1. #1
    BlacK_HazE
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    CFB Bowl Game Betting Systems

    Here are a couple of interesting systems I discovered that I thought were worth sharing.
    SYSTEMS:


    Sys #1 - Play on Dogs of 4-11 pts from 12/25 to 12/31. 53-29 ATS

    Sys #2 - Play Against FAVS that are 3-0 su,ats L3 gms, covered by 3 or more pts last gm, vs opp off Loss that allows 27 or less pts/gm. 17-1 ATS

    Sys #3 - Play Against Pre-New Years Day FAVS who won 8 or less gms, avg 121.5< rush/gm, vs opp who rushes for 140>ypg. 19-4 ATS

    Sys #4 - Play Against teams (not dog of 6 >pts), seeking revenge for SU loss of 24+ pts in last match-up and not off Win 10<pts. 1-28 ATS

    Sys #5 - Play on FAVS of 4 or less pts w/less than 39 days rest off SU win scoring 46+pts. 17-0 SU, 16-1 ATS

    Sys #6 - Play Against FAVS w/less than 8 wins, has at least 20+ days of rest, and are off 3 wins. 1-17 ATS

    Sys # 7 - Play On Big 10 teams (not fav of 10+pts or dog of 14+ pts), w/less than 43 days of rest vs Big 12 opp not off conf RF su,ats Win of more than 6pts. 20-5 ATS

    Sys #8- Play UNDER, 2 teams in Non-BCS conf. 22-46 UNDER

    Sys #9- Play Against January Bowl teams (not fav of 4+pts), off 3 ATS Losses vs opp not off SU loss of 18+ 3-13 SU,ATS

    Sys #10- Play Against a December bowl team if .666< as favs 13>. 0-11 ATS

    Sys #11- Play Favs on Moneyline if they have worse SU record. 33-9 SU

    Sys #12- Play on Dogs that are not ranked vs opp that is ranked. 16-10 ATS L5 yrs

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    BOWLS FROM 12/15 to 12/24:

    1) Favs of 3.5 or less are 20-6 SU, 19-7 ATS

    2) Totals of 63.5 or more are 14-3 OVER (avg 78ppg)

    BOWLS FROM 12/25 to 12/31:

    1) DD dogs are 18-5 ATS

    BOWLS FROM 1/1 to 1/10:

    1) Favs are 11-4 SU in Non-BCS conf bowls

    2) MAC is 3-6 ATS L9

  2. #2
    BlacK_HazE
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    Bowl Specific:

    New Mexico Bowl- MWC is 4-2 SU,ATS / SU winner is 6-0 ATS

    Potato Bowl - Fav is 7-3 SU L10

    New Orleans Bowl- 6-0 OVER L6

    Beef O Brady's - Big East is 3-0 SU,ATS, Fav is 3-1 ATS,

    Poinsettia- Fav is 3-11 ATS L14

    Las Vegas- 2-4 UNDER L6

    Hawaii Bowl- 9-3 OVER L12

    Independance - SEC is 11-2 SU, 10-3 ATS L13

    Belk - Fav is 7-2 SU L9

    Military Bowl - Fav is 4-0 SU,3-1 ATS, 4-0 OVER

    Russell Athletic - Fav is 8-3 SU L11

    Alamo - Big 10 is 10-5 ATS L15

    Armed Forces - 2-7 UNDER L9

    New Era Pinstripe - Dog is 2-0 SU,ATS

    Music City - Dog is 11-3 SU,10-4 ATS L14 / 3-8 UNDER L11

    Buffalo Wild Wings -12-4 OVER L16 / Dog is 10-5 ATS L15

    Texas Bowl -Fav is 5-1 ATS L6 / 0-6 UNDER L6

    Sun - Dog is 15-2 ATS L17

    Liberty -5-15 UNDER L20 / Dog is 6-2 ATS

    Kraft - Fav is 3-6 ATS L9

    Chick-fil-A -Fav is 5-13 ATS L18

    Heart of Texas- Big 10- 0-2 SU L2

    Outback -Dog is 9-3 ATS L12

    Capital One -Big 10 is 5-3 SU L8 / Fav is 2-5 SU,ATS L7

    Gator -Fav is 13-3 SU, 11-5 ATS L16

    Rose Bowl -Fav is 12-6 ATS L18

    Fiesta - Better SU record is 11-3 ATS

    Sugar -Fav is 11-3 ATS L14

    Orange - Home team is 14-6 ATS

    Cotton - 4-13 UNDER L16

    Compass Bowl - 0-6 UNDER L6

    GoDaddy -CUSA is 2-6 SU,ATS L8 / Fav is 7-2 ATS L9

    BCS Championship- Fav is 4-2 ATS L6

  3. #3
    BlacK_HazE
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    Conference Specific:

    ACC-

    1) The ACC is 18-2 SU vs opp who allows 28.5>pts/gm on season

    2) The ACC is 28-17 SU as fav/dog 6<pts off SU loss

    3) The ACC is 1-8 SU,ATS as favs vs opp off SU fav loss

    4) The ACC is 15-3 ATS dogs off L

    Big East-

    1) The Big East is 33-10 SU vs opp who allows 23>pts/gm

    2) The Big East is 4-16 SU, 5-15 ATS as dogs of 4.5 or more

    Big 10-

    1) The Big 10 is 20-6 SU, 17-9 ATS vs opp who allow 28>pts/gm

    2) The Big 10 is 12-7 ATS dogs of 6> vs opp off L

    3)The Big 10 is 7-14 ATS off DD ATS L

    4) The Big 10 is 7-21 ATS as favs

    Big 12-

    1) The Big 12 is 38-10 SU, 28-18 ATS vs opp who allow 25>pts/gm

    2) The Big 12 is 12-4 ATS as dogs 3>pts vs opp off BB Wins

    3) The Big 12 is 11-20 ATS as favs off ATS loss, (4-0 ATS-2011)

    4) The Big 12 is 10-20 ATS as favs of 7 or more, (3-0 ATS-2011)

    Pac 10-

    1) The Pac 10 is 15-3 ATS as DOGS off su,ats Loss

    2) The Pac 10 is 20-9 L29 gms as dogs

    3) The Pac 10 is 4-13 ATS as favs 6>pts

    4) The Pac 10 is on a run of 55-29 ATS L84 bowl games

    5) Pac 10 dogs vs opp off DD win that scored 30>pts in that win are 17-3 ATS

    6) The Pac 10 is 17-6 ATS vs Big 10

    7) The Pac 10 is 0-9 ATS vs WAC

    8) The Pac 10 is 6-16 ATS vs Non-BCS

    SEC :

    1) The SEC is 34-5 SU vs opp who allow 27>pts/gm

    2) The SEC is 17-7 ATS as dogs 10<pts vs opp off Win

    3) The SEC is 18-11 SU, 20-9 ATS, 8-32 UNDER L18 bowls as DOGS

    4) SEC favs w/ win % of .750< are 15-24 ATS

    5) The SEC is 15-4 ATS as dogs of 4.5 or more

    6) The SEC is 1-11 ATS as Favs off BB L

    7) The SEC is 4-11 ATS off score 40>

    MAC:

    1) The MAC is 3-9 ATS as dogs 7< pts

    2) The MAC is 11-8 ATS as dogs 7> pts

    3) The MAC is 28-3 SU, 23-8 ATS as Favs

    4) The MAC is 3-17 SU, 5-15 ATS as Dogs

    CUSA:

    1) The CUSA is 6-18 UNDER vs MAC and MWC conf

    2) The CUSA is 4-14 ATS off DD W vs opp off Win

    3) The CUSA is 26-7 SU, 20-12 ATS as FAVS in L32 bowl gms

    4) The CUSA is 6-16 SU, 7-15 ATS as dogs of 7 or less

    5) The CUSA is 3-11 SU, 5-8-1 ATS vs BCS conf teams

    MWC-

    1) The MWC is 29-18 ATS L47 bowls

    2) The MWC is 6-2 ATS as dogs 6>

    Independants:

    1) 11-1 SU,10-2 ATS L12 bowls as FAVS, 6-12 SU as DOGS

    WAC:

    1) The WAC is 16-3 ATS as dogs 4>pts off BB Wins

    2) The Wac is 1-12 ATS as neutral site FAVS

    3) The Wac is 2-11 ATS as favs if allowed 35>pts last gm

    4) The Wac is 23-17 OVER , 15-25 ATS L40 Bowl gms


  4. #4
    tailin junkie
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    Haven't had the chance to look through all of it yet but thanks. This stuff is awesome, love this shit.

  5. #5
    M.W.
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    Thanks, man.

  6. #6
    cant call it
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  7. #7
    diggz10
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    good shit bro

  8. #8
    daneault23
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    Sooo what are the plays according to this cornucopia of stats

  9. #9
    BlacK_HazE
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    Quote Originally Posted by daneault23 View Post
    Sooo what are the plays according to this cornucopia of stats
    I was initially planning on crunching all the #'s this evening so I'll be done before the first bowl game tomorrow. As of now here are the only plays I know off the top of my head; I'm only planning on playing teams that fit 2 or more of the above listed systems, with their opponent not fitting any systems of course..

    System #1: (53-29 ATS)
    Central Michigan +5
    Bowling Green +7
    Duke +7
    Ohio +7
    Syracuse +4
    NC State +6.5

    System #11: (33-9 SU)
    VTech ML
    BYU ML
    UCF ML
    Miss St ML
    FSU ML
    Arkansas State ML

  10. #10
    brewersMKE
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    New Mexico Bowl- MWC is 4-2 SU,ATS / SU winner is 6-0 ATS not sure what MWC is? and straight up winner is 6-0 where does ATS come in to play when talking about SU

    Potato Bowl - Fav is 7-3 SU L10 fav is 7-3 SU got it, what is l10?


  11. #11
    Noles1992
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    Good stuff HAZE!

  12. #12
    befus
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    Quote Originally Posted by brewersMKE View Post
    New Mexico Bowl- MWC is 4-2 SU,ATS / SU winner is 6-0 ATS not sure what MWC is? and straight up winner is 6-0 where does ATS come in to play when talking about SU

    Potato Bowl - Fav is 7-3 SU L10 fav is 7-3 SU got it, what is l10?

    Mountain West Conference.
    last 10 such games.
    where does ATS come in to play when talking about SU If you pick the winner they also cover...(SU winner is 6-0 ATS)

  13. #13
    BlacK_HazE
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    System Plays:
    (Green-More than one system likes team;
    Red-Both teams in match-up are system plays)
    System #1: (53-29 ATS)
    Central Michigan +5
    Bowling Green +7
    Duke +7
    Ohio +7
    Syracuse +4
    NC State +6.5


    System #2:
    No Play


    System #3:
    No Play


    System #4:
    No Play


    System #5: (17-0 SU, 16-1 ATS)
    BYU -3
    WVU -4
    Oregon State -2


    System #6:
    No Play


    System #7:
    Minnesota +13
    Michigan State +2.5


    System #8: (22-46 UNDER)
    Toledo/Utah St u57.5
    BYU/SDSU u49
    Ball St/UCF u61.5
    ECU/ULLafayette u65
    SMU/Fresno u59.5
    CMU/WKU u57.5
    Bowling Green/SJSU u47
    Ohio/UL Monroe u60
    Air Force/Rice u61
    Arkansas State/Kent State u61


    System #9:
    No Play


    System #10: (11-0 ATS)
    Navy +14.5


    System #11: (33-9 SU)
    VTech ML
    BYU ML
    UCF ML
    Miss St ML
    FSU ML
    Arkansas State ML


    System #12: (16-10 ATS L5 yrs)
    Toledo +10
    Washington +5.5
    Bowling Green +7
    Wisconsin +6.5

  14. #14
    suicidekings
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    I only agree with BYU, Syracuse, and Michigan State. However to be fair, I don't follow the ACC or MAC, where most of the other plays seem to be coming from. I'd be wary of WVU this year.

  15. #15
    BlacK_HazE
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    Quote Originally Posted by suicidekings View Post
    I only agree with BYU, Syracuse, and Michigan State. However to be fair, I don't follow the ACC or MAC, where most of the other plays seem to be coming from. I'd be wary of WVU this year.
    Other than BYU, Mich State, VTech, Miss St, & Bowling Green I dont plan on putting $ on the other games.. Just sharing some systems that have been profitable over the years and see how they play out

  16. #16
    suicidekings
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlacK_HazE View Post
    Other than BYU, Mich State, VTech, Miss St, & Bowling Green I dont plan on putting $ on the other games.. Just sharing some systems that have been profitable over the years and see how they play out
    Why do you like Mississippi State? IMO, their performance in the second half of the season really exposed the weaknesses in their team, after having a VERY easy first half schedule. Northwestern is no world beater, but I really think MSU will have trouble with Kain Colter's mobility in this game. I haven't done all my work on it yet, but I'm leaning strongly to Northwestern.

    Michigan State is probably the best dog on the board to win outright.

  17. #17
    BlacK_HazE
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    Quote Originally Posted by suicidekings View Post
    Why do you like Mississippi State? IMO, their performance in the second half of the season really exposed the weaknesses in their team, after having a VERY easy first half schedule. Northwestern is no world beater, but I really think MSU will have trouble with Kain Colter's mobility in this game. I haven't done all my work on it yet, but I'm leaning strongly to Northwestern.

    Michigan State is probably the best dog on the board to win outright.
    Other than their loss to Ole Miss (in which ole miss needed a win to be bowl eligable) their only losses came to ranked LSU, Bama, and aTm. Their wins might not be too impressive, but the same can be said for Northwestern.. IMO Miss St is the better team, vegas has them favored for a reason

  18. #18
    BlacK_HazE
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    System Plays:
    System #1: (53-29 ATS)
    Central Michigan +5
    Bowling Green +7
    Duke +7
    Ohio +7
    Syracuse +4
    NC State +6.5

    System #2: (17-0 SU, 16-1 ATS)
    BYU -3
    WVU -4
    Oregon State -2

    System #3:
    Minnesota +13
    Michigan State +2.5

    System #4: (22-46 UNDER)
    Toledo/Utah St u57.5 HIT
    BYU/SDSU u49
    Ball St/UCF u61.5
    ECU/ULLafayette u65
    SMU/Fresno u59.5
    CMU/WKU u57.5
    Bowling Green/SJSU u47
    Ohio/UL Monroe u60
    Air Force/Rice u61
    Arkansas State/Kent State u61

    1-0

    System #5: (11-0 ATS)

    Navy +14.5

    System #6: (33-9 SU)
    VTech ML
    BYU ML
    UCF ML
    Miss St ML
    FSU ML
    Arkansas State ML

    System #7: (16-10 ATS L5 yrs)
    Toledo +10 LOSS
    Washington +5.5
    Bowling Green +7
    Wisconsin +6.5

    0-1

  19. #19
    thfootball
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    Too much for me to look over? Saturday?

  20. #20
    Axis
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    Just seem like a bunch of random trends...hope it works out for ya.

  21. #21
    turbozed
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    Solid post. Thanks a lot dude
    Points Awarded:

    BlacK_HazE gave turbozed 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  22. #22
    BlacK_HazE
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    System #2:
    BYU -3 HIT
    WVU -4
    Oregon State -2

    1-0 (18-0 SU, 17-1 ATS)

    System #4:
    Toledo/Utah St u57.5 HIT
    BYU/SDSU u49 HIT
    Ball St/UCF u61.5
    ECU/ULLafayette u65
    SMU/Fresno u59.5
    CMU/WKU u57.5
    Bowling Green/SJSU u47
    Ohio/UL Monroe u60
    Air Force/Rice u61
    Arkansas State/Kent State u61

    2-0 22-48 UNDER

    System #6:
    VTech ML
    BYU ML HIT
    UCF ML
    Miss St ML
    FSU ML
    Arkansas State ML

    1-0 34-9 SU

  23. #23
    BlacK_HazE
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    Quote Originally Posted by thfootball View Post
    Too much for me to look over? Saturday?
    Only system plays for saturday are:
    Washington +5.5
    ECU/ULLafayette u65

  24. #24
    BlacK_HazE
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    System #4:
    Toledo/Utah St u57.5 HIT
    BYU/SDSU u49 HIT
    Ball St/UCF u61.5 HIT
    ECU/ULLafayette u65
    SMU/Fresno u59.5
    CMU/WKU u57.5
    Bowling Green/SJSU u47
    Ohio/UL Monroe u60
    Air Force/Rice u61
    Arkansas State/Kent State u61

    3-0 22-49 UNDER

    System #6:
    VTech ML
    BYU ML HIT
    UCF ML HIT
    Miss St ML
    FSU ML
    Arkansas State ML

    2-0 35-9 SU

  25. #25
    Bbfromgpt
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    I don't see how 70 plus doesn't get put up in that ECU game.

  26. #26
    neutral
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bbfromgpt View Post
    I don't see how 70 plus doesn't get put up in that ECU game.
    Just double checking all the info, both are below average defensively with giving over 400 yards per games and combined giving up 57 ppg. Both avg 272 & 252 passing yards while giving up 272 & 283 passing yards in defence

  27. #27
    neutral
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    Winner after 3rd quarter, over 66

  28. #28
    BlacK_HazE
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    System #4:
    Toledo/Utah St u57.5 HIT
    BYU/SDSU u49 HIT
    Ball St/UCF u61.5 HIT

    ECU/ULLafayette u65 LOSS
    SMU/Fresno u59.5
    CMU/WKU u57.5
    Bowling Green/SJSU u47
    Ohio/UL Monroe u60
    Air Force/Rice u61
    Arkansas State/Kent State u61

    3-1

    System #7: (16-10 ATS L5 yrs)

    Toledo +10 LOSS
    Washington +5.5 HIT
    Bowling Green +7
    Wisconsin +6.5

    1-1

  29. #29
    iMxth3xbossx5000
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    This is way to much shit to comprehend for me. What would be the play for tomorrow on the Fresno/SMU game

  30. #30
    Ketch
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    under 59.5

    Quote Originally Posted by iMxth3xbossx5000 View Post
    This is way to much shit to comprehend for me. What would be the play for tomorrow on the Fresno/SMU game

  31. #31
    iMxth3xbossx5000
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    I got the Over but on TT 35.5 for Fresno State. 1 TD for 3 quarters, 2 TD's for 1 Quarter and a FG

  32. #32
    BlacK_HazE
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    System #4:
    Toledo/Utah St u57.5 HIT
    BYU/SDSU u49 HIT
    Ball St/UCF u61.5 HIT

    ECU/ULLafayette u65 LOSS
    SMU/Fresno u59.5 HIT
    CMU/WKU u57.5
    Bowling Green/SJSU u47
    Ohio/UL Monroe u60
    Air Force/Rice u61
    Arkansas State/Kent State u61

    4-1

  33. #33
    iMxth3xbossx5000
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    So Bowling Green for Thursday? 2 system plays match it?

  34. #34
    BlacK_HazE
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    Quote Originally Posted by iMxth3xbossx5000 View Post
    So Bowling Green for Thursday? 2 system plays match it?
    Yes, thats right.. both systems #1 & #7 have Bowling Green as a play & System #4 has the under 47 for BG/SJSU

  35. #35
    TeamDetroit
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    So tonight's plays are CMU and the under?

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