1. #71
    RussianMike
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    So this got next where do we start with this card?... Hmmmm? Couple fights I can comment on now.. No need to even cap these 2...

    Gunnar Nelson by sub if he can take down Alan Jouban.. Not a given though as Jouban is not that easy to take down and keep down...

    Cory Anderson by Decision if he doesn't get knocked out standing by Manuwa first.. Cory Anderson has the wrestling advantage clearly over Manuwa.. Take downs for Cory should be there.


    Have you taken into account the difficulty Anderson will have in getting a decision in London? London judges pretty notorious in tilting very heavily for home town talent. Examples: Any Bisping fight in England starting with that deaf guy who beat him up and lost, and ending with the Silva and Hendo fights where he ended up in the hospital with more W's on his record. Watching the Hendo fight it's obvious fix is in, as Hendo working Bisping over, while going into the last round even the commentators are interjecting how badly Hendo needs to finish in order to win. As if Bisping was in any way dominating at that point. My money is on Manuwa if Anderson can't finish. Can't fade them euro judges.

  2. #72
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shagdogy View Post
    Screw it. I'll trust the judges for now. If we see anything crazy I'll consider readjusting.

    Allen 2u, -110
    Edwards 1u, +106
    Anderson 1u, +118
    Anderson/Manuwa o1.5, 1.5u, -150

    Another very tight card. Small profit for slow, steady progress would be just fine. Good luck fellas.
    Best of luck bro!

  3. #73
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by RussianMike View Post
    Have you taken into account the difficulty Anderson will have in getting a decision in London? London judges pretty notorious in tilting very heavily for home town talent. Examples: Any Bisping fight in England starting with that deaf guy who beat him up and lost, and ending with the Silva and Hendo fights where he ended up in the hospital with more W's on his record. Watching the Hendo fight it's obvious fix is in, as Hendo working Bisping over, while going into the last round even the commentators are interjecting how badly Hendo needs to finish in order to win. As if Bisping was in any way dominating at that point. My money is on Manuwa if Anderson can't finish. Can't fade them euro judges.
    I did and in the end I decided to go with Manuwa by KO..

  4. #74
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by RussianMike View Post
    Have you taken into account the difficulty Anderson will have in getting a decision in London? London judges pretty notorious in tilting very heavily for home town talent. Examples: Any Bisping fight in England starting with that deaf guy who beat him up and lost, and ending with the Silva and Hendo fights where he ended up in the hospital with more W's on his record. Watching the Hendo fight it's obvious fix is in, as Hendo working Bisping over, while going into the last round even the commentators are interjecting how badly Hendo needs to finish in order to win. As if Bisping was in any way dominating at that point. My money is on Manuwa if Anderson can't finish. Can't fade them euro judges.
    British judges are notoriously bad but I think Anderson could get the finish here. If not that, it's possible he puts Manuwa on his back enough that he can't get robbed by the judges.

  5. #75
    JIBBBY
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    EARLY START TIME.. I'll be sober for this one.. lol... Morning start time for me out here on the west coast..

    Here is how I'm playing the card.. Tough card to cap overall and alot of my bets are just for $50 this go around.. Best I could cap and come up with below.. See what sticks?? Good luck fellas.. This card could be an adventure..


    1) Lansburg by dec

    2) Askrem by KO

    3) Bangbose 1st round finish/ hedge - Breese by sub

    4) Packelan by sub/ hedge - Diakiese by KO

    5) Luque ITD

    6) Johnson straight.. Change of mind from original post pick..

    7) Stewart by KO

    8) Duffy/Mandidi O1.5

    9) Amirkhani straight/ small sub

    10) Pickett by dec

    11) Jouban straight/ Hedged Nelson by sub

    12) Manuwa by KO
    Points Awarded:

    Hugo de Naranja gave JIBBBY 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  6. #76
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    EARLY START TIME.. I'll be sober for this one.. lol... Morning start time for me out here on the west coast..

    Here is how I'm playing the card.. Tough card to cap overall and alot of my bets are just for $50 this go around.. Best I could cap and come up with below.. See what sticks?? Good luck fellas.. This card could be an adventure..


    1) Lansburg by dec

    2) Askrem by KO

    3) Bangbose 1st round finish/ hedge - Breese by sub

    4) Packelan by sub/ hedge - Diakiese by KO

    5) Luque ITD

    6) Johnson straight.. Change of mind from original post pick..

    7) Stewart by KO

    8) Duffy/Mandidi O1.5

    9) Amirkhani straight/ small sub

    10) Pickett by dec

    11) Jouban straight/ Hedged Nelson by sub

    12) Manuwa by KO
    Good luck bud. I'll be rooting for you on the ones where we're not head to head.

  7. #77
    Squareguy
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    These fights are so hard to cap. I was most interested in the odds for Manuwa/Anderson and Nelson/Jouban.
    I don't have time to give all my reasons, but I'm picking Manuwa by T(KO) in the fourth round and Jouban by decision. Nelson is a better fighter, but his output is going to be lower and Jouban is going to be hard to put away. At +240, it's worth it to me to take a shot. Might hedge with Nelson by sub, but I doubt the odds are right.

  8. #78
    Shagdogy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    British judges are notoriously bad but I think Anderson could get the finish here. If not that, it's possible he puts Manuwa on his back enough that he can't get robbed by the judges.
    That's what I'm thinking... but if it looks really terrible there's still time to bet my way off that fight.

  9. #79
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Good luck bud. I'll be rooting for you on the ones where we're not head to head.
    Thanks same back as always Hugo!!

    Start time now... Here we go!!!!

  10. #80
    RussianMike
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    At -150 or so, would be a better play to just take the over 1.5. Johnson ate couple big punches from Rua, so his chin's up to par and his grappling could extend rounds. Can't see Johnson finishing in under, so over 1.5 seems obvious. Right?

  11. #81
    Sirius
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    Hey follks

    Am looking at stepping out to make the following play for today
    ...at +250 odds

    Allen starts round 2 + Anderson over 1.5 + Villanova ML!


  12. #82
    Sirius
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    BOL

  13. #83
    Unwritten Law
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    Let's go Lina!

  14. #84
    Unwritten Law
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    Breese fight of, WTF.

  15. #85
    rsynweap84
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    Cocksuckers! Wtf breese too!?! Faaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaacxkkckkckckckwjdkweb! !!!

  16. #86
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by rsynweap84 View Post
    Cocksuckers! Wtf breese too!?! Faaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaacxkkckkckckckwjdkweb! !!!
    Had him in both DK lineups and can't change it. WOWWWWW

  17. #87
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by RussianMike View Post
    At -150 or so, would be a better play to just take the over 1.5. Johnson ate couple big punches from Rua, so his chin's up to par and his grappling could extend rounds. Can't see Johnson finishing in under, so over 1.5 seems obvious. Right?
    Over is set at 2.5...

    UFC Fight Night 107 - Heavyweight 3 rounds - 02 Arena - London, England - UFC Fight Pass
    Sat 3/18 1601 Daniel Omielanczuk +170 o2½ -140
    3:30PM 1602 Timothy Johnson -200 u2½ +120


    Closest prop is 2 full rounds complete..

    1635 Omielanczuk / Johnson starts round 3
    -168

  18. #88
    Shagdogy
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    Quote Originally Posted by RussianMike View Post
    At -150 or so, would be a better play to just take the over 1.5. Johnson ate couple big punches from Rua, so his chin's up to par and his grappling could extend rounds. Can't see Johnson finishing in under, so over 1.5 seems obvious. Right?
    I'm on it. I always find o/u's tricky though. So many ways a fight can end.

  19. #89
    Sanity Check
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    Have it like this.

    Jimi Manuwa < Corey Anderson
    Gunnar Nelson > Alan Jouban
    Brad Pickett > Marlon Vera
    Arnold Allen < Makwan Amirkhani

    Joseph Duffy > Reza Madadi
    Darren Stewart < Francimar Barroso
    Daniel Omielanczuk > Timothy Johnson
    Marc Diakiese > Teemu Packalén
    Tom Breese > Oluwale Bamgbose
    Leon Edwards < Vicente Luque
    Ian Entwistle < Brett Johns
    Bradley Scott < Scott Askham
    Lina Länsberg > Lucie Pudilova

    Not expecting to be very accurate.

  20. #90
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Unwritten Law View Post
    Breese fight of, WTF.
    It's still up on the board on 5d.... What happen? That was one of the fights I liked my bets.. Damn if that's the case.. ..


    UFC Fight Night 107 - Middleweight 3 rounds - 02 Arena - London, England - UFC Fight Pass
    Sat 3/18 1801 Oluwale Bamgbose +265 o1½ +100
    2:30PM 1802 Tom Breese -325 u1½ -120

  21. #91
    RussianMike
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    I'm in Vegas, William Hills got it at 1.5 over-155.

  22. #92
    RussianMike
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    How on earth do those add up to +250?

  23. #93
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by RussianMike View Post
    I'm in Vegas, William Hills got it at 1.5 over-155.
    That's a good price go for that if true.. Should land go for it!!!

  24. #94
    JIBBBY
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    SOB!! Refunded.. ...

    $100.00 $225.00 Cancelled 3/18/17 2:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1831 Breese wins by submission +225* vs Any other result

    Hedge..

    $30.00 $180.00 Cancelled 3/18/17 2:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1815 Bamgbose wins in round 1 +600* vs Any other result

  25. #95
    Marillion
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    Lansberg decision here pleeease :3

  26. #96
    UncleChael
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    I got my boy Jimi Manuwa to knock out Overtime tonight, you gotta hedge Hugo, Manuwa hits like a truck.

  27. #97
    Sanity Check
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    Those body shots hurt Pudilova.

  28. #98
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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    lansberg got fuked up

  29. #99
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marillion View Post
    Lansberg decision here pleeease :3
    Easy money...

    $108.00 $100.00 Win 3/18/17 1:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2211 Lansberg wins by 3 round decision -108* vs Not Lansberg by 3 round decision

  30. #100
    thetitanlb
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    How Lansberg won that fight is beyond me...Lansberg got smashed.

  31. #101
    UncleChael
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    Quote Originally Posted by thetitanlb View Post
    How Lansberg won that fight is beyond me...Lansberg got smashed.
    Not sure what was easy.. Lansberg even admitted she lost the fight and her eye is fukked up for like a month now.

  32. #102
    thetitanlb
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    Quote Originally Posted by UncleChael View Post
    Not sure what was easy.. Lansberg even admitted she lost the fight and her eye is fukked up for like a month now.
    Yup hella robbery. Pudilova landed 100 more strikes and somehow lost .....

  33. #103
    Sirius
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    Quote Originally Posted by RussianMike View Post
    How on earth do those add up to +250?
    Miscalculated that, sorry...the pay is +190

    Man, fights on too early

    Lets go

  34. #104
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by UncleChael View Post
    Not sure what was easy.. Lansberg even admitted she lost the fight and her eye is fukked up for like a month now.
    She did get focked up but she clearly won rounds one and two.. Dec win was not a robbery..

  35. #105
    Sanity Check
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    I thought Lansberg got the first two rounds, even if she ran out of cardio late in the 2nd.

    Thought Askham won that.

    Scott only landed like 5 punches in the 3rd round.

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