You can bet your sweet ass im betting that round 1 prop. Thanks for caring btwOriginally Posted by Hugo de Naranja
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10-04-16 12:51 AM #421
Points Awarded:
Hugo de Naranja gave bjpenn85 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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10-04-16 07:51 AM #422
adding:
1.5 units on Vitor Belfort round 1 @ 6.5 to win - 8.5 units
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10-04-16 11:16 AM #423
Adding:
14.5 units on Stephen Thompson @ 1.60 to win - 8,7 unitsLast edited by bjpenn85; 10-04-16 at 11:20 AM.
Nomination(s):This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Hugo de Naranja
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10-04-16 11:18 AM #424
Adding:
13.3 units on Tim Kennedy @ 1.5 to win - 6.6 units
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10-04-16 11:21 AM #425
Already hedged with Woodley Round 1 (+750) 2.5u and Woodley Round 2 (+1075) 1.5u so I'll be huge on Thompson here as well. Originally Posted by bjpenn85
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10-04-16 11:30 AM #426
Nice! Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja
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10-04-16 11:31 AM #427
Adding:
1 unit on Rashad Evans to win in round 1 @ 15.50 to win - 14.5 units
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10-07-16 08:08 AM #428
Adding:
1.5 units on Entwistle round 1 @ 6.50 to win - 8.25 units
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10-07-16 11:13 AM #429
Font/Entwistle cancelled ugh. Fukking Entwistle man
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10-07-16 12:04 PM #430
not only that, whole next card gets canceled as welll
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10-09-16 11:46 AM #431
UFC 204
10 units on Gegard Mousasi, Rob Font @ 1.76 to win - 7.6 units
1.5 units on Vitor Belfort round 1 @ 6.5 to win - 8.5 units
Event result: +1.8 units
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10-10-16 12:20 PM #432
Adding:
10 units on Donald Cerrone @ 1.6 to win - 6 units
0.88 unitson Gastelum dec @ 3.74 to win back - 2.5 unitsPoints Awarded:
Hugo de Naranja gave bjpenn85 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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10-10-16 03:34 PM #433
Thoughts on the next McGregor fight? Which would surprise you more, an opener of -200 for him or even money?
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10-10-16 04:41 PM #434
Upcoming fight against eddie alvarez you mean? If yes, the odds has been out for weeks, and is currently sitting at -150. Originally Posted by Igor_1965
I think if the fight goes passed the 8 min mark, mcregor gasses, but this time, he wont catch a second wind. Alvarez has quite good takedowns as well so he probably can hold mcregor down as long as he needs. But if theres a KO i think mcregor gets it. Hes accuracy is pretty fly.
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10-10-16 06:16 PM #435
McGregor got koed yesterday in training
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10-11-16 12:19 AM #436
How did you learn this? Originally Posted by Beelzebubzy
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10-11-16 06:17 AM #437
it's a fact all over the interweb
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10-12-16 02:58 PM #438
Adding:
5 units on Cowboy Cerrone @ 1.60 to win - 3 units
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10-12-16 03:22 PM #439
UFC 205: Alvarez vs Mcregor nov 12th
15 units on Cowboy Cerrone @ 1.60 to win - 9 units
14.5 units on Stephen Thompson @ 1.60 to win - 8,7 units
13.3 units on Tim Kennedy @ 1.5 to win - 6.6 units
1 units on Rashad Evans to win in round 1 @ 15.50 to win back - 14.5 units
1.5 units on woodley tko @ 5.50 to win back - 8.25 units
1.4 units on Gastelum dec @ 3.9 to win back - 4.09 units
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11-09-16 01:29 PM #440
Final bets : UFC 205: Alvarez vs Mcregor nov 12th
22 units on Stephen Thompson @ 1.60 to win - 13.2 units
18 units on Cowboy Cerrone @ 1.62 to win - 11.1 units
2.6 units on Michael Johnson @ 3.30 to win - 5.9 units
Hedge
2 units on Gastelum dec @ 3.9 to win back - 5.8 units
0.7 units on Gastelum round 1 tko @ 12 - 8.6 units
1.5 units on Woodley TKO @ 5.50 to win back - 8.2 units
0.8 units on Woodley TKO round 1@ 10 - 7.2 units
0.5 units on Woodley TKO round 2 @ 22 - 9 units
1.6 units on Nurmagamedov dec @ 2.40 to win back - 2.4 units
Last edited by bjpenn85; 11-10-16 at 07:01 AM.
Points Awarded:
Hugo de Naranja gave bjpenn85 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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11-10-16 07:01 AM #441
Adding:
1.6 units on Nurmagamedov dec @ 2.40 to win back - 2.4 units
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11-10-16 01:09 PM #442
Wait....so your betting MJ to win the fight and hedging with Nurgamedov by decision?.....seems like that leaves a big window open for a -300 to finish the fight IMO.....
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11-10-16 06:26 PM #443
Damn BJ Penn that 22u bet on Wonderboy is ballsy and impressive.
Do you see him winning 3/4 Rounds of decision? I capped this fight.. Honest, Hard-fought decision win for Wonderboy in which he demonstrates great timing, distance and cardio. He might land something new and exciting which should help him in terms of the judging.
I could also see Twood winning via decision also.. slow boring fight where he barely gets by and wins a close decision.
3rd likely in my book is Wonderboy TKO.
Good luck!!Last edited by KushMoney; 11-10-16 at 06:37 PM.
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11-10-16 06:34 PM #444
I feel like MJ +230 is +ev and hard to pass up. Originally Posted by PaperTrail07
At the same time betting against undefeated Khabib is tricky.
There may be more value in live-betting Johnson if you feel Khabib will start out strong.. but I feel MJ will start out strong and land more early on.
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11-10-16 06:42 PM #445
Its ballsy, but im quite confident woodley wont win a dec. Its the 1.round TKOs that cripple my bankroll historically. So, in the long run hedging with 1.round prop is the way to go with big wagers. Originally Posted by KushMoney
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11-10-16 06:42 PM #446
Isnt this a smart way to play thins fight? Originally Posted by PaperTrail07
Last edited by bjpenn85; 11-11-16 at 02:31 AM.
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11-12-16 01:54 AM #447
Final bets : UFC 205: Alvarez vs Mcregor nov 12th
22 units on Stephen Thompson @ 1.60 to win - 13.2 units
2.6 units on Michael Johnson @ 3.30 to win - 5.9 units
1.5 units on Woodley TKO @ 5.50 to win back - 8.2 units
0.8 units on Woodley TKO round 1@ 10 - 7.2 units
0.5 units on Woodley TKO round 2 @ 22 - 9 units
1.6 units on Nurmagamedov dec @ 2.40 to win back - 2.4 units
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11-12-16 11:21 AM #448
I like the bets. Good luck buddy! Originally Posted by bjpenn85
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11-12-16 02:20 PM #449
And..be careful of hopeless judges today. Ny state, be aware of controversial decisions from the get go if youre thinking of live betting
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11-13-16 03:00 AM #450
Fortunately we got the Wonderboy draw. I ended up having Woodley Decision and split decision for value purposes as well as the draw prop but this fight was a complete wash for me. Really exciting one though. Wonder what odds will be for the rematch Originally Posted by bjpenn85
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11-13-16 06:34 AM #451
Originally Posted by bjpenn85
Event result: -7 units
Dodged a bullet there. In reality had Khabib round 3 prop, but as always, if not posted here, it wont count. What an event.
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11-13-16 11:59 AM #452
I was really surprised that Woodley was able to hurt WB in the 4th. I watched a lot of tape on him (even back to Strikeforce) and he was always suuuuuper gassed by the third.
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11-13-16 12:37 PM #453
Mee to. but when you go big, crazy shit happens. Fluky dec, draw. Last three big wagers i have made, 2 have ended in draw. What are the odds? This period has been so crazy. Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja
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11-13-16 12:45 PM #454
Adding:
2 units on Courtney Casey @ 4.50 to win - 7 units
1.1 unit on Gadelha dec @ 1.9 to win back - 1 unit
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11-13-16 01:03 PM #455
Didn't you bet trump to win the presidency at some point?
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