[PaperTrail07]

I have to admit-----It is hard to bet against Maia.....BUT you also have to realize the only people the beat Brown recently are Lawler and Hendrix....I just love how he wins....

Win	20–13	Tim Means	Submission (guillotine choke)	UFC 189	000000002015-07-11-0000July 11, 2015	1	4:44	Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Loss	19–13	Johny Hendricks	Decision (unanimous)	UFC 185	000000002015-03-14-0000March 14, 2015	3	5:00	Dallas, Texas, United States
Loss	19–12	Robbie Lawler	Decision (unanimous)	UFC on Fox: Lawler vs. Brown	000000002014-07-26-0000July 26, 2014	5	5:00	San Jose, California, United States	UFC Welterweight title eliminator. Fight of the Night. Brown missed weight (172.5 lbs).
Win	19–11	Erick Silva	TKO (punches)	UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Silva	000000002014-05-10-0000May 10, 2014	3	2:11	Cincinnati, Ohio, United States	Performance of the Night. Fight of the Night.
Win	18–11	Mike Pyle	KO (punches)	UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Sonnen	000000002013-08-17-0000August 17, 2013	1	0:29	Boston, Massachusetts, United States	Knockout of the Night.
Win	17–11	Jordan Mein	TKO (elbows)	UFC on Fox: Henderson vs. Melendez	000000002013-04-20-0000April 20, 2013	2	1:00	San Jose, California, United States	Fight of the Night.
Win	16–11	Mike Swick	KO (punches)	UFC on Fox: Henderson vs. Diaz	000000002012-12-08-0000December 8, 2012	2	2:31	Seattle, Washington, United States
Win	15–11	Luis Ramos	TKO (knees and punches)	UFC on FX: Maynard vs. Guida	000000002012-06-22-0000June 22, 2012	2	4:20	Atlantic City, New Jersey, United States
Win	14–11	Stephen Thompson	Decision (unanimous)	UFC 145	000000002012-04-21-0000April 21, 2012	3	5:00	Atlanta, Georgia, United States
Win	13–11	Chris Cope	TKO (punches)

Maia has proven to not be a good guy to bet against. +260 isnt worthy if he loses. These niggas dont understand....

[PaperTrail07]

I just expect a WILD fight....he is on a tear though...mostly be decision...

[LBfightlife]

When he loses his bankroll on an event

I don't see how he could have lost so much? He was big on Jones and DJ.. Really big,. I know he came up on that, how much did he go in on Pettis?

[bjpenn85]

I have to admit-----It is hard to bet against Maia.....BUT you also have to realize the only people the beat Brown recently are Lawler and Hendrix....I just love how he wins....

Win	20–13	Tim Means	Submission (guillotine choke)	UFC 189	000000002015-07-11-0000July 11, 2015	1	4:44	Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Loss	19–13	Johny Hendricks	Decision (unanimous)	UFC 185	000000002015-03-14-0000March 14, 2015	3	5:00	Dallas, Texas, United States
Loss	19–12	Robbie Lawler	Decision (unanimous)	UFC on Fox: Lawler vs. Brown	000000002014-07-26-0000July 26, 2014	5	5:00	San Jose, California, United States	UFC Welterweight title eliminator. Fight of the Night. Brown missed weight (172.5 lbs).
Win	19–11	Erick Silva	TKO (punches)	UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Silva	000000002014-05-10-0000May 10, 2014	3	2:11	Cincinnati, Ohio, United States	Performance of the Night. Fight of the Night.
Win	18–11	Mike Pyle	KO (punches)	UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Sonnen	000000002013-08-17-0000August 17, 2013	1	0:29	Boston, Massachusetts, United States	Knockout of the Night.
Win	17–11	Jordan Mein	TKO (elbows)	UFC on Fox: Henderson vs. Melendez	000000002013-04-20-0000April 20, 2013	2	1:00	San Jose, California, United States	Fight of the Night.
Win	16–11	Mike Swick	KO (punches)	UFC on Fox: Henderson vs. Diaz	000000002012-12-08-0000December 8, 2012	2	2:31	Seattle, Washington, United States
Win	15–11	Luis Ramos	TKO (knees and punches)	UFC on FX: Maynard vs. Guida	000000002012-06-22-0000June 22, 2012	2	4:20	Atlantic City, New Jersey, United States
Win	14–11	Stephen Thompson	Decision (unanimous)	UFC 145	000000002012-04-21-0000April 21, 2012	3	5:00	Atlanta, Georgia, United States
Win	13–11	Chris Cope	TKO (punches)

Problem is that Maia took down Laflare (which is a better wrestler than Brown). He obviously was williing to grapple with maia, which was a hopeless gameplan but Maia is only 2 takedowns away from victory in this fight, its to easy for him ending up as a winner. You have to pick your battles, and this isnt the fight on the card youre willing to do so. Its just not worth it. Last time you got maia at -120 or something? That was the correct price to take advantage, now its a dog or pass it situation, but youre kind of on the right side if youre playing. If brown comes in with a gameplan that completely and utterly disengage every clinch you have shot, but Browns mentality is not like that. He is a brawler by heart, which plays right into Maias gameplan of taking him down. Browns forward pressure may end up being his downfall, and he is waaaayy to stupid to understand. Dont expect him to solve this puzzle. Maia is a calculating brain, expect him to win by larger intellectual capacity. You can thank me later.

[DeathAdder]

Only way Maia loses is by exhaustion. He submits Matty quite easily imo

[JIBBBY]

Only way Maia loses is by exhaustion. He submits Matty quite easily imo

Yep Matty is an aggressive tall fighter whom never really had the greatest TD defense either in his MMA career.. He excels against strikers willing to stand and bang it out with him..

Maia should be able to take down Matt Brown very easily and the fight should be over if he can keep him down.. I'm sure Matty has a better gas tank the aging Maia but I don't think it will matter.... Besides, Maia has gone to decision in 6 of his last 7 fights and 2 of those were 5 rounders... This is only a 3 rounder..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Demian-Maia-14637

Still loving Maia by Submission or by decision in this one.. DM's trip take downs, singles and ground control should be the difference in this fight..

1231 Maia wins by submission

+150

1211 Maia wins by 3 round decision

+214

Hard to bet Maia straight at those current -260 odds though

UFC 198 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Arena da Baixada - Curitiba, Brazil - PPV
Sat 5/14		1501 Matt Brown		+220	o1½ -170
9:30PM		1502 Demian Maia		-260	u1½ +150

[UncleChael]

He's not even going to get the takedown and then he's going to get elbow to death.

[Killer_Demo]

What happened to josh?

[CaptChaos145]

He's not even going to get the takedown and then he's going to get elbow to death.

Maia has taken down every WW and some MW's. His TD's are impressive. Brown gets taken down and he doesn't have that 1 punch ko power. He wears in you.

This fight is tailor made for Maia.

[GunShard]

What happened to josh?

He rage quit.

[Beelzebubzy]

What happened to josh?

Hit him up on Twitter

[getlucky2win]

What happened to josh?

He is in a better place now

[JIBBBY]

He is in a better place now

Ruthless if you're referring to the dead quote, traitor if you're not getlucky..

[JIBBBY]

What happened to josh?

He got run over by a bigger dog.. THE MODERATOR.. He got out of line just a little bit with his posts..

[TheCalculator]

Josh left the wasteland for better pastures.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Yep Matty is an aggressive tall fighter whom never really had the greatest TD defense either in his MMA career.. He excels against strikers willing to stand and bang it out with him..

Maia should be able to take down Matt Brown very easily and the fight should be over if he can keep him down.. I'm sure Matty has a better gas tank the aging Maia but I don't think it will matter.... Besides, Maia has gone to decision in 6 of his last 7 fights and 2 of those were 5 rounders... This is only a 3 rounder..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Demian-Maia-14637

Still loving Maia by Submission or by decision in this one.. DM's trip take downs, singles and ground control should be the difference in this fight..

1231 Maia wins by submission

+150

1211 Maia wins by 3 round decision

+214

Hard to bet Maia straight at those current -260 odds though

UFC 198 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Arena da Baixada - Curitiba, Brazil - PPV
Sat 5/14		1501 Matt Brown		+220	o1½ -170
9:30PM		1502 Demian Maia		-260	u1½ +150

I think the sub bet is great here since Brown has a bunch of losses by sub and Maia is a beast on the ground.

[JIBBBY]

I think the sub bet is great here since Brown has a bunch of losses by sub and Maia is a beast on the ground.

I agree.. Maia by sub makes the most sense..

I'm still thinking how I want to play this over all though.. Maybe I'll take Maia by sub as the big bet, splash a bit on Maia by UD, and then Brown straight just to hedge and cover all bets as insurance.. At +220 it's not a bad idea to hedge with straight plays when your playing props going the other way at +odds.. I've learned that the hard way as that can save your ass in a big way..

I still gotta work the numbers between all bets but I'm in no hurry as this fight isn't happening for a while.. I got nothing placed yet but the mind and wheels are spinning already for this fight..

[snapperman2]

Josh got permanently banned from SBR for offering to sell his picks. See posts 139 and 147.

[Snoman]

Josh got permanently banned from SBR for offering to sell his picks. See posts 139 and 147.

Seems like he pulled the ripcord and just did that for a better reason to bail...

[CaptChaos145]

Amanda Nunes is scaring me. I have Miesha in several parlays. Miesha has to get out of the 1st but Nunes is so nasty in the 1st round. She fights like a dude.