need the motivation!

[Pivotpoint]

Know exactly where that is. Used to work in the First Interstate Tower, before Wells Fargo bought them out. Building is back behind the Venetian.

I hear ya about living there. It was awesome, but if you weren't disciplined, that place would crush you.

Cost of living is peanuts compared to East Coast. More money for fun and games.

Escaping "Lost Wages" with a small loss is indeed a major victory. Well done.

[Pivotpoint]

Getting tough to come back and grade these games. Can’t seem to get on a roll. Had some other games that I didn’t post , winning early with Baylor, GTech. Won late with Marshall, but lost another late game with Kansas St. BC penetrated a parlay . In any event, can only grade what I posted. Still trying to get in the black.

WK #11 1-3 -2.41

YTD 23-26-1 -10.0

[Pivotpoint]

WK #12

334 Wisconsin - 6 1/2

Respect for Huskers. Rested and coming off bye. Wisconsin Defense is healthy and plays great at home. Gordon at 100% and averaging 204 rushing yards per game. Abdullah is said to be close to 100% ? 139 ypg. Stave playing decent ball as well as Armstrong. I have a feeling that Neb will stumble on the road here. Last road trip saw them fall behind vs Spartans with deceiving late 2nd half scores. Wisky stacks the box here and takes control here at home in must win game.


368 Georgia - 2 1/2

Tough to block out that brutal loss vs Gators, but sticking with Dogs here and laying the small #. Dogs get two RB’s back with Gurley the most important. Aub’s top WR Duke Williams out. Auburns defense has faced a tough slate of late and seems to be showing cracks. 38,35,31 and 41 pts allowed last 4! Dogs have won 6 of last 8 vs Tigs. Home team 5 of 7 in series. Dogs first game between the hedges in over a month. Team should benefit from home cooking, Gurleys return and will seek revenge from last years late pick 6 loss. Dogs.


397 Texas -2 1/2

Two teams going in different directions. Cowboys reeling losing 3 straight by 30 + . Horns turning the corner winning 3 of last 4 , last two by 19. Both teams looking for 6th win to become bowl eligible Horns have won 7 straight in Stillwater. Make it 8.


Watching the line on Bama/Miss St and FSU/MIA. Really want to take the points in both, but have a gut feeling that Bulldog D will get exposed in Tuscaloosa. Miami has the better D and Duke Johnson could have a big game, but again, going against that Noles win streak and laying less than a FG?

WK #12

334 WISCONSIN - 6 1/2
368 GEORGIA - 2 1/2
397 TEXAS - 2 1/2

[Pivotpoint]

Adding,

396 Alabama - 8 1/2. Buying off a soft -9 1/2 and rolling with the Tide here. Miss St will get a wake up call here in Tuscaloosa, coming off UT Martin. Alabama hanging in the shadows and will be back in the playoff picture with a win here. The biggest reason for backing the Tide is the huge difference in Defense. I have Bama ranked defensively at #4 and Miss St ranked #91. While I would love to take the points here, just can't ignore the strong possibility that the Bulldogs D will be exposed in Tuscaloosa, much to the delight of the Tide faithful. Yes, laying a ton of points to the current #1 team, but how will the # 123 pass defense stop one of the best receivers in college, Amari Cooper? Henry and Yeldon should also have big days on the ground. Roll Tide.

WK #12

334 WISCONSIN - 6 1/2
368 GEORGIA - 2 1/2
397 TEXAS - 2 1/2
396 ALABAMA - 8 1/2 (-116)

miss bud.jpg

[Pivotpoint]

Adding

371 Florida St -2


WK #12

334 WISCONSIN - 6 1/2
368 GEORGIA - 2 1/2
397 TEXAS - 2 1/2
396 ALABAMA - 8 1/2 (-116)
371 FLORIDA ST -2

[Pivotpoint]

WK #12

334 WISCONSIN - 6 1/2 WIN
368 GEORGIA - 2 1/2 WIN
397 TEXAS - 2 1/2 WIN
396 ALABAMA - 8 1/2 (-116) LOSS
371 FLORIDA ST -2 WIN

Wk #12 4-1 +2.84

YTD 27-27-1 -7.16

[Pivotpoint]

NCAA WK#13

134 Michigan St -22

Went against Rutgers last three games when they stepped up in class vs OSU, Wisky and Neb. Easy winners and Rutgers was bludgeoned. Spartans 6-1 ATS laying double digits and Scarlet Knight D like swiss cheese when they play the big boys in conference, yielding just under a shocking 7 YPC. On the other hand Sparty D rock solid and RB Langford should run wild.

140 Ohio St - 34 1/2

Indiana has no QB and Buckeye D will shut them down.Buckeyes do have a QB in Barrett - 29 tds, 8 picks who also rumbled for school record189 yds last week. OSU still has a shot at making a playoff bid and should keep the pedal on the gas till the end.I like Hoosier RB Coleman, but he will have the focus of the entire defense upon him. This is a lot of points to lay, but just don’t see Indiana offering much resistance here.

159 Marshall -20

I’m sticking with undefeated Marshall who can light the scoreboard . MU 7-2 vs spread and crushed Blazers 56-14 last year. See little reason why anything would change here.

157 Wisconsin -10

Iowa has shown flashes, but inconsistent. On the other-hand, Badgers have been consistently solid on Defense , have stud RB in Gordon and covered last 4 with ease. Iowa has been a covering machine of late also, but can get that Gopher debacle out of my mind. Should be a good game and my $’s on the better D and Badgers.

172 Arkansas + 3 1/2

Ol Miss hasn’t played a real team in a couple weeks. Big look ahead with Egg Bowl next week. Hogs need one win to be bowl eligible and have played some good teams tight especially at home. I see a tight battle here and was tempted to take a shot with them on the moneymen, but I’ll play it safe and take the FG with the hook.

174 Baylor - 29 1/2 (2X)

Laying the lumber here with the top offensive team in the nation. Bears have been a covering machine at home. I’m not a big revenge guy, but Cowboys ruined Bears perfect season last year and have really dropped off this year, even more so on the road. Bryce Petty should torch Cowboy D and Ok St is really struggling to score. Last week, Cowboys only had 9 first downs against Horns. Bears should maul here, lay it.

Final Card-

134 MICHIGAN ST -22
140 OHIO ST -34 1/2
159 MARSHALL -20
157 WISCONSIN -10
172 ARKANSAS + 3 1/2
174 BAYLOR - 29 1/2 (2X)

GL with your plays.

[Urbanwildlife]

Want a clean sweep from you this weekend my friend! Will not be streaming the games to my computer as I am to busy partying, and in the day enjoying the beach scenery! I know you are going to have a great weekend! Thanks for the pics, I am in love with Miss Bud!

[Pivotpoint]

Urban, sounds good. Laying some lumber with most games on Sat. Lines a bit inflated and no denying, I winced before I clicked confirm on bet screen. Just see big match up problems for some of the dogs, where double digit losses are common. Sticking with some teams that have been good to me.

Enjoy the beach, keep your wits about you at night and cash some tickets this weekend.



miss bud.jpg

[ZIPPER HEAD]

Good luck piv and urb. Urb take some milk thistle this weekend lol

[Pivotpoint]

134 MICHIGAN ST -22 W
140 OHIO ST -34 1/2 L
159 MARSHALL -20 L
157 WISCONSIN -10 L
172 ARKANSAS + 3 1/2 W
174 BAYLOR - 29 1/2 (2X) L

WK #13 2-4 - 3.4

YTD 29 - 31 - 1 -10.56

Damn, season winding down and can't catch a solid streak. Hope to rally in the second season, bowl games. I got a little back on late games Virginia and Mizzu. Never posted. But, also added to Wisky at 8 1/2 and Arkansas -3 which was a wash. Tough penetrating year. Juice on losses adding up.

[tennesseety]

Happy Thanksgiving, Pivot!

Happy Caping!

[Pivotpoint]

Thx Tennesseety. Happy belated Thanksgiving to you also. In Vt for the holidays , Internet and Phones down. Called for service and Fairpoint on strike. Thank god for directv.

[Pivotpoint]

Virginia -1 (2x)
Tech a shell of their old self with injuries. Cavs looked strong vs Canes and have their best chance to end hokie dominance in series tonight + earn a shot at a bowl. QB Brewer tough to trust. . Cavs the better team and get the win tonight. Gl

[Pivotpoint]

Florida + 7 1/2 (2x)
Miss St - 2 1/2. (2x)
Alabama - 8 1/2 -116 (2x)

Until I can turn the corner, this could be fade material. Gl

[Pivotpoint]

Virginia -1 (2x) L
Florida + 7 1/2 (2x) W
Miss St - 2 1/2. (2x) L
Alabama - 8 1/2 -116 (2x) W

WK#14 2-2 -.32

YTD 31-33-1 -10.88

Damn this has been a brutal season in College. NFL even crazier.

Good luck in the conference championships.

[tennesseety]

I hear you, Pivot. As bad as it's been for me, I'm back down to $500. Feels like a victory, lol.

GL this weekend!

[Pivotpoint]

103 UCF + 7 -113

Willing to take a shot tonight with the Knights getting a TD. Fully aware of the arm of Pirates QB Shane Carden. He might find the going a little tougher against a strong UCF secondary. UCF #1 in pass efficency defense with 16 picks. Knights QB Justin Holman has bounced back after a loss and four picks vs UCONN. Admittedly, that has been against weak competition, but then again, Pirate secondary ranked #104 in passing yards allowed.

I've always liked Knight coach George O'Leary and it's rare that UCF gets blown out or isn't competitive. Both teams are playing for something and come into this game at 8-3. I considered taking UCF on the money line, but with the season I'm having, I'll grab the TD.

GL

ucf5.jpg

[Pivotpoint]

107 Arizona + 15 1/2 (2x)

Logged in real quick to make sure I got the hook (+14 1/2) and was surprised to see the # sitting at +15 1/2. I thought about adding more , but need to be sure that Wildcats top receiver is playing. Samajie Grant was bagged for DUI last weekend and I originally heard he was simply not starting. Unconfirmed rumors that he might not play at all?

Zona already beat the Ducks once this year , but Ducks appear healthier on the offense and have some key O-Linemen back. I am still seeing that center Grasu is questionable and has missed last two games. There is no comparison with Heisman candidate Mariota vs red shirt Freshman Solomon. Solomon does have 27 TD's and 7 picks, so he's no slouch and one has to conclude that Zona is coming into this game with a lot of confidence.

Ducks not the same on the road and the Wildcat rush attack has had success all year. Pac 12 South has also been stronger that the North. Zona's 3-3-5 Stack D has caused problems for Ducks and I will gladly take Two plus TD's at a neutral sight. I might add to this is I can get confirmation on Grant's status. Gl with your picks