1. #1
    smandur
    smandur's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-26-12
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    Roulette strategy

    Hy,I am thing on a strategy, please help my mind flow a bit.

    Lets say starting bet is 1 dollars, table limit is 100 dollars. We bet on red/black, until it comes.

    We us martingle levels:
    1) 50% chance, 1 dollars
    2) 25% chance, 2 dollars
    3) 12,5 % chance, 4 dollars
    4) 6,25 % chance, 8 dollars
    5) 3,125 % chance, 16 dollars
    6) 1,5625 % chance, 32 dollars
    7) 0,78125 % chance, 64 dollars

    That means we fail 0,78 times out of a hundred times.
    But 100 times x 1 is 100 .
    Fail level 100 x 0,78 is 78.

    That means over 100 times our margins should be 22,factor in a loss of 127, that means 127-122 is 5 . (that is the casino edge).

    If this happens:Now we use bigger level of 5 dollars a bet limit 500 until we get our loss back in the 1 to 100 system. Our risk of ruin is 5%? I will take that 5 % risk to make a nice run any day

  2. #2
    VeggieDog
    VeggieDog's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-21-09
    Posts: 6,968
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    Damn, why didn't I think of this? They're just giving money away!

  3. #3
    indio
    .
    indio's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-03-11
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    Quote Originally Posted by smandur View Post
    Hy,I am thing on a strategy, please help my mind flow a bit.

    Lets say starting bet is 1 dollars, table limit is 100 dollars. We bet on red/black, until it comes.

    We us martingle levels:
    1) 50% chance, 1 dollars
    2) 25% chance, 2 dollars
    3) 12,5 % chance, 4 dollars
    4) 6,25 % chance, 8 dollars
    5) 3,125 % chance, 16 dollars
    6) 1,5625 % chance, 32 dollars
    7) 0,78125 % chance, 64 dollars

    That means we fail 0,78 times out of a hundred times.
    But 100 times x 1 is 100 .
    Fail level 100 x 0,78 is 78.

    That means over 100 times our margins should be 22,factor in a loss of 127, that means 127-122 is 5 . (that is the casino edge).

    If this happens:Now we use bigger level of 5 dollars a bet limit 500 until we get our loss back in the 1 to 100 system. Our risk of ruin is 5%? I will take that 5 % risk to make a nice run any day
    I hope this is a level, because if you're being sincere, I have great concerns if you plan to procreate.

    You should at least get your basic math correct if you're going to post such nonsense. You'll never be a 50% chance to win on red or black. Assuming you're at least smart enough to be playing a European roulette wheel with only 1 zero, your chance of winning on red or black is 48.65%. This will make the chances of going 0 for 7 .009414 or 0.94% Now, every time you don't go 0 for 7, you win $1, every time you do go 0 for 7, you lose $127. It's incredibly difficult to know how much you'll make if you can go 120 spins without a single 0 for 7 streak because of the factors involved, but we know for sure it's less than $120. We know that the chances of going 120 spins without a single 0 for 7 streak is only 57.96%. Hence, not only is this a negative equity prop (as playing any house edge game relying on nothing but chance always is), but it's also a complete waste of time.

  4. #4
    5918mike
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    Spend some time doing it for play money first, you'll soon see how many times 0 for 7 happens and you lose your money.

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