1. #386
    bjpenn85
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    Adding:

    5 units on Vincente Luque, Thiago Santos @ 1.54 to win - 2.7 units

  2. #387
    firekillex
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Adding:

    5 units on Vincente Luque, Thiago Santos @ 1.54 to win - 2.7 units
    Padding santos with a bunch of parlays , I see know way he loses this fight imo ... Way to big and strong for spicely I think this will be an ass whooping.... Add him in with a bunch of guys -300 or under to make the bets have some value imo I like your thinking BJ

  3. #388
    bjpenn85
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    Adding more:

    5 units on Vincente Luque, Thiago Santos @ 1.54 to win - 2.7 units

  4. #389
    bjpenn85
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    Final bets for UFC Fight Night 95: Cyborg vs Lansberg septh 24th

    10 units on Vincente Luque, Thiago Santos @ 1.54 to win - 5.4 units
    5 units on Thiago Santos, Cyborg/Lansberg under 1.5 rounds @ 1.56 to win - 2.8 units

  5. #390
    bjpenn85
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    Adding:

    0.35 units on Landsberg inside dist @ 11 to win - 3.3 units

    Cutting as much as 28 pounds within such a short period of time, is quite dangerous, although cyborg has drained herself before, im def a bit concerned with the under 1.5 rounds prop in my 5 unit parlay. Hopefully either girl finishes the other, quickly.

  6. #391
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Adding:

    0.35 units on Landsberg inside dist @ 11 to win - 3.3 units

    Cutting as much as 28 pounds within such a short period of time, is quite dangerous, although cyborg has drained herself before, im def a bit concerned with the under 1.5 rounds prop in my 5 unit parlay. Hopefully either girl finishes the other, quickly.
    Thought this needed to be (+30000) to have value lol. Definitely a smart hedge, given the new information about Cyborg's cut.
    Points Awarded:

    xagonzx gave Hugo de Naranja 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  7. #392
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Thought this needed to be (+30000) to have value lol. Definitely a smart hedge, given the new information about Cyborg's cut.
    It absolute bullsihit value, i agree. I just dont want to loose 5 units. My goal is to win at least 1000 dollars a week, and one loss here means that im ending up breaking even. Not on my watch, man.

  8. #393
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Sergio Pettis out of his bout with Louis Smolka.

  9. #394
    bjpenn85
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    Fackkkkkkkkk, -11000 dollar down the drain.

  10. #395
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Sergio Pettis out of his bout with Louis Smolka.
    How sure are you? Cant find any information, link?

  11. #396
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    How sure are you? Cant find any information, link?
    http://mmajunkie.com/2016/09/trainer...t-96-main-card

    http://www.sherdog.com/news/news/Duk...-Injury-111475

  12. #397
    bjpenn85
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    Hopefully they rebook the match so that i can cash that bet at the same price.

  13. #398
    bjpenn85
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    Adding:

    2.5 units on Santos/spicely under 1.5 rounds, Nelson /Bigfoot under 1.5 rounds @2.13 to win - 2.8 units

  14. #399
    bjpenn85
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    Final bets for UFC Fight Night 95: Cyborg vs Lansberg septh 24th

    10 units on Vincente Luque, Thiago Santos @ 1.54 to win - 5.4 units
    5 units on Thiago Santos, Cyborg/Lansberg under 1.5 rounds @ 1.56 to win - 2.8 units
    2.5 units on Santos/spicely under 1.5 rounds, Nelson/Bigfoot under 1.5 rounds @ 2.13 to win - 2.8 units


  15. #400
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Final bets for UFC Fight Night 95: Cyborg vs Lansberg septh 24th

    10 units on Vincente Luque, Thiago Santos @ 1.54 to win - 5.4 units
    5 units on Thiago Santos, Cyborg/Lansberg under 1.5 rounds @ 1.56 to win - 2.8 units
    2.5 units on Santos/spicely under 1.5 rounds, Nelson/Bigfoot under 1.5 rounds @ 2.13 to win - 2.8 units
    Event result: -17.5 units.

    Absolutely unlucky in this one. Thiago Santos buried me. But this shit happens in MMA. You cant really know who fighters who just going to take a dive although having such a good stylistic matchup. In reality this loss was way less due to spicely inside and santos round 2 hedges, but i obviously document was posted here. I dont really feel like a made a huge mistake, this just is a good reminder that although youre trying to be as safe as possible, you cant really be safe in mma betting. You go on a long win streaks and eventually the upset happens regardless of how good the stylistic matchup is, the athletic gap etc etc...everyone still can loose a fight, always.
    Points Awarded:

    Hugo de Naranja gave bjpenn85 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  16. #401
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Event result: -17.5 units.

    Absolutely unlucky in this one. Thiago Santos buried me. But this shit happens in MMA. You cant really know who fighters who just going to take a dive although having such a good stylistic matchup. In reality this loss was way less due to spicely inside and santos round 2 hedges, but i obviously document was posted here. I dont really feel like a made a huge mistake, this just is a good reminder that although youre trying to be as safe as possible, you cant really be safe in mma betting. You go on a long win streaks and eventually the upset happens regardless of how good the stylistic matchup is, the athletic gap etc etc...everyone still can loose a fight, always.
    Keep your head up bud. You'll get 'em next time.

  17. #402
    latarianmilton
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    I remember Santos coach saying he got way too nervous in his fight vs Mousassi, which is what happened here too, he was very stiff and rushing, totally different than vs Marquardt.

  18. #403
    bjpenn85
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    Adding:

    UFC FIGHT NIGHT 96: LINKER VS DODSON oct 1st

    Curtis Blades 10 units @ 1.50 to win - 5 units

  19. #404
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Adding:

    UFC FIGHT NIGHT 96: LINKER VS DODSON oct 1st

    Curtis Blades 10 units @ 1.50 to win - 5 units
    Buying out some of the Blades here.

  20. #405
    bjpenn85
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    Adding:

    7.5 units on Hacran dias @ 1.57 to win - 4.2 units

  21. #406
    bjpenn85
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    Adding:

    10 units on Nakamura @ 1.7 to win - 7 units

  22. #407
    bjpenn85
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    UFC FIGHT NIGHT 96: LINKER VS DODSON oct 1st

    10 units on Nakamura @ 1.7 to win - 7 units
    7.5 units on Hacran dias @ 1.57 to win - 4.2 units
    6 units @ 1.50 to win - 3 units











  23. #408
    bjpenn85
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    Adding:


    9 units on Louis Smolka inside distance @ 1.69/1.58/1.52/1.47 to win - 5 units

    Crazy restrictions here. Just awful. Cant put more than 200 dollars before line moves. Im so black listed its no fun.

  24. #409
    bjpenn85
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    Final bets: UFC FIGHT NIGHT 96: LINKER VS DODSON oct 1st

    10 units on Nakamura @ 1.7 to win - 7 units
    9 units on Louis Smolka inside distance @ 1.69/1.58/1.52/1.47 to win - 5 units
    7.5 units on Hacran dias @ 1.57 to win - 4.2 units
    6 units on Curtis Blaydes @ 1.50 to win - 3 units

    Last edited by bjpenn85; 09-28-16 at 04:24 PM.

  25. #410
    bjpenn85
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    Adding:

    3.5 units on Tim Kennedy @ 1.50 to win - 1.7 units

  26. #411
    bjpenn85
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    Adding hedge:

    0.6 units on Dos Santos tko @ 5.80 to win back - 3.1 unit

  27. #412
    bjpenn85
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    Final bets: UFC FIGHT NIGHT 96: LINKER VS DODSON oct 1st

    10 units on Nakamura @ 1.7 to win - 7 units
    9 units on Louis Smolka inside distance @ 1.69/1.58/1.52/1.47 to win - 5 units
    7.5 units on Hacran dias @ 1.57 to win - 4.2 units
    6 units on Curtis Blaydes @ 1.50 to win - 3 units
    0.6 units on Dos Santos tko @ 5.80 to win back - 3.1 unit




  28. #413
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Final bets: UFC FIGHT NIGHT 96: LINKER VS DODSON oct 1st

    10 units on Nakamura @ 1.7 to win - 7 units
    9 units on Louis Smolka inside distance @ 1.69/1.58/1.52/1.47 to win - 5 units
    7.5 units on Hacran dias @ 1.57 to win - 4.2 units
    6 units on Curtis Blaydes @ 1.50 to win - 3 units
    0.6 units on Dos Santos tko @ 5.80 to win back - 3.1 unit



    Event result: -24 units. I need to reconsider my strategy. Its bad luck in combo with faulty strategy.

  29. #414
    Beelzebubzy
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    Looks like someone maybe moving to the Beast soon.

  30. #415
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beelzebubzy View Post
    Looks like someone maybe moving to the Beast soon.
    Unsure of the meaning of that sentence. What goes for the result, i need to implement round 1 props for larger bet. Ill probably bounce back within a month time or month and a half.

  31. #416
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Unsure of the meaning of that sentence. What goes for the result, i need to implement round 1 props for larger bet. Ill probably bounce back within a month time or month and a half.
    Prop hedging is the way to go!

  32. #417
    bjpenn85
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    Adding:

    10 units on Gegard Mousasi, Rob Font @ 1.76 to win - 7.6 units

  33. #418
    TheCalculator
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    Quote Originally Posted by beelzebubzy View Post
    looks like someone maybe moving to the beast soon.
    o beast alert!

  34. #419
    Beelzebubzy
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Unsure of the meaning of that sentence. What goes for the result, i need to implement round 1 props for larger bet. Ill probably bounce back within a month time or month and a half.
    Go to twitter homie. Don't be scared.

  35. #420
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Adding:

    10 units on Gegard Mousasi, Rob Font @ 1.76 to win - 7.6 units
    I like the bet but both opponents are live in R1 which is something to consider.

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