1. #211
    Plaza23
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    Gall with the submission win. I think he can win a title someday.

  2. #212
    UncleChael
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    Galll getting lit up...

  3. #213
    Kermit
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kermit View Post
    I see Gall getting his 4th pro win by a 4th RNC finish.
    Points Awarded:

    Hugo de Naranja gave Kermit 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  4. #214
    UncleChael
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    Holy fukk..

  5. #215
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Nice performance by Gall. Good finishing ability but I think is cardio is pretty questionable going forward.

  6. #216
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: UncleChael

  7. #217
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Think VanZant loses the first round but gets the comeback win

  8. #218
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kermit View Post
    Good call bud.

  9. #219
    Ty$
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    I'm on PVZ straight and by dec and parlayed w Gall... my night rides on PVZ

  10. #220
    Unwritten Law
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    Go Michelle!!!

  11. #221
    firekillex
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Nice performance by Gall. Good finishing ability but I think is cardio is pretty questionable going forward.
    i dont see how he could make 55 hes a pretty big 70er and hes only getting older that would be a bad move imo, zahabi one of the most intelligent coaches in the game should sway him from doing this, dropping weight doesnt always help you i think it would hinder his performances imo.... on another note his finishing ability and back taking skills are great every fight he lands the punch and circles to the back in a split second sinking the choke in. sage is all offense you can tell from previous fights, he doesnt like to get hit and he gives up far to easily doesnt seem like a true fighter imo i dont think he makes it really anywhere in the sport, gall definitely has a future though

    gall vs hardy i do not see going well for him though , wish he didnt make that call out if hardy actually comes back from his health problems

  12. #222
    Plaza23
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    Damn that was nothing of a main event. oh well Paige. You're still sexy in my book.

  13. #223
    Ty$
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    Well that was quick ... shit

  14. #224
    Hugo de Naranja
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    UFC on Fox 22: VanZant vs. Waterson Picks:
    Bojan Velickovic Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
    Hector Sandoval Split Decision (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
    Eddie Wineland Round 2 TKO (Punches)
    Irene Aldana Round 1 TKO (Knee and Punches)
    Josh Emmett Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
    James Moontasri Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
    Colby Covington Round 3 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
    Mizuto Hirota Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
    Luis Henrique da Silva Round 2 TKO (Punches)
    Mike Perry Round 1 KO (Punch)
    Urijah Faber Round 2 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
    Sage Northcutt Round 1 Submission (Triangle Choke)
    Paige VanZant Round 3 Submission (Guillotine Choke)

  15. #225
    Hugo de Naranja
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    UFC on Fox 22: VanZant vs. Waterson Draftkings Double Up Lineup:
    Colby Covington ($8,900) 137 Points
    Bojan Velickovic ($8,600) 14 Points
    Mike Perry ($8,500) 18.5 Points
    Mizuto Hirota ($8,100) 106.5 Points
    Sage Northcutt ($8,000) 19.5 Points
    James Moontasri ($7,800) 23 Points

    Risk: 1u
    Total Points: 318.5 Points
    Result: Did Not Cash, -1u

    UFC on Fox 22: VanZant vs. Waterson Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
    Luis Henrique da Silva ($9,000) 23 Points
    Eddie Wineland ($8,800) 114.5 Points
    Josh Emmett ($8,700) 119.5 Points
    Sage Northcutt ($8,000) 19.5 Points
    James Moontasri ($7,800) 23 Points
    Alan Jouban ($7,700) 84.5 Points

    Risk: .2u
    Total Points: 384 Points
    Result: Did Not Cash, -.2u

  16. #226
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Losing night for me. Will post results once they announce FOTN.

  17. #227
    Hugo de Naranja
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    UFC on Fox 22: VanZant vs. Waterson

    Fight Pass Prelims:

    Fight #1: Velickovic vs. Aliev
    Velickovic (-135) -2.7u
    Velickovic/Aliev Draw (+6000) -.1u

    Result: Sultan Aliev Split Decision (30-27 x2, 28-29)
    Fight: -2.8u
    Card: -2.8u

    Fight #2: Sandoval vs. Serrano
    No Bet

    Result: Hector Sandoval Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)

    Fight #3: Wineland vs. Mizugaki
    Wineland KO/TKO (+165) +2.475u
    Wineland/Mizugaki Draw (+6500) -.1u

    Hedge:
    Mizugaki Decision (+340) -1u

    Result: Eddie Wineland Round 1 TKO (Punches)
    Fight: +1.375u
    Card: -1.425u

    Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

    Fight #4: Smith vs. Aldana (DEBUT)
    Aldana+Smith Under 2.5 (+150) -2u
    Aldana ITD (+165) -2u
    Aldana KO/TKO (+300) -1u

    Hedge:
    Smith Round 3 (+2550) -.25u

    Result: Leslie Smith Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
    Fight: -5.25u
    Card: -6.675u

    Fight #5: Emmett vs. Holtzman
    No Bet

    Result: Josh Emmett Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)

    Fight #6: Moontasri vs. Morono
    Moontasri Decision (+444) -.75u
    Moontasri Round 2 (+600) -.5u
    Moontasri Round 3 (+1050) -.25u
    Moontasri Submission (+1275) -1u

    Result: Alex Morono Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
    Fight: -2.5u
    Card: -9.175u

    Fight #7: Barberena vs. Covington
    Barberena (+350) -1u
    Barberena Round 2 (+1250) -.25u
    Barberena Round 3 (+2050) -.25u

    Hedge(s):
    Covington Submission (+495) -1u
    Covington Round 3 (+1075) -.5u

    Result: Colby Covington Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
    Fight: -3u
    Card: -12.175u

    Fight #8: Miller vs. Hirota
    Hirota (-120) +2u
    Hirota Decision (+200) +1u

    Result: Mizuto Hirota Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 30-26)
    Fight: +3u
    Card: -9.175u

    Fight #9: Henrique da Silva vs. Craig (DEBUT)
    Henrique da Silva KO/TKO (+160) -1u
    Henrique da Silva Round 2 (+425) -.5u

    Hedge(s):
    Craig Submission (+435) +2.175u
    Craig Round 1 (+600) -.25u

    Result: Paul Craig Round 2 Submission (Armbar)
    Fight: +.425u
    Card: -8.75u

    Main Card:

    Fight #10: Perry vs. Jouban
    Perry (-130) -1.3u
    Perry KO/TKO (+140) -1u
    Perry Round 1 (+300) -.5u

    Hedge(s):
    Jouban Decision (+475) +2.375u
    Jouban Round 1 (+1575) -.5u

    Result: Alan Jouban Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
    Fight: -.925u
    Card: -9.675u

    Fight #11: Faber vs. Pickett
    Faber Submission (+300) -3u

    Result: Urijah Faber Unanimous Decision (30-26 x3)
    Fight: -3u
    Card: -12.675u

    Fight #12: Gall vs. Northcutt
    Northcutt (+120) -1u
    Northcutt Scorecards = No Action (+155) -2u
    Northcutt Submission (+1060) -.5u

    Hedge(s):
    Gall Decision (+665) -.5u
    Gall KO/TKO (+1318) -.5u

    Result: Mickey Gall Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
    Fight: -4.5u
    Card: -17.175u

    Fight #13: VanZant vs. Waterson
    VanZant (-125) -2.5u
    VanZant (+100) -2u
    VanZant+Waterson Under 4.5 Rounds (+140) +2.8u
    VanZant ITD (+263) -1u
    VanZant Round 3 (+1050) -.5u
    VanZant Split/Majority Decision (+1180) -.25u
    VanZant Round 4 (+1450) -.25u
    VanZant Round 5 (+2050) -.25u

    Hedge(s):
    Waterson ITD (+456) +4.56u
    Waterson KO/TKO (+1500) -.25u
    Waterson Round 3 (+1675) -.25u

    Result: Michelle Waterson Round 1 Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
    Fight: +.11u
    Card: -17.065u

    Straight Parlays:
    Emmett/Da Silva (+117) -1u
    Da Silva/Faber -3.5 (+135) -1.5u

    Results: Emmett, Faber -3.5 Win, Da Silva Loses
    Fights: -2.5u
    Card: -19.565u

    Prop Parlays:
    Covington+Barberena Starts Round 3/Da Silva+Craig Won’t Start Round 3 (+113) +2.26u
    Miller Scorecards=No Action/Northcutt Scorecards=No Action(+342) -.5u
    Da Silva ITD/Perry KO/Faber+Pickett Goes Distance (+664) -.25u
    Da Silva KO/Jouban KO (+908) -.5u
    Wineland Decision/Aldana Decision (+1030) -.25u
    Emmett Decision/Moontasri/Faber Decision (+1206) -.25u
    Aldana Round 1/Perry Round 1 (+1587) -.25u
    Aldana+Smith Under 2.5/Emmett Decision/Moontasri ITD (+1893) -.25u
    Velickovic Decision/Sandoval Decision/Wineland KO (+2184) -.25u
    Covington Submission/Miller Submission (+2488) -.25u
    Covington Submission/Hirota Decision/Da Silva ITD (+3458) -.25u
    Moontasri Submission/Gall Submission (+3956) -.1u
    Perry ITD/Faber ITD/Northcutt ITD/VanZant ITD (+4449) -.25u
    Covington Submission/Miller Submission/Craig Submission (+13748) -.1u
    Moontasri Round 3/Covington Round 3 (+15500) -.1u
    Northcutt Submission/Waterson KO (+17914) -.1u

    Added:
    Faber Decision/Waterson Decision (+712) -.5u

    Results: See Above
    Fights: -1.89u
    Card: -21.455u

    Full Card Props:
    Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+328) +3.28u
    Over 4.5 Fights End in Submission (+478) -.5u
    Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+850) +4.25u
    Perry+Jouban FOTN (+550) -1u
    Sage Northcutt Wins Fastest Sub (+2500) -.25u
    Over 9.5 Fights Go Distance (+2575) -.25u
    Irene Aldana Wins Fastest KO (+3000) -.5u

    Results: See Above
    Fights: +5.03u
    Final Card Total: -16.425u
    Last edited by Hugo de Naranja; 12-17-16 at 09:43 PM.

  18. #228
    TPowell
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    I beat Hugo tonight..... about all I can say. I lost my ass on Perry, da Silva, Sage, Paige, Moon, and Miller. Had a big play on Emmett and a parlay with Faber and Wineland but that was it. Think I lost 7 units

  19. #229
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    I beat Hugo tonight..... about all I can say. I lost my ass on Perry, da Silva, Sage, Paige, Moon, and Miller. Had a big play on Emmett and a parlay with Faber and Wineland but that was it. Think I lost 7 units
    Seems like most everyone I know had a bad night. Weird card with a lot of decisions, random underdogs coming through.

  20. #230
    TPowell
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Seems like most everyone I know had a bad night. Weird card with a lot of decisions, random underdogs coming through.

    I told myself I was going to bang those decision props for event but stupid penetrating Fox cards start in the middle of the day. Just a bad day. I thought there was no way Perry couldn't find Jouban's chin and no way he wouldn't drop. Couldn't see da Silva losing to a BJJ guy from Europe, and I just put too much on Paige and Sage. Should have just passed or played a 0.5 unit total or something.

  21. #231
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    I told myself I was going to bang those decision props for event but stupid penetrating Fox cards start in the middle of the day. Just a bad day. I thought there was no way Perry couldn't find Jouban's chin and no way he wouldn't drop. Couldn't see da Silva losing to a BJJ guy from Europe, and I just put too much on Paige and Sage. Should have just passed or played a 0.5 unit total or something.
    My betting is built a lot on finishes so I always play em as a hedge for nights like these. They've saved me more than once.

  22. #232
    Shagdogy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shagdogy View Post
    Velickovic -150, 5 units
    Moontasri -112, 2 units
    Holtzman +155, 1 unit
    Serrano +105, 1 unit

    Good luck everyone. Go Bojan!
    Yeah so um... this went really well. Count me as one of those "bad night" people. Damn.

  23. #233
    Shagdogy
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    I'm still convinced Aliev spent his two year rehab in Russia getting regular roid injections. His smother game was especially suffocating, even if he did nothing with it. Man. Need to bounce back from this one.

  24. #234
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shagdogy View Post
    I'm still convinced Aliev spent his two year rehab in Russia getting regular roid injections. His smother game was especially suffocating, even if he did nothing with it. Man. Need to bounce back from this one.
    UFC 207 should have plenty of good spots. Keep your head up Shags. We'll get back to winning ways

  25. #235
    TPowell
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    I thought Aliev by decision was the play but thought Sage and Paige were wiser investments

  26. #236
    Ty$
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    Yup I tend to always put my eggs in 1 basket so either I'm up a lot or down the 50-100 I play per card not smart I know but fun. Hit Emmet and Gall prop threw it all on PVZ. Dumb. Lost $100.

  27. #237
    Ty$
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    UFC 207 should have plenty of good spots. Keep your head up Shags. We'll get back to winning ways
    Hope youre right.. already liking Ronda Caine and Cruz

  28. #238
    getlucky2win
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    Quote Originally Posted by getlucky2win View Post
    I'm pounding the hottie
    Tried to throw u btchz a bone

  29. #239
    Shagdogy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    UFC 207 should have plenty of good spots. Keep your head up Shags. We'll get back to winning ways
    Hope you're right... I've only recently recommitted myself to betting MMA. Used to hang around here a lot more.

    What's your money management like Hugo? If I had 15-20 unit swings I'd be going off the deep end. I try to keep 1unit = 1.5% of bankroll and even still I don't like to bet more than 10-15units per card.

    Edit: That wasn't a dig at you... just curious how you manage the units and swings overall.

  30. #240
    JIBBBY
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    Hit and miss all night, Hit Waterson straight...Also hit Gall by sub, but hedged Northcut ITD, hit Faber by decision also.. .. I was just down to big going into those last 3 main fights to make up the losses....

    I decided not to chase hard in the last 3 fight wins when I should have... Errr.. Just an off night..

    A losing card for Jibs.. Didn't get destroyed but lost... Next. ....


    Got Football today... It's a new day!!! Go Packers on the ML....
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 12-18-16 at 10:55 AM.

  31. #241
    PaperTrail07
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    Hit gall jouban and waterson. Didn't hear a chirp from Perry s buddies after lol

  32. #242
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shagdogy View Post
    Hope you're right... I've only recently recommitted myself to betting MMA. Used to hang around here a lot more.

    What's your money management like Hugo? If I had 15-20 unit swings I'd be going off the deep end. I try to keep 1unit = 1.5% of bankroll and even still I don't like to bet more than 10-15units per card.

    Edit: That wasn't a dig at you... just curious how you manage the units and swings overall.
    1u is 1% of my bankroll. I do play a lot of units per card but with prop hedging I rarely get killed even when I miss some big plays.

  33. #243
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Overall a bad night for me. Lost on Velickovic, Aldana ITD, Moontasri, Barberena, Da Silva, Faber Submission, and Northcutt. Won on Wineland KO, Hirota + Decision, and Full Card Props. Didn't cash DK this week. On to UFC 207 which should be a killer event!

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