1. #1
    Sanity Check
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    Bellator 157 (June 24th 2016)


  2. #2
    JIBBBY
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    Fun card ^^^

  3. #3
    Mxs1332
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    Sweet card bra

  4. #4
    getlucky2win
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    Where the lines at??? Wish Joey would open a few. Don't b scared homie

  5. #5
    Sanity Check
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    Lines out.



    Can't edit my original post for whatever reason.

  6. #6
    JIBBBY
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    Liking the favorites.. Considering Patricky as a dog play though.. Chandler probably out works him though..


    Bellator 157 - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - Scottrade Center - St. Louis, Missouri - Spike
    Fri 6/24 3001 Satoshi Ishii +300 o1½ -210
    10:30PM 3002 Quinton Jackson -420 u1½ +160
    Bellator 157 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Scottrade Center - St. Louis, Missouri - Spike
    Fri 6/24 3101 Patricky Freire +180 o2½ -175
    10:00PM 3102 Michael Chandler -260 u2½ +135
    Bellator 157 - Heavyweight 3 rounds - Scottrade Center - St. Louis, Missouri - Spike
    Fri 6/24 3201 Carl Seumanutafa +300 o1½ +160
    9:30PM 3202 Matt Mitrione -420 u1½ -210
    Bellator 157 - Flyweight 3 rounds - Scottrade Center - St. Louis, Missouri - Spike
    Fri 6/24 3301 Rebecca Ruth -135 o2½ -260
    9:00PM 3302 Ilima MacFarlane -105 u2½ +180

  7. #7
    JIBBBY
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    Weigh in vids.. Gotta see what Rampage looks like.. He hasn't fought in ages..

  8. #8
    JIBBBY
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    Write up.. Decent preview... Combatpress below (copy and paste)

    http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2016/6/23/11989918/bellator-157-dynamite-2-preview-rampage-vs-ishii-matt-mitrione-lightweight-title-fight




    215-pound Catchweight: Quinton “Rampage” Jackson (36-11) vs. Satoshi Ishii (14-5-1)


    After a long back-and-forth contract dispute, Rampage returns to the Bellator cage for his first fight in more than a year. Instead of a light-heavyweight affair, he takes on Ishii above his normal weight class at a 215-pound catchweight.


    Luckily for Jackson, Ishii isn’t a big heavyweight. That should be beneficial to Rampage, especially considering Ishii’s background in judo. Ishii could potentially overpower Jackson in the clinch with throws and trips if he had the size advantage, but he is actually giving up some size to the former UFC light heavyweight champion.

    Jackson is going to want to avoid the clinch and keep Ishii off of his judo game. Rampage isn’t particularly enthused when fights hit the ground. In recent fights, he has tended to fade on the ground. Jackson is a fan’s fighter and his aim is to always put on a show for the crowd with his striking skills. He tends to try to overpower his opponent with his hands. If this fight stays on the feet, Rampage should have little trouble against Ishii. This isn’t Ishii’s first high-profile opponent, either. Ishii has fought some of the better names in Pride history, including Mirko “Cro Cop” Filipovic and Fedor Emelianenko. Jackson is just another Pride veteran for Ishii to attempt to overcome, but it should be pointed out that Ishii is a combined 0-3 against Cro Cop and Emelianenko.
    Rampage’s return fight to Bellator should go in his favor. He is on a decline late in his career, but it isn’t a steep decline — he has rattled off four straight victories over some good names in Bellator and the UFC. Jackson gets his first knockout in just over two years when he drops Ishii for the win.

    LW Championship: Michael Chandler (14-3) vs. Patricky “Pitbull” Freire (16-7)

    This fight is more deserving of headlining status than the Rampage-Ishii showdown. That’s how good of a fight this will be — albeit possibly a very short fight. Former lightweight champion Will Brooks left Bellator for the UFC and, in doing so, created a vacuum at the top of the Bellator lightweight division. Chandler and Freire are here to fill that void.

    These two have fought previously, with Chandler getting the decision nod. However, that fight was a little over five years ago. A lot can change in five years, and their previous encounter now seems irrelevant. Both fighters have progressed tremendously since that Bellator 44 showdown.


    Chandler has fought hard to get the belt back after losing it to Eddie Alvarez. The promotion has tried to set him up perfectly a couple of times, but he was unable to crack the Brooks riddle either in their interim title fight at Bellator 120 or their contest for the vacant undisputed strap at Bellator 131.


    Chandler is a tough wrestler who will look for the takedown often. He does have some power in his hands and good striking to allow him to create openings for his wrestling. This blend of weapons has kept him at the top of the lightweight division in Bellator for so long despite it being one of the deeper divisions on the roster.

    Freire is a striker with a strong background in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. His ground game is no joke, but Pitbull prefers to knock his opponents out rather than submitting them. He is another fighter with dynamite for fists. Instead of making his fights into technical striking battles, though, Freire tends to draw fights out into brawls, which have proven to be his downfall previously against, for example, the aforementioned Alvarez. Pitbull’s striking has become crisper in more recent fights, but he always has the possibility to rely on that tendency to make fights dirty and overpower his opponents with strikes.

    If Freire tries to duke it out with Chandler, Chandler will put him on his back. Freire’s best chance comes in keeping this fight level on the feet and working to land the knockout blow on Chandler. Chandler has a tough chin, though. He’s only been knocked out once — by Brooks — on the feet. Chandler’s three losses came against stiff competition and, other than the losses to Alvarez and Brooks, he has been rather dominant in the lightweight division.


    Chandler goes up 2-0 on Freire with a victory in this fight. He’ll use his wrestling to put Freire on his back and use his boxing to create opportunities.



    HW: Matt Mitrione (9-5) vs. Carl Seumanutafa (10-6)


    After leaving the UFC for a more attractive deal with Bellator, Mitrione makes his promotional debut against Carl Seumanutafa.

    The biggest chance for either fighter to win this fight comes in the form of a knockout. Seumanutafa has won all but one of his fights by strikes. He is a huge underdog against Mitrione, a solid heavyweight during his time on the UFC roster.


    Mitrione has an advantage in every department in this fight. He is on a two-fight skid, but that came against rising UFC heavyweight contenders Travis Browne and Ben Rothwell. Those losses were both finishes, but the Browne fight could arguably have been changed drastically due to eye pokes.


    Mitrione will use his experience and skill advantage to win this fight on the feet. He will look to grind out Seumanutafa and land the knockout blow early in the fight. Mitrione will celebrate his entry into Bellator with a second-round knockout victory.



    Women’s FlyW: Ilima-Lei Macfarlane (3-0) vs. Rebecca Ruth (6-1)


    Rebecca Ruth shocked the world in an upset victory over Lena Ovchynnikova. Her reward? Another fight as an underdog, this time against Ilima-Lei Macfarlane.

    Ruth fought a flawless game plan against Ovchynnikova, utilizing her ground game to neutralize Ovchynnikova. Ruth knew her opponent’s strength was on the feet, so she grounded her opponent. It was a highly impressive performance. Ruth should look to build on it in her fight against Macfarlane.


    Macfarlane’s best chance will be on the feet while keeping Ruth at a distance. Macfarlane does have a ground game — she was able to make quick work of Amber Tackett with a first-round submission — and has also made strides in her striking from her Bellator debut against Maria Rios to the fight against Tackett.


    Macfarlane has been on the rise in her first couple of fights in Bellator. She should continue to see her stock go up here against Ruth. Ruth’s wrestling will be an excellent test to see just where Macfarlane is at in her fourth professional fight.



    Preliminary Predictions

    Fight Prediction
    FW: Justin Lawrence (8-3) vs. Isao Kobayashi (18-3-4) Lawrence by unanimous decision
    WW: Chris Heatherly (9-3) vs. Joaquin Buckley (5-0) Heatherley by unanimous decision
    WW: Kevin Engel (5-0) vs. Chel Erwin-Davis (3-1) Engel by second-round knockout
    BW: Jordan Howard (9-3) vs. Justin Robbins (14-17-1) Howard by unanimous decision
    MW: Jason Christeson (1-0) vs. Jarrod Thomas (0-0) Christeson by second-round knockout
    HW: Lee Burns (2-0) vs. Byron Stevens (0-0) Burns by first-round knockout
    WW: Rashard Lovelace (3-0) vs. Garrett Mueller (2-1) Lovelace by first-round knockout
    StrawW: Ashley Cummins (3-3) vs. Nicole Smith (1-0) Cummins by unanimous decision
    WW: Jordan Dowdy (3-1) vs. Guilherme Vasconcelos (7-3) Dowdy by unanimous decision

    Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-23-16 at 03:17 PM.
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  9. #9
    JIBBBY
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    Taking a stab at the Rampage/Ish under at +160.. I'll gamble on that as this fight could end in a hurry.. Liking the + odds...

    It would be great for Bellator promotions if Rampage got the early KO, I'm sure he'll go after it if he doesn't get taken down and grinded on first..

    No props out yet, will be looking at the Rampage KO prop if and when that comes out as well...

    $100.00 $160.00 Pending 6/24/16 10:30pm Bellator Fighting 3001 Satoshi Ishii/Quinton Jackson Under 1½ +160*
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-23-16 at 03:15 PM.

  10. #10
    Killer_Demo
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    Will be at least 2 robbery decisions, bellator always has fukked decisions every card. Ask Melvin Manhoef

  11. #11
    Ultimatemeatball
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Taking a stab at the Rampage/Ish under at +160.. I'll gamble on that as this fight could end in a hurry.. Liking the + odds...

    It would be great for Bellator promotions if Rampage got the early KO, I'm sure he'll go after it if he doesn't get taken down and grinded on first..

    No props out yet, will be looking at the Rampage KO prop if and when that comes out as well...

    $100.00 $160.00 Pending 6/24/16 10:30pm Bellator Fighting 3001 Satoshi Ishii/Quinton Jackson Under 1½ +160*
    That looks solid. I like it!

  12. #12
    Thrilla
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  13. #13
    mirinquads
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    Surprised Chandler is that cheap

  14. #14
    JIBBBY
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    No props out for this event .. Forced to parlay up the favorites now instead..

  15. #15
    Hugo de Naranja
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    I think Macfarlane (+140) and to a lesser extent Seumenutafa (+400) are live. Mitrione has advantages everywhere but fighters debuting in other organizations often struggle and I'm hesitant to lay (-450) on pretty much any HW.

  16. #16
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by mirinquads View Post
    Surprised Chandler is that cheap
    He should win this handily.

  17. #17
    Snowball
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    I like Rebecca Ruth's chances, she appears to be the stronger woman on the inside..

    anyone else thing Ishii can beat Jackson ? If he survives the initial onslaught
    he could win on submission.

  18. #18
    xagonzx
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    No props out for this event .. Forced to parlay up the favorites now instead..
    Bovada has some basic props JIBBBY

  19. #19
    JIBBBY
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    Well this is how I'm playing this event.. See what sticks with this below????

    I hate betting on favorites like this but trying it anyways.. The favorites should all land on the main card but with MMA you never know???.. Not super confident on any of these bets but rolling with it..

    I do think Meat Head and Rampage should win though.. Outside chance Chandler could get dropped but he should grind out Patricky with his wrestling advantage to victory... Chandler has a pretty good chin and has improved standing since their first match up.. All indicators point to Chandler winning this..

    Rebecca Ruth sets a high pace, pushes forward and should be the stronger fighter from what I'm told and am reading. Good enough to try based on that.. She probably wins every round on points to a UD..


    $255.00 $100.00 Pending 6/24/16 10:00pm Bellator Fighting 3102 Michael Chandler -255* vs Patricky Freire

    $300.00 $148.20 Pending 2 Team Parlay
    Pending 6/24/16 10:30pm Bellator Fighting 3002 Quinton Jackson -440* vs Satoshi Ishii
    Pending 6/24/16 9:30pm Bellator Fighting 3202 Matt Mitrione -460* vs Carl Seumanutafa

    $140.00 $100.00 Pending 6/24/16 9:00pm Bellator Fighting 3301 Rebecca Ruth -140* vs Ilima MacFarlane


    $100.00 $160.00 Pending 6/24/16 10:30pm Bellator Fighting 3001 Satoshi Ishii/Quinton Jackson Under 1½ +160*

  20. #20
    JIBBBY
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    Legacy is up on the board tonight as well if anyone is interested..

    Legacy FC 56 - Bantamweight 5 rounds - The Bomb Factory - Dallas, Texas - AXS
    Fri 6/24 4001 Steven Peterson +140
    10:00PM 4002 Manny Vazquez -180

  21. #21
    Ty$
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Well this is how I'm playing this event.. See what sticks with this below????

    I hate betting on favorites like this but trying it anyways.. The favorites should all land on the main card but with MMA you never know???.. Not super confident on any of these bets but rolling with it..

    I do think Meat Head and Rampage should win though.. Outside chance Chandler could get dropped but he should grind out Patricky with his wrestling advantage to victory... Chandler has a pretty good chin and has improved standing since their first match up.. All indicators point to Chandler winning this..

    Rebecca Ruth sets a high pace, pushes forward and should be the stronger fighter from what I'm told and am reading. Good enough to try based on that.. She probably wins every round on points to a UD..


    $255.00 $100.00 Pending 6/24/16 10:00pm Bellator Fighting 3102 Michael Chandler -255* vs Patricky Freire

    $300.00 $148.20 Pending 2 Team Parlay
    Pending 6/24/16 10:30pm Bellator Fighting 3002 Quinton Jackson -440* vs Satoshi Ishii
    Pending 6/24/16 9:30pm Bellator Fighting 3202 Matt Mitrione -460* vs Carl Seumanutafa

    $140.00 $100.00 Pending 6/24/16 9:00pm Bellator Fighting 3301 Rebecca Ruth -140* vs Ilima MacFarlane


    $100.00 $160.00 Pending 6/24/16 10:30pm Bellator Fighting 3001 Satoshi Ishii/Quinton Jackson Under 1½ +160*
    I might try a prop parlay or 2... Mitrione n rampage both ITD or rampage by dec n Matt Itd

  22. #22
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ty$ View Post
    I might try a prop parlay or 2... Mitrione n rampage both ITD or rampage by dec n Matt Itd
    Oh snap!! Props popped up on 5dimes now.. Alrighty then, thanks Ty for pointing that out


    I'm on the highlighted plays as well below with these props..

    Satoshi Ishii vs Quinton Jackson - Heavyweight 3 rounds - Bellator 157
    Fri 6/24 3003 Ishii / Jackson goes 3 round distance +120
    10:30PM 3004 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -160
    Fri 6/24 3005 Ishii wins inside distance +1165
    10:30PM 3006 Not Ishii inside distance -2495
    Fri 6/24 3007 Ishii wins by 3 round decision +400
    10:30PM 3008 Not Ishii by 3 round decision -600
    Fri 6/24 3009 Jackson wins inside distance -141
    10:30PM 3010 Not Jackson inside distance +101
    Fri 6/24 3011 Jackson wins by 3 round decision +235
    10:30PM 3012 Not Jackson by 3 round decision -315
    Fri 6/24 3013 Ishii / Jackson draw +20000
    10:30PM 3014 Fight not a draw -60000
    Patricky Freire vs Michael Chandler - Lightweight 3 rounds - Bellator 157
    Fri 6/24 3103 Freire / Chandler goes 3 round distance -150
    10:00PM 3104 Fight won’t go 3 round distance +110
    Fri 6/24 3105 Freire wins inside distance +295
    10:00PM 3106 Not Freire inside distance -415
    Fri 6/24 3107 Freire wins by 3 round decision +700
    10:00PM 3108 Not Freire by 3 round decision -1500
    Fri 6/24 3109 Chandler wins inside distance +270
    10:00PM 3110 Not Chandler inside distance -390
    Fri 6/24 3111 Chandler wins by 3 round decision -115
    10:00PM 3112 Not Chandler by 3 round decision -125
    Fri 6/24 3113 Freire / Chandler draw +16000
    10:00PM 3114 Fight not a draw -48000
    Carl Seumanutafa vs Matt Mitrione - Heavyweight 3 rounds - Bellator 157
    Fri 6/24 3203 Seumanutafa / Mitrione goes 3 round dist +450
    9:30PM 3204 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -750
    Fri 6/24 3205 Seumanutafa wins inside distance +465
    9:30PM 3206 Not Seumanutafa inside distance -795
    Fri 6/24 3207 Seumanutafa wins by 3 round decision +1125
    9:30PM 3208 Not Seumanutafa by 3 round decision -2375
    Fri 6/24 3209 Mitrione wins inside distance -297
    9:30PM 3210 Not Mitrione inside distance +217
    Fri 6/24 3211 Mitrione wins by 3 round decision +674
    9:30PM 3212 Not Mitrione by 3 round decision -1420
    Fri 6/24 3213 Seumanutafa / Mitrione draw +30000
    9:30PM 3214 Fight not a draw -90000
    Rebecca Ruth vs Ilima McFarlane - Flyweight 3 rounds - Bellator 157
    Fri 6/24 3303 Ruth / MacFarlane goes 3 round distance -220
    9:00PM 3304 Fight won’t go 3 round distance +166
    Fri 6/24 3305 Ruth wins inside distance +250
    9:00PM 3306 Not Ruth inside distance -350
    Fri 6/24 3307 Ruth wins by 3 round decision +118
    9:00PM 3308 Not Ruth by 3 round decision -158
    Fri 6/24 3309 MacFarlane wins inside distance +410
    9:00PM 3310 Not MacFarlane inside distance -620
    Fri 6/24 3311 MacFarlane wins by 3 round decision +264
    9:00PM 3312 Not MacFarlane by 3 round decision -384
    Fri 6/24 3313 Ruth / MacFarlane draw +15000
    9:00PM 3314 Fight not a draw -45000

  23. #23
    Ty$
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Oh snap!! Props popped up on 5dimes now.. Alrighty then, thanks Ty for pointing that out


    I'm on the highlighted plays as well below with these props..

    Satoshi Ishii vs Quinton Jackson - Heavyweight 3 rounds - Bellator 157
    Fri 6/24 3003 Ishii / Jackson goes 3 round distance +120
    10:30PM 3004 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -160
    Fri 6/24 3005 Ishii wins inside distance +1165
    10:30PM 3006 Not Ishii inside distance -2495
    Fri 6/24 3007 Ishii wins by 3 round decision +400
    10:30PM 3008 Not Ishii by 3 round decision -600
    Fri 6/24 3009 Jackson wins inside distance -141
    10:30PM 3010 Not Jackson inside distance +101
    Fri 6/24 3011 Jackson wins by 3 round decision +235
    10:30PM 3012 Not Jackson by 3 round decision -315
    Fri 6/24 3013 Ishii / Jackson draw +20000
    10:30PM 3014 Fight not a draw -60000
    Patricky Freire vs Michael Chandler - Lightweight 3 rounds - Bellator 157
    Fri 6/24 3103 Freire / Chandler goes 3 round distance -150
    10:00PM 3104 Fight won’t go 3 round distance +110
    Fri 6/24 3105 Freire wins inside distance +295
    10:00PM 3106 Not Freire inside distance -415
    Fri 6/24 3107 Freire wins by 3 round decision +700
    10:00PM 3108 Not Freire by 3 round decision -1500
    Fri 6/24 3109 Chandler wins inside distance +270
    10:00PM 3110 Not Chandler inside distance -390
    Fri 6/24 3111 Chandler wins by 3 round decision -115
    10:00PM 3112 Not Chandler by 3 round decision -125
    Fri 6/24 3113 Freire / Chandler draw +16000
    10:00PM 3114 Fight not a draw -48000
    Carl Seumanutafa vs Matt Mitrione - Heavyweight 3 rounds - Bellator 157
    Fri 6/24 3203 Seumanutafa / Mitrione goes 3 round dist +450
    9:30PM 3204 Fight won’t go 3 round distance -750
    Fri 6/24 3205 Seumanutafa wins inside distance +465
    9:30PM 3206 Not Seumanutafa inside distance -795
    Fri 6/24 3207 Seumanutafa wins by 3 round decision +1125
    9:30PM 3208 Not Seumanutafa by 3 round decision -2375
    Fri 6/24 3209 Mitrione wins inside distance -297
    9:30PM 3210 Not Mitrione inside distance +217
    Fri 6/24 3211 Mitrione wins by 3 round decision +674
    9:30PM 3212 Not Mitrione by 3 round decision -1420
    Fri 6/24 3213 Seumanutafa / Mitrione draw +30000
    9:30PM 3214 Fight not a draw -90000
    Rebecca Ruth vs Ilima McFarlane - Flyweight 3 rounds - Bellator 157
    Fri 6/24 3303 Ruth / MacFarlane goes 3 round distance -220
    9:00PM 3304 Fight won’t go 3 round distance +166
    Fri 6/24 3305 Ruth wins inside distance +250
    9:00PM 3306 Not Ruth inside distance -350
    Fri 6/24 3307 Ruth wins by 3 round decision +118
    9:00PM 3308 Not Ruth by 3 round decision -158
    Fri 6/24 3309 MacFarlane wins inside distance +410
    9:00PM 3310 Not MacFarlane inside distance -620
    Fri 6/24 3311 MacFarlane wins by 3 round decision +264
    9:00PM 3312 Not MacFarlane by 3 round decision -384
    Fri 6/24 3313 Ruth / MacFarlane draw +15000
    9:00PM 3314 Fight not a draw -45000
    I don't know anything about Ruth?! Any info jibstrr?

  24. #24
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ty$ View Post
    I don't know anything about Ruth?! Any info jibstrr?
    No not really.. I don't follow chicks very closely..

    From what I'm reading she's got a strong ground game.. She's fighting an up and coming prospect that might give her trouble standing at times.. The word is Ruth is very strong and should get the best in the clinch and on the ground in this fight.. She's a pressure fighter..

    That's all I got.. I watched no film with these chicks, just going off reads, records and strengths..

  25. #25
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by mirinquads View Post
    Surprised Chandler is that cheap
    Miri what's your take on leaving the EU? Brits got smart and voted to go it on their own.. I think it's a smart move.. I hope Americans follow that lead and vote in Trump as it's a similar picture....

    BREXIT ... I like this move for you guys.. Stock market is taking a beating over here but it will adjust after things settle down..

  26. #26
    Ty$
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    I think Mitrione and Rampage easily win ITD ... Chandlers fight could go 5 or he could finish... No strainght bets all props or parlays on those predictions.

  27. #27
    Ty$
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    I stayed away from the females

  28. #28
    Ty$
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    Also parlayed rampage/Mitrione by dec $5/$154 as a weird hedge

  29. #29
    Unwritten Law
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    Got Mitrione to start this card. Lets get it early!
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  30. #30
    Killer_Demo
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    Meathead got tagged
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  31. #31
    Unwritten Law
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    Wow, Mitrione got caught and was out, could've been stopped right there....

  32. #32
    Unwritten Law
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    Fortunately, this is the position Mitrione needs to recover and will be crazy if he gets the win in a comeback. WOW!!!

  33. #33
    Killer_Demo
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    Lol good job meathead

  34. #34
    Unwritten Law
    Unwritten Law's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-31-13
    Posts: 2,532
    Betpoints: -1617

    Big John saved Meathead, similar to the Fedor fight.

  35. #35
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,069
    Betpoints: 11839

    I'm delayed.. Wow Meat Head was in trouble.. Came back strong.. Chalk it up with a win

    Meat Head took a shot though.. I thought it was over...

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